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GROWTH AND RISING INFLATION
ECONOMY STILL BOOMING BUT HIGH INFLATION SPOILS GROWTH By Julito G. Rada
T
HE Philippine economy in 2018 is a story that can be summed up in a few words: Surging inflation is marring growth.
The gross domestic product expanded by a disappointing 6 percent in the second quarter from a revised 6.6 percent in the first three months of 2018. The second-quarter figure brought the first semester growth average to 6.3 percent, or below the lower limit of the target range of 7 percent to 8 percent for the year. Despite the setback, the economic managers of President Rodrigo Duterte remain optimistic the GDP growth target range this year is doable amid the external headwinds that may stifle expansion, like rising interest rates in advanced economies, increasing trade protectionism and the pesky inflation rate. The Department of Finance has shrugged off the sluggish 6-percent GDP expansion in the second quarter. It said “strong macroeconomic fundamentals backed by tax reforms and the ambitious P8.4-trillion ‘Build, Build, Build’ infrastructure projects would continue to boost economic growth as the competitiveness of the economy rises and more jobs are created.” The DoF said the fiscal space expanded by the implementation of the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion and tax administration enabled the government to boost investments and growth in the first semester. “In the first semester, the government outlays expanded by 42.4 percent in nominal terms, boosting GDP growth by almost a percentage point while government current expenditures rose by 26.6 percent, contributing incremental 1.16 percentage points to growth,” the DoF said. Economic Planning Secretary and National Economic and Development Authority director-general Ernesto Pernia attributed the slower-than-expected economic performance in the second quarter to higher inflation rate, trade imbalance, Turn to D2
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