Trends in culling of dairy cows and associated risk factors

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Trends in culling of dairy cows and associated risk factors

Background

Culling and replacing dairy cows have been influenced by changing agricultural policies in the Netherlands, leading to a significant increase in longevity as well as age at slaughter (figure).

Aim

To provide insight in longevity of dairy cows and risk factors for culling. Period 2016-2020 using census data.

Approach

1. Survival analysis on dairy cows traded, to quantify differences in survival between type of destination farm.

2. Conditional logistic regression model applied to a set of ~475.000 adult cows, to identify risk factors for slaughter.

o Data from ~5,000 randomly selected dairy farms

o Cows that were culled (cases) were matched to non-culled herd mates (controls). Matching on days in milk

o Relevance of risk factors expressed as population attributional fraction (PAF)

Longevity and survival of dairy cows after off-farm movement

• Data on ~280,000 dairy cows that were traded for the 1st time at ≥2 years of age. Mean longevity of these cows was 5.7 years.

• Survival differed per type of destination:

Factors associated with slaughter (2018-2020)

Abortion OR 1.5 (PAF 1.3%)

Ketosis

OR 1.1 (PAF 0.4%)

Conclusion

SCC >250.000/ mL OR 1.9 (PAF 24.9%)

>3 inseminations OR 1.3 (PAF 2.4%)

Peak milk yield OR 0.94/kg (PAF 31%)

Low parity at >4 yr age OR 10.9 (PAF 27.1%)

Health problems are known to influence culling decisions. High SCC, reduced reproductive performance and probably other health problems (not included in the model) seem the most decisive factors in the choice to cull dairy cows. Indirect effects of diseases on culling are often expressed through reduced milk yield, leading to a high PAF.

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