The Converging Technology Revolution and Human Capital

Page 54

20 l THE CONVERGING TECHNOLOGY REVOLUTION AND HUMAN CAPITAL

the targeting, customization, and delivery of services is accompanied by downside risks associated with unintended consequences and, in some cases, malicious intent. As converging technologies affect ever more aspects of daily lives, it is critically important that people endeavor to understand and shape the fundamental ethical, moral, and governance-related issues surrounding the use of technologies and their relationship to human capital lest they be subjugated to decisions made elsewhere. The ultimate value added of the human capital framework is to identify priorities for action in the South Asia region. For the “building and protecting” dimension, these include, for example, focusing on digital access and technology-enabled services to address inequality in health and education outcomes, persistent stunting, and the absence of social insurance coverage. Over the next decade, the “deployment and utilization” dimension of human capital will assume great urgency to recover from the pandemic, to respond to the need to create a large number of jobs in the economy, and to create resilience in the face of climate shocks and environmental degradation that are besetting the subcontinent. And the “empowerment” dimension will warrant special attention because it sets the conditions for transparency, accountability, data protection, and safeguards against the adverse actions made possible by dual-use technologies. The three chapters that follow are structured, respectively, around these three dimensions of the human capital framework developed in this chapter.

Notes 1. Technological revolutions are periods in which there is strong interconnectedness and interdependence of technologies that transform the economy and society. Such periods have been called techno-economic paradigms (Perez 2002). Examples of earlier technological revolutions are the Agricultural Revolution, the Industrial Revolution, and the more informally termed Information Revolution. 2. Many may argue that the Fourth Industrial Revolution is still part of the Information Revolution or its extension. However, many qualitatively different elements justify distinguishing the converging technology revolution from the Information Revolution. 3. The Human Capital Project is a global effort facilitated by the World Bank to accelerate more and better investments in people for greater equity and economic growth (https://www​ .worldbank.org/en/publication/human-capital). 4. As a review by the World Bank’s Independent Evaluation Group indicates, various terms are used within the World Bank Group, including disruptive technologies, digital technologies, and transformative technologies (World Bank 2021). The study team uses the term converging technologies to highlight the specific aspects of technologies that are affecting human capital outcomes. 5. The HCI conveys the productivity of the next generation of workers in relation to a benchmark of complete education and full health. It is made up of five indicators: (1) the probability of survival to age five; (2) a child’s expected years of schooling; (3) harmonized test scores as a measure of quality of learning; (4) adult survival rate (share of 15-year-olds who will survive to age 60); and (5) the proportion of children who are not stunted.


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A.4 Metatrend 4: Governance of Dual-Use Technologies

4min
pages 158-161

A.3 Metatrend 3: Complex and Dynamic Innovation Ecosystems

5min
pages 156-157

Deploy and Utilize, and Empower Human Capital

14min
pages 142-149

Rising to the Challenge

3min
pages 150-151

A.1 Metatrend 1: Technologies for Building and Protecting Human Capital

3min
pages 153-154

Synthesis

8min
pages 137-140

A.2 Metatrend 2: Data-Driven and Hybrid Human-Machine Technologies for Productive Activities

2min
page 155

Recommendations

4min
pages 134-135

Nine Action Areas for Leveraging the Converging Technology Revolution to Improve Human Capital Outcomes

2min
page 141

Critical Uncertainties

5min
pages 129-130

Introduction

1min
page 125

7.1 Scenario Analysis: Uses and Methods

2min
page 126

Technology Metatrends

4min
pages 127-128

Notes

1min
pages 123-124

Assessment of Technology Maturity in World Bank Projects

2min
page 120

Projects in South Asia: Deploy and Utilize and Empower Pillars

1min
page 119

Implications for Future Engagement

2min
page 122

Pipeline Projects in South Asia: Build and Protect Pillar

1min
page 118

Breakdown of Technology Components of the World Bank’s Human Capital–Related Portfolio in South Asia

2min
page 117

Portfolio for Human Capital

2min
page 116

References

4min
pages 112-114

Introduction

1min
page 115

Notes

2min
page 111

Conclusions

2min
page 110

5.1 National Artificial Intelligence Strategies in the South Asia Region

4min
pages 108-109

5.1 Risks Posed by Converging Technologies

4min
pages 106-107

Data Governance

4min
pages 103-104

Technology for Local Resilience and Community Innovation

2min
page 93

Introduction

1min
page 97

Governance of Converging and Dual-Use Technologies

2min
page 105

The Role of Trust in the Use of Technology

11min
pages 98-102

Conclusions

1min
page 94

at Scale: The Green Revolution and Treatment of HIV/AIDS

2min
page 90

The Digitization of Innovation and the Role of Advanced Human Capital

7min
pages 87-89

Introduction

1min
page 83

Impact of New Technologies on Labor Demand in South Asian Countries

5min
pages 84-85

References

2min
pages 81-82

Notes

2min
page 80

Conclusions

2min
page 79

Data-Driven Decision-Making in the Human Development Sectors

2min
page 78

Social Protection Sectors, South Asia

20min
pages 66-74

Technology Landscape in Health, Education, and Social Protection in South Asia

2min
page 65

Unequal Digital Access in South Asia: Barriers to Equitable Deployment of Technology

4min
pages 62-63

Human Capital

4min
pages 60-61

Opportunities for Improving Service Delivery in Health, Education, and Social Protection

4min
pages 58-59

Notes

2min
page 54

Introduction

1min
page 57

Summary

1min
page 53

References

1min
pages 55-56

The Priorities for South Asia

2min
page 36

Introduction

1min
page 35

2.1 Summary of Interview Responses: Kerala (India), Nepal, and Pakistan

3min
pages 51-52

1 Nine Action Areas in Which Technology Can Build and Protect

2min
page 42

Framing the Relationship between Human Capital and Technology

2min
page 43

Priorities for Human Capital in South Asia

2min
page 49

Perspectives from the Region: Country Expert Interviews

2min
page 50

References

1min
page 39
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