October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL 2022 Colorado Latino Exit Poll 2022 COLORADO LATINO AGENDA coloradolatinoexitpoll.org
ABOUT THE INITIATIVE
The Colorado Latino Exit Poll is conducted bi-annually to help bolster research around the attitudes and policy preferences of Latino and Latina voters — the state’s second-largest and fastest-growing ethnic voting bloc.
It is part of the Colorado Latino Agenda (CLA), a research initiative co-led by COLOR and Voces Unidas to provide insights into the demographic makeup and views of Latino adults in Colorado on pressing policy, political, and social issues. Additional 2022 partners included Protégete of Conservation Colorado.
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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METHODOLOGY – SURVEY SPECIFICATIONS
• The nonpartisan survey was conducted with a randomly drawn and representative sample of Latino voters (N= 531/+/- 4.3%) across the state of Colorado.
• The survey also includes an oversample of Latino voters who reside in CD-8, the district with the largest Hispanic population in Colorado.
• Field Dates: October 24 – November 8, 2022
• Data was collected through a blended approach including web-based and telephone interviews (both landlines and cell phones) in either Spanish or English.
• Sample resulted in 65% self-identified Democrats, 16% Republican, and 17% Independent. 2% refused to self-identify. In regard to ideology, 44% of the sample self-identifies as liberal, 36% moderate, and 20% conservative.
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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SUMMARY OF MAIN FINDINGS
• Colorado Latino voters in 2022 were mobilized by the issues they care about and to make positive change in their communities more than party loyalty.
• This translated to Latinos in Colorado voting for key ballot issues at a 3-1 margin and for Democratic candidates at a 21 margin.
• In the CD-8 race, which elected the first Latina to Congress from Colorado, had a slightly higher Democratic support, compared to the rest of the state.
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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VOTER PREFERENCES
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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VOTER PREFERENCES – U.S. SENATE AND HOUSE
In the election for U.S. Senate to represent Colorado, did/will you vote for: (%)
In the election for Congress/US House of Representatives, did/will you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your district? (%)
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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Michael Bennet 69% Joe O’Dea 28% Other candidate 2% Didn’t
item on ballot 1% 72% 26% 1% 1% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Democratic candidate Republican candidate Other candidate Didn’t
ballot
vote/skipped this
vote/skipped this race on
Total
vote as of Nov 9th: Dem 59.5%, Rep 42.8%
VOTER PREFERENCE IN CD-8
In September 2022, the Colorado Latino Policy Agenda poll found that Latinos value being able to elect other Latinos into office, and with the opportunity to vote for Latina Dr. Yadira Caraveo, Latinos in CD-8 did so in large numbers, with 75% support. Given that Caraveo won with 48% of the overall vote, high Latino support was what pushed her over the top.
In the election for the Colorado US House of Representatives did/will you vote for: (%)
CD-8
Republican candidate, 23%
Democratic candidate
75%
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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A CLOSER LOOK AT CD-8
Has your ideology changed at all since the 2020 election? (%)
When did you decide which candidate or ballot initiatives to support/vote for? (%)
Latinos in CD-8 moved more towards liberalism than conservatism, compared to the total Latino sample in Colorado.
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
9 19 65 7 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Yes, I am more conservative now Yes, I am more liberal now No, my ideology has not changed Don't know 5 6 22 24 42 6 8 10 34 42 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Still not decided Don't remember/Don't know Within the last week Within the last month More than a month ago CD8 Total Latino
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CD-8 PREFERENCES – U.S. SENATE AND HOUSE
In the election for U.S. Senate to represent Colorado, did/will you vote for: (%)
In the election for Congress/US House of Representatives, did/will you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your district? (%)
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
70% 28% 2% 1% 73% 24% 2% 1% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Michael Bennet Joe O’Dea Other candidate Didn’t vote/skipped this item on ballot Total CD8 72% 26% 1% 1% 75% 23% 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Democratic candidate Republican candidate Other candidate Didn’t
on ballot
vote/skipped this race
Total vote as of Nov 9th: Dem 59.5%, Rep 42.8% 10
Variation in Congressional Vote Among Latinos
Although 72% of the Colorado Latino electorate reported voting for a Democrat for the US House in their district, there are some important differences across the state:
• Political independents were less supportive of Dems at 55%, and while 79% of moderates voted for a Democrat, only 29% of conservatives did so.
• Foreign-born and Spanish speaking Latino voters were 10% more likely to vote for a Democrat than US-Born/English dominant Latinos.
• Young Latinos under 30 were highly supportive of Dems at 78%, but only 63% among Latinos 50+ years of age.
• Across districts, where we have large enough samples to report, 63% of Latinos in CD-1 voted for a Democrat, compared to 75% in CD-8.
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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VOTER PREFERENCES – STATEWIDE RACES
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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the election for ___ to represent Colorado, did/will you vote for: (%) 70% 27% 3% 1% 58% 30% 5% 7% 65% 28% 3% 4% 63% 25% 4% 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Democratic candidate Republican Candidate Other candidate Didn’t vote/skipped this race on ballot Governor Attorney General Secretary of State Treasurer Jena Griswold 65% Pam Anderson 28% 3% 4% SECRETARY OF STATE Dave Young 63% Lang Sias 25% 4% 8% TREASURER Jared Polis 70% Heidi Ganahl 27% 3%1% GOVERNOR Phil Weiser 58% John Kellner 30% 5% 7% ATTORNEY GENERAL Total vote as of Nov 9th : Dem 53.8%, Rep 43.6% Total vote as of Nov 9th : Dem 52.5%, Rep 44.4% Total vote as of Nov 9th : Dem 53.3%, Rep 44.6% Total vote as of Nov 9th : Dem 57.2%, Rep 40.6%
In
VOTER PREFERENCES – STATE LEGISLATURE
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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election for the Colorado [State Senate/US House of Representatives], did/will
vote
(%) 72% 27% 1% 0% 71% 26% 1% 2% 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 Democratic candidate Republican Candidate Other candidate Didn’t vote/skipped this race on ballot State Senate State House of Representatives 72% 27% STATE SENATE 71% 26% STATE HOUSE Democratic candidate Republican candidate Other candidate Didn’t vote/skipped this race on ballot Not applicable/Did not have a race
In the
you
for:
VOTER PREFERENCES – BALLOT INITIATIVES
Please indicate whether you voted to support the following Colorado ballot initiatives. (%)
Don’t remember if I voted on this initiative
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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82% 67% 76% 78% 9 11 12 15 4 6 3 1 5 15 9 6 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Proposition FF - School Meals Proposition GG - Tax Tables Proposition 121 - Tax Rate Reduction Proposition 123 - Affordable Housing Voted yes Voted no
initiative
Skipped this item on ballot/did not vote on this
A THIRD OF LATINOS HAVE HAD IDEOLOGY SHIFTS SINCE
2022 – LATINOS ARE SLIGHTLY MORE CONSERVATIVE
• There was a modest shift in ideology from 2020, but Colorado is clearly not Florida or Texas.
The 5% shift in ideology is close to the 7% shift in GOP vote percentage in Colorado from 2020 to 2022 based on our prior surveys in the state.
Has your ideology changed at all since the 2020 election? (%)
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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•
24% 19% 52% 5% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Yes, I am more conservative now Yes, I am more liberal now No, my ideology has not changed Don't know
ATTITUDES ABOUT PARTIES AND KEY POLITICAL FIGURE
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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LATINOS IN COLORADO MOTIVATED BY MORE THAN PARTY LOYALTY IN 2022
Which of the following were your primary motivations to vote in this election? (%)
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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12 21 23 23 26 30 34 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
To support Republican candidates
To put people who care about people like me in office
Because I am frustrated with the way things are going
To make my voice heard
To support Democratic candidates
community
the
I care about 26 35 3 31 24 18 35 9 12 14 24 30 32 44 13 6 45 30 10 32 24 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
To make positive change in my
To stand up for
issues that
To put people who care about people like me in office
To support Democratic candidates To support Republican candidates To make positive change in my community
To make my voice heard Because I am frustrated with the way things are going
Democrat Indep/Oth Republican
To stand up for the issues that I care about
Solving
VIEWS ON POLITICAL PARTIES AND ADDRESSING KEY POLICY ISSUES
Which political party would best address the following issues? (%)
Keeping
Protecting
Protecting
Creating
Democrats would be best
Republicans would be best
Both would be equally good
Neither would be good
Don’t know
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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55 65 60 57 59 25 20 18 19 21 15 6 13 13 9 3 8 5 8 8 2 2 3 3 3 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
better paying jobs and improving the economy
immigrants and reforming immigration laws
and expanding reproductive healthcare
the climate crisis and protecting our air, water and land
our communities safe from gun violence
VIEWS TOWARDS PRESIDENT AND CONGRESS
Please indicate whether you have an overall favorable or unfavorable opinion of each of the following candidates or parties (%)
TOTAL FAVORABLE NEUTRAL TOTAL UNFAVORABLE
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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32 71 32 68 12 11 5 10 55 18 63 22 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Republicans in Congress
Democrats in Congress
Former President Donald Trump
President Joe Biden
VIEWS TOWARDS GOVERNOR AND STATE LEGISLATURE
Please indicate whether you have an overall favorable or unfavorable opinion of each of the following candidates or parties (%)
TOTAL FAVORABLE NEUTRAL TOTAL UNFAVORABLE
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
20 33 71 71 12 11 16 54 17 12 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
in the State legislature
Republicans
in the State
Democrats
legislature
Governor Jared Polis
CHARACTERISTICS OF THE LATINO ELECTORATE IN 2022
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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LATINO VOTERS PREFER VOTE BY MAIL
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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you plan to vote, or did you already vote using: (%) 71 15 14 Total Latino (%) Vote-by-mail or absentee ballot In-person early voting before election day In-person voting on election day 69 65 78 58 61 75 72 60 78 18 15 14 25 22 12 13 26 11 12 20 8 17 16 13 16 14 10 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% CD8 18-29 50+ PR+FBorn SpanishSvy Democrat Indep/Oth Republican 1stVote22
Do
ONE-FIFTH OF LATINOS VOTED FOR THE FIRST TIME; MANY LATINOS DECIDED HOW TO VOTE OVER A MONTH AGO
Was/Is this your first time voting in an election? (%)
Latinos of all age groups were represented in the one-fifth of participants that voted for the first time this election:
• Age 18-29: 27% first time voters
• Age 30-49: 23% first time voters
• Age 50+: 14% first time voters
When did you decide which candidate or ballot initiatives to support/vote for? (%)
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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Yes 21% No 79% 6 5 22 24 42 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Don't remember/Don't know Still not decided Within the last week Within the last month More than a month ago
VOTERS GET THEIR INFORMATION FROM A VARIETY OF SOURCES, NATIONAL TV NEWS MOST COMMON
• The majority of Latinos use National TV news to get information about voting, candidates, and ballot initiatives
• Local news is a close second, with nearly half (49%) of respondents reportedly using local TV, newspaper, and website news for voting information
• Nearly one third (31%) use social media and official information from the state
Which of the following sources do you use to get information about voting for candidates and ballot issues? (%)
National TV news and websites such as CNN, PBS, Fox News, Univision etc.
State and local media such as local TV news, community newspapers, or local websites
Social media such as Facebook, Instagram, YouTube, Twitter, etc.
Official information from my State or county voting officials, like the Blue Book
Family and friends who know more about it, or are just more interested in politics
Information directly from a candidate or political party
Information from organizations I belong to or that I trust
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL
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20 24 26 31 31 49 53 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
October 24 - November 8, 2022 N= 531 (+/- 4.3%) 2022 COLORADO LATINO EXIT POLL The complete exit poll can by found online at coloradolatinoexitpoll.org Questions to alex@vocesunidas.org or dusti@colorlatina.org 25
