Gilbert Sun News Real Estate - 2.20.2022

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REAL ESTATE

GILBERT SUN NEWS | FEBRUARY 20, 2022

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What makes sense in this crazy real estate market BY MINDY JONES GSN Columnist

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ou can’t stop into a coffee shop, settle into the reclining chairs at the movies, or pick up fresh produce at the farmers market without overhearing a conversation about real estate in Arizona: How expensive houses are, how hard it is to find one, how interest rates are rising and speculation about when it will all come crashing down. Contrary to the universal law of gravitation, not everything that goes up must come down – which is likely going to be

a disappointing revelation to those who have spent the 18 months waiting for prices to start falling like Newton’s apple from the proverbial real estate tree. In fact, in that time period, not only have housing prices gone up on average of 38% but interest rates have increased by 28%. That made the housing market in Arizona about 20% less affordable in that same time period according to the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index. And yet, in that same time period Arizona home owners have accumulated more equity in their homes than their domestic peers topping the S&P/ Case-Shiller Home Price Index, making it one of the most profitable real estate markets in history.

So, what gives? Is it a good time to buy or not? There’s a method in cognitive therapy, for those of us that geek out on personal development, that is roughly called facts and feelings. It includes the process of stating the facts, independent of the feelings, in an effort to control and clarify your response. This would be a good exercise for all of us to follow when discussing the real estate market because so much of our interpretation of the data is skewed by our own personal feelings about mon-

ey, our upbringing and relationship to generational wealth, and our lived experiences around particularly triggering events like a stock market crash, the housing bubble, or even the inflation hikes of the early 80s which determine our risk profile. What we know to be true about the real estate market is that supply is 75% below normal, demand is 19% above normal, the median sales price is up 2.5% over the last month alone, and re-

see MINDY page RE2

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