BusinessMirror August 06, 2020

Page 1

Food, utility prices, fares seen rising A

S consumer demand recovers in the coming months, food and utility prices as well as transportation fares may go up, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA). On Wednesday, the PSA reported that commodity prices increased to 2.7 percent in July, higher than the 2.5 percent posted in June 2020 and 2.4 percent in July 2019. In a briefing on Wednesday, National Statistician Claire Dennis S. Mapa said the recent uptick in prices would likely continue. “We are still seeing a downward trend in several of the food items but of course there are items that are starting to increase, like—as we discussed a while ago—meat, chicken, pork. So these are items that would contribute to an increase in the inflation rate because of the bigger weight,” Mapa explained. He said utility prices will also see an

THE BROADER LOOK » B4-B5

STAKEHOLDERS GRAPPLE WITH PANDEMIC’S IMPACT ON MIGRANTS, PHL LABOR EXPORT POLICY

ROTARY CLUB OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDS

2006 National Newspaper of the Year 2011 National Newspaper of the Year 2013 Business Newspaper of the Year 2017 Business Newspaper of the Year 2019 Business Newspaper of the Year

increase as the economy gradually reopens. Mapa added that the weight of the housing, gas, electricity, water and fuels in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will ensure that any price increase in these commodities will have an impact on overall inflation. Further, the increase in transportation fares is another major commodity that will see an uptick in prices. In July, transportation was the top contributor to the increase in inflation. Mapa said in July, tricycle fares surged 33.9 percent, higher than the 26.8-percent increase it posted in June 2020. He said in July 2019, the minimum fare being charged by tricycles was only P8.50 but now the average increased to P17 per passenger. “Although we expect that the overall consumer prices will remain benign until 2021, we recognize that the upside risks to the inflation outlook still remain,” Acting

Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick Chua said. “We need to remain vigilant and ensure that strategies are well-placed to ensure stable supply and delivery of essential commodities in all parts of the country,” he added.

Economists

THE latest uptick in inflation, according to local economists, would not guarantee that domestic demand has already recovered. De La Salle University economist Maria Ella C. Oplas told the BusinessMirror on Wednesday that the uptick in inflation was largely due to the relaxation of quarantine restrictions. Another factor: some Filipinos “became creative” in the use of their money by buying online. Oplas said while dining out and traveling remain restricted, more

Filipinos found a way to spend, which caused inflation to rise. However, the return to the modified enhanced community quarantine (MECQ) will have an impact on inflation and the performance of the economy in the third quarter. Nonetheless, she expects inflation to settle within 2.6 percent to 2.5 percent this year, well within the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’s targets. Ateneo Center for Economic Research and Development (Acerd) Director Alvin P. Ang agreed and told the BusinessMirror that inflation will remain in check this year. “Government just needs to ensure food availability and address transport, and inflation will be within this range of 2.5 percent to 2.8 percent for the rest of the year,” Ang said.

Continued on A3

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS

BUSINESS NEWS SOURCE OF THE YEAR (2017, 2018)

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

2018 BANTOG MEDIA AWARDS

PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

DATA CHAMPION

AMID HINT OF RECOVERY, www.businessmirror.com.ph

n

Thursday, August 6, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 301

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 20 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

EXPORTS STILL AT RISK COVID-19 WAR CHEST FROM LOANS, GRANTS NOW AT $8.131B–DOF By Bernadette D. Nicolas

T

TO help prevent further spread of Covid-19 amid the modified enhanced community quarantine (MECQ) in Metro Manila, the Parañaque City government formally launched on Wednesday the on-site digital disbursement of its local cash assistance program called “Paraña-Cash” via “Bank-on-Wheels”. The partnership with Union Bank of the Philippines allows the city’s 50,000 household beneficiaries to withdraw their P5,000 Covid cash aid through BOW, a 5G-powered and airconditioned banking kiosk in a mobile van. Joining Parañaque Mayor Edwin Olivarez in the launch at San Agustin covered court were Director General Jeremiah Belgica of the Anti-Red Tape Authority, DILG Undersecretary Jonathan Malaya, BPLO Chief Atty. Melanie Malaya, UnionBank SVP Paolo Baltao,1st District Parañaque Rep. Eric Olivarez and Vice Mayor Rico Golez. NONIE REYES

T

By Cai U. Ordinario

HE easing of lockdown restrictions in foreign markets has allowed external trade figures to show signs of recovery, but the worst is not yet over for Philippine traders, according to economists.

On Wednesday, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) said exports contracted 13.3 percent, while imports contracted 24.5 percent in June 2020. In May 2020, exports contracted 26.9 percent and declined 3.3 percent in June 2019. Imports, meanwhile, contracted 40.6 percent in May 2020 and declined 7.2 percent in June 2019. “The worst is not yet over be-

cause all our trade partners have not yet recovered,” Ateneo Center for Economic Research and Development (ACERD) Director Alvin P. Ang told the BusinessMirror. “Our trade [performance is] dependent on the global value chain [GVC].” Ang said he hoped that China, which has been improving its factory output, would be able to increase the country’s chances of improving See “Exports,” A2

HE Department of Finance (DOF) has already secured a total of $8.131 billion or roughly P398.7 billion in loans and grants from foreign lenders while the country is still fighting the Covid-19 pandemic. According to the updated list as of Wednesday, August 5, the DOF has raised $7.63 billion or about P374 billion in budgetary support financing, including the proceeds from the sale of $2.35-billion dollar-denominated global bonds. Of the $7.63-billion budgetary support financing, $6.26 billion or about P306.96 billion has been disbursed to the government. Meanwhile, $496.36 million or roughly P24.34 billion in grant and loan financing has been provided in support of various projects to be implemented by agencies involved in the government’s Covid-19 response. Of the total financing of $8.131 billion, six came from Manilabased Asian Development Bank, five from Washington-based World Bank, two from Agence Française de Développement (AFD) of France, two from Japan, including the $458.95-million Covid-19 Crisis Response Emergency Support Loan, and $18.36 million nonproject grant aid from the Japanese government, and one from China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. Finance Undersecretary Mark Dennis Y.C Joven, who heads the DOF’s International Finance Group, earlier said the government intends to tap a total of $8.6 billion (about P421.8 billion) this year, which will essentially be used to fund the government’s fight against the pandemic. The government borrows mostly from the local debt market and the rest from external sources to finance its spending requirements and to cover its budget deficit, especially at this time that the gap is expected to more than double to P1.613 trillion or 8.4 percent of GDP from only P660.2 billion or 3.4 percent of GDP in 2019. The national government’s budget deficit for the first half of the year soared to P560.4 billion, nearly matching the entire 2019 budget deficit. This was also a 13-fold increase from P42.6 billion as of endJune last year. A budget deficit occurs when expenditures exceed revenues. Due to the Covid-19-induced lockdown which caused a slowdown in economic activity, government revenues dropped despite the need for increased spending. The country’s debt-to-GDP ratio, which is used to gauge the country’s ability to pay its debts, is also seen to increase to 49.8 percent this year from 39.6 percent last year. Despite the projected increase in the country’s debt-to-GDP ratio, the government had said this is still far lower than the most recent peak of 71.6 percent in 2004. As of end-June, the national government’s outstanding debt has already breached the P9-trillion mark from P7.869 trillion in the same period in 2019.

MECQ blunts manufacturing’s mild rise in June

D

ESPITE the improvement in the country’s manufacturing performance in June, the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) believes this may be short-lived as the National Capital Region and Calabarzon returned to modified enhanced community quarantine (MECQ) in August. Data released on Wednesday by the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) showed the country’s manufacturing output contracted 19.3 percent in June, an improve-

ment from the contraction of 28.5 percent in May. In June 2019, the Volume of Production Index (VoPI) contracted 9 percent. In a statement, Acting Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua said while this showed “slight improvements,” economic activities—including manufacturing production—will remain limited, especially with the MECQ. NCR and the Calabarzon area are the primary drivers of the Philippine economy for a reason. These regions are where busi-

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 49.1140

nesses, including manufacturing firms, are located. “The return to MECQ in these areas is a difficult but important decision. Although this is expected to weigh down on the economy in the short term as resumption of business operations is limited, this will give our health system some respite amid the recent rise in Covid-19 cases. It will also help improve productivity in the near term as more lives are saved and consumer confidence restored,” Chua said.

In order to ease the impact of the MECQ on industries, Chua said there should be strict enforcement of containment measures by both government and the private sectors. If the government and private sector cooperate, the government can gradually reopen the economy to ensure that jobs and incomes are protected. He added that the government also aims to help improve the resilience of business establishments under the new normal. See “MECQ,” A2

POLICEWOMAN trainees guard residents of San Andres Bukid in Manila to enforce social distancing, as they line up to buy essential needs at Dagonoy market on Wednesday. Metro Manila is back under modified enhanced community quarantine until August 18. ROY DOMINGO

n JAPAN 0.4645 n UK 64.1871 n HK 6.33733 n CHINA 7.0416 n SINGAPORE 35.7609 n AUSTRALIA 35.1509 n EU 57.9447 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.0988

Source: BSP (August 5, 2020)


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.