The Real Cost of Nitrogen Fertilizer Introduction China feeds 22% of the world’s population with only 7% of the world’s arable land – a seemingly remarkable feat, until one takes into account that China also uses 35% of the world’s fertilizers. Unfortunately, this comes with a heavy environmental toll: the country’s heavy dependence on fertilizers and pesticides is about to reach the limit of the agricultural system’s carrying capacity, thus posing a severe threat to farmers’ long-term livelihood as well as food security. It also worsens national problems such as the further deterioration of the rural environment, environmental pollution and the wasteful consumption of energy and resources. China urgently needs to transform its current agricultural production model towards an ecological one. The current 11th Five Year Plan contains many policies encouraging the development of the urea fertilizer industry. Yet at present, China already has a large surplus of urea fertilizer production. Not only is urea the main type of synthetic nitrogen fertilizer, nitrogen fertilizers also account for 80% of China’s total fertilizer production. The widespread use of synthetic nitrogen fertilizers has taken a severe toll on the environment, while also causing high economic costs. The overproduction and over-application of nitrogen fertilizers need to be urgently corrected by developing eco-agriculture, which can not only feed China’s population, but also protect the environment, save energy, and benefit farmers’ livelihood. 2010 is a key year for drafting the 12th Five Year Plan, the discussions for which are underway right now. Greenpeace has invited Professor Wen Tiejun and his team from the Renmin University’s School of Agriculture and Rural Area Development to present an analysis of China’s chemical fertilizer industry, nitrogen fertilizer use, its impacts, and sustainable alternatives. The report collects and analyzes data on the environmental and economic externalities of China’s nitrogen fertilizer industry and nitrogen use. It also summarizes the efficacy of organic substitutes for nitrogen fertilizer in ecological agriculture. The findings of the report, The Real Cost of Nitrogenous Fertilizer, are summarized below. It also includes Greenpeace’s policy suggestions for the 12th Five Year plan, with the goal of contributing to China’s sustainable agricultural development. Main Findings and Policy Suggestions Nitrogen Fertilizer Use: Boosting quantity while losing efficacy 1. China’s 1997 nitrogen fertilizer production was equal to demand; by 2007 it had an excess of nearly 10 million tons. In 1960, China used about 500,000 tons of nitrogen fertilizer; by 2005, the amount exploded by a factor of 55 to nearly 30 million tons. 2. In two chemical-intensive agriculture locations in northern China, the average use of nitrogen fertilizer is about 588kg/ha annually, 277kg of which is leached into the environment. 3. A study from 2003 found that, at the current application rate, rice and wheat are only able to absorb 30% to 41% of nitrogen fertilizers on average. For every kilogram of nitrogen fertilizer