The Converging Technology Revolution and Human Capital

Page 42

8 l THE CONVERGING TECHNOLOGY REVOLUTION AND HUMAN CAPITAL

Data from the human, physical, biological, and cyber spheres and their integration with these technologies are central to the converging technology revolution. High-speed computing power and connectivity are the other two factors powering this ­revolution. The development of artificial intelligence (AI) is further enabling and driving the converging technology revolution. AI is itself a combination of information technology and cognitive science, and it is now increasingly viable through the availability of vast amounts of data, cheap high-speed computing power, and ubiquitous connectivity. The converging technology revolution has the potential to restructure the delivery of publicly and privately provided services for human development through personalization, precision targeting, cost reductions, and new organizational and accountability arrangements. Improvements in other economic sectors, such as agriculture, energy, water, and transportation, can have an indirect impact on improvements in human capital formation. However, the risks are high. Converging technologies, because of their digital nature, operate in cyberspace, and thus cybersecurity is essential to protect populations and their personal data. Furthermore, although they are designed for beneficial purposes, converging technologies exhibit functions that can be easily misused and so could have a dual-use potential. Examples of dual-use applications include predictive behavioral surveillance, data manipulation, and targeted misinformation by the state and other actors using data collected in the context of otherwise beneficial uses, such as personalized learning or medical diagnosis. The most significant aspect of this revolution for human capital is its ability to affect the essence of human identity through human-machine augmentation and enhanced cognitive capacity and thus to reduce or widen inequality in human capital outcomes and power relationships. Earlier technological revolutions also required an adjustment of political and economic structures, laws and regulations, public policy, and societal norms and cultures. With the accelerating speed of the converging technology revolution, there is strong evidence that these superstructures are unable to adapt quickly enough, with negative implications for the region’s socioeconomic trajectories. In South Asia, where levels of human capital are already low, where public policy capacity is lagging, and where inequalities of gender, religion, caste, and community are deeply entrenched, the converging technology revolution could add to an already combustible social mix and lead to unpredictable consequences. The converging technology revolution is transformational. Advances in science and better knowledge of the building blocks of matter and life are now permitting the creation of new materials with nanotechnology and altered or entirely new life forms with gene editing and gene drives. Data, an intangible, have become a critical new factor of production and value addition, while knowledge can be produced without direct human involvement and agency. In addition, the reach and dual-use characteristics of many of these technologies raise ethical, moral, social, and governance considerations that society has yet to address:


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A.4 Metatrend 4: Governance of Dual-Use Technologies

4min
pages 158-161

A.3 Metatrend 3: Complex and Dynamic Innovation Ecosystems

5min
pages 156-157

Deploy and Utilize, and Empower Human Capital

14min
pages 142-149

Rising to the Challenge

3min
pages 150-151

A.1 Metatrend 1: Technologies for Building and Protecting Human Capital

3min
pages 153-154

Synthesis

8min
pages 137-140

A.2 Metatrend 2: Data-Driven and Hybrid Human-Machine Technologies for Productive Activities

2min
page 155

Recommendations

4min
pages 134-135

Nine Action Areas for Leveraging the Converging Technology Revolution to Improve Human Capital Outcomes

2min
page 141

Critical Uncertainties

5min
pages 129-130

Introduction

1min
page 125

7.1 Scenario Analysis: Uses and Methods

2min
page 126

Technology Metatrends

4min
pages 127-128

Notes

1min
pages 123-124

Assessment of Technology Maturity in World Bank Projects

2min
page 120

Projects in South Asia: Deploy and Utilize and Empower Pillars

1min
page 119

Implications for Future Engagement

2min
page 122

Pipeline Projects in South Asia: Build and Protect Pillar

1min
page 118

Breakdown of Technology Components of the World Bank’s Human Capital–Related Portfolio in South Asia

2min
page 117

Portfolio for Human Capital

2min
page 116

References

4min
pages 112-114

Introduction

1min
page 115

Notes

2min
page 111

Conclusions

2min
page 110

5.1 National Artificial Intelligence Strategies in the South Asia Region

4min
pages 108-109

5.1 Risks Posed by Converging Technologies

4min
pages 106-107

Data Governance

4min
pages 103-104

Technology for Local Resilience and Community Innovation

2min
page 93

Introduction

1min
page 97

Governance of Converging and Dual-Use Technologies

2min
page 105

The Role of Trust in the Use of Technology

11min
pages 98-102

Conclusions

1min
page 94

at Scale: The Green Revolution and Treatment of HIV/AIDS

2min
page 90

The Digitization of Innovation and the Role of Advanced Human Capital

7min
pages 87-89

Introduction

1min
page 83

Impact of New Technologies on Labor Demand in South Asian Countries

5min
pages 84-85

References

2min
pages 81-82

Notes

2min
page 80

Conclusions

2min
page 79

Data-Driven Decision-Making in the Human Development Sectors

2min
page 78

Social Protection Sectors, South Asia

20min
pages 66-74

Technology Landscape in Health, Education, and Social Protection in South Asia

2min
page 65

Unequal Digital Access in South Asia: Barriers to Equitable Deployment of Technology

4min
pages 62-63

Human Capital

4min
pages 60-61

Opportunities for Improving Service Delivery in Health, Education, and Social Protection

4min
pages 58-59

Notes

2min
page 54

Introduction

1min
page 57

Summary

1min
page 53

References

1min
pages 55-56

The Priorities for South Asia

2min
page 36

Introduction

1min
page 35

2.1 Summary of Interview Responses: Kerala (India), Nepal, and Pakistan

3min
pages 51-52

1 Nine Action Areas in Which Technology Can Build and Protect

2min
page 42

Framing the Relationship between Human Capital and Technology

2min
page 43

Priorities for Human Capital in South Asia

2min
page 49

Perspectives from the Region: Country Expert Interviews

2min
page 50

References

1min
page 39
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