Florida & Metro Forecast 2021 Quarter 2

Page 29

CAPE CORAL - FORT MYERS

Short Term Outlook for Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL July 2021 2021:Q2 2021:Q3 2021:Q4 2022:Q1 2022:Q2 2022:Q3 2022:Q4 2023:Q1 2023:Q2 2023:Q3 2023:Q4 2024:Q1 2024:Q2

Personal Income (Billions $) Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income

46.1 2.0 15.5 30.6

45.5 2.2 15.8 29.7

45.1 3.8 16.1 29.0

45.8 -8.6 16.2 29.6

46.4 0.7 16.4 30.0

46.9 3.2 16.6 30.3

47.4 5.1 16.8 30.6

47.8 4.5 17.0 30.8

48.5 4.5 17.3 31.2

49.1 4.6 17.5 31.6

49.8 5.0 17.8 32.0

50.5 5.7 18.0 32.5

51.2 5.6 18.3 32.9

Real Personal Income (12$) Pct Chg Year Ago

41.9 -0.8

41.2 -0.2

40.7 1.4

41.1 -10.4

41.5 -0.9

41.9 1.6

42.1 3.4

42.2 2.7

42.6 2.7

43.0 2.8

43.4 3.1

43.8 3.7

44.2 3.6

Per Capita Income (Ths) Real Per Capita Income (12$)

57.2 52.0

56.1 50.8

55.3 49.9

55.8 50.2

56.3 50.4

56.7 50.5

56.9 50.5

57.1 50.5

57.6 50.6

58.1 50.8

58.5 51.0

59.1 51.3

59.6 51.4

Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

57.3 6.9

57.3 4.2

57.6 2.8

57.7 1.8

58.1 1.4

58.5 2.0

58.9 2.4

59.5 3.1

60.0 3.4

60.6 3.7

61.2 3.9

61.8 4.0

62.5 4.0

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA) Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago

268.7 6.2

274.4 3.1

277.6 3.6

279.4 4.1

281.3 4.7

282.5 2.9

283.6 2.2

284.0 1.7

286.4 1.8

287.9 1.9

289.1 1.9

290.2 2.2

291.3 1.7

Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

6.4 4.8

6.4 1.9

6.4 -0.6

6.5 0.3

6.5 0.9

6.5 0.4

6.5 0.5

6.5 0.2

6.5 0.0

6.5 0.0

6.5 0.0

6.5 -0.2

6.5 -0.2

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

262.3 6.3

267.9 3.1

271.2 3.7

272.9 4.2

274.9 4.8

276.0 3.0

277.2 2.2

277.5 1.7

279.9 1.8

281.5 2.0

282.6 2.0

283.8 2.3

284.8 1.7

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago

34.3 6.1

34.6 6.1

34.8 0.6

34.9 0.5

35.0 2.1

35.1 1.4

35.1 1.0

35.2 0.8

35.2 0.5

35.2 0.4

35.3 0.5

35.4 0.6

35.4 0.6

Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

53.9 7.1

54.9 2.2

54.7 2.2

53.7 -0.2

52.9 -2.0

52.5 -4.2

51.5 -5.9

50.8 -5.5

51.5 -2.7

51.2 -2.5

51.2 -0.5

50.7 -0.1

50.1 -2.6

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

7.8 39.6 6.4

7.9 40.4 6.6

7.9 40.2 6.6

7.9 39.1 6.7

8.0 38.2 6.7

8.2 37.5 6.8

8.2 36.4 6.8

8.2 35.7 6.8

8.2 36.4 6.8

8.2 36.2 6.8

8.3 36.2 6.8

8.3 35.6 6.8

8.4 34.8 6.9

Information Pct Chg Year Ago

2.6 -1.8

2.7 -2.4

2.7 1.9

2.8 7.0

2.8 6.2

2.8 5.4

2.8 2.6

2.8 0.0

2.8 0.8

2.8 0.3

2.9 2.7

2.9 3.6

2.9 4.2

Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

13.5 1.8

13.7 1.9

13.7 3.8

13.9 4.4

14.2 5.4

14.5 5.8

14.5 5.4

14.5 4.3

14.4 1.3

14.4 -0.6

14.4 -0.6

14.4 -0.5

14.5 0.9

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago

36.5 4.5

37.6 4.5

38.8 4.1

40.3 9.1

40.5 10.8

40.1 6.6

40.1 3.5

40.5 0.4

40.5 0.0

40.7 1.7

41.0 2.2

41.6 2.7

42.2 4.2

Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago

31.4 7.9

31.7 3.5

31.8 1.5

31.5 -0.2

32.2 2.5

32.4 2.0

32.2 1.2

32.4 2.8

32.4 0.6

32.6 0.7

32.9 2.0

33.2 2.6

33.5 3.5

Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago

37.1 23.1

38.8 6.3

39.5 12.2

39.8 12.8

40.7 9.8

41.5 7.1

43.6 10.4

43.7 9.8

45.4 11.5

46.6 12.3

47.1 8.2

47.6 8.8

48.0 5.6

Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago

10.9 10.7

11.3 5.6

11.6 8.4

11.9 10.0

12.2 11.9

12.4 10.3

12.5 6.9

12.5 4.6

12.4 1.6

12.3 -0.9

12.3 -1.3

12.3 -1.5

12.3 -0.6

Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago

2.3 -6.2

2.3 -17.6

2.4 -6.6

2.4 1.5

2.4 3.5

2.4 3.4

2.4 3.3

2.5 3.1

2.5 2.6

2.5 2.1

2.5 1.8

2.5 1.6

2.5 1.6

State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago

39.7 -4.7

40.4 -1.0

41.2 1.8

41.6 3.0

42.0 5.7

42.2 4.6

42.5 3.2

42.7 2.7

42.9 2.2

43.0 1.9

43.1 1.5

43.2 1.1

43.3 1.0

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

806.3 2.0

810.3 2.0

814.7 2.0

819.4 2.1

824.1 2.2

828.5 2.2

832.9 2.2

837.3 2.2

841.8 2.2

845.9 2.1

850.3 2.1

854.5 2.1

858.9 2.0

Labor Force (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

342.0 5.3

348.0 3.3

350.8 1.9

353.5 4.2

356.0 4.1

359.5 3.3

362.1 3.2

364.5 3.1

367.1 3.1

369.6 2.8

371.6 2.6

373.6 2.5

375.7 2.3

3.7

3.3

3.0

2.7

2.5

2.4

2.4

2.4

2.5

2.5

2.6

2.7

2.7

10651.0 10244.6 9167.5 8457.9 1483.5 1786.6

9936.1 7785.0 2151.1

9656.3 7226.7 2429.6

9544.2 6793.3 2750.9

9458.6 6432.0 3026.6

9395.6 6200.3 3195.3

9182.9 6043.4 3139.5

9068.4 5915.6 3152.8

9015.7 5876.5 3139.2

9084.6 5947.4 3137.2

9090.3 5952.5 3137.8

9074.7 5947.4 3127.3

Other Economic Indicators

Unemployment Rate (%) Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

Institute for Economic Forecasting

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