NG gross borrowings up 5.3% to ₧656.7B in Q1 By Bernadette D. Nicolas
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HE national government’s gross borrowings rose by 5.31 percent to P656.718 billion in the first quarter of the year as the state borrowed more from both domestic and foreign sources. This was up by P33.12 billion from P623.598 billion in gross borrowings recorded from January to March last year. Of the P656.718-billion gross borrowings for the period, the bulk or 77.66 percent went to domestic borrowings pegged at P510.032 billion, while the remaining 22.34 percent went to foreign borrowings at P146.686 billion. Year-on-year, domestic borrowings for the first three months of the year climbed by 3.96 percent from P490.615 billion in the same period in 2019. Meanwhile, foreign borrowings this year jumped by 10.3 percent from last year’s P132.983 billion Broken down, the domestic borrowings for the first quarter of this year comprised retail treasury
BICYCLE riders use a temporary bike lane set up by the Metropolitan Manila Development Authority on Edsa, northbound from White Plains to Boni Serrano. The trial run came on the heels of the easing of quarantine rules, and with the growing popularity of biking as an alternative to public transport. ROY DOMINGO
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bonds (P310.766 billion), fixed-rate treasury bonds (P128.789 billion) and treasury bills (P70.477 billion). In terms of external borrowings, program loans amounted to P72.721 billion, euro bonds were at P67.329 billion and project loans, P6.636 billion. The government borrows to meet its spending requirements and to finance its budget deficit. For March alone, gross borrowings settled at P72.151 billion, a 77.06-percent drop from P314.467 billion recorded in the same month last year. Gross borrowings for the month fell as the government borrowed less from both domestic and foreign sources at P63.104 billion and P9.047 billion, respectively. In March 2019, the government borrowed P298 billion locally and P16.467 billion externally. In a separate report from the Bureau of the Treasury, the total outstanding debt of the national government surged P8.177 trillion as of end of first quarter this year, up by 4.8 percent from P7.802 trillion. Year-to-date, the outstanding debt of the government has increased by 5.8 percent or P446.125
billion from the end-2019 level of P7.731 trillion. Of the total debt stock, 67 percent are domestic debt, while 33 percent were sourced externally. Domestic debt reached P5.513 trillion as of end-March, growing by 6.1 percent from P5.197 trillion a year ago. On the other hand, government offshore debt for the period expanded by 2.3 percent year-onyear to P2.665 trillion from P2.605 trillion in 2019. For this year, the government earlier set a P1.4-trillion borrowing program. However, the Cabinet-level Development Budget Coordination Committee said this month it expects this year’s budget deficit to widen to P1.56 trillion or 8.1 percent of GDP on the back of a decline in revenues and increased disbursements due to the Covid-19 pandemic. This is 2.8 percentage points higher than its earlier estimate of 5.3 percent of GDP announced in March. Likewise, the government also projects a high fiscal deficit for 2021 at P1.27 trillion or 6 percent of GDP and P1.18 trillion or 5 percent of GDP in 2022.
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5% TARIFF HIKE TO RAISE P245B, BUT RISKS STUDIED www.businessmirror.com.ph
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Tuesday, May 26, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 229
SOME of the thousands of repatriated overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) under Covid-19 quarantine, many for periods far beyond the mandatory 14 days, are seen at Naia Terminal 2 on Monday before the final leg of their homecoming, on government-funded sweeper flights. Upon instructions of President Duterte, a composite team from the Philippine Coast Guard and the Overseas Workers Welfare Administration will arrange this week the journey of OFWs to their home provinces. Related stories on A8. NONIE REYES
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By Elijah Felice Rosales
HE government is assessing the need to implement a 5-percent increase in tariffs on all products to raise P245 billion immediately for the efforts to fight Covid-19.
Trade Undersecretary Ceferino S. Rodolfo told reporters that the government is studying the option of imposing an additional 5-percent duty on all imports to generate funds for crisis response. He explained that an across-theboard tariff increase is the reasonable way to go than targeting certain products, which could entail allegations of protectionism from trading partners. Estimates from Rodolfo’s office showed that the government will earn P245 billion if it chooses to place a 5-percent tariff on all products based on 2016 to 2018 rates. “At this point, we need resources to fight Covid-19, [and] I know there are a lot of concerns about that 5-percent proposal,” Rodolfo said. “But we told the DOF
[Department of Finance] to just inform us if we need to impose the additional tariff.” He added, “DOF officials asked to give them one month to implement it if necessary.” State officials are assessing how such move would impact international agreements, and how the additional tariff on specific products, particularly essentials, would impact on inflation. However, Rodolfo said there should be little concern on the treaties with trading partners, as the proposed action would affect all imports and not just specific goods. Further, he argued that many economies are implementing protectionist measures as well to protect their own industries and peoples. He cited Vietnam, which
RODOLFO: “We are just giving the measure due diligence because we were told it’s not yet needed for now. We are still assessing it seriously just in case we have to pull the trigger.”
enforced a temporary export ban on rice to ensure its food security during the crisis. “We are just giving the measure due diligence because we were told it’s not yet needed for now. We are still assessing it seriously just in case we have to pull the trigger,” the trade official said.
Risk of pass-on costs
THE plan, however, does not sit well with experts and business leaders, as they fear that the cost of additional tariff would only be passed on by importers to consumers. Maria Ella C. Oplas, economics professor at the De La Salle University, told the BusinessMirror that many industries rely on inputs from abroad for their production. As such, she said it is ill-timed to add a burden to them, especially that they are just starting to resume operations.
If at all, Oplas said the government could give out tax cuts for everyone in order to cushion some of the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic. “The government should even give tax holidays for all just to alleviate the circumstances that we are in right now, so that we have more buying capacity and freedom to choose what we buy. No to new taxes, relax collection and no to raising tariff,” Oplas said. On the other hand, Philippine Exporters Confederation Inc. President Sergio R. Ortiz-Luis Jr. described as disastrous the prospect of having all products hit by the tariff hike. Ortiz-Luis said the government should target only certain products and ensure that essential goods, such as food, are spared from any cost increase. Further, tariff rates for medical products needed in the fight against the virus should be maintained as well, if not lowered, he added. “It should be a no-brainer that food and medical products must be spared from any tariff hike given that we are in dire need of them right now,” the industry leader said.
‘Gradual reopening of biz to support stable peso’ By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad
T MAPA: “The Philippine peso has been a surprise outperformer in the region despite natural calamities, a pandemic and now free-falling GDP.”
HE Philippine economy slowly humming back to life amid easing lockdown guidelines could further provide support to the local tender, which has been stable despite the prolonged quarantine period. The peso, which has been trading within P50.26 to P50.90 levels since April, has been having strong trading amid the coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic,
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 50.5820
RCBC Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort told the BusinessMirror. However, he said, the peso can perform better with the “gradual reopening” of businesses to jumpstart the economy and investor appetite. “Gradual reopening of economies locally and worldwide could also support sentiment on the local financial markets including the peso, amid plans to scale down the lockdowns down to the barangay level, in able for broader business/
economic activities to resume further,” Ricafort explained. The Inter-Agency Task Force for the Management of Emerging Infectious Diseases (IATF) recently released new guidelines for community quarantine, allowing more businesses to resume full operations. The lockdown is currently categorized as enhanced community quarantine (ECQ), modified ECQ, general community quarantine (GCQ) and modified GCQ.
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REPORT: DON’T RELY TOO MUCH ON OFW ‘RESILIENCE’ THIS TIME By Cai U. Ordinario
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EMITTANCE-RECEIVING countries like the Philippines cannot rely on the resilience that inflows from overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) bring to the economy during the pandemic, according to a policy brief released by the Ateneo Center for Economic Research and Development (Acerd). The paper, titled “Overseas Remittances: Saving the ‘Resilient’ Owners of this Philippine Lifeline,” said lockdowns imposed on various host countries have reduced the financial capability of OFWs. It was written by Institute for Migration and Development Issues (IMDI) Executive Director Jeremaiah M. Opiniano and Acerd Director Alvin P. Ang. This has caused many OFWs to be laid off from their jobs and forced tens of thousands to go home to the Philippines; while others may have suffered pay cuts and are forced to ride out the current crisis where they are—mostly in countries and territories where economies are in recession and local businesses can barely support jobs. “The observation that overseas migrants can be resilient and can still send money during crisis situations may not hold water at this moment. Both migrants and their families back home are affected by these crises simultaneously,” Opiniano and Ang pointed out. The authors said that as of May 21, more than 26,000 OFWs have been repatriated and hosted by the Overseas Workers Welfare Administration (OWWA), and more than P380 million has been spent for their quarantine. Opiniano and Ang also said that based on government estimates, another 40,000 to as many as 50,000 OFWs would likely return to the Philippines by June. To prevent more workers from going home, Opiniano and Ang said Philippine embassies worldwide should negotiate with host governments to retrain and reskill OFWs, which will still be needed after the pandemic. They added that the embassies should also negotiate for reduced salaries. This would be a better option than laying off these workers since they will still need the manpower to recover from the pandemic. “The government should call on sending countries and approach the International Labour Organization (ILO) and the International Organization for Migration (IOM) to work on a global arrangement to help manage the situations of migrant workers,” Opiniano and Ang said. “These events are not challenges that are unique to the Philippines.” See “OFWs,” A2
Continued on A2
n JAPAN 0.4699 n UK 61.8365 n HK 6.5232 n CHINA 7.1076 n SINGAPORE 35.7041 n AUSTRALIA 33.1717 n EU 55.3822 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.4731
Source: BSP (May 22, 2020)