Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview Q3 2016

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ALLIANCE FOR DOWNTOWN NEW YORK

LOWER MANHATTAN REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW

Q3 2016

COMMERCIAL OFFICE MARKET LOWER MANHATTAN TENANTS DEEPENED ROOTS While total activity has slowed this year, a strong set of Lower Manhattan’s existing tenants have recommitted to remain in Lower Manhattan and, in some cases, expand throughout 2016.

This market logged 846,000 square feet of new leasing activity in the third quarter, according to CBRE, bringing year-to-date activity to 2.8 million square feet. Lower Manhattan is down 15% compared to this time last year, but both Midtown and Midtown South saw notably larger decreases, 20% and 29%, respectively.

Zurich America Insurance Company, a Switzerland-based insurance firm, signed the largest deal of the quarter, committing to move its New York headquarters from 1 Liberty Plaza to 131,856 square feet in 4 World Trade Center. The second largest deal of the quarter also represented a move within Lower Manhattan: the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey will be consolidating its Lower Manhattan offices in a 57,245-square-foot office in 80 Pine Street.

2016 has been a strong year so far for top leases from existing tenants, especially from the FIRE sector. More than half of the top 20 deals year to date have been taken by tenants moving to new offices within Lower Manhattan or expanding; this represents 848,000 square feet of transactions, an increase of nearly 15% from this type of deal activity in the same period in 2015. In addition, three out of the seven deals signed year to date, representing new activity over 50,000 square feet, were committments from the FIRE sector. Third quarter activity strengthened these trends.

The FIRE sector dominated this quarter’s top deals as well as in-district moves and expansions and made up more than 28% of all new leasing activity, according to Jones Lang LaSalle. 4 World Trade Center, in particular, benefitted from these types of deals. In addition to Zurich, Silverstein Properties also signed a deal with Global Atlantic Financial Company, a financial services company, to open a second office in 44,711 square feet (which is an expansion of its current 20,326-square-foot office) in 7 World Trade Center.

Validus Group, a Bermuda-based insurance firm, completed

TOP 20 DEALS BY TRANSACTION TYPE AND SF, YTD 2014 - 2016 Source: CBRE, Cushman & Wakefield, Jones Lang Lasalle & Colliers International

3.5 Million

Square Feet

3 Million

While large relocations are down, moves within Lower Manhattan and expansions among top deals are up.

2.5 Million 1,670,651

231,489

2 Million

397,315 1.5 Million

848K

470,957 1 Million

500,000

0

160,960

632K In-district Moves & Expansions

276,969 462,224

818,960

450,538

469,653

739K

1,055,703

264,714 2014 Q1-Q3 Relocation

2015 Q1-Q3 Expansion

Moving within LM

2016 Q1-Q3 Renewal

New LM Location

Up

Moving Within LM

Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview| Q2 2016

1 Renewal 49.4%

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a 24,489-square-foot lease to relocate operations from 48 Wall Street and expand their Lower Manhattan footprint. With 200,000 square feet of deals signed in one quarter, 4 World Trade Center is now over 80% leased.

Other Lower Manhattan buildings also benefitted from expanding tenants. In the third quarter, QBE North America, an insurance company, signed a lease to expand its footprint at 55 Water Street by 21,149 square feet, for a total of 118,377 square feet in the building. Earlier in the year, the company committed to move within Lower Manhattan from 88 Pine Street. WeWork leased an additional 39,099-square-foot floor at 85 Broad bringing its 85 Broad commitment to 274,000 square feet and its total Lower Manhattan footprint to 814,325 square feet.

RESIDENTIAL

NEW LEASING ACTIVITY BY INDUSTRY IN LOWER MANHATTAN, Q3 2016* Source: Jones Lang LaSalle

Education, Health Care & Nonprofit

•• The Solomon R. Guggenheim Foundation, a nonprofit focused on the collection and preservation of art for public benefit, accounted for the second largest relocation of the quarter. They will be expanding and moving from Hudson Square in Midtown South into 45,558 square feet at Brookfield’s 1 Liberty Plaza.

Government 24%

26%

Q3 2016

New Leasing Activity by Industry

NOTABLE NONPROFITS SIGN RELOCATION DEALS While 2016’s largest deals have been focused on existing tenants, Lower Manhattan did gain a slew of smaller commitments from tenants outside the market in the third quarter, including several noteworthy nonprofits. Overall, the nonprofit sector comprised 15.2% of all new leasing activity. Among these relocations:

MAJOR PROJECTS UPDATE

TAMI 15%

FIRE

28%

Professional Services Other 6% Services 1%

Note: Government sector leasing activity Includes NYC Dept. of Finance’s

lease at NOTE: 375 Pearl Street. * By182,000 squareSF footage, This data reflects the closing of the NYC Department of Finance lease at 375 Pearl Street in the third quarter.

2012 - 2016 YEAR-TO-DATE LEASING ACTIVITY BY MANHATTAN SUBMARKET Source: Cushman & Wakefield

14 Million

Square Feet

% 20

12 Million

Lower Manhattan posts smallest decline in year-over-year activity.

10.89 MSF

10 Million 8 Million 6 Million 4 Million 2 Million 0

29

%

15% 2.87 MSF 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Lower Manhattan

Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview| Q3 2016

3.19 MSF 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Midtown

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Midtown South

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LOWER MANHATTAN TOP LEASES, Q3 2016 Source: Downtown Alliance, CBRE, JLL, CoStar, Colliers International

Tenant Name Location

SF Leased Transaction Type

Sector

1

Zurich American Insurance 4 World Trade Center

2

The Port Authority of New York & New Jersey 80 Pine Street

131,856 Moving Within LM 57,245 Moving Within LM

3

True Entertainment 180 Maiden Lane

49,320 Relocation

TAMI

4

Guggenheim Foundation 1 Liberty Plaza

45,558 Relocation

Nonprofit

5

Global Atlantic Financial 4 World Trade Center

44,711 Expansion

FIRE

6

Hawkins Delafield & Wood 7 World Trade Center

41,986 Moving Within LM

Professional Services, Law

40,274 Expansion

Healthcare

39,721 Renewal

Government

39,099 Expansion

Professional Services, Other

36,756 Relocation

Education

27,030 Expansion

Government

7 8 9 10 11

Weill Cornell Medical College 156 William Street U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission 33 Whitehall Street WeWork 85 Broad Street The Quad Preparatory School 40 Wall Street New York State Department of Finance 1 State Street

FIRE Government

12

Validus Group 4 World Trade Center

24,489 Moving within LM

FIRE

13

QBE North America 55 Water St

21,149 Expansion

FIRE

14

Microtek Computer Labs 180 Maiden Lane

20,768 Moving within LM

Professional Services, IT Consulting

15

Enterprise Foundation 1 Whitehall Street

20,208 Renewal

Nonprofit

16

Booker Software 22 Cortlandt Street

17,050 Renewal

TAMI, Technology

17

Demos: A Network For Ideas And Action 80 Broad Street

16,500 Relocation

Nonprofit

18

Infosys Technologies One World Trade Center

13,715 Expansion

TAMI, Technology

19

SimCorp 1 State Street

13,706 Moving within LM

FIRE

20

Argyle Executive Forum 50 Broad Street

13,130 Relocation

Professional Services, Other

Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview| Q3 2016

•• Demos: A Network For Ideas And Action, a public policy organization, signed a 16,500-square-foot lease with 80 Broad Street to relocate from Midtown South.

•• The Regional Plan Association, currently in the Con Edison building in Union Square, will relocate to One Whitehall Street in early 2017, based on a 9,135-square-foot lease signed this quarter.

MEDIA RELOCATIONS CONTINUE The TAMI (Technology, Advertising, Media and Information) sector also accounted for about 15% of new leasing activity this quarter, which included the following media relocations:

•• True Entertainment, a television production company for

reality television shows such as (“The Real Housewives of Atlanta”) and its sister firm, Original Media, took 49,000 square feet at 180 Maiden Lane with the largest relocation deal of the quarter. The firms will be relocating and consolidating operations from the Starrett-Lehigh building and two other buildings in Hudson Square.

•• Modern Luxury Media, a luxury lifestyle magazine

publisher, signed a lease for 8,210 square feet at 40 Fulton Street and will be relocating from Midtown South.

While this quarter lacked news of a major relocation or strong leasing activity, the media revealed that several large deals are in discussion and may close by the end of the year. These include the New York State Attorney General’s rumored move to 28 Liberty, New York City Department of Investigation’s consolidation at 180 Maiden Lane and others.

Regional Plan Association Relocates to One Whitehall Street

The Regional Plan Association joins other key influencers in the urban planning and development 2 Rector Street field in Lower Manhattan across the nonprofit, private and public sectors. The Department of City Planning and the New York Landmarks Conservancy — as well as the New York City satellite campus of Cornell University’s Art, Architecture, and Planning School and many well-known architecture firms, such as Skidmore, Owings, & Merrill and SHoP Architects--are all located south of Chambers Street.

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VACANCY BELOW 10% FOR SECOND CONSECUTIVE QUARTER

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Manhattan has shown success in not only keeping major tenants downtown, but also enticing them to sign up for new spaces in many of the new or upgraded office buildings on the market, such as 4 World Trade Center or 375 Pearl, among others.

Despite tepid leasing activity, Lower Manhattan was the only submarket to reflect a year-over-year drop in its overall vacancy rate which now stands at 9.9%. Hovering just above Midtown’s vacancy rate for the second quarter in a row, this market’s vacancy rate has also remained below 10% during the same period.

These moves and expansions within Lower Manhattan, as well as smaller relocation deals, helped absorb some of this submarket’s largest blocks of space in the third quarter. Among the biggest changes:

Keeping the overall vacancy rate below 10% has been helped by a drop in the Class A vacancy rate, which fell by nearly 1 percentage point since the end of the first quarter to 11.7%. The Class A vacancy rate is also down notably since its last spike in the fourth quarter of 2013, when it hit 14.9%.

•• 4 World Trade Center is now 80% leased, up from 70% just last quarter, thanks to over 200,000 square feet of activity in the third quarter.

The vacancy rate has been moderated by a wealth of renewal activity as well as moves within the district and expansions by existing tenants. Year to date 2016, renewals have accounted for 31% of leasing velocity, in part due to the 900,027-square-foot renewal by McGraw Hill Financial at 55 Water Street; this is still the largest deal citywide year to date. By contrast, renewals accounted for about 9% of leasing velocity in 2015. Lower

•• 180 Maiden Lane is 45% leased after signing 70,888 square feet of tenants.

9.9%

Lower Manhattan’s overall vacancy

VACANCY RATES BY SUBMARKET, Q3 2012 - Q3 2016 Source: Cushman & Wakefield

13% 12% 11%

10.5% 9.9%

10% 9.3%

9.5%

9% 8% 7%

6.7% 6.6%

6% 5%

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3 2013

Q4

Q1

Q2

Lower Manhattan

Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview| Q3 2016

Q3 Q4 2014 Midtown

Q1

Q2

Q3 2015 Midtown South

Q4

Q1

Q2 2016

Q3

4

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OVERALL RENTS STABILIZE BELOW $60 PSF

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LOWER MANHATTAN ASKING RENTS BY CLASS TYPE Q3 2012 - Q3 2016

Lower Manhattan’s overall asking rent held steady at $59.10 per square foot as of the end of the third quarter, basically flat since the fourth quarter of 2015. While the Lower Manhattan average has been at a historic high for eight quarters in a row, Midtown South and Midtown average rents have both been rising at a quicker pace, up 4.8% and 3.7% respectively, year-over-year.

Source: Cushman & Wakefield

$70 $62.20

$65 $60

$53.10

$55 $50

Lower Manhattan’s Class A asking rent has remained steady at $45.19 about $62.20 per square foot, wavering only slightly since it reached a historic high for the market at the end of last year. While pricing $34.61 remains relatively static overall, due to the consistent pricing at some $31.80 of the market’s highest priced and largest blocks at the World Trade Center and others, several considerable spaces have been repriced higher over the course of 2016. According to research by Colliers International, more available inventory in Lower Manhattan has been repriced higher than re-priced lower, year to date, while Midtown and Midtown South have trended oppositely. Landlords adjusted pricing upwards in existing blocks on the market such as 195 Broadway, 30 Broad Street and 88 Pine Street this year.

$50.30

$45 $40 $35 $30 $25

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2013 2014 2015 2016 Class A Class B Class C

Lower Manhattan Average Class A Rent

Lower Manhattan’s Class A space, even in repriced blocks, continues to be very competitive. Midtown South’s Class A rents jumped 12.8% in just one quarter to $88.10 due to the dearth of available Class A space in this market. Midtown Class A rents are also up year-over-year, rising 4.3% to $85.10 per square foot. With these changes, Lower Manhattan’s Class A rents are $26 less than Midtown South and $23 lower than Midtown Class A rents, on average.

$62.20

CLASS A ASKING RENTS BY SUBMARKET, Q3 2012 - Q3 2016 Source: Cushman & Wakefield

$100 $90

$88.10

$80

$85.10

$70

$62.20

$60 $50 $40 $30

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

2013 Lower Manhattan

Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview| Q3 2016

Q2

Q3

2014 Midtown

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

2015

Q4

Q1

Q2 2016

Q3

Midtown South

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PROPERTY SALES Lower Manhattan had a quiet quarter for property sales volume, but there has been strong interest across property types and locations this year.

Retail Condominiums An undisclosed buyer purchased a 9,538-square-foot retail condominium with ground and lower level space at the base of The Downtown Athletic Club (a 283-unit residential condominium building) located at 20 West Street, for $6 million, or $629 per square foot, from The Moinian Group. The current tenant is The Learning Experience, a day care center, and the entrance is located on the Washington Street side of the residential tower.

2 Rector Street

Retail Buildings JTRE Holdings is in contract to purchase 23 Wall Street, the 145,000-square-foot former JP Morgan headquarters at the corner of Broad and Wall Streets for an unconfirmed purchase price, from China Sonangol, a Chinese Oil Company. China Sonangol purchased the property in 2008 for $150 million from Africa Israel, an international real estate investor. Plans for the property have not been confirmed, and the property has not had a long-term tenant since JP Morgan Chase & Co. left in the late 1980s.

Courtesy of CoStar

23 Wall Street JTRE Holdings is in contract to purchase 23 Wall Street, the 145,000-square-foot former JP Morgan headquarters at the corner of Broad and Wall Streets, from China Sonangol.

Residential 63/67 Wall Street, a residential property comprised of two adjacent buildings and 810 units, was purchased by Rockpoint Group, a private equity firm headquartered in Boston, from a joint venture between MetroLoft and DTH Capital. The purchase closed for $429 million, or about $545,000 per unit, in September. Originally the headquarters for Brown, Brothers, Harriman & Co. and the Munshon Shipping Company, the properties were converted to residential use between 2003 and 2007 and also include 20,000 square feet of retail at the base of the building (now home to Sweetgreen, La Colombe, Tumi and La Maison du Chocolat).

The sale of 106 Fulton Street, currently a 75,000-square-foot Pace University residence hall, to DSA Property Group for $51 million was announced this quarter, but not yet closed. The purchase price is $680 per square foot, and rumored plans include a rental conversion. If the sale closes, Pace University will have four active residence halls remaining with a population of about 2,400 in Lower Manhattan.

Mixed-Use HUBB NYC, a privately held real estate company founded in 2011, closed on the $16.2 million purchase of 121 Chambers Street — an 18,750-square-foot building including four residential units and 3,675 square feet of retail space — from the Ackerman family for $864 per square foot in August. The retail space is currently vacant. HUBB NYC also purchased a 4,211-square-foot retail condominium in nearby 37 Warren Street earlier this year for $11.2 million.

Hotel BH Properties, a Los Angeles-based real estate firm, closed on the fee interest in the 399-key, DoubleTree Financial District located at 8 Stone Street, from Lexington Realty Trust for $101 million in September. The hotel, which opened in 2010, has a ground lease that expires in 2112.

Source of property sales data: Newmark Knight Grubb Frank

Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview| Q3 2016

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RETAIL MARKET Developments, New Openings and Announcements throughout the District Lower Manhattan’s retail revolution is driven by major development projects at Westfield World Trade Center, Brookfield Place, Fulton Center and the Seaport District, along with numerous other projects throughout the district. The horizon in 2016 and beyond promises a flurry of major retail developments. By the end of 2019, Lower Manhattan will have nearly 3 million square feet of new and repositioned retail.

Westfield World Trade Center was officially unveiled on August 16th. The magnetic and engaging destination has over 100 stores and restaurants located in the Santiago Calatrava-designed Oculus and at the base of 3 and 4 World Trade Center buildings (see feature).

At Brookfield Place, contemporary brands continued to attract shoppers to 375,000 square feet of repositioned retail space. This quarter saw the opening of Saks Fifth Avenue, the first downtown outpost for the luxury department store. The 86,000-square-foot store anchors the retail complex and features an edited collection of women’s designers.

A separate 17,000-square-foot Saks Fifth Avenue Men’s Store is slated to open in spring 2017 in Brookfield Place. Additionally, Allen Edmonds committed to opening in early 2017, while Warby Parker and Starbucks Reserve Bar both opened locations on the second level.

In the Seaport District, iPic Theaters opened an eight-screen, luxury movie theater in early October in the Fulton Market Building. In addition, The Tuck Room, a bar and restaurant, opened on the third floor of the building. This quarter, Milan-based 10 Corso Como announced it will open a 13,000-square-foot experiential store in the Seaport, its first U.S. location. The new pier, opening in late 2017, along with the revitalized historic area will provide 365,000 square feet of retail, dining and entertainment.

At the end of the third quarter, the district had 1,161 stores and restaurants. A total of 102 new stores and restaurants opened in Lower Manhattan — an 8% increase since the second quarter. In addition to the array of stores opening at the major retail anchors, largely driven by the opening of Westfield, other major restaurants and retailers opened or signed leases this quarter:

●●

UT by Wolfgang Puck at the Four Seasons Hotel New York C Downtown at 99 Church Street; and Fowler & Wells by Tom Colicchio and Augustine by Keith McNally opened this fall at The Beekman Hotel at 5 Beekman Street;

●●

T arget, the first flexible-format store for the national retailer, opened at 255 Greenwich Street; and Whole Foods signed on as the first retail tenant at Macklowe’s One Wall Street. Opening in 2018, the grocery chain will occupy a two-level, 44,000-square-foot space.

Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview| Q3 2016

Courtesy of iPic Theaters

iPic Theaters opened an eight-screen, luxury movie theater in the Seaport District at 11 Fulton Street.

Photo by Romer Pedron for Saks Fifth Avenue

Saks Fifth Avenue debuted its downtown store in Brookfield Place at 225 Liberty Street.

Courtesy of Target

Target unveiled its first flexible-format store at 255 Greenwich Street in Tribeca.

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Westfield World Trade Center is “the new New York place to be” The wait is over at Westfield World Trade Center. Encompassing 365,000 square feet of retail space with over 100 shops and restaurants, the center offers an array of fashion, beauty, lifestyle and technology brands. The grand opening was on August 16th and featured a day full of performances, headlined by Grammy Award winner John Legend.

The list of brands at Westfield World Trade Center includes: Apple and Bose in technology; Boss Hugo Boss, H&M, Kate Spade, John Varvatos, LK Bennett, Lacoste, and Banana Republic in apparel; Under Armour in the athletic category; Sephora, Caudalie, Kiehl’s, MAC, and Dior Cosmetics in beauty; Cole Haan, Stuart Weitzman, Aldo, and Vince Camuto in footwear; Breitling, London Jewelers, Links of London, and Swatch in jewelry; as well as Disney and Kingkow in the children’s category.

Photo by Mark Weinberg for Utopia, The Agency

Eataly & other eateries

Bold chefs also take center stage at Westfield World Trade Center. Located on the third floor of 4 World Trade Center, chef Mario Batali’s popular Italian food hall, Eataly, debuted with 40,000 square feet, including restaurants, bars and markets.

The property also includes fresh food/gourmet grocer Market Lane, the renowned London steakhouse Hawksmoor (slated for future opening), bakeries and sweets from Lady M. and Epicerie Boulud, among many other eateries.

There are few places in the world as “connected” as Westfield World Trade Center. The property’s light-filled centerpiece, known as The Oculus and designed by internationally acclaimed architect Santiago Calatrava, provides connections to 13 subway lines, the PATH trains and ferry terminals via Fulton Center and Brookfield Place. A total of 300,000 commuters, residents and tourists pass through each day. The World Trade Center and Fulton Center retail complexes, both overseen by Westfield, will add roughly 10,000 full and part-time jobs to the local economy.

Photo by Mark Weinberg for Utopia, The Agency

Santiago Calatrava’s Oculus

“The World Trade Center is a symbol of hope, opportunity, progress, and perseverance.

Westfield is profoundly proud to be a part of this project and to introduce new experiences and energy to Lower Manhattan.”

- William Hecht, Westfield’s Chief Operating Officer in the United States

Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview| Q3 2016

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TOURISM & HOSPITALITY LOWER MANHATTAN HOTEL DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE

Record Year for Tourism Lower Manhattan welcomed 14.2 million unique visitors1 in 2015, up 14% from 2014 and up 48% from 2013 (which felt the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy). This upward trend is sustained by strong visitation at One World Observatory, the National September 11 Memorial Museum, the Statue of Liberty and Ellis Island.

Source: Downtown Alliance

Rooms

Floors

Open Date

Hidrock Realty

317

31

2016

The Artezen Hotel 24 John Street

Westbury Realty Associates

89

21

2017

3

Fairfield Inn & Suites 100 Greenwich Street

Jiten Hotel Management

192

25

2017

4

Hilton Garden Inn 6 Water Street

McSam Hotel Group

250

29

2017

5

Marriott Residence Inn 215 Pearl Street

Lam Group

120 (upper floors)

40

2017

6

Courtyard by Marriott 215 Pearl Street

Lam Group

200 (lower floors)

40

2017

7

AC Hotel | Marriott 151 Maiden Lane

Fortis Property Group

271

33

2017

8

Hotel Indigo 8-12 Maiden Lane

10-12 MLane Inc.

190

25

2017

9

Boutique Hotel Battery Maritime Building

NYCEDC

70

5

2017

10

TBD Hotel 11 Stone Street

Premier Emerald LLC

143

27

2018

11

Extended Stay Hotel 17 John Street

Prodigy Networks

81

23

20188

12

Moxy Hotel 143 Fulton Street

Tribeca Associates

228

26

2018

13

Hotel Indigo 120-122 Water Street

Atlas Hospitality

122

31

2018

14

Aloft Hotel 50 Trinity Place

Fit Investment Group

173

29

2018

15

TBD Hotel 130 William Street

Lightstone Group

TBD

12 (of 50)

2018

Hotel Development Takes Off At the end of the third quarter, there were 6,313 hotel rooms in 30 hotels throughout Lower Manhattan — a 21% increase over the past year. With the hotel inventory set to grow to 6,630 rooms by year-end 2016, Lower Manhattan moved the needle in cachet and creativity with the opening of two luxury hotels this quarter:

●●

●●

T he Beekman Hotel opened in the historic Temple Court building at 123 Nassau Street with 287 hotel rooms. The hotel features two restaurants: Fowler & Wells by Tom Colicchio and Augustine by Keith McNally; T he Four Seasons Hotel New York Downtown opened at 27 Barclay Street with 189 hotel rooms. The hotel features a full-service spa and CUT by Wolfgang Puck, the celebrity chef’s first restaurant in New York City.

Additionally, some 2,100 hotel rooms in 12 hotels are currently under construction. By 2019, the hotel inventory in Lower Manhattan is expected to grow to nearly 8,800 hotel rooms in 45 hotels.

24%

Y-O-Y growth in hotel room inventory by yearend 2016

Owner/ Developer

1

Courtyard by Marriott 133 Greenwich Street

2

Total Hotels in the Pipeline Total Hotel Rooms in the Pipeline 1 2

Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview| Q3 2016

Hotel & Address

15 2,446

Source of tourism estimates: Audience Research & Analysis Source of New York City hotel figures: NYC & Company

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Occupancy and Average Daily Room Rate The third quarter’s average occupancy was 89%, consistent with trends in Lower Manhattan and citywide. The average daily room rate (ADR), however, has seen a decline over the past two years.

Lower Manhattan’s ADR in the third quarter of 2016 was $255, down 3% year over year and 13% since 2014. New York City’s ADR has grown 9% year over year to $289.

Over the past two years, the number of hotel rooms in the district has grown 34%, while demand has yet to reach its full potential. While occupancy has held strong, expanding hotel room supply, especially in limited-service hotels, has led to downward pressure in the overall average room rate and has revealed a 13% decrease since 2014.

Overall average room rates are anticipated to grow with the arrival of the Four Seasons and Beekman Hotels. Revenue per available hotel room is staying strong, as high occupancy rates are making up for decreasing room rates.

While downtown hotel supply continues to increase, future demand is expected to grow with the recent addition of upgraded transportation infrastructure, new office product, residential buildings and retail destinations in the next several years.

Photo by Mark Weinberg for Utopia, The Agency

The Beekman Hotel opened at 123 Nassau Street with 287 rooms, featuring restaurants by Tom Colicchio & Keith McNally.

Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview| Q3 2016

LOWER MANHATTAN HOTEL PERFORMANCE, ACROSS THIRD QUARTER Source: Downtown Alliance

$300 94% $290

92% 90%

$288.33

$280

$280.03

88.6%

88%

86.6% 88.2%

86%

$260

$264.18

84% 82% 80%

$255.30

83.0%

Q3 2013

$270

$250 $240

Q3 2014

Q3 2015

Average Daily Room Rate

Q3 2016

$230

Occupancy Rate

Photo by Mark Weinberg for Utopia, The Agency

The Four Seasons Hotel New York Downtown opened at 27 Barclay Street with 189 rooms, featuring Wolfgang Puck’s first NYC restaurant.

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RESIDENTIAL MARKET Inventory and Development Lower Manhattan, defined as the area south of Chambers

HIGHLIGHTS OF LOWER MANHATTAN RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT Source: Downtown Alliance Address & Building Name

Street, has nearly 30,800 units in 322 mixed-use and residential buildings and an estimated population of about 60,000. There are currently more than 4,100 units in 26 buildings that are under construction or planned for development. Among the projects under construction and in development, approximately 45% are condos and 55% are rental units.

Several major residential projects received certificates of occupancy during the third quarter. Among them:

●●

The Beekman Residences at 5 Beekman Street, a 51-story

TOTAL

2,025

Open Date

1

60 Fulton Street Exhibit

Rental New Construction

120

2017

2

180 Water Street

Rental Conversion

565

2017

3

20 Broad Street

Rental Conversion

521

2017

4

112-118 Fulton Street

Condo New Construction

483

2019

Condo Units Under Construction

TOTAL

2,120

1

19 Park Place

2

12 Warren Street

Condo New Construction

13

2016

5

50 West Street

Condo New Construction

191

2016

6

101 Wall Street

Condo Conversion

52

2016

8

233 Broadway Woolworth Residences

Condo Conversion

34

2017

9

161 Maiden Lane 1 Seaport

Condo New Construction

80

2018

floors.

10

49-51 Chambers Street

Condo New Construction

81

2018

Magnum Real Estate began welcoming residents to

11

45 Park Place

Condo New Construction

50

2018

12

1 Beekman Street

Condo New Construction

29

2018

13

111 Murray Street

Condo New Construction

157

2018

14

125 Greenwich Street

Condo New Construction

275

2018

15

1 Wall Street

Rental/Condo Conversion

262/262

2018

residential tower was joined by the opening of the 287-room Beekman Hotel, both developed by GFI Development and GB Lodging.

Silverstein Properties’ Four Seasons Residences at 30 Park Place debuted in October. The 82-story tower has 157 condo units and also features the newly-opened, 189-room Four Seasons Hotel New York Downtown on the first 20

●●

Units

Condo New Construction

tower with 68 condo units, opened this past fall. The new

●●

Rental Units Under Construction

Lease & Building Type

the top 22 floors of the former Verizon Building at 100 Barclay Street. The tower features 166 condo units and approximately 100,000 square feet of retail at the base.

LOWER MANHATTAN RESIDENTIAL UNITS, UNDER CONSTRUCTION & IN DEVELOPMENT Source: Downtown Alliance

Rental Units 55%

Condo & Rental Buildings Planned for Development

Condo Units 45%

Over 4,100 residential units are under construction and planned for development in Lower Manhattan.

Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview| Q3 2016

21

2016

921

1

30 Warren Street

Condo New Construction

2

130 William Street

Condo/Hotel New Construction

188

2018

3

75-83 Nassau Street

Rental/Condo New Construction

197

2018

4

23-31 Park Row

Condo New Construction

108

2019

5

45 Broad Street

Condo New Construction

150

2019

6

77 Greenwich Street Former Syms site

Condo New Construction

85

2019

7

59-61 Warren Street

Condo New Construction

21

TBD

8

106 Fulton Street

Rental Conversion

TBD

TBD

TOTAL UNITS IN THE PIPELINE

23

2017

4,119

Note: Chart displays selected properties. For complete pipeline, please click here.

11

OFFICE

RETAIL

TOURISM & HOSPITALITY

RESIDENTIAL

MAJOR PROJECTS UPDATE

MEDIAN RENTAL PRICE

Residential Rental Market

Source: Miller Samuel/Douglas Elliman

According to residential statistics published by Miller Samuel/ Douglas Elliman, median rents across several Manhattan neighborhoods1 remained relatively steady year over year.

Lower Manhattan’s median rent, $3,701, is on par with the rent this time last year. With the influx of new luxury rental product across Manhattan, Downtown Brooklyn and Long Island City, citywide concerns about oversupply have stymied the growth of rental rates.

$3,800

$3,701

$3,700

$3,698

$3,600

$3,445

$3,500 $3,400 $3,300

$3,197

$3,200

Residential Sales Market The Lower Manhattan market demonstrated a jump in sales pricing and activity, which can be in part attributed to a number of high-end residential projects starting to close sales in their buildings. Lower Manhattan has had an active sales market in 2016, with year-to-date closing activity up 17% year over year, and quarterly activity up 58% from the second quarter. The market’s average price per square foot of $1,815 also saw an increase of 15% and 33% over the past quarter and year, respectively – the greatest quarterly and annual increases across comparable neighborhoods.

Lower Manhattan defined as south of Chambers Street to the Battery. Downtown defined as south of W. 34th and E. 42nd Street to the Battery. East Side defined as east of 6th Avenue, between E. 96th and E. 42nd Street. West Side defined as west of 6th Avenue, between W. 116th and W. 34th Street.

$3,100 $3,000

Q3-2015

Q4-2015

Lower Manhattan

Q1-2016

Downtown

Q2-2016 East Side

Q3-2016 West Side

AVERAGE SALES PRICE ($) PER SF Source: Miller Samuel/Douglas Elliman

$2,000 $1,873

$1,900

$1,815

$1,800

1

$1,758

$1,700 $1,600

$1,518

$1,500 $1,400 $1,300

Q3-2015

Q4-2015

Lower Manhattan

Q1-2016

Downtown

Q2-2016 East Side

Q3-2016 West Side

An Untapped Market: Lower Manhattan’s Young Professionals The Alliance for Downtown New York recently released a residential survey highlighting Lower Manhattan as a neighborhood of choice for young professionals in New York City and focusing on ways to capture residents’ robust appetite for dining out and entertainment. The population of people 18-44 years old living in Lower Manhattan is more than in the East Village and on par with Williamsburg. Young residents have incredible spending power and go out for dinner, drinks or entertainment on average 16 days a month.

For the complete report, see An Untapped Market: Lower Manhattan’s Young Professionals on the research page of our website.

Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview| Q3 2016

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RESIDENTIAL

MAJOR PROJECTS UPDATE

MAJOR PROJECTS UPDATE - Q3 2016 Momentum continues at the World Trade Center and elsewhere throughout Lower Manhattan. In the third quarter, over 200,000 square feet of office leases were signed in 4 and One World Trade Center. In mid-August, Westfield World Trade Center debuted its retail offerings at over 100 stores and restaurants, allowing shoppers and commuters a seamless underground pedestrian walkway from Fulton Center to the World Trade Center Transportation Hub, 4 World Trade Center, One World Trade Center and Brookfield Place.

4 World Trade Center The 72-story, 2.3 million-square-foot office tower was completed in November 2013. The building is over 80% leased to MediaMath, PadillaCRT, SNY (SportsNet New York), Silver Suites, IEX, Morningstar, the Port Authority and the City of New York. In the third quarter, Zurich American Insurance Company leased 132,000 square feet, and insurance firms Global Atlantic Financial Group and Validus inked a combined 70,000 square feet worth of leases.

World Trade Center (WTC)

One World Trade Center The 104-story, 3.1 million-square-foot office tower opened on November 3rd, 2014. One World Trade Center is 70 percent leased; tenants include Condé Nast, High 5 Games, Moody’s, xAd, China Center New York, Mic Network and Ameriprise Financial. In the third quarter, technology firm Infosys inked a 14,000-square-foot lease on the 79th floor.

Performing Arts Center at the World Trade Center (PAC WTC) In September, designs for The Ronald O. Perelman Center for Performing Arts at the World Trade Center revealed a 90,000-square-foot cubeshaped building. Wrapped in translucent marble, the building will house three theaters of varying sizes, with the potential to be combined to form seven unique performance spaces. Brooklyn-based firm REX is the lead architect.

Earlier in the summer, philanthropist Ronald Perelman announced a $75 million donation to the project. With Perelman’s contribution, the project takes a significant step toward its estimated $240 million cost. The Lower Manhattan Development Corporation (LMDC) committed $100 million in federal funds awarded after September 11th for the project’s design, construction and administrative costs. The site for the PAC WTC is currently occupied by the temporary PATH entrance at Greenwich Street and West Broadway, which closed this summer when the World Trade Center Transportation Hub opened with additional entry points.

The project is slated for a 2018 groundbreaking and a 2020 completion.

3 World Trade Center The 2.5 million-square-foot office tower topped out at 80 floors in June 2016 and is scheduled to be completed in 2018. At the end of the fourth quarter of 2015, anchor tenant GroupM Worldwide finalized an expansion, adding 170,000 square feet to the existing 520,000 square feet it signed on for in 2014 and bringing the tower to 28% leased.

2 World Trade Center After over a year of negotiation between Silverstein Properties and 21st Century Fox and News Corp to anchor 1.3 million square feet, the deal was called off in early 2016. Silverstein has postponed work on the tower until an anchor tenant agrees to lease a substantial portion of the space.

Designs Revealed for The Ronald O. Perelman Center for Performing Arts at the World Trade Center

Rendering by Luxigon for The Perelman Center

Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview| Q3 2016

Rendering by Luxigon for The Perelman Center

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Infrastructure & Resiliency The World Trade Center Transportation Hub The 800,000-square-foot World Trade Center Transportation Hub officially opened in early March 2016, providing underground access to One World Trade Center, 4 World Trade Center, Brookfield Place and the PATH trains. Additional underground access became available to Church and Vesey Streets (base of future Tower 2) and to Fulton Center via the Dey Street Connector in June 2016. Underground connection to the E and R train stations from the World Trade Center are anticipated to open in late 2017, while the 1 train station expects to open into the complex by mid-2018. The temporary PATH station is now closed and the deconstruction is ongoing. Westfield’s 365,000-square-foot retail complex opened on August 16th, 2016.

Vehicle Security Center & Liberty Street Bridge The Vehicle Security Center (VSC) is the World Trade Center’s main entry point for automobiles, trucks and buses. Operated by the Port Authority, the VSC will provide deliveries, tenant and bus parking for those with affiliations with the World Trade Center and is scheduled to be fully operational in early 2017.

The Liberty Street Bridge and Liberty Park opened this summer, connecting the park (atop the VSC) with Brookfield Place. Sidewalk pedestrian access under the bridge opened this fall, allowing ground-level access from the 9/11 Memorial to the Greenwich South neighborhood.

RESIDENTIAL

MAJOR PROJECTS UPDATE

Broadway Reconstruction The Department of Design and Construction’s (DDC) $42 million capital reconstruction project on Broadway, referred to as Broadway 1 and stretching from Ann Street to Rector Street, began in 2014. This project will replace all underground 3 infrastructure, including water World Trade mains, sewers, electric, gas and other utilities, as well as construct Center new streets and curbs. Crews will focus on two blocks at a time, financingoninthe east side. moving northward on the west side,With then southward place,inthe building The full project is scheduled to be finished August 2017.

West Thames Pedestrian Bridge

is scheduled to be completed in 2018.

The pedestrian bridge planned for West Thames Street is now slated GroupM signed a will span to begin construction before the end of this year.

The bridge lease for 515,000 West Street and will feed into a new privately owned public plaza at 50 square feet in the 2.5 West Street. According to the New York City Economic Development Corporation (NYC EDC), completion million-square-foot is anticipated in early 2018 and officebridge. tower. will replace the Rector Street pedestrian Return of W local train The Metropolitan Transportation Authority announced the return of the W local train. The train will begin running again after a six-year hiatus on the N/Q/R/W line in advance of the anticipated Second Avenue subway opening this winter. The line will terminate at Whitehall Street and include Lower Manhattan stops at City Hall, Cortlandt Street, Rector Street and Whitehall Street-South Ferry. Rector Street and

Federal, State & City Investment This past spring, the de Blasio administration announced that $100 million in city capital funds would be allocated to coastal resiliency in Lower Manhattan as part of a larger resiliency project funded by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development’s National Disaster Resilience Competition. The money will help build a network of flood walls, berms and deployable flood barriers to protect the tip of Manhattan from flooding. The project will extend from the Lower East Side, around the tip of the island, all the way to Battery Park City. Separately, the City set aside nearly $15 million, including $6.75 million from the City and State, for preliminary design and environmental review and another $8 million for first-phase flood protection design and implementation in Battery Park. The City’s Economic Development Corporation recently kicked off design work for the Lower Manhattan coastal resiliency initiative.

FROM BROADWAY TO BROOKFIELD PLACE seamless underground pedestrian passage

South Ferry station The main entrance to the South Ferry station has been closed since Hurricane Sandy as damaged equipment is replaced and flood mitigation measures are put into place. During construction, the old South Ferry station will remain operational and accessible from alternative entrances.

The construction is part of a $194 million contract to rebuild the South Ferry subway station. The station will get permanent flood protection measures and become wheelchair accessible and will allow entry and exit for all ten cars along the No. 1 line. Completion is expected

Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Overview| Q3 2016

via Fulton Center & World Trade Center Transportation Hub 14

Visit www.downtownny.com/research for additional publications on the Lower Manhattan real estate market and economy. Documents include a complete list of residential and hotel developments, available retail spaces, a summary of leasing incentives and other research reports, including:

An Untapped Market: Lower Manhattan’s Young Professionals, a residential survey highlighting Lower Manhattan as a neighborhood of choice for young professionals in New York City, as well as ways to capture residents’ robust appetite for dining out and entertainment.

Surging Ahead: Lower Manhattan’s Economic Revival and What It Means For New York, a report on the major advances in Lower Manhattan’s economy expected over the next five years as a result of post-September 11th investments and the area’s status as a burgeoning center for some of New York City’s highest value, most dynamic industries; The Brain Gain, 2015 Report, updated report on how the region’s shifting demographics continue to favor the Lower Manhattan Business District. Previously released in 2012, updated data shows an even stronger trend; TAMI Takes Lower Manhattan, a report on the growth of technology, advertising, media, and information companies moving south of Chambers Street; Everything Old is New Again: Conversions of Historic Properties in Lower Manhattan, a report on historic properties preserved through significant investment and changs in use; The Golden Age of Transit in Lower Manhattan, a report released on Fulton Center’s opening, describing how the more than $6.4 billion of transit investments made since 2005 benefit a large and growing labor force; Going to the Head of the Class: The Growth of Higher Education in Lower Manhattan, a report on the growth of higher education in Lower Manhattan; A Surge of Bits and Bytes: The State of Tech and Innovation in Lower Manhattan, a report on Lower Manhattan’s growing technology industry.

Alliance for Downtown New York 120 Broadway Suite 3340 New York, NY 10271 212.566.6700 DowntownNY.com Telephone: 212-835-2787 Email: Research@DowntownNY.com