Kot bond market booklet q4 fy2014

Kingdom of Thailand Bond Market

Financing Thailand’s Future & Connecting ASEAN

Highlights Q&A with Director-General • Political Situation and Impact on ...

- Credit Rating Outlook - Government Bond Auction • NCPO’s Roadmap • Savings Bond Q4/FY2014 • PDMO’s Role in supporting AEC Integration in 2015 Progress Update • Bond Switching : Source Bonds for H1/FY2015 • Toward ASEAN “Preferred Destination”

Basic & Essentials • • • • •

Public Debt Outstanding and Its Composition Bond Market Capitalization and Its Composition Total GOVT Bond Supply Issuing in FY2014 Government Bond Auction Result in 3 Quarters of FY2014 Non-Resident Holding in Domestic Bond

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Domestic Bond Market Development A. Highlights • • •

Q&A with Director-General Chularat Suteethorn

Safe Haven : Retail & Long-term Savings Bonds Auction Schedule Q4/FY2014 -

Government Bond SOE Bond and Term-Loan T-Bill Supply

1 B. Progress Update • •

Bond Switching : Source Bonds for H1/FY2015 Toward ASEAN “Preferred Destination”

14 C. Basic & Essentials • • • • •

Public Debt Outstanding and Its Composition

Bond Market Capitalization and Its Composition Total GOVT Bond Supply Issuing in FY2014 Government Bond Auction Result in 3 Quarters of FY2014 Non-Resident Holding in Domestic Bond

19

This booklet is produced and printed in-house by Bond Market Development Bureau Public Debt Management Office , Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand This booklet can be downloaded at www.pdmo.go.th

e-book

A: Highlights • Q&A with Director-General • Safe Haven : Retail and Long-term Savings Bond • Auction Schedule Q4/FY2014 -

Government Bond SOE Bond and Term-Loan T-Bill Supply

1

Q&A with Director-General Q : Do you have any concerns that the recent political incidents may lead to a downgrade of or negative outlook for Thailand’s sovereign rating?

Chularat : The period of political instabilities over the past 8 months has led to lingering concerns over the possible negative impact on Thailand’s sovereign ratings. As we have seen, the recent events have already led the Fiscal Policy Office (FPO) to revised growth forecast for this year to around 2.6%.

Chularat Suteethorn Director-General of Public Debt Management Office

Regarding the direct impact on credit ratings, PDMO has always maintained an open line of communication with all credit rating agencies to ensure that they are kept informed of any incidents of concern and the responding government plan of action.

I am pleased to say that all of the credit rating agencies have reaffirmed Thailand’s credit rating mainly citing the fact that political situation has not weakened Thailand’s fundamental credit strength, enabling the government to prudently manage its finances during political and economic turbulences.

One of our biggest strengths is the current public debt structure that has been brought about through PDMO’s policy to consistently issue sizable benchmark bonds to develop the domestic bond market.

The reliance on domestic funding has not only reduced foreign currency debt to less than 2% meaning almost no exposure to currency risk, but refinancing risk has also been mitigated as the average time to maturity of the portfolio has been lengthened by about 5 years (currently at 9 years 8 months).

Over the medium term, it is expected that the government will continue to adhere strictly to fiscal sustainability targets by maintaining public debt to GDP ratio at 47% which is well below target of 60% and debt service to expenditure below 15% at around 11-12%. In addition, Thailand’s external balances remain strong with international reserves 3 times external debt and 11 times imports, this compares favourably to peers in the same rating categories.

All in all, I believe that the credit outlook is currently stable, nevertheless, it is important to strengthen our credit fundamentals.

Q : What about the impact on demands for government bonds?

Chularat : The government bond auction results suggest no negative impact from the political situation. Throughout the period of political uncertainty dating back to December last year when the Parliament was dissolved, the constitutional court decision to oust PM Yingluck, the transition of power on 22 May by the National Council for Peace and Order (NCPO), the government bond auction results have remained acceptable throughout where almost all issuances were fully allocated and most accepted bids were well below market yields.

2

Q&A with Director-General I believe that this has been made possible because of the trust that we have gradually strengthen with the investors over the years as a result of keeping our promise to issue bonds as scheduled. Also, the sharing of information in an open and transparent manner, in particular, both PDMO and investors have benefited from regular market dialogue and specific group meetings.

Q : When can investors expect to see prolong periods of political stability, is there a definite Roadmap from the NCPO’s?

Chularat :

First of all, in the short term, I think that the NCPO has stablised a very fragile and

potentially dangerous political deadlock in the country. We have seen over the past month that they have been relatively quick in removing any measures when the situation improves, for example, the curfew was initially lifted in main tourist provinces and eventually in Bangkok and all over the country.

In term of economic policies, farmers from the rice pledging scheme were immediately paid within a month, the Board of Investment (BOI) has been appointed and investment applications can now be reviewed and approved. Tax policies have also remained supportive. VAT has been maintained at 7% to support domestic consumption and to create pro business friendly environment; corporate income tax maintained at 20%.

Crucially, the Fiscal Year 2015 Budget Act is expected to be in place in time at the beginning of next fiscal year (1st of October), this also includes a fiscal expansionary in the form of budget deficit of 250,000 million baht to stimulate the economy. The budget deficit only accounts for around 10% expenditures and is only half of what the law allows, therefore, there is plenty of room to boost the economy further if needed.

NCPO has announced a 3 phase roadmap to return the country to its democratic path to hold elections by 2015. An interim charter is expected to be unveiled soon, this will allow for an appointment of the National Legislative Assembly, which be responsible for enacting legislation. The Prime Minister and cabinet is expected to be in place by September. In addition, the reform Council and Constitution drafting Committee will also be established. Once the reform an the constitution drafting process is complete, an election can be held.

Q : What is the rationale behind the issuance of Savings bond?

Chularat : Savings bond has always been important part of PDMO annual issuance plan because it is the only instrument that reaches out to retail investors and encourages individuals to increase their level of savings.

As some of the proceeds are used to finance government projects, they also offer the general public an opportunity to contribute to public financing and thereby create a sense of “ownership� in the process of economic and social advancement.

Because savings bonds have a direct impact on the long-term financial well-being of general public, we have continued to attentively adjust and/or introduce new features to ensure that it best serves the interests of general public.

3

Q&A with Director-General For this particular savings bond to be issued in Q4 of FY2014, it is one of our longest maturities, at 7 and 10 years (last 10-year tenor was in 2002) with total amount of 30,000 million baht.

The first lot will be exclusive to the elderly with age restrictions of 60 years and over while the 2nd and 3rd lots will be opened to all citizens. We hope that the relatively long maturities will encourage long-term savings providing future financial security for various age groups, from the elderly saving for the next generation to new graduates saving to build a family. We see this as a way to return sustainable happiness to the society.

To ensure 24 hours nationwide access to savings bonds, I am pleased to inform the public that in addition to the usual channels to purchase savings bonds through our representatives; Krung Thai Bank, Bangkok Bank, Siam Commercial Bank and Kasikorn Bank (collectively, these 4 banks have up to 40,000 ATMs and 4,500 branches), the public can now invest in savings bonds via online banking with Krung Thai Bank.

“We see savings bond as a way to return sustainable happiness to the society”

Q : What can the PDMO play to support Thailand in ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) in 2015?

Chularat :

The key element for a truly integrated ASEAN Community is connectivity, and connectivity

can only be achieved by having sufficient infrastructure. However, the lack of significant investment in major transportation over the past decades means that Thailand has repeatedly passed up on opportunities to enhance our long-term competitiveness, to develop new growth centers nationwide and the level of our living standards. Moreover, as the heart of mainland South East Asia, this “missing link” in infrastructure has a wider regional consequence as it acts as an obstacle to ASEAN’s efforts to promote freer flow of goods, services and people across the boundaries.

The government recognizes the importance of such investment. There are projects in various sectors including mass transit, duo-track railway, roads connecting ASEAN economic corridors, airports expansion and ports in the pipeline. The PDMO has a critical role to play by providing funding for these projects. The funding strategy must be formulated to meet the funding requirements without compromising our fiscal sustainability framework.

Although these typical projects normally require large amount of investment through borrowings, I am confident that PDMO is in a strong position to meet these challenges. There is ample liquidity in the domestic bond market and more importantly new products that have continuously been developed enabling the PDMO to select most suitable instruments for project financing. For example, the amortized bond could be used to match cash flows of debt repayment and eventual return from project investment.

4

Q&A with Director-General In term of bond market cooperation, PDMO recognizes that for ASEAN to achieve sustainable and inclusive growth, there must be mutual support amongst member countries. Thus, all of us can grow together, and no one is left behind. In light of this spirit, PDMO has linked CGIF and Baht Bond issuance to the development of the bond market. This has allowed our close neighbor, Lao PDR to raise funds in our domestic market to fund their own infrastructure projects.

Looking ahead, we hope to further expand cooperation in this area to promote the tightening of financial markets in the region which may lead to mechanisms to help protect AEC from the impact of global economic uncertainties.

Q : Given that you will be retiring at the end of September (making this your last booklet), what has been the highlight of your time as Director-General of PDMO?

Chularat :

It has been an honor for me to serve as the Director-General at PDMO as it is a position in

an organization where I can contribute directly in many important areas; some of which include strengthening of the domestic financial markets and support regional financial markets integration, investments in public sector projects that help strengthen the platform for sustainable growth as well as provide financial support to the public through SOEs and SFIs. In term of domestic bond market development, I am pleased that we have taken concrete steps to turn the page on SOEs bond issuance by adjusting our SOEs bond issuance to be in line with government benchmark bonds. For example, the GGLB that was launched, and future SOE bond issuance will now be sizeable, more predictable in order to encourage greater liquidity, establish benchmark yield for SOEs and eventually eliminate fragmented and small sized bonds.

Given the volatilities in the financial market environment, we have continued our product development to include the extension of inflation linked bonds to 15 years, and also plans to lengthen further to 30 years.

In light of the AEC in 2015, it was pleasing to see Lao PDR successfully raised funds in our market, through the CGIF and Baht Bond initiative, marking the first cross border fund raising of its kind. I believe that this provides a concrete reference for future cooperation between ASEAN members in areas of financial market integration.

Finally, these achievements in market development would not have been possible without the commitment and cooperation from all stakeholders and market participants. I would like to take this opportunity to thank all of you and hope that we will cross paths again in the near future.

5

Retail Savings Bond Issue Size : Tenor : Sale Period : Coupon Rate : Maturity Date : Sales Channel :

4,000 THB Mil. 3 years 8 May – 29 August 2014 3.25% p.a.

8 May 2017 • Counters [all 4 appointed banks] - Krung Thai Bank - Kasikorn Bank - Siam Commercial Bank - Bangkok Bank

• ATM [all 4 appointed bank] • “Savings Bond Certificates” [ONLY at Kasikorn Bank]

“It’s just the small amount, but I want them to learn and start saving for their futures.” the father said.

PDMO Booth Opening Ceremony @ Money Expo 2014 on May 8th, 2014.

(Fair visitors : over 1 million people) Ms. Chularat Suteethorn (Director-General of Public Debt Management Office) – [middle left] Mr. Ace Viboolcharern (Deputy Director-General of Public Debt Management office) – [left] Mr. Santi Viriyarungsarit (Editor of Money and Banking Magazine) – [middle right] Mr. Maytee Phanachet (Capital Markets Product Management Head of Kasikorn Bank) – [right]

Ms. Prechaya (Ice) leading actress from “ATM : Er Rak Error” @ PDMO Booth

6

NEW!!

Long-term Saving Bond Issue Size : Tenor : Sale Period :

30,000 THB Mil. 7 and 10 years 15 – 25 July 2014 Age Restriction : 60 years and over

15 – 16 July 2014

(max. purchase of 2 THB Mil./tenor/bank)

No Age Restriction

17 – 20 July 2014

(max. purchase of 2 THB Mil./tenor/bank)

No Age Restriction

21 – 25 July 2014

(No limitation)

Coupon Rate : Maturity Date : Sale Channel :

4.25% p.a. (7-year) 4.75% p.a. (10-year) 15 July 2021 and 15 July 2024 • Counters [all 4 appointed banks] - Krung Thai Bank - Kasikorn Bank - Siam Commercial Bank - Bangkok Bank • ATM [all 4 appointed banks] • “Savings Bond Certificates” [ONLY at Kasikorn Bank] • “Internet Banking” [ONLY at Krung Thai Bank]

Remarks : • For non-Thai citizens, only foreigners who obtain work permits are eligible.

• Savings Bond Certificate is available for the purchase as a gift for other person.

7

Structure Shift… between Non-Resident and Retail Investor Holding in GOVT BOND THB Mil.

% Share of Government Bond

Non-Resident holding in Government Bond % Share of Government Bond Retail Investor holding in Government Bond % Share of Government Bond 29.1%

Savings Bond for FIDF

4%

Savings Bond for Deficit

15.7%

F E 1

8% 424,311MB

483,839MB 381,796MB

366,490MB

7.6%

255,675MB

129,174MB

Outstanding size

129,174MB 0.7%

39,577MB 31,577MB

(At the end of FY2014)

v v

25,000MB

-0-

Between FY 2002-2011 Average Savings Bond Outstanding is equivalent to 400,xxx THB Mil.

Savings Bond : The Safe Haven for Retail

08

09

10 11 Outstanding 12 13 (Current :

New Issuance Q4/2557 30,000 THB Mil.

266,572 THB Mil. , 11 Series)

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

A B C D

Today 2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014 2014

2015

FY2014 Expiration of 5 SB 137,398 THB Mil. (51%) FY2016 Expiration of 3 SB 89,597 THB Mil. (34%) FY2018 Expiration of 2 SB 8,000 THB Mil. (3%) FY2018 Expiration of 1 SB 31,577 THB Mil. (12%)

2016 2017 2017 2018 2018 2016

1. SBST147A 80,000 MB 2. SB148A

43,303 MB 78 MB

3. SB148B 4. SB149A

10,820 MB 3,197 MB

5. SB149B

4,000 MB

6. SB15NA

3,367 MB

7. SB165A 8. SBST166A

82,230 MB

B

9. SB16DA

4,000 MB

10. SB175A

4,000 MB

12. New Issuance Bond Tenors

C 31,577 MB

11. SB189A

8

A

12.1 SB217A 12.2 SB247A

Size ≤ 30,000 MB

D

2019

2020

2021 2021

2022

2023

2024 2024

Exclusivity

9

10

20,000

Re-open

Total (THB Mil.)

5,000

9,000

8,000

11,000

LB296A = Re-open LBA37DA = Re-open LB446A = Re-open LB616A =

ILB283A =

: 1. LB196A = LB236A =

Maturity Date

13-Jun-2019

Re-open

16-Jun-2023

3.625%

Re-open

12-Mar-2028

1.25%

22-Jun-2029

4.875%

(Re-open

12-Dec-2037

4.26%

29-Jun-2044

4.675%

17-Jun-2061

4.85%

126,000

3.875%

20,000

Coupon

21,000

25,000

20,000

Total

19,000

18,000

10,000

24-Sep-2014 10,000

-

8,000

5,000

15,000

9,000

17-Sep-2014

10-Sep-2014

3-Sep-2014

27-Aug-2014

20-Aug-2014

8,000

12,000

5,000

13,000

31,000

11,000

LB616A 50-yr

13-Aug-2014

12,000

LB446A 30-yr

-

15,000

5,000

13,000

25-yr

LBA37DA LBA37DA

6-Aug-2014

30-Jul-2014

23-Jul-2014

16-Jul-2014

10,000

LB296A 15-yr

10,000

15-yr

ILB283A ILB283A

Amortized Bond

9-Jul-2014

LB236A 10-yr

Government Bond Auction Schedule for Q4/FY2014

-

5-yr

LB196A LB196A

Inflation-Linked Bond

2-Jul-2014

Auction Date

Exclusivity MOF Outright PD Only

July

August

September

Thu 17th

Thu 24th

Thu 31st

Thu 7th

Thu 14th

Thu 21st

Wk 3

Wk 4

Wk 5

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Thu 11th

Thu 18th

Wk 2

Wk 3

<2

2

BMTA TL 1,000*

EXAT B 900* EXAT TL 1,000*

Syndication

Syndication

SRT TL 4,864!*

GHB B 5,000

SRT B 4,000**

PWA B 700 PWA B 300*

4

MEA B 1,000

5

7

PEA B 2,000!

SRT B 2,000*

Total

Syndication

6

* Guaranteed by MOF ** Guaranteed and Responsible for by MOF

SRT TL 3,000**

3

NHA TL 3,000*

BAAC TL 13,244** BAAC TL 20,000**

SRT TL 4,000** SRT TL 4,700*

New Borrowing Refinance

Thu

Wk 1

4th

Thu 28th

Tue 26th

Thu 10th

Wk 2

Wk 4

Thu

3rd

Wk 1

Date 9

MEA B 1,000

PEA B 2,000!

SRT B 2,000*

10

SRT B 4,700**

11

PEA B 1,200!

PEA B 2,000!

12

13

14

! Pending Approval from Entity as Stipulate by Act.

8

Tenor (Years) 20

86,608

4,000

3,100

6,000

10,700

1,000

6,864

1,000

37,244

3,000

-

2,000

11,700

(THB Mil.)

Total

Subject to Change

PEA PEA B 1,000! B 1,000!

MEA B 1,000

15

SOE Bond & Term-Loan Auction Schedule Q4/FY2014

Example : SRT TL 4,000** = State Railway of Thailand Term Loan 4,000 THB Mil. (Guaranteed and Responsible for by MOF)

11

FY 2014

 To Meet : Short Term Demand  To Manage : Funding Risk

T-Bill Supply

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance

T-bill (Allocated Amount) Participated Amount (Excess Demand) Not Fully Allocated Spread [AAY - Yield (T-1)]

Million Baht 75,000

Basis Points 7.5 67,336

64,000

46,158 42,616

41,312

40,750

39,015

5.0

36,369

509

21,432 5,725 20,410

33,690 30,842

17,195

15,000

15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000

15,000 15,000 15,000

15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000

2.5

15,000MB

1843

0.6

0.6

0.4

24,215

19,188

19,085

20,000 20,000 20,000 15,000

20,000

25,000 24,491 25,000 19,275

25,000 25,000 25,000 25,000

27,135 25,000 25,000 25,000 14,006

T-1=- 0

28,397 27,707

24,918 24,487

10,994

1.3

32,423

30,703

30,443

15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000

25,250

25,000

31,884

28,997 28,614 26,817 25,903 23,663

20,000 20,000 18,157

30,522

29,500

15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000

32,956

31,612 26,960 25,648

20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000

36,250 32,562

0.0

0.0 -0.5

-0.5

-0.5

-0.8

-0.8

-1.0

-1.3

-1.6

-1.8

-25,000

-2.4

-2.9

-2.5 -2.9

-3.3

-3.7

-3.9 -4.2 -4.4 -4.6

-0.8

-2.5

-2.3

-2.5 -2.5

-3.3

-3.5

-1.0

-1.8

-2.0

-2.2

-2.3 -2.9 -3.0

-50,000

Less than 1 Month 40,000 MB

49,008

50,000

Q4/FY14

-3.0

-3.9 -4.3

-5.0

-4.6

-4.9

-5.2

-75,000

-7.5 Sep

SEP

12

Oct

OCT

Nov

Dec

NOV

Jan

DEC

Feb

JAN

Mar

Apr

FEB

May

MAR

Jun

July

APR

Aug

MAY

Sep

JUN

ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LI NKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIP LINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC D EBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PD DF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT B OND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKETDEVELOPM ENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATIO N-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DI SCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBI LC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOP MENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLAT ION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PU BILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONE ER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINET COMMMITM ENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMEN T OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATIO N BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVE LOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION IN FLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FI SCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMEN TS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND P IONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMM ITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGE MENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDI CATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATIO N INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BON D FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVE MENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BO ND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND ACHIEVEMENTS PUBIL C DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE13

B: Progress Update • Bond Switching : Source Bonds for H1/FY2015 • Toward ASEAN “Preferred Destination”

14

Bond Switching Schedule for Transaction in H1/FY2015 Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

•

The Public Debt Management Office (PDMO), Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand has mandated Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited, Kasikornbank Public Company Limited, and Standard Chartered Bank (Thai) Public Company Limited as Joint Lead Managers for Bond Switching and Bond Consolidation transaction.

•

The transaction is in the preparation stage and is expected to take place in the first half of fiscal year 2015 (H1 FY 2015). In addition to the numerous examples that have been studied, Knowledge Sharing sessions were completed between PDMO, the Swedish National Debt Office and the UK Debt Management Office to ensure the best execution plan.

•

PDMO and Joint Lead Managers are open to opinions from Primary Dealers and investors and look forward to a strong cooperation, which hopefully will deliver a success to Thailand’s first Bond Switching and Bond Consolidation transaction.

•

Source bonds – LB155A and LB15DA – have been identified.

•

Key terms and conditions, exchange approach and ratio, and the destination bonds are still under consideration and will be announced at a later date.

•

For more information please contact: Bangkok Bank PCL

Kasikornbank PCL

Mr. Montri Upathambhakul Tel: +66 (0) 2626 4434 Email: montri.upa@bbl.co.th

Standard Chartered Bank (Thai) PCL

Mr. Supong Ninsuvannakul Tel: +66 (0) 2470 3274 Email: supong.n@kasikornbank.com

Ms. Chanaichon Suwansirikul Tel: +66 (0) 2724 8836 Email: chanaichon.suwansirikul@sc.com

Source Bonds for Bond Switching in H1/FY2015 Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand THB Million

300,000

Thai Government Bond Maturity Profile 250,000

200,000

152,572 150,000

132,000

100,000

50,000

Source: ThaiBMA

10 11 12

13

14

15 16 17 18 19-23

24

LB616A

LB446A

9

LB416A

8

LB406A

7

LB396A

LB21DA

LB22NA LB233A LB236A

6

LBA37DA LB383A

LB213A LB214A ILB217A

5

LB326A

LB19DA

4

LB316A

LB191A LB193A LB196A LB198A

3

LB296A

LB17OA LB183A LB183B

2

LB27DA ILB283A LB283A

LB16NA LB171A LB175A LB176A

1

LB25DA LB267A

LB15DA LBF165A LB167A

0

LB244A

LBF14NA LB14DA LB155A LB157A

TTM

LB24DA

Series

LBF147A LBF149A

0

25 26 27 28-29 30 31-46 47

End of June 2014

15

Linking CGIF & BAHT BOND to the Development of Bond Market Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

10,000

Total Outstanding THB 9,231,107 BB

CGIF

9,000 8,000 7,000

5,000

2,850

4,000

Baht Bond

Inaugural (Noble, Hong Kong)

6,000

BAHT BOND

End of June 2014 (Foreign Issuers Bond)

(For Asian Bond 0.03% CGIF Market Initiative)

THB mln.

1,000

THB mln.

Updated: In 2013, Laotian Government issued 1.5 billion baht of 3-year baht bonds, with 4.5%of interest rate

3,000 2,000

94,284

Inaugural (Lao PDR)

1%

Corp Bond

22%

SOEs Bond

8%

0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Natural Hedging

BOT Bond

Inv’t Grade

2007 2008

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 IBRD

111111

2005 2006

KEXIM (30,700 m)

31%

Hana (18,000 m)

CABEI

Woori (13,000 m)

Targeted Industry

GOVT Bond

ING

38%

IBK

(10,000 m)

ADB (10,500 m)

Citi

(12,300 m)

(11,553 m)

Why now?

What next?

Thailand (PDMO) is a Board member  Set criteria  Select corporate

 Toward becoming regional hub  Increasing AAA Supply  Broadening Issuer Base : Lao PDR

(PDDF.)

Timeline For Baht Bond Application Process

Approval

Nov

Dec

SUBMISSION

CONSIDERATION

Jan

Feb

1

1st

2nd

Progress Report

Progress Report

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Issuance Period 9 months (Jan - Sep)

SUBMISSION

CONSIDERATION

2

Issuance Period 9 months (May - Jan)

SUBMISSION

CONSIDERATION

3

Issuance Period 9 months (Sep - May)

SUBMISSION

APPLICATION PROCESS: 3 rounds per year (9-mth issuance period for each round)

16

Dec

CONSIDERATION

1

Issuance Period 9 months (Jan - Sep)

94,284 THB Mil.

THE OUTSTANDING BAHT BOND Classified by issuers based on TTM

56% Due within Y2015 THB mln.

40,000

Ha

9%

(64,590 THB Mil.)

32%

IBK

(8,350 THB Mil.)

(36,690)

KE

Wo

18

%

35,000

24%

30,000

38%

CA

CA-CIB

19%

Woori

(22,409)

CA

73%

(27,900)

(22,190)

25,000

AF

(17,134 THB Mil.)

CB

Cit

(68,800 THB Mil.)

ING

AD

KEXIM

20,000

Lao

No

15,000

-

10,000

KEXIM

IBK

8% (9,066)

3% (3,874)

5,000

(5,000)

2%

(3,000)

Hana

Hana

4%

3%

2%

1%

(2,235)

(1,500)

2021

2022

2%

(2,800)

(2,000)

0

2014

2015

L1

2016

L2

2017

2018

L3

2019

2020

IFIs & ABMI

Korean Issuers

2023

2024

2025

Completely Due

Others

(End of June, 2014)

Source: PDMO End of June, 2014

Broadening Issuer’s “Qualification” to achieve “ASEAN Chosen Destination” Twin Inaugural 2004

IFIs

2005

2006

ADB JBIC

II

2007

2008

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

…

2020

IBRD

ADB

CITI

KfW

ADF

IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII

KEXIM KDB

Hana CITI

Hana

IBK Woori KEXIM

KEXIM IBK

Woori

-0-

Issuer’s Government Guarantee

LAOS I I

CGIF

AAA

2010

KEXIM

Credit Rating

SPV

2009

?

NOBLE

Possible Next Step End of June, 2014

COPORATE BOND MARKET CLASSIFICATION

BY CREDIT RATING

400,000

BY TTM

300,000

AAA

AA

A

BBB

Non rate

BY SECTOR

200,000

150,000

0

400,000

0

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9 10 >10

Energ Bank Prop ConMat Fin Food Comm Trans ICT Petro Agri SPV Helth Paper Auto Tourism Media Etron

800,000

17

ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LI NKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIP LINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC D EBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PD DF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT B OND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKETDEVELOPM ENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATIO N-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DI SCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBI LC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOP MENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLAT ION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PU BILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONE ER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINET COMMMITM ENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMEN T OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATIO N BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVE LOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION IN FLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FI SCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMEN TS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND P IONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMM ITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGE MENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDI CATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATIO N INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BON D FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVE MENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BO ND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND ACHIEVEMENTS PUBIL C DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF 18 FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE

C: Basic & Essentials • Public Debt Outstanding and Its Composition (As of April 2014) •

= 5,583,828 THB Mil (46.6% of GDP) Bond Market Capitalization and Its Composition (As of June 2014) = 9,212,880 THB Mil. (77.1% of GDP)

• Total GOVT Bond Supply Issuing in FY2014 • GOVT Bond Auction Result in First three Quarters of FY2014 • Non-Resident Holding in Domestic Bond 

NR Holding in THB Bond (As of June 2014)

= 667,023 THB Mil. (GOVT Bond : 544,244 THB Mil., BOT Bond : 122,065 THB Mil., Corp Bond : 734 THB Mil.)

 Net Change in NR Holding (January - June 2014)

= -40,339 THB Mil.

(GOVT Bond : Net Sell -51,617 THB Mil., BOT Bond : Net Buy +11,278 THB Mil.)

19

Public debt Outstanding (as of April 2014) = 5.58 THB Trillion (46.6% of GDP) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Components of Public Debt

Unit : THB Mil.

1. Government Debt (excluded FIDF)

2,858,831*

2. Government Debt (for FIDF)

1,098,554

3. Non-Financial State Enterprise Debt

1,088,383

4. Special Financial Institutions Guaranteed Debt

Special Financial Institutions

532,210

5. Autonomous Agency Debt

Guaranteed Debt

Autonomous Agency Debt

9.5%

0.006 THB Trillion

0.1%

0.53 THB Trillion

5,850

Public Debt Outstanding

5,583,828

*including 73,201 THB Mil. Of External Debt

Non-Financial Sate Enterprise Debt

GOVT Debt 51.2%

19.5% 1.09 THB Trillion

2.86 THB Trillion

GOVT Debt (for FIDF)

19.7

% 1.10 THB Trillion

Source : Information Technology Centre, PDMO

Public debt projection will be in line with fiscal sustainability framework and less than 50% of GDP

Forecast Public Debt to GDP % of GDP 70% 61.7%

60.6%

60.9%

60%

SustainabilityFramework Framework Sustainability Public Debt to GDP < 60% Public Debt to GDP < 60% 56.9% 52.2%

50%

40%

50.6%

48.3%

51.0%

45.5%

45.2% 43.5%

41.7%

39.6%

35.6%

42.6%

45.86%

37.3%

Balance Budget

30%

20%

10%

14.6% 9.1%

10.9%

12.5%

11.5%

12.6%

11.3% 10.2%

4.8%

10.0%

7.4%

2014f 2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f 2020f

0% FY

Public Debt to GDP

Repayment Budget/Budget Expenditure

Source: Policy and Planning Bureau, as of 27 June 2014, Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance

20

 Average-Time-to-Maturity (ATM) = 8yrs 3mths  Average Cost = 4.1%  Fixed : Floating = 88 : 12

Total Domestic GOVT Debt = 3.88 THB Trillion (include FIDF)

As of April 2014

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand Assumptions : 6 months BIBOR = 2.3%, 6 months Fixed Deposit Rate = 1.4%, Inflation = 2.5%

FIDF 1 128,000

300,000

GOVT Debt (for FIDF) = 1,098,554 THB Mil. 101,850

35,000 14,000

.............

On-lending Loan

Water Decree

22,000 13,858

Maturity Profile

41%

27,800

29,800

95,936 20,000

84,000

5,500

6,500

41,900

33,581 35,000

2,200

.............

TTM Fiscal Year

10 yrs + 104,205

Next 5 yrs 6-10 yrs

15,700 77,000

47,000

43,000

32,500

184,110

18,900 80,025

100,872

33%

201,890

313,994 5,267

115,830

= 8%

26%

123,704

10,000

TKK

 ATM = 9yrs 8mths  Avg. Cost = 4.1%  Fixed : Floating = 89: 11

GOVT Direct Debt (exclude FIDF) = 2,785,631* THB Mil.

10,250

86,630

T-Bill

.............

 Callable

16,000

58,247

164,297

242,222

277,644

-

15,269

Budget Deficit

100,000

Maturity Profile

60%

Next 5 yrs 6-10 yrs 10 yrs +

Fiscal Year

200,000

= 4yrs 7mths = 4.1% = 85: 15 = 13%

5%

TTM

300,000

 ATM  Avg. Cost  Fixed : Floating  Callable

35%

55,000

101,800

37,900 40,000 69,000

-

13,000 64,124 58,440 27,105 39,836 67,537 141,963 29,000 75,000

200,000

100,000

FIDF 3

.............

*Excluding 73,201 THB Mil. of Foreign Debt

(1) (2) (3) (4)

Well-Developed Bond Market Improved

GOV’T Direct Debt (exclude FIDF) Profile Dramatically

ATM Lengthened Cost Lowered Well-Balanced Fixed-Float Ratio Well-Distributed Maturity Profile

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Note : Government Direct Debt = 2.8 THB Million (exclude FIDF)

As of Dec 2007

As of April 2014 ATM

Average-Time-to-Maturity LENGTHENED by 5 yrs

9yrs 8mths ATM

5yrs 3mths Avg. cost

Avg. Cost LOWERED by 40 bps.

4.5%

(While ATM Lengthened by 5 yrs)

Avg. cost

4.1% Floating

Well-Balanced Fixed/Floating Ratio (Target : Fixed/Float ratio = 80 : 20)

10%

Fixed

Fixed

90%

89%

54% 28% 18%

Well-Distributed Maturity Profile (Maturing Debt in the next 5 yrs is less than 50% of Total Debt) next 5 yrs

Floating

year 6 - 10

10yrs +

41%

next 5 yrs

11%

26% 33% year 6 - 10

10yrs +

21

ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LI NKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIP LINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC D EBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PD DF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT B OND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKETDEVELOPM ENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATIO N-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DI SCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBI LC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOP MENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLAT ION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PU BILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONE ER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINET COMMMITM ENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMEN T OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATIO N BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVE LOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION IN FLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FI SCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMEN TS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND P IONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMM ITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGE MENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDI CATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATIO N INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BON D FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVE MENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BO ND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND ACHIEVEMENTS PUBIL C DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF 22 FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE23

Full Capacity* of All Government Funding Instruments

1,150,000 THB Mil. per Year ($35 Bil.)**

* Under favorable market liquidity + using All funding instruments

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

% 5.50 5.25 5.00

LB 3 yrs LB 5 yrs LB 7 yrs LB 10 yrs LB 15 yrs LB 20 yrs LB 30 yrs LB 50 yrs

150,000 THB Mil. 120,000 THB Mil. 80,000 THB Mil. 80,000 THB Mil. 60,000 THB Mil. 60,000 THB Mil. 30,000 THB Mil. 20,000 THB Mil.

($4.6 Bil.)** ($4.0 Bil.) ($2.4 Bil.) ($2.4 Bil.) ($1.8 Bil.) ($1.8 Bil.) ($0.9 Bil.) ($0.6 Bil.)

Thailand’s Loan Bonds (LBs) weighting in international indices

GBI-EM Global JP Morgan

iBoxx Asia ex Japan Markit

7.0%

Asian Local Markets HSBC

7.8%

7.6%

Benchmark Bond

Last Update : June 2014

4.75 4.50 4.25

20

4.00

15 10

3.75

7

3.50 3.25

The “Missing Composition” of Leader role in the Bond Market Government Funding Instruments

5

3.00

Infrastructure

2.75 2.50

50

30

liquidity

3

Benchmark Bond

2.25

($20.4 Bil.) ($3.5 Bil.) ($3.5 Bil.) ($2.8 Bil.)

Benchmark Bond

~600,000THB Mil. (52%)

Savings Bond

~100,000THB Mil. (8%)

Amortized Bond

~100,000THB Mil (8%)

Inflation-Linked Bond

~80,000THB Mil. (7%)

($1.4 Bil.) ($1.0 Bil.) ($7.0 Bil.)

Promissory Note

~40,000THB Mil. (4%)

Floating Rate Bond Bank Loan

($40 Bil.) Total

~30,000THB Mil. (3%) ~200,000THB Mil. (18%)

1,150,000 THB Mil. (100%)

2.00

TTM

3 5 7

10

15

Source: ThaiBMA Government Bond Yield Curve (End of June 2014)

20

30

50 **Source: BOT Exchange rate (End of June 2014)

23

Bond Market Cap. = 9.2 THB Trillion ($230 Bil.)*

GOVT Bond = 3.5 THB Trillion ($113 Bil.)*

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

% Share of GDP

Domestic Bond Market Classified by Issuer

140% 128% 120% 100%

106%

Baht Bond

104%

CGIF Market Initiative)

(For Asian Bond

0.03%

Corp Bond

22%

SOEs Bond

8%

BOT Bond

31%

80%

1%

77%

60%

40%

24%

Asian Fin. Crisis

20%

Bond Market / GDP

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

Equity/GDP

2014 Mar 2014 June

Bank Loan /GDP

1999

1998

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1997

12%

0%

2,824,108 THB Mil.

Maturity Profile BOT vs GOVT Bond BOT ATM = 8mths GOVT ATM = 8yrs 4mth

15%

BOT

20% 29%

18%

22%

26%

≤1

1<yr≤3

3<yr≤5

5<yr≤10

10<yr≤50

71%

24

*End of June 2014

GOVT Bond 38% 3,472,670 THB Mil. *Source: BOT Exchange rate (End of June 2014)

End of June 2014

FY2007 – FY2014

Innovation of GOVT Debt Securities Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

• Lengthen average-time-to-maturity of Total Government Debt Portfolio • Meet Long-term investors’ demand

Floating Rate Bond

• Increase floating debt ratio of Total Government Debt Portfolio • Promote BIBOR (Bangkok Interbank Offered Rate)

Step-up Savings Bond

• Broaden investor base – Retail investors • Low interest burden at the initial periods of bond

Fixed Rate Promissory Note

• Broaden investor base – Insurance / Long-term investors • Non-Benchmark tenors

50-yr Benchmark Bond

• Combat low interest rate + Lengthen average time-to-maturity • 4th country in the world (1st : UK 2nd : France 3rd : China)

10-yr Inflation-Linked Bond (ILB)

• Strong anti-inflationary signal • Deepen the Development of the Bond market • 1st country in Emerging Asian Economies

Electronic Retail Savings Bond

• Lower Minimum Amount to Purchase / Offer throughout the year • Develop the retail bond into an electronic form  Scripless System • Can be purchased via ATM, in addition of Bank Retail Branches

Amortized Bond

• Suitable financing instrument for the government’s investment mega-project in the form of PPP • Pay back the bond principal by installments  Promote the government’s fiscal discipline

FY 2012-2014

FY 2011

FY 2007-10

30-yr Benchmark Bond

Bond Switching & Consolidation

• Allow both issuer and investors to improve their portfolio • Larger outstanding size + Less bond series  Enhance liquidity in the secondary market

PDDF Activated

Upgrade PD Privileges

(Public Debt Restructuring and Domestic Bond Market Development Fund)

15-yr ILB

CGIF Activated

Baht Bond

(Credit Guarantee and Investment Facility)

Equilibrium of Domestic Bond Market Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Issuers

• 77 percent of Thailand’s debt securities are issued by Government, Bank of Thailand and State-Owned Enterprises

Credit Rating

• 97 percent of Thailand’s debt securities are classified as Investment Grade

Investors

• Thailand’s government debt securities are held by a wide group of investor types

Domestic Bond Market (Classified by Issuers)

Domestic Bond Market (Classified by Credit Rating) Non-rated BBB 4% 2%

Baht Bond

CGIF 0.03%

1% A

Corp Bond

8%

22%

AA 4%

Government

Government

38%

SOEs

8%

Government Debt Securities (Classified by Types of Investors)

38% SOEs 8%

BOT

BOT

31%

31%

Total of 9.2 THB Trillion

Source : ThaiBMA (End of June 2014)

Total of 9.2 THB Trillion

Source : ThaiBMA (End of June 2014)

NR 17% 16 Household and Non-profit

BOT BOT 66%% Insurance and Other Corporation

36% 39

8% Depository Depository Corporation Corporation

3133 % % Total of 3.3 THB Trillion

Source : BOT (End of May 2014)

25

FY2008-FY2013 Key Success Indicators

1. 1. Trading Volume 2. Turnover Ratio 3. 3. Demand Concentration 4. Auction Price Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Benchmark Bond 5 yrs and Below : Highest secondary trading volume in every year Unit: % Share of Market Trading Volume

5-yr Benchmark Bondâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;s Higher Turnover Ratio : Even the higher outstanding size, turnover ratio is still more than 2 times Unit: Times

LB155A LB133A

9

29%

28%

27% 20%

LB145B

20%

7%

1.5

4.2

2.8

2.4

LB196A

2.9

Top 10 GOVT Bond Series : Accounted for 90% of all GOVT bond trading volume in secondary market

Well-Developed Benchmark Bond Pays Off : Even with greater size of issuance, the cost of funding is still at market rate

Unit: % Share of Secondary Trading Volume

Unit: USD Bil. +0.9 bps

90% 90%

+3.2 bps

84% 75%

76%

77%

80%

+1.4 bps +1.2 bps

14.7

12.8

16.5

15.9

13.7

7.5 -0.4 bps

To be Updated

26

LB15DA

3.1

LB133A

21%

4.2

LB176A

-0.2 bps

Tier 1 > 100,000 THB Mil. in Size (90% of Trading Volume)

(3,008,XXX THB Mil.)

Tier 2 > 50,000 THB Mil. in Size

(End of June 2014)

(8% of Trading Volume)

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Tier 1: >100,000MB

THB Mil.

FY2014 Q3 Market Share of Trading Volume in Secondary Market Tier 2 Tier 1

(8 Series)

300,000

5

Outstanding size (THB Mil.)

250,000

90% 0

9%

50

1%

100

200,000

10

Tier 2: 50,000 – 100,000MB 0% (15 Series)

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

150,000

50

LBA 25

100,000 100,000

15

ILB 15

50,000

LB267A LB24DA LB191A LB14DA LB175A LB25DA LB316A LB171A LB214A LB19DA LB157A LB446A LB446A LB244A LB22NA LB183A LB406A LB396A LB383A

LB416A LBA37DA LBA37DA LB183B LB296A LB296A LB17OA LB27DA ILB283A ILB283A LB193A LB213A LB326A LB283A LB16NA LB198A LB167A LB233A

LB196A LB196A LB176A LB21DA LB236A LB236A LB155A LB15DA LB616A LB616A ILB217A

0

30

FY 2014 on-the-run Benchmark Bond FY 2014 on-the-run Innovative Bond

Source : ThaiBMA

Well-Distributed Bond Maturity Profile

The outstanding size of loan bond maturing in the next 5 years is 1,334,978 THB Mil. (44% of Total GOVT Bond)

(End of June 2014)

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

THB Mil. 300,000

Current Outstanding Current Outstanding Current Outstanding

5

≥ THB 100 Bil. = THB 50-100 Bil. ≤ THB 50 Bil.

FY 2014 on-the-run Benchmark Bond FY 2014 on-the-run Innovative Bond

250,000

200,000

10 150,000

50

LBA 100,000 100,000

ILB 15

25

15 50,000

30

1 Source : ThaiBMA

2

3

4

5

6 – 10 years

LB616A LB616A

LB244A LB24DA LB25DA LB267A LB27DA ILB283A ILB283A LB283A LB296A LB316A LB326A LBA37DA LB383A LB396A LB406A LB416A LB446A

LB196A LB198A LB19DA LB213A LB214A ILB217A LB21DA LB22NA LB233A LB236A

TTM LB14DA LB155A LB157A LB15DA LB167A LB16NA LB171A LB175A LB176A LB17OA LB183A LB183B LB191A LB193A LB196A

LB21DA LB176A

Total GOVT Bond = 43 Series

11 – 50 years

27

FY 2014

756,xxx THB Mil.

Total Fund Raising Plan Announced in September 2013

New Borrowing

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Savings Bond and Others

Deficit

170,124

610,124

250,000

THB Mil.

Benchmark Bond Roll Over

440,000 Rollover

Loan Bond : 5-10-15-30–50-yrs Inflation-Linked Bond : ILB 15-yrs Amortized Bond : LBA 25-yrs

360,124

By Bills

By Instruments

Keep our word… to get investors confidence for the plan Unit : Million Baht Lower-than-expected disbursement of Water Decree

Lower-than-expected disbursement of Water Decree

Economic Recovery

756,xxx MB Higher-than-expected revenue collection

Stimulus package to ease: US financial crisis

A -6% 0%

+5%

-3%

70%

+2%

Plan Actual

(as of Jun,14)

Plan Actual

Plan Actual

Plan Actual

Plan: Actual:

Announced Government’s funding need at PDMO’s Annual Market Dialogues in September Actual fund raising at the end of fiscal year (calculated from announced auction)

--------------

The difference between ‘’the announced’’ and ‘’the actual’’ supply of benchmark bond (% share)

Plan

Actual

Plan Actual

Benchmark Instruments are Benchmark Bonds : Standard Loan Bond (LB) tenors 5-10-15-30-50yr (in FY 2014) + Innovative Products : Inflation-linked Bond (ILB) + Amortized Bond (LBA) Regular issuance/ Consultation with PDs/ Pre-announced auction table

Other Instruments : Saving Bond, Floating Rate Bond, Promissory Notes, Bills and Bank Loan

28

FY 2014 Government Bond Auction Result

GOVT Bond Auction is decoupled from political situation

Classified by Quarterly Auction Schedule

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance

red

13

Short-term Benchmark Bond (<10 yrs) Long-term Benchmark Bond (>10 yrs) Inflation-linked Bond Amortized Bond Participated Amount (Excess Demand) Not Fully Allocated or Subscribed Spread [AAY - Yield (T-1)]

Million Baht

PM Dismissal

Dissolution of the parliament 9th December 2013

7th May 2014

Q1

Q2

Basis Points

Q3 22sd May 2014 Coup d‘Etat

T-1= 0 LB5y

LB15y LB50y LB10y LB30y ILB15y LB5y LB50y LBA25y

LB15y LB10y LB30y ILB15y LB15y LB5y LB50y LBA25y LB10y LB30y

FY 2014 GOVT Bond Auction Results Classified by Tenor

A B

LB5y ILB15y LB15y LB50y LBA25y LB30y LB10y LB5y LB50y

Most of Benchmark Bond : Fully Allocated 30-to-50-yr Benchmark Bond : Avg.Accepted LOWER than Market Price Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance

Million Baht

Benchmark Bond 5 – 10yr

25,000

10yr

5yr

Bps

Benchmark Bond 15 – 50yr

15yr

30yr

15.0

50yr

(Exclusivity)

A Fully Allocated

12,500

7.5 309

3.9

3,466

3.2

2.9

2.7 1.8

T-1=- 0

20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000

-2.4

-0.4 -1.2

13,000 12,000 16,000 16,000

-0.2

7,000 10,000 10,000 6,534

5,000

9,000

9,000

9,000

5,000

8,000

9,000

9,000

8,691

-2.2 -0.8

-3.7

B

0.0

-3.4

-6.1

-7.0 -7.8

-12,500

-8.9

-8.1

-8.3

-7.5

-9.6 -11.4

-15.0

-25,000

-15.0

29

Annual Capital Flow classified by GOVT & BOT Bond (2007 – 2014)

2014 (Jan – June) GOVT Bond & BOT Bond = -40,339 THB Mil.

THB Mil.

Non-resident Net Buy/Sell in BOT Bond Non-resident Net Buy/Sell in GOVT Bond

BOT GOV

-40,339 THB Mil.

BOT

GOVT

BOT Bond

0

+11,278 THB Mil. THB Mil. THB Mil.

GOVT Bond

-51,617 THB Mil. 2014 YTD (End of June, 2014)

End of June, 2014

2014 Capital Flow (Weekly accumulated) In GOVT Bond & BOT Bond

GOVT : -51,617 THB Mil. BOT : -11,278 THB Mil.

THB Mil.

T

BOT Bond -11,278 THB Mil.

0 GOVT Bond -51,617 THB Mil

.

2014 30

End of June, 2014

Peers Comparison

Non-Resident Holding in Thai GOVT Bond is 544,224 THB Mil. or 15.7% of Total GOVT Bond Outstanding Relatively “moderate” share of NR holding by region average

Percentage share of Non-resident Holding in Local Government Bond (Mar 2008 - Present)

Indonesia

32.5% Dec’ 14

Malaysia 29.4% Dec’ 13 Peak @ 19.1% (Apr’ 13)

Thailand

15.7%

As of 27th Jun’ 14

Korea 9.2% Dec’13

Japan 8.0% Dec’ 13

1.5% (27,474 THB Mil.)

2008

2009

2010

2012

2011

2013

2014

Source : AsianBondsOnline, ThaiBMA

2014

Outstanding

End of June, 2014

Non-Resident Holding in THB Bond = 667,023 THB Mil. (7.2% of Thai Bond Market Capitalization)

(% share of Bond Market)

Thai Bond Market Cap. = 9,231,107

THB Mil.

Baht Bond (Foreign Issuers Bond)

1%

(For Asian Bond 0.03% CGIF Market Initiative)

GOVT Bond GOVT Bond

574,063 544,224

BOT Bond Bond BOT

118,177 122,065

SOE Bond Bond SOE

00

734 666

6.24% 5.9% 1.390% 1.28% 1.3% 1.28 0.00% 0.0% 0.01 0.0% 0.01%

667,023

7.53% 7.2%

Corp Bond Corp Bond

Corp Bond

22%

TOTAL TOTAL

692,906

GOVT Bond Outstanding SOEs Bond

3,472,670

8%

31%

BOT Bond Outstanding 2,824,108

THB Mil.

Non-Resident 544,224 THB Mil.

BOT Bond

% of Thai Thai Bond Bond Market Market Cap. % Share of (9,202,573THB THBMillion) Million) (9,231,107

Non-Res i dent Hol di ng Non-Resident Holding (THB Mi l l i on) (THB Million)

Issuer Issuer

Classified by Issuer (End of June 2014)

THB Mil.

Non-Resident 122,065 THB Mil. %

%

2,824,108 THB Mil.

GOVT Bond

38%

3,472,670 THB Mil.

Domestic Investors 2,928,446 THB Mil.

84.3

%

Domestic Investors 2,702,043 THB Mil.

95.7

%

th June, End As of of 6June, 2014 2014

31

Mission

Transparency, Discipline, Trustworthiness, Driving Social and Economic Development

Values

Professional in public debt management for sustainable development

Vision

Pro-active Debt Management

Develop Domestic Bond Market to be a Sustainable Source of Funding for the Stability of Thailandâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;s Financial System

Foster Strong and Effective Organization

3 PDMOâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;s Strategies

Formulate sound public debt management policies and strategies as well as conduct, monitor and evaluate public debt management operations under the relevant legal framework and guidelines

Source: Public Sector Development Group, PDMO

32

Teeralak Sangsnit

Executive Director

Wisut Chanmanee

Executive Director

Kittiya Chaithep

Economist

Kasirat Suwanpen

Phimonphan Tanwattana

Economist

Nattakarn Boonsri, Director

Acting Executive Director

Pimpen Ladpli

Bond Market Development Bureau

Chakrit Phothisuk

Economist

Wanthanee Phongam

Economist

Fund Management and Bond Market Infrastructure Development Division Paroche Hutachareon, Acting Director

Pimpen Ladpli, Senior Expert

Government Bond Market Development Division

Economist

Executive Director

Policy and Planning Bureau Executive Director

Chotika Uesampantakit

Economist

Laksika Tengpratip

Fiscal Analyst

Puttipong Kanna

Economist

International Bond Market Policy Division Nakarin Prompat, Acting Director

Jindarat Viriyataveekul

Executive Director

Water Management Project Financing Bureau

Theeraj Athanavanich

Public Infrastructure Project Financing Bureau

Ace Viboolcharern

Deputy Director General

Chularat Suteethorn

Director General

Deputy Director General

Bond Market Development

Debt Management Bureau 2

Suwit Rojanavanich

Bond Market Advisor

Debt Management Bureau 1

33

Front Office Middle Office Back Office Support Office

Secretary

Sirasa Kanpittaya

Office of the Secretary

Chanikarn Chaiyasena

Economist

Kasirat Suwanpen

Economist

Phothirat Kitsriopak

Economist

Sophida Sritomya, Director

Financial Product Development Division

Executive Director

Payment Administration Bureau

Information Technology Center

Legal Advisory Group

Public Sector Development Group

Internal Audit Group

Thavee Aisoonpisarnsiri

Acting Public Debt Advisor

Chularat Suteethorn Director-General, Public Debt Management Office Suwit Rojanavanich Bond Market Advisor

Bond Market Development Bureau, Public Debt Management Office Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

For Further Information : Pimpen Ladpli

+66 2271 7999 ext. 5888

pimpen@pdmo.go.th

Senior Expert on Bond Market Development Acting Executive Director of Bond Market Development Bureau

Nattakarn Boonsri

+66 2271 7999 ext. 5803

nattakarn@pdmo.go.th

Director of Government Bond Market Development Division

Sophida Sritomya

+66 2271 7999 ext. 5804

sophida@pdmo.go.th

Director of Financial Product Development Division

Paroche Hutachareon

+66 2271 7999 ext. 5820

paroche@pdmo.go.th

Acting Director of Fund Management and Bond Market Infrastructure Development Division

Nakarin Prompat

+66 2271 7999 ext. 5812

Acting Director of International Bond Market Policy Division

ŕš&#x2021; ŕ¸&#x2019;

nakarin@pdmo.go.th