Businessmirror February 22, 2019

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‘Hot money’ inflows propped up peso–analyst By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM

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HE local currency has gained value against the dollar over the week, with the latest foreign-exchange trade values showing the peso trying to break the 51 territory on Thursday. Data from the Bankers Association of the Philippines showed that the local currency ended Thursday’s trade at P52.13 to a dollar. The total traded volume for the day was at about $1.2 billion. The peso opened the day at 51.98 to a dollar and tested the 51 band during the day. It reached a

DEPT. OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

2018 BANTOG DATA MEDIA AWARDS CHAMPION

Lowest GIR in years The country’s gross international reserves (GIR) hit its lowest in recent years in October, when it settled at $74.71 billion, due mainly to the local currency’s bouts of weaknesses. See “Peso,” A2

A broader look at today’s business

Basic goods pricier; weak peso, costly materials cited By Elijah Felice E. Rosales @alyasjah

HE retail prices of basic goods have gone up in February largely due to the surging cost of raw materials and the depreciation of the peso against the dollar, according to the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI). In the latest suggested retail price (SRP) list released by the DTI, about one in five basic goods have recorded higher prices in February. Trade Undersecretary Ruth B. Castelo said these were price adjustments implemented just now after several manufacturers held off increases during the holiday season. “Due to the three-month price hold-off that was implemented in the last quarter of 2018, no price increase was effected despite peak in inflation, oil-price hikes, peso devaluation and increase in the prices of raw materials in the world market,” Castelo said in a statement. “[The price hikes are] only this time when the DTI implemented SRP adjustments after thorough evaluation and consultation with the manufacturers of basic and prime goods,” she added. Out of the 242 basic necessities and prime commodities Continued on A8

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Friday, February 22, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 135

@ReaCuBM

HE national government reported a budget deficit of P558.26 billion for 2018, as its expenditures of P3.408 trillion outpaced its revenues pegged at P2.85 trillion. Based on documents obtained by reporters, the fiscal deficit recorded by the government last year was 59.23 percent higher than the 2017 deficit of P350.6 billion. The figure is also higher than the programmed deficit of P526.8 billion for 2018. The initial programmed nominal deficit for 2018 was P523.7 billion. Government revenues amounted

to P2.85 trillion, which is 15.38 percent higher than the 2017 record of P2.47 trillion. The figure is also higher than the target of P2.82 trillion for 2018. However, expenditures last year reached P3.408 trillion. The figure is 20.85 percent higher than the P2.82 trillion posted in 2017 and the P3.34 trillion programmed for 2018.

In December 2018, the Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) reported that the government ran a P39.1-billion budget deficit for November, widening the fiscal gap owing to strong growth in disbursement of 19 percent combined with a moderate increase in revenue collection of 7 percent. In January to November 2018, the BTr reported that the government’s fiscal deficit reached P477.2 billion, up by 96 percent from the P243.5 billion recorded in 2017.

Spending on infra, human capital

THE Department of Finance (DOF) said the widening of the fiscal gap was “not surprising,” given the government’s goal of rolling out more infrastructure projects under the “Build, Build, Build” (BBB) program

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RESIDENT Duterte is mulling over how to move forward with the country’s 29 deals with China, especially the countr y ’s agreement on energy cooperation in oil and gas development in the West Philippine Sea. He has asked Beijing to “give me a week” to study the matter. Chinese Ambassador Zhao

Jianhua and the President had a “productive conversation” late Wednesday on the memorandum of understanding (MOU) signed by both countries in November during Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit, Presidential Spokesman and Chief Presidential Legal Counsel Salvador S. Panelo told the B usiness M irror. Zhao’s courtesy call on Duterte in Malacañang lasted for about one hour and a half, Panelo said. See “China,” A8

See “Deficit,” A8

5 Manila Bay hotels get notices of violations By Ma. Stella F. Arnaldo

@akosistellaBM Special to the BusinessMirror

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GRAY BRIGHTENS THE DAY Miss Universe 2019 Catriona Gray waves to the crowd at Ayala Avenue in Makati City during her homecoming parade that wound through three cities on Thursday (February 21), drawing thousands of well-wishers who enthusiastically lined the streets, filled pedestrian overpasses and climbed public structures that gave them a vantage view of the beauty queen. NONIE REYES

New SSS law adds 13 years to pension fund’s life HE signing into law of the Social Security Act of 2018 will increase the life of the pension fund by 13 years to 2045 from 2032, the Social Security System (SSS) has reported. President Duterte earlier in the week signed Republic Act (R A) 11199 providing for the new SSS. SSS President and CEO Emmanuel F. Dooc said the fund’s extension until 2045 is projected on the back of the implementation of the

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’18 fiscal deficit hits ₧558.26B China prods PHL on WPS T joint energy exploration By Rea Cu

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Stock Exchange and the local bond market see a good start to the year,” Mapa said. Mapa further said the appreciation trend the country is seeing is largely beneficial to the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), as it will help the country’s monetary authority rebuild its international reserves portfolio this year.

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low of 51.97 and a high of 52.145 to a dollar. The direction of the peso is toward an appreciation trend from the 52.23 to a dollar average in the previous month and from the 54 to a dollar average just about four months ago. ING Bank Manila economist Nicholas Mapa said the peso enjoyed the appreciation pressure in the first few weeks of 2019, as portfolio flows helped lift the local currency. “Data collected by the BSP shows that roughly $800 million worth of portfolio investments [both bond and equity] have entered in 2019, helping the currency, the Philippine

contribution increase and adjustment in minimum and maximum salary credits (MSC) under the newly signed law. Under the law, the SSS will implement a gradual increase in monthly contributions by 1 percentage point starting on the year of implementation until it reaches 15 percent in 2025. The current monthly contribution rate is at 11 percent. Based on the SSS Actuarial and Risk Management Group’s

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 52.1090

study, there will be an additional P31 billion in contribution collections of the pension fund in 2019 if the 12-percent contribution rate with adjustments in the minimum and maximum MSC will be implemented. According to the SSS, the fund life of the agency in 2016 was until 2042, which was slashed by 10 years when the P1,000 additional benefit for pensioners was implemented in 2017. SSS shelled out an extra P33.26

billion in 2017 for the implementation of the P1,000 additional benefit for more than 2.3 million qualified pensioners. “We would like to appeal to our members to see these reforms as additional savings and not as a burden for them. We would like to ensure that the SSS would have enough funds for their short-term and immediate financial needs during times of contingencies,” Dooc said. See “SSS,” A2

T least 10 percent of inspected hotels and other accommodations establishments around the Manila Bay area were found to have violated environmental regulations. Tourism Secretary Bernadette Romulo Puyat revealed this during a press conference on Monday, after she unveiled the reworked Philippines brand campaign anchored on the slogan, “It’s More Fun in the Philippines.” (See, “DOT unveils ‘refreshed’ PHL brand campaign,” in the BusinessMirror, February 19, 2019.) She disclosed that government teams have already inspected 50 hotels around the Manila Bay area. Of the 50, she said, “five have been given three months to comply.” She declined to reveal the names of the five hotels, only identifying “some” as part of large hotel chains, while “others aren’t. We would rather not announce their names because we gave t hem t hree months. If they don’t comply, then we will close them.” The notices of violations issued by the Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) had to do with water pollution. As per the web site of the Department of Tourism, in the National Capital Region alone, there are 91 accredited hotels, 12 apartment hotels and 14 Mabuhay accommodations (inns and pension houses) as of 2018. Of the 91 accredited hotels

50

The number of hotels inspected by government teams around the Manila Bay area. Of the 50, “five have been given three months to comply,” said Tourism Secretary Romulo Puyat 46 are located in Manila, Pasay and Parañaque. For apartment hotels, only two are located in Pasay and Manila, while nine out of 14 Mabuhay accommodations are in Manila and Pasay. As this developed, the Department of the Interior and Local Government (DILG) vowed to go after erring local government officials who don’t enforce Republic Act 9353, the Tourism Act 2009, in their areas. The government agency issued Memorandum Circu lar 2019 17, signed by Interior Secretary Eduardo M. Año, reiterating the implementing rules and regulations of TA 2009, requiring pr imar y tour ism enter pr ises (PTEs) such as hotels, resorts, inns and other accommodation establishments to secure accreditation from the DOT prior to being issued a license or permit to operate by local government units (LGUs). “Kakasuhan namin sila! [We will file cases against them!],” said Año See “Manila bay,” A8

n JAPAN 0.4702 n UK 68.0335 n HK 6.6388 n CHINA 7.7577 n SINGAPORE 38.5650 n AUSTRALIA 37.3100 n EU 59.1020 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.8950

Source: BSP (21 February 2019 )


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