Article 18 - AJOMS Vol. 1 2024 - "Trends in Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery During COVID-19 Pandemic"

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AJOMS Vol One 2024

Australasian Journal of

ORAL AND MAXILLOFACIAL SURGERY Official journal of the Australian and New Zealand Association of

Editor

Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons and the Oceania Region

Professor A Goss editorajoms@anzaoms.org Deputy Editors Professor A Heggie AM Professor D Wiesenfeld

+61 2 8091 0535 ISSN: 2982-0065

ajoms@anzaoms.org

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C O V I D - 1 9 SCIENTIFIC ARTICLE

TRENDS IN ORAL AND MAXILLOFACIAL SURGERY DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC

The Australian experience Mian M (MD, BDS, MPH)† Subhashaan Sreedharan S (MD, MPH)† Sklavos A (BDS, MD)† Austin S (MBBS, GdipDent, MPhil, FRACDS (OMS))‡ † The Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

ABSTRACT Objectives: The aim of the study was to investigate the impact of COVID-19 on Medicare rebatable specialist OMS services (consultations and treatment) in Australia during the period January 2020 to December 2020.

‡ Department of Oral & Maxillofacial Surgery, Western Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

Methods: A smoothing model was applied to public datasets between 2016 to

Corresponding author:

2019, in order to predict the number of quarterly consultations and

ANTON SKLAVOS

treatments between January 2020 and July 2021 with 95% confidence

The Royal Melbourne Hospital,

(p<0.05). Predicted and observed consultations and treatments were

Parkville, Victoria, Australia

compared.

Email: antonsklavos@hotmail.com

Results: There was a significant decrease in the number of consultations in the second quarter of 2020 (30.3%, 95% CI: 23.0% to 36.3%). This was followed by subsequent increases in third (13.7%, 95% CI: 2.0% to 28.4%) and fourth quarters of 2020 (16.6%, 95% CI: 0.8% to 38.4%). Telehealth consultations made up only 5.1% of total consultations during the pandemic. There was a significant decrease in the number of OMS treatments in the second quarter of 2020 for both dualqualified (33.8%, 95% CI: 27.9% to 38.9%) and single qualified surgeons (42.2%, 95% CI: 35.4% to 47.7%). Total treatments for dual-qualified rebounded in the third (7.9%, 95% CI: 0.2% to 16.9%) and fourth quarters of 2020 (9.5%, 95% CI: 1.7 to 18.6%). This was associated with a change in treatment types, including sustained reductions in orthognathic surgery and an increase in preprosthetic and implant surgery. Conclusion: These findings confirm that the most significant impact of COVID-19 Keywords:

on OMS services in Australia occurred early in the pandemic. Total

coronavirus | healthcare delivery |

services recovered during the second half of 2020 to reach pre-

healthcare systems | maxillofacial surgery |

pandemic levels. The relative proportion of treatments subtypes is

SARS-CoV-2

changing.

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INTRODUCTION

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) continues to have a profound impact on healthcare systems and economies worldwide. In the international context, Australia has fared relatively well, with 115,802 cases of COVID-19 resulting in 1,357 deaths as of October 6th, 2021.1 However, aggressive suppression strategies and lockdowns across the country have had significant impacts on healthcare delivery, including surgical services. Throughout the pandemic, oral and maxillofacial surgery (OMS) has been particularly affected, in part due to the perceived risk of COVID-19 transmission associated with instrumentation of the upper aerodigestive tract.2 As part of the response to the COVID-19 pandemic, national and state governments implemented a range of measures aimed to reduce the risk of transmission in healthcare settings and to ensure adequate hospital capacity and personal protective equipment (PPE). Restrictions were placed on non-urgent elective surgery and dental services, first beginning nationally in March 2020, and implemented at state and local government levels during subsequent waves. Surgical consultations in public outpatient and private practice settings were also limited. In this context, the Australian Government also funded temporary COVID-19 telehealth services. 3 In Australia, OMS services are provided predominately through the private healthcare system.4 Government rebates for specified services are available through the national universal healthcare scheme (Medicare). This study used an interrupted time series model to analyse publicly available Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) data for OMS consultations and treatments. 5 The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of COVID-19 on rebatable specialist OMS services (consultations and treatments) in Australia during the period January 2020 to July 2021.

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METHODS Data Source Statistical Analysis Category 3 and 4 of the Australian Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) outline the range of coded surgical services

Triple exponential smoothing (TES) is a commonly used

utilised by OMS surgeons that attract a Medicare rebate.

forecasting method used to model and predict interrupted

Category 3 services are used by most OMS clinicians

time series data. TES uses weighted averages of past

(dentally and medically qualified) and are shared with

observations, with weights decreasing exponentially as

other medical specialists. Category 4 applies exclusively

observations get older. TES modelling decomposes the

to clinicians who obtained their FRACDS (OMS) or

data series into a level component, a trend component and

equivalent qualifications prior to 1 November 2004

a seasonal component, thus accounting for long term trend

(dentally qualified). This study utilised data from both

and seasonal or holiday related changes.7

6

the OMS section of Category 3 of the MBS as well as all Category 4 data. Category 3 services are divided into

In the present study, additive TES was used to model the

orthognathic surgery, TMJ surgery, oral and maxillofacial

quarterly number of (1) consultations, (2) total treatments

pathology surgery, preprosthetic and dental implants

and (3) each OMS treatment subtype between January

and treatment of facial fractures. Category 4 services are

2016 and December 2019. Models were used to predict

divided into face-to-face consultations, general surgery

consultations and treatments between January 2020 and

(including oral and maxillofacial infections and pathology

July 2021. Observed and predicted number of quarterly

surgery), plastic and reconstructive surgery (including

consultations and treatments between January 2020 to

orthognathic surgery), preprosthetic surgery and dental

July 2021 were compared to calculate residual differences.

implants, neurosurgical surgery, ear-nose-throat surgery,

A 95% confidence interval for predictions was also

temporomandibular joint surgery and treatment of facial

calculated in order to determine statistically significant

fractures. Quarterly MBS data for rebatable OMS services

residual differences (p<0.05). All statistical analyses were

provided between January 2016 to December 2019 was

performed using SPSS version 22 (IBM SPSS, Amronk,

extracted from MBS datasets and grouped into face-to-

NY, USA) and LKS-CHART Forecasting Tool (St. Michael’s

face consultations or treatments. In addition, the number

Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada).

5

of telehealth consultations, using the temporary COVID-19 telehealth item numbers for OMS (Category 4), was extracted and included in consultation data. This analysis was Human Research Ethics exempt as only publicly available, de-identified, composite statistical data was considered.

RESULTS Consultations There was no significant difference between the number

There was no significant difference between the number of

of observed and predicted consultations in the first quarter

observed and predicted total quarterly consultations during

of 2020. There was a significant decrease in the number

2021 (Figure 1, Table 1). There were 3,519 telehealth

of consultations in the second quarter of 2020 (4247,

consultations (Category 4) between January 2020 and

30.3%, 95% CI: 23.0% to 36.3%). This was followed by

July 2021 making up 5.1% of total consultations during the

a significant increase in consultations in the third (1893,

period implemented.

13.7%, 95% CI: 2.0% to 28.4%) and fourth quarter of 2020 (2082, 16.6%, 95% CI: 0.8% to 38.4%).

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Figure 1 Total oral and maxillofacial surgery consultations (Category 4) performed in Australia during COVID-19. Panel A shows observed consultations between January 2017 and June 2020, modelled consultations between January 2017 and December 2019 and predicted (with 95% CI) consultations between January 2020 and June 2020. Panel B shows observed and predicted (with 95% CI) consultations between January 2020 and June 2020.

Jan-Mar 2020

Apr-Jun 2020

Jul-Sep 2020

Oct-Dec 2020

Jan-Mar 2021

Apr-Jun 2021

-1.6 (-9.6, 7.9)

-33.8* (-38.9, -27.9)

7.9* (0.2, 16.9)

9.5* (1.7, 18.6)

0.4 (-6.6, 8.5)

2.4 (-4.5, 10.4)

Orthognathic

-15.6* (-24.0, -5.2,)

-46.8* (-53.8, -37.4)

-10.5 (-25.0, 11.1)

-27.0* (-41.2, -3.9)

-33.3* (-48.3, -5.7)

-41.7* (-57.4, -7.8)

TMJ

5.9 (-21.0, 60.3)

-37.8* (-51.8, -12.6)

30.6* (2.8, 79.3)

12.6 (-9.5, 49.0)

13.4 (-11.2, 57.1)

-11.4 (-28.7, 17.0)

Pathology

-6.3 (-12.7, 1.1)

-32.7* (-37.0, -27.8)

-3.4 (-2.9, 10.5)

5.6 (-0.9, 13.1)

-4.6 (-10.4, 2.0)

-7.2* (-12.5, -1.1)

Preprosthetic and Implant

0.0 (-8.4, 10.0)

-37.0* (-41.9, -31.2)

7.3 (-0.5, 16.5)

8.4* (1.1, 16.9)

9.9* (1.8, 19.3)

16.8* (8.7, 26.1)

Fractures

-20.3 (-44.9, 44.1)

-35.7 (-53.5, 4.0)

-24.4 (-47.3, 27.4)

-20.1 (-46.6, 58.5)

6.1 (-29.6, 115.5)

-5.5 (-34.0, 66.4)

Total Treatments Treatment Subtypes

* indicates statistical significance Table 1 Percentage differences between observed and predicted oral and maxillofacial treatments (Category 3)

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Figure 2 Oral and maxillofacial surgery treatments (Category 3) performed in Australia during COVID-19. Panel A shows observed treatments between January 2017 and June 2020, modelled treatments between January 2017 and December 2019 and predicted (with 95% CI) treatments between January 2020 and June 2020. Panel B shows observed and predicted (with 95% CI) treatments between January 2020 and June 2020.

Treatments There was no significant difference between the number of

There were significant changes to the relative proportions

observed and predicted total treatments in the first quarter of

of Category 3 treatment subtypes in 2021. There was a

2020 for either Category 3 or 4 items. There was a significant

sustained reduction in orthognathic surgery during the first

decrease in the number of OMS treatments in the second

(734, 33.3%, 95% CI: 5.7% to 48.3%) and second quarters of

quarter of 2020 for both Category 3 (1761, 33.8%, 95% CI:

2021 (931, 41.7%, 95% CI: 7.8% to 57.4%). There was also a

27.9% to 38.9%) and Category 4 (1971, 42.2%, 95% CI:

reduction in treatment for head and neck pathology in 2021,

35.4% to 47.7%). This was followed by significant increases

which reached statistical significance in the second quarter

in total treatments for Category 3 in the third (440, 7.9%, 95%

of 2021 (335, 7.2%, 95% CI: 1.1% to 12.5%). In contrast,

CI: 0.2% to 16.9%) and fourth quarters of 2020 (532, 9.5%,

Category 3 preprosthetic and implant surgery increased in the

95% CI: 1.7 to 18.6%), (Figure 2). In contrast, there was no

first (213, 9.9%, 95% CI: 1.8% to 19.3%) and second quarters

significant difference in observed and predicted treatment

of 2021 (389, 16.8%, 95% CI: 8.7% to 26.1%).

levels in the third and fourth quarters of 2020 for Category 4 treatments (Figure 3). Decreases were observed across most OMS treatment subtypes during the second quarter of 2020 (Table 1, Table 2).

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Figure 3 Oral and maxillofacial surgery treatments (Category 4) performed in Australia during COVID-19. Panel A shows observed treatments between January 2017 and June 2020, modelled treatments between January 2017 and December 2019 and predicted (with 95% CI) treatments between January 2020 and June 2020. Panel B shows observed and predicted (with 95% CI) treatments between January 2020 and June 2020.

Jan-Mar 2020

Apr-Jun 2020

Jul-Sep 2020

Oct-Dec 2020

Jan-Mar 2021

Apr-Jun 2021

Total Consultations

-7.5 (-14.6, 0.8)

-30.3* (-36.3, -23.0)

13.7* (2.0, 28.4)

16.6* (0.8, 38.4)

12.8 (-5.4, 39.6)

14.7 (-7.8, 51.8)

Total Treatments

-5.6 (-14.8, 5.8)

-42.2* (-47.7, -35.4)

8.7 (-1.4, 21.2)

-0.1 (-9.2, 11.0)

8.2 (-2.2, 20.9)

1.3 (-8.2, 13.0)

-8.5 (-20.2, 7.2)

-33.6* (-41.7, -22.8)

1.4 (-10.7, 17.3)

-0.3 (-12.9, 16.6)

8.4 (-5.7, 27.6)

2.3 (-10.5, 19.3)

- Infection†

-2.1 (-20.2, 26.5))

-25.6 (-42.5, 5.3)

6.6 (-18.9, 55.7)

-9.8 (-34.0, 42.7)

-1.3 (-29.5, 64.4)

0.1 (-31.6, 86.5))

- Pathology†

-10.5 (-22.5, 6.0)

-43.9* (-50.9, -34.6)

-12.8 (-23.5, 1.4))

-11.3 (-22.9, 4.2))

-3.1 (-16.3, 15.1)

-12.9 (-23.9, 1.8)

-5.0 (-14.6, 6.9)

-34.3* (-40.8, -26.2))

24.9* (13.0, 39.4)

4.4 (-5.3, 16.1)

12.5* (1.8, 25.8)

8.0 (-2.1, 20.5)

-0.7 (-20.4, 31.9))

-53.8* (-64.8, -32.9)

-21.8 (-38.8, 8.5)

3.1 (-17.5, 37.5)

-0.1 (-20.3, 33.8))

-4.4 (-27.7, 41.0))

Preprosthetic and Implant

2.1 (-15.3, 28.6)

-40.5* (-51.6, -22.6)

26.9 (-2.0, 80.0)

23.7 (-9.0, 93.0)

50.5 (-2.0, 224.0)

55.5 (-6.3, 357.3)

Neurosurgical

-4.3 (-41.0, 152.1)

-45.7 (-65.8, 30.9)

4.6 (-39.0, 266.8)

6.8 (>-46.5)

47.4 (>-34.7)

17.7 (>44.5)

Ear, Nose and Throat

14.9 (-4.3, 43.8)

-37.6* (-47.3, -23.6)

13.3 (-4.2, 38.6)

1.1 (-14.2, 23.2)

26.4* (4.8, 59.3)

-2.9 (-18.3, 19.6)

Temporomandibular Joint

5.1 (-24.3, 71.9)

-35.6 (-53.2, 3.5)

-14.7 (-36.5, 29.8)

15.9 (-15.7, 85.6)

12.5 (-20.2, 90.7)

12.2 (-19.8, 86.4)

Fractures

-4.3 (-46.1, 328.5)

-42.7 (-63.5, 32.8)

-45.4 (-62.5, 0.6)

64.0 >-22.9

10.1 >-47.4

37.3 (-20.2, 391.9)

Treatment Subtypes

General

Plastic and Reconstructive - Orthognathic‡

* indicates statistical significance † treatments related to infections and pathology are a subgroup of general treatments ‡ treatments related to orthognathic surgery are a subgroup of plastic and reconstructive treatments

Table 2 Percentage differences between observed and predicted oral and maxillofacial consultations and treatments (Category 4)

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DISCUSSION This study aimed to investigate changes in government

orthognathic surgery. In summary, the most significant

subsidised OMS consultations and surgical treatment

impact of COVID-19 on OMS services occurred during the

during the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia. There was a

first wave of the pandemic. Total services recovered during

30% reduction in consultations during the second quarter

the second half of 2020 to reach pre-pandemic levels,

of 2020. This corresponded to the peak of the first wave

however the relative proportion of treatments subtypes is

of the pandemic and national lockdown (Figure 4), with

changing.

patients avoiding face-to-face attendances with all medical personnel. 8 Non-emergency dental treatment was also

There was limited uptake of telehealth services by oral

heavily restricted during this period. Given that dentists

and maxillofacial surgeons, making up only 5.1% of total

and dental specialists represent the source of 80% of OMS

consultations since implementation. In contrast, telehealth

referrals in Australia, dental service restrictions likely had

consultations made up 35.6% of total consultations for

a direct effect in further reducing OMS consultations.4

general practitioners and 38.5% of total consultations

Consultations rebounded in the second half of 2020, with

for non-GP specialists in Australia. 8 A limitation of this

increases of 14% and 17% in the third and fourth quarters

report is that it did not break down into surgical and non-

respectively, before stabilising to pre-pandemic levels in

surgical non-GP specialist services, therefore the impact

2021. Similarly, OMS treatments were reduced by over

on surgical specialists is not clearly defined. 8 There are

one third during the second quarter of 2020. Category

obvious barriers to the use of telehealth services specific to

3 treatments (dual-qualified surgeons) rebounded with

OMS, such as difficulties in adequate intraoral examination,

increases of 8% and 10% in the third and fourth quarters

inability to palpate important structures, as well as

of 2020, respectively. This was associated with a change

inadequate staffing and facilities at the patient’s location

in the type of treatments delivered, including an increase

to assist in examination. 9-10 Despite this, there is evidence

in pre-prosthetic and implant surgery and a decrease in

to suggest a high level of concordance between face-to-

Figure 4 Cases of COVID-19 in Australia. Daily (left axis) and cumulative (right axis) COVID-19 cases diagnosed in Australia are shown with key time points for elective surgery procedures indicated.

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Figure 5 Patient information sheet in preparation for a telemedicine consultation. Reprinted with permission from Prasad et al, 2020.14

face and telehealth consultations for triage and treatment

and to prepare patients for the encounter. Patients may be

planning in OMS.

advised to organise a flashlight and retraction device to

10-12

Indeed, acceptance of telehealth by

oral and maxillofacial surgeons during COVID-19 has been

assist in examination. Providing written information may

high elsewhere.13 In this study, OMS consultation data

also help in optimising the consultation (Figure 5).15

was only available for clinicians utilising Category 4 of the MBS. They are likely to be older and may be less inclined

Following service restrictions on non-urgent elective

to use telehealth services, which may help to explain the

surgery and dental treatment the Australian and New

low uptake of telehealth. Telehealth services are likely to

Zealand Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons

have an expanding role in oral and maxillofacial surgery in

(ANZAOMS) provided guidelines for appropriate procedure

the future. In particular for patient populations who reside

categorisation to reduce the impact of COVID-19 on

in regional and rural areas who face the burden of travel

time-sensitive surgery. This included management of

distance when seeking OMS services. Increased travel

suspected or existing head and neck cancers, craniofacial

distance has been found to be associated with more severe

and dentoalveolar trauma and infections not responding to

odontogenic infections, and higher rates of loco-regional

non-surgical measures.16 Despite this, this study showed

failure from oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma.

a large reduction in the treatment of oral and maxillofacial

Telehealth consultations could play an important role for

pathology which persisted even when total treatment

regional and rural patients in accessing timely care and oral

volume returned to pre-pandemic levels. Concerningly, there

cancer screening. A number of strategies are important

is emerging international evidence of delayed diagnoses of

to help increase uptake and effectiveness of telehealth

head and neck cancers resulting from system-wide health

services. This can include administrative staff contacting

service disruptions due to COVID-19.18-20 It is likely that this

patients prior to the consultation to test video technology

is also the case in Australia, where 430 cases of head and

14,15

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neck cancer are diagnosed per month, with one third of

knowledge of the infectious disease; during the COVID-19

these cases referred to oral and maxillofacial surgeons.21,22

pandemic this was directed toward minimising non-

For example, in Victoria, from April 2020 to October 2020,

essential contact with patients, and minimisation of

there was a 15% reduction in head and neck cancer

aerosol producing procedures, and utilisation of telehealth

notifications, representing 105 undiagnosed tumours.23 The

consultations where appropriate27.

delayed diagnosis and management of these patients may result in a higher tumour burden associated with greater

This study demonstrated significant differences between

morbidity and mortality. Ongoing monitoring of service

single qualified and dual qualified OMS surgeons in

levels, in particular of diagnosis and treatment of important

Australia. Over the five-year study period, item numbers

oral and maxillofacial pathology, should inform evidence-

used by single qualified surgeons remained stable or

based strategies to reduce the detrimental secondary

decreased, while those for dual qualified surgeons has

public health impacts of COVID-19.

steadily increased, reflecting the professional requirements of new OMS surgeons in Australia since 2004 to be

The reduction in services during the peak of the pandemic

qualified in both medicine and dentistry. Following the

has a number of secondary implications for the speciality.

first wave of the pandemic, treatment levels for dual-

This includes disruption of surgical education for OMS

qualified surgeons rebounded with significant increases

trainees, which is similar to the experience from trainees

in the third and fourth quarter of 2020. A similar rebound

around the world.24,25 The impacts of government

was not observed for single qualified surgeons. This may

restriction and reduction in patient volume on private OMFS

reflect differences in the scope of practice between these

surgeons also warrants further investigation. This will

groups.28

allow practices to better predict and prepare for ongoing disruptions related to staff employment, pre-emptive

This study quantified the effect of COVID-19 on OMS

purchase of equipment, and planning for access to private

services at a national level using robust modelling methods,

general anaesthetic facilities for future pandemics.

however these findings should be interpreted in the context of a number of limitations. OMS specific consultation data

Reductions in orthognathic surgery persisted in 2021,

was only available from Category 4 of the MBS. These

when total services returned to pre-pandemic levels. This is

clinicians will be registered as dental practitioners only.

likely to be due to the elective nature of most orthognathic

They will also be older and have worked for longer.27 This

procedures, as well as intermittent restrictions on dental

may affect the pattern of consultations and the proportion

services which deferred or extended essentially all

of consultations delivered via telehealth. Finally, data

orthodontic treatment during the pandemic. Delays in

presented here does not represent all oral and maxillofacial

orthodontic treatment during the pandemic have already

surgery services in Australia. The MBS does not include

been noted elsewhere.26 In contrast, there were increases

services provided to inpatients at public hospitals or

in Medicare-subsidised preprosthetic and implant surgery

services that are entirely private and do not attract a

following the national lockdown in early 2020. The specific

Medicare rebate, this includes most dentoalveolar surgery

drivers of this change are unclear. One explanation is that

(including most dental implants and third molar surgery).

clinicians may be shifting practice to facilitate the oral

These procedures are classified as aerosol generating and

rehabilitation of existing patients who have previously

therefore are likely to also have been significantly affected.

undergone head and neck cancer resection. Ongoing

Despite these limitations, these findings are still largely

monitoring of service levels will be important to better

reflective of the overall impact of the of COVID-19 on oral

understand how the pandemic is changing the type of

and maxillofacial surgery services in Australia.

treatments being provided by OMS surgeons and prepare the speciality to meet these demands. The current study has demonstrated that there were significant changes in the practice of OMS during the COVID-19 pandemic period between January 2020 to December 2020. Significant decreases in elective surgical output were demonstrated early in the pandemic response, and the uptake of telehealth consultations was noted throughout this period. Preparation for future pandemics can be divided into general and specific preparedness.27 General preparation is based on principles of minimising risk, appropriate training of staff, and minimising nonessential services until specific knowledge of the disease threat is known.27 Specific preparation is guided by 156 | AJOMS Volume 1 2024


CONCLUSIONS The most significant impact of COVID-19 on OMS services

treatment subtypes is changing. The surgical needs of the

in Australia occurred during the first wave of the pandemic.

public should be balanced against the risk of COVID-19

Reduction in OMS services during this time likely had

transmission and the need to protect hospital capacity.

significant implications for patients, especially those

Ongoing surveillance of service levels is important to

requiring non-emergency surgery. Despite the profession’s

respond to and reduce the impact of the pandemic on OMS

attempt to protect access to care for patients requiring

patients, trainees and surgeons.

time sensitive treatment, system-wide reductions in services may have resulted in a delay of diagnosis and treatment of significant pathologies such as head and neck malignancies. While total services recovered to reach pre-pandemic levels in 2021, the relative proportion of

Conflict of interest statement No conflict of interest or funding sources are declared. Ethics approval was not required for this study.

Trends in Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery during the COVID-19 pandemic: The Australian Experience

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158 | AJOMS Volume 1 2024


2024 APRIL Volume 1 | Issue 1

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