Lincoln Flynn Hall | Market Report
Market Commentary
New Zealand’s housing market is now in a recovery phase, having moved through the bottom of the property cycle in late 2025. Following the post-peak decline in house prices, values are beginning to settle at more realistic levels. However, the recovery remains gradual, and with plenty of properties available, buyers continue to hold greater choice and negotiating power. The National-led Government has focused on reducing inflation, easing costof-living pressures, encouraging economic growth and addressing the underlying causes of New Zealand’s housing shortage. Its housing initiatives have included restoring interest deductibility for residential investment properties, returning the bright-line test to two years, reforming the Resource Management Act and introducing the “Going for Housing Growth” programme. This programme focuses on freeing up land for development, removing unnecessary planning barriers, improving infrastructure funding and giving councils stronger incentives to support housing growth. The long-term intention is to make it easier to build more homes, increase housing supply and gradually improve affordability. Despite this direction, the wider economy has faced renewed pressure during 2026. Annual inflation rose to 4.1% in the June quarter, partly reflecting higher fuel prices and household costs, while unemployment reached 5.6%. These conditions have kept household confidence cautious as families continue balancing mortgage repayments with elevated everyday expenses. In response to renewed inflationary pressure, the Reserve Bank increased the Official Cash Rate from 2.50% to 2.75% in September. The OCR is independently set by the Reserve Bank as part of its responsibility to return inflation to the 1–3% target range over the medium term. Mortgage rates have also moved higher compared with their lowest levels last year. Selected major banks are currently advertising a one-year special fixed home-loan rate of approximately 4.99%, subject to lending criteria and equity requirements. This has created another affordability consideration for buyers and homeowners approaching a mortgage refix.
Although affordability remains challenging, the relationship between household incomes and house prices has improved from the extremes reached during the 2021 peak. House prices have corrected, incomes have gradually risen and buyers are placing greater emphasis on genuine value. A rapid return to peak-level prices should not be assumed. Instead, the market appears to be moving towards a healthier period of realistic pricing and more sustainable long-term growth. Lincoln remains an attractive option for buyers due to its schools, modern housing, family-friendly environment, community facilities and proximity to Christchurch. However, Lincoln is not immune to the wider economic environment. Buyers are carefully comparing properties and are less willing to compete aggressively for homes they consider overpriced. Lincoln’s long-term performance continues to demonstrate resilience. The current median sale price is $910,000—just 1% below the $919,000 recorded one year ago. However, it remains 5% higher than the $870,000 median three years ago and 33% above the $685,000 recorded five years ago. While short-term prices have fluctuated as the market adjusts, the longer-term trend demonstrates Lincoln’s sustained growth and enduring appeal to buyers. Buyers now have access to more information, greater choice and more time to compare homes. Properties supported by accurate pricing, quality presentation and effective marketing can still attract strong interest. Those launched with inflated expectations risk spending longer on the market and losing their initial momentum. Looking ahead, we expect Lincoln’s recovery to remain gradual rather than dramatic.Lincoln’s longer-term performance provides a solid foundation for healthier and more sustainable future growth. If you’re considering selling, buying or simply want to understand what these changing conditions mean for your property, I would be happy to help. As your Lincoln area specialist, I can provide honest local advice and a clear strategy for your next move. Warm regards, Flynn Hall -Najib Real Estate
A little about Flynn Hall The first thing you’ll notice when you meet Flynn is his positive energy, genuine personality, and passion for helping people. Family is incredibly important to Flynn. He loves spending time with his fiancé Christy and their kitten, Piper. In December, Flynn and Christy made the move out to Kaiapoi, with the goal of making it their long-term home. Flynn comes from a successful sales background, having found success across a variety of roles, including as a Sales Consultant and Supervisor. Through these experiences, he developed a strong understanding of people, communication, negotiation, and what it takes to achieve great results. He chose to pursue a career in Real Estate because he wanted to steer his own ship, build something of his own, and have a lasting impact on the people he works with. Flynn believes the Real Estate industry has a real need for positivity, genuine care, and agents who are truly invested in their clients. He plans to be that type of agent. Flynn brings energy, determination, and a strong work ethic to everything he does. Whether it’s prospecting, negotiating, meeting with clients, or working through the details of a sale, he is committed to giving his clients the best experience possible. Outside of Real Estate, Flynn enjoys spending time with his fiancé Christy, family and friends, exploring Kaiapoi and the surrounding areas, and making the most of life with Piper. For Flynn, Real Estate isn’t just about buying and selling houses - it’s about building relationships, creating great experiences, and making a genuine difference for the people he works with.
Lincoln Breakdown in the last 6 months Residential Sales March 2026 - August 2026
$910,000
37
Median Selling Price
Average Days on the Market
153
$2,800,000
Properties Changed Hands
Highest Selling Price
Data Source: REINZ
Top 10 Residential Sales in Lincoln Last six months Address
Bedrooms
Sales Date
Land size (m2)
Price
57 Verdeco Boulevard
4
11 May 2026
3,360m²
$1,560,000
7 Veuve Drive
3
24 Apr 2026
1,034m²
$1,630,000
4 Carnaveron Drive
4
15 May 2026
925m²
$1,750,000
9 Ryelands Drive
4
22 Apr 2026
1,033m²
$1,885,000
5 Benashet Drive
4
16 Apr 2026
954m²
$1,900,000
42 Grangewood Drive
5
2 Jul 2026
2,333m²
$1,975,000
22 Liffeyfields Drive
4
26 Mar 2026
2,321m²
$2,085,000
1 Burnett Lane
5
14 Aug 2026
3,598m²
$2,350,000
117 Verdeco Boulevard
4
14 Apr 2026
3,296m²
$2,550,000
6 Hull Crescent
4
26 Aug 2026
1,066m²
$2,800,000
Lincoln Monthly Median House Sale Price
Lincoln Number of Houses Sold Monthly
Data Source REINZ March 2013 - Aug 2026
4
2
2
100 Tauhinu Avenue, Lincoln Sold by Flynn Hall for $1,010,000
Very pleasant young man to deal with Flynn kept me informed about the interest in my house. I wasn't sure I would get my price for the property just because they put a figure on Facebook and I wanted more. However, Flynn assured me that he would get the amount I was happy with, and he delivered. Thank you.
If you’re looking to sell your house, choose Flynn, trust Flynn he knows what he’s doing!
Ann (Vendor)
Great result
Friendly, easy to work with and accommodating
I’ve sold a number of houses and this was by far the best sales process to date. I put this down to Flynn’s great communication and his willingness to go the extra mile for his clients. I can attest that he worked very hard for us and the end result was a quick sale at a very good price. The result exceeded our expectations. I would highly recommend Flynn to any sellers who want a great result and, along the way, to deal with a great human being.
Flynn was a great agent. He was very professional and had a very calming demeanour. He was prompt with communication and was able to meet our expectations. Flynn was an absolute pleasure to deal with.
Prompt easy sale
Great experience and result!
Very professional, highly motivated team - know what they are talking about and understand what they are doing. Great communication, so it was as easy an experience for us as selling one’s family home can be.
A big thank you for making our first house sale experience such a good one! We appreciated the genuine and helpful communication, your market knowledge and we noticed all the extra touches - from good lucks to gifts to celebrations and check ins when we needed it - you really have people at the forefront of your business which makes all the difference. And of course, a great result too! Thoroughly recommend, thank you!
Lifestyle Property Sales in Lincoln March 2026 - August 2026 Address
Bedrooms
Sales Date
Land size (m2)
0 Hudsons Road
—
27 August 2026
40,800m²
$650,000
288 Barnes Road
2
14 April 2026
46,100m²
$1,075,000
274 Goodericks Road
3
31 July 2026
84,300m²
$1,175,000
79 Dalys Road
3
4 March 2026
39,200m²
$1,200,000
77 Davis Road
—
18 May 2026
40,000m²
$1,300,000
467C Ellesmere Road
4
21 May 2026
43,900m²
$1,410,000
769 Tancreds Road
4
12 March 2026
45,300m²
$1,600,000
797 Ellesmere Road
4
28 August 2026
58,100m²
$1,994,000
247 Collins Road
4
7 April 2026
102,900m²
$2,300,000
Price
Lincoln House Sales
Lincoln Annual Sales Data Residential House and Section Sales
Year
Number of House Sales
Median House Sale Price
% Change
Median Days to Sell (Residential Houses)
Number of Section Sales
Median Section Sale Price
% Change
2013
62
$560,000
+7.69%
35
18
$790,000
+23.15%
2014
96
$585,000
+4.46%
32
22
$760,000
−3.80%
2015
89
$600,000
+2.56%
42
18
$892,000
+17.37%
2016
135
$620,000
+3.33%
40
22
$1,020,000
+14.35%
2017
105
$623,000
+0.48%
44
19
$798,000
−21.76%
2018
142
$610,000
−2.09%
45
18
$670,000
−16.04%
2019
142
$610,000
0.00%
48
21
$940,000
+40.30%
2020
213
$640,000
+4.92%
38
34
$910,000
−3.19%
2021
207
$805,000
+25.78%
29
13
$1,090,000
+19.78%
2022
168
$935,000
+16.15%
36
20
$1,820,000
+66.97%
2023
224
$870,000
−6.95%
43
13
$1,310,000
−28.02%
2024
232
$910,000
+4.60%
42
17
$1,650,000
+25.95%
2025
297
$910,000
0.00%
33
20
$1,580,000
−4.24%
Start with a strategy, end with a sale.
When you work with Najib, the difference is clear. We don’t just list homes—we tell their story. Unlike others, we don’t outsource your property’s marketing. Instead, we’ve built an in-house team of creatives and a dedicated Sales Concierge to manage every detail of your campaign from start to finish. Why? Because your agent should be doing what they do best: negotiating, guiding, and ultimately finding you the right buyer—not just the first. This isn’t just a better way of doing real estate. It’s a smarter, more focused service designed entirely around getting you the best result. Once you experience it, you’ll see why our clients don’t just recommend us—they rave about us.
Najib Property Management
We manage properties all across Christchurch and Selwyn, providing the highest level of service to our landlords and tenants. We know that the key to a successful investment is having great tenants who look after the property to a high standard and pay their rent on time. Our passionate and proactive team focus on achieving optimum results. Najib prides itself on reading the market's ebbs and flows to ensure your property always attracts its maximum rental value, with minimal vacancy times. With our finely-tuned documentation processes and a sound understanding of legislation front of mind, we leave fewer things for you to worry about. This brings you one step closer to securing a profitable future with a steady investment return. If you would like to find out more about property management with Najib, please take a moment to touch base. Get 3 Months Free Management: bit.ly/property-managment-christchurch
Najib Sales Team
Nathan Najib
Flynn Hall
Lauren Millar
Nashi Dasgupta
Santiago Laudadio
West Melton Specialist
Lincoln Specialist
Sales Support Team Leader
Marketing Manager
Senior Videographer
m 027 514 0775 @ nathan@najibre.co.nz
m 022 301 7263 @ flynnhall@najibre.co.nz
m 03 326 7914 @ laurenmillar@najibre.co.nz
m 022 693 4743 @ hello@najibre.co.nz
m 03 326 7914 @ santiagolaudadio@najibre.co.nz
At Najib, the clients always comes first. They are dependent on us. We are dependent on them. They are not an interruption to our work. They are the purpose of it. They are not an outsider of our business. They are part of it. We are not doing them a favour by serving them. They are doing us a favour by giving us the opportunity to do so. We would love to thank all our clients and customers for being a part of Najib Real Estate, and for the wonderful reviews you have provided.
4.9/5
168 reviews
5/5
56 reviews
Real Advice Nathan Najib
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Sha Jega Specialising in Lincoln m 027 375 3670 @ shajega@najibre.co.nz 116 Peterborough Street Christchurch Central 8013 najibrealestate.co.nz Licensed REAA 2008