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PVinternational C R O A T I A N
B U S I N E S S
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F I N A N C E
M O N T H L Y
April 2018, Year XI, No 279
CROATIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS
GDP at 2% as at end 2017 Throughout 2017 the economy recorded growth of 2.8%, slower than the 3.2% for 2016 and lower than anticipated by Ilijana Grgić
D
uring Q4 2017, the economy saw 2% growth at an annualised level, the lowest rate since Q2 2015, as a consequence of a mild slowing in personal consumption and of investment growth, according to preliminary GDP estimates provided by the Croatian Bureau of Statistics. “This is the 14th consecutive quarter of GDP growth, yet a slowing has been recorded compared with the previous quarter, when the economy strengthened by 3.3%; it is also the slowest growth since Q2 2015, of 1.9%”, noted the Director of the Croatian Bureau of Statistics, Marko Krištof. Throughout 2017, the economy saw growth of 2.8%, slower than the 3.2% seen
in 2016 and less than anticipated. According to seasonally adjusted data, during Q4 the GDP rose by 0.1% over the previous quarter, whilst when compared with Q4 2016, it rose by 2.2%.
SLOWER GROWTH COMPARED WITH EUROPEAN UNION The economy saw slower growth compared with the EU average quarter-onquarter, as during Q4 2017 the EU saw 0.6% growth. Also, Croatian GDP showed slower growth compared with the EU average of 2.6% at an annualised level. The largest positive contribution to GDP during Q4 2017 was an increase in household consumption expenditure of 3.4%
year-on-year, whereas during the previous quarter it was 3.7%. Domestic demand exerted a positive impact, as opposed to that from foreign demand, which was negative. Investment growth saw a sharp slowdown, to 1.7% year-on-year; during the previous quarter it was 3.4%. Exports of goods and services rose during Q4 2017 by 3.6% on an annualised level, with imports of goods and services up by 6%. Gross value added in Q4 2017 saw an increase of 1.3% in real terms in relation to the same quarter of the previous year. The greatest contribution to quarterly GDP growth in Q4 2017, was in wholesale and retail, and the largest decline of 5%, was seen in agricultural.
THE OVERALL CONTRIBUTION OF EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES TO GDP GROWTH WAS NEGATIVE
The overall contribution of exports of goods and services to GDP growth was negative The Croatian Chamber of Economy considers the slowing of GDP growth seen in 2017 as the result of a slowing in growth of gross investment, as well as in exports of services, and a higher than envisaged rise in imports. Furthermore, the opinion was expressed that
it was also due to the fact that other consumption components did not record higher levels of overall growth in order to maintain a higher growth rate. “Notwithstanding the fact that the increase in both domestic and foreign demand resulted in an increase in the
value of domestic production of goods and services, it also resulted in a large increase in the value of imports, with the overall contribution of exports of goods and services to GDP growth was negative”, as stated in the comment provided by the CCE.