5 minute read

Referências

Next Article
Referências

Referências

20 Empr E go E m Cris E

pelo período de desemprego ou não-emprego; (b) do desemprego evitado permanentemente - ou seja, os trabalhadores desses programas que, de outra forma, teriam sido demitidos (direta ou indiretamente devido à falência / fechamento das empresas por falta de liquidez); e (c) o desemprego temporariamente evitado - isto é, os trabalhadores que têm apoio agora, mas que serão demitidos após o fim do período de apoio - ou mesmo antes disso, em caso de falência das empresas onde trabalham. Em termos de custos por trabalhador, esses programas fazem sentido para os governos, pois sem eles todos os trabalhadores dispensados teriam que receber o seguro-desemprego integralmente. Três escolhas principais ao implementar esses programas são o tamanho, a duração e a coordenação com os mecanismos de seguro-desemprego e assistência social já existentes. Esses programas servem para choques temporários de curta duração, mas não para crises prolongadas. À medida que a crise continua, surgem transigências importantes: o programa deve continuar a apoiar todos os trabalhadores ou apenas alguns? Se o programa for direcionado, como ele deve escolher quem apoiar e por quanto tempo? Em caso de períodos mais longos de não-emprego, o programa deve continuar a apoiar os empregos ou mudar o foco do apoio para os trabalhadores, caso seus empregos tenham sido eliminados? Essas decisões são difíceis e pode ser necessária uma combinação de instrumentos para evitar grandes aumentos na pobreza e no desemprego quando os programas de retenção de empregos são encerrados abruptamente.

Acemoglu, D., and P. Restrepo. 2017. “Secular

Stagnation? The Effect of Aging on Economic

Growth in the Age of Automation.” American

Economic Review 107 (5): 174–79. Arias-Vázquez, A., D. Lederman, and L. Venturi. 2019. “Transitions of Workers Displaced Due to Firm Closure.” Mimeo. Artuc, E., P. Bastos, and E. Lee. 2020. “Trade

Shocks, Labor Mobility, and Welfare: Evidence from Brazil.” Background paper written for this report. World Bank, Washington, DC. (See also annex 1A for additional details on this background paper.) Autor, D. H., D. Dorn, and G. H. Hanson. 2015.

“Untangling Trade and Technology: Evidence from Local Labour Markets.” Economic Journal 125 (584): 621–46. Autor, D. H., D. Dorn, G. H. Hanson, and

J. Song. 2014. “Trade Adjustment: Worker-

Level Evidence.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 129 (4): 1799–1860. Beylis, G., R. Fattal-Jaef, R. Sinha, M. Morris, and

A. Sebastian. 2020. Going Viral: COVID-19 and the Accelerated Transformation of

Jobs in Latin America and the Caribbean.

World Bank Latin American and Caribbean

Studies. Washington, DC: World Bank. Brambilla, I., D. Lederman, and G. Porto. 2012.

“Exports, Export Destinations, and Skills.”

American Economic Review 102 (7): 3406–38. Dauth, Wolfgang, S. Findeisen, and J. Suedekum. 2017. “Trade and Manufacturing Jobs in

Germany.” American Economic Review 107 (5): 337–42. De Ferranti, D., G. Perry, I. S. Gill, and L. Servén. 2000. Securing Our Future in a Global Economy. World Bank Latin American and Caribbean Studies. Washington, DC: World Bank. Diaz-Bonilla, C., L. Moreno Herrera, D. Sanchez

Castro. 2020. Projected 2020 Poverty Impacts of the COVID-19 Global Crisis in Latin America and the Caribbean. Washington, DC:

World Bank. Dix-Carneiro, R., and B. K. Kovak. 2017. “Trade

Liberalization and Regional Dynamics.” American Economic Review 107 (10): 2908–46. Dix-Carneiro, R., and B. K. Kovak. 2019. “Margins of Labor Market Adjustment to Trade.” Journal of International Economics 117: 125–42. Elsby, M. W., B. Hobijn, and A. Sahin. 2013.

“Unemployment Dynamics in the OECD.”

Review of Economics and Statistics 95 (2): 530–48. Fernald, J. G., R. E. Hall, J. H. Stock, and M. W.

Watson. 2017. “The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009.” Working Paper 23543,

National Bureau of Economic Research,

Cambridge, MA. Fernandes, A., and J. Silva. 2020. “Labor Market

Adjustment to External Shocks: Evidence for

Workers and Firms in Brazil and Ecuador.”

Background paper written for this report. World

Bank, Washington, DC. (See also annex 1A for additional details on this background paper.) Fieler, A. C., M. Eslava, and D. Y. Xu. 2018.

“Trade, Quality Upgrading, and Input Linkages: Theory and Evidence from Colombia.”

American Economic Review 108 (1): 109–46. Gerard, F., J. Naritomi, and J. Silva. 2020. “The

Effects of Cash Transfers on Formal Labor

Markets: Evidence from Brazil.” Background paper written for this report. World Bank,

Visão gE ral 21

Washington, DC. (See also annex 1A for additional details on this background paper.) Mion, G., R. Proenca, and J. Silva. 2020. “Trade,

Skills, and Productivity.” Mimeo. Moreira, S. 2018. “Firm Dynamics, Persistent

Effects of Entry Conditions, and Business

Cycles.” Mimeo. Moreno, L., and S. Sousa. 2020. “Early Employment Conditions and Labor Scarring in Latin

America.” Background paper written for this report. World Bank, Washington, DC. (See also annex 1A for additional details on this background paper.) Packard, T., U. Gentilini, M. Grosh, P. O’Keefe,

R. Palacios, D. Robalino, and I. Santos. 2019.

Protecting All: Risk Sharing for a Diverse and

Diversifying World of Work. Washington,

DC: World Bank. Packard, T., and J. Onishi. 2020. “Social Insurance and Labor Market Policies in Latin

America and the Margins of Adjustment to Shocks.” Background paper written for this report. World Bank, Washington, DC. (See also annex 1A for additional details on this background paper.) Ramey, V. 2012. “Comment on Fiscal Policy in a Depressed Economy.” Brookings Papers on

Economic Activity 2012 (1): 279–90. Ramey, V. A. 2019. “Ten Years after the Financial Crisis: What Have We Learned from the

Renaissance in Fiscal Research?” Journal of

Economic Perspectives 33 (2): 89–114. Regis, P., and J. Silva. 2020. “Employment

Dynamics: Timeline and Myths of Economic

Recovery.” Background paper written for this report. World Bank, Washington, DC.

(See also annex 1A for additional details on this background paper.) Robertson, R. 2020. “The Change in Nature of

Labor Market Adjustment in Latin America and the Caribbean.” Background paper written for this report. World Bank, Washington,

DC. (See also annex 1A for additional details on this background paper.) Shimer, R. 2005. “The Cyclical Behavior of Equilibrium Unemployment and Vacancies.” American Economic Review 95 (1): 25–49. Silva, J., and L. Sousa. 2020. “Job Creation and

Destruction in Small and Large Firms in Brazil and Ecuador.” Background paper written for this report. World Bank, Washington, DC. (See also annex 1A for additional details on this background paper.) Sousa, L. 2020. “Economic Shocks and Employment Adjustments in Latin America.” Background paper written for this report. World

Bank, Washington, DC. (See also annex 1A for additional details on this background paper.) Utar, H. 2018. “Workers beneath the Floodgates:

Low-Wage Import Competition and Workers’

Adjustment.” Review of Economics and

Statistics 100 (4): 631–47. Vijil, M., V. Amorin, M. Dutz, and P. Olinto. 2020. “The Distributional Effects of Trade

Policy in Brazil.” Background paper written for this report. World Bank, Washington, DC. (See also annex 1A for additional details on this background paper.) Vegh, C. A., and G. Vuletin. 2014. “The Road to Redemption: Policy Response to Crises in Latin America.” IMF Economic Review 62 (4): 526–68.

This article is from: