Florida & Metro Forecast Fall 2021

Page 44

F ort L auderdale - P ompano B each - S unrise

Short Term Outlook for Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach-Deerfield Beach, FL (Division of Miami MSA) December 2021 Forecast 2021:Q4

2022:Q1

2022:Q2

2022:Q3

2022:Q4

2023:Q1

2023:Q2

2023:Q3

2023:Q4

2024:Q1

2024:Q2

2024:Q1

2024:Q2

113.6 3.8 56.6 57.0

113.9 -7.0 57.7 56.2

114.9 -0.2 58.4 56.5

116.1 1.8 59.1 57.0

116.9 2.9 59.6 57.3

117.5 3.2 60.1 57.4

118.4 3.0 60.5 57.9

119.4 2.8 61.0 58.4

120.5 3.1 61.6 58.9

121.8 3.6 62.2 59.6

123.1 4.0 62.9 60.2

124.5 4.3 63.6 60.9

126.0 4.6 64.4 61.6

Real Personal Income (12$) Pct Chg Year Ago

87.7 -0.9

87.6 -10.6

88.0 -3.1

88.4 -0.5

88.6 1.0

88.8 1.3

89.0 1.2

89.3 1.0

89.7 1.3

90.2 1.6

90.8 2.0

91.3 2.2

91.9 2.4

Per Capita Income (Ths) Real Per Capita Income (12$)

58.9 45.5

59.0 45.4

59.5 45.6

60.1 45.8

60.4 45.8

60.7 45.8

61.0 45.8

61.3 45.9

61.7 46.0

62.2 46.1

62.7 46.2

63.3 46.4

63.8 46.6

Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

67.3 1.8

67.8 1.9

68.2 1.7

68.6 2.0

68.8 2.3

69.1 1.9

69.5 1.8

69.8 1.8

70.2 2.0

70.7 2.3

71.3 2.6

71.8 2.9

72.5 3.3

Personal Income (Billions $) Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA) Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago

837.6 3.6

846.9 4.2

852.8 4.4

857.5 3.7

861.9 2.9

865.6 2.2

867.9 1.8

869.9 1.5

873.2 1.3

876.0 1.2

878.9 1.3

882.2 1.4

885.0 1.4

Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

27.6 1.5

27.6 1.6

27.6 3.6

27.5 1.0

27.7 0.5

27.8 0.7

27.8 0.6

27.7 0.8

27.7 -0.1

27.6 -0.6

27.6 -0.8

27.5 -0.7

27.5 -0.7

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

810.0 3.7

819.3 4.3

825.2 4.5

829.9 3.8

834.2 3.0

837.8 2.3

840.1 1.8

842.2 1.5

845.5 1.4

848.4 1.3

851.4 1.3

854.7 1.5

857.5 1.4

50.7 4.1

50.4 1.2

50.2 1.6

50.1 -1.3

49.9 -1.6

49.6 -1.5

49.4 -1.6

49.4 -1.5

49.4 -1.2

49.3 -0.6

49.4 -0.1

49.4 0.1

49.5 0.2

Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

190.9 2.0

190.1 1.6

189.9 2.1

191.0 1.5

189.5 -0.7

188.9 -0.6

190.4 0.3

189.8 -0.6

190.1 0.3

189.0 0.0

186.7 -1.9

186.4 -1.8

186.1 -2.1

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

50.2 104.6 36.1

51.0 102.3 36.8

52.1 100.5 37.3

54.2 98.6 38.2

54.8 96.5 38.2

55.6 95.1 38.3

55.7 96.9 37.9

56.1 96.0 37.7

56.7 95.8 37.7

57.3 93.8 37.9

58.1 90.4 38.3

58.5 89.4 38.5

59.0 88.5 38.7

Information Pct Chg Year Ago

19.4 3.9

19.7 6.8

19.7 8.0

20.0 5.4

19.8 1.6

19.9 1.0

20.0 1.6

20.1 0.3

20.4 3.4

20.7 4.2

21.0 4.6

21.0 4.6

21.1 3.2

Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

63.5 -1.4

64.8 1.4

66.5 6.6

68.2 7.5

68.5 7.7

68.7 6.1

68.5 2.9

68.5 0.5

68.6 0.1

68.6 -0.1

68.8 0.4

68.9 0.6

69.0 0.7

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago

142.3 -1.7

148.9 2.7

150.3 4.9

149.7 5.2

150.0 5.5

151.2 1.6

150.7 0.2

151.1 0.9

152.4 1.6

154.5 2.1

157.1 4.2

158.9 5.2

160.5 5.3

Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago

111.5 3.2

112.1 3.5

115.0 7.1

115.1 5.0

113.8 2.0

113.9 1.6

113.1 -1.7

113.1 -1.8

113.5 -0.3

114.3 0.4

115.3 1.9

116.0 2.6

116.4 2.6

Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago

93.0 24.1

92.3 16.9

90.5 1.2

91.1 1.4

96.6 3.9

98.6 6.8

100.6 11.2

102.7 12.8

103.2 6.8

103.3 4.8

104.1 3.4

104.3 1.5

104.5 1.3

Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago

34.5 13.2

35.4 12.4

36.9 11.3

38.2 13.1

38.7 12.3

39.0 10.1

38.9 5.5

38.9 1.8

39.0 0.8

39.3 0.8

39.8 2.2

40.2 3.6

40.7 4.3

Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago

6.9 -6.9

6.9 -4.8

6.8 -2.0

6.8 -1.1

6.8 -1.4

6.8 -0.5

6.9 0.4

6.9 1.4

6.9 2.3

7.0 2.4

7.0 2.4

7.1 2.5

7.1 2.8

State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago

97.2 0.8

98.6 3.3

99.2 6.0

99.8 4.5

100.6 3.5

101.1 2.5

101.5 2.3

101.8 2.0

102.0 1.4

102.2 1.1

102.3 0.8

102.5 0.7

102.6 0.5

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

1928.2 -0.4

1928.8 -0.2

1930.2 0.1

1932.0 0.2

1934.5 0.3

1937.8 0.5

1941.9 0.6

1946.4 0.7

1951.7 0.9

1957.1 1.0

1962.7 1.1

1968.3 1.1

1974.0 1.1

Labor Force (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

1056.5 6.7

1064.3 5.1

1068.3 3.7

1071.1 2.7

1073.4 1.6

1075.1 1.0

1076.5 0.8

1077.2 0.6

1079.0 0.5

1080.2 0.5

1082.5 0.6

1085.8 0.8

1090.2 1.0

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago

Other Economic Indicators

Unemployment Rate (%) Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

44

4.8

4.7

4.5

4.3

4.1

4.0

3.9

3.9

3.8

3.8

3.7

3.8

3.7

3489.6 1574.9 1914.7

3898.1 1626.3 2271.7

4318.3 1740.1 2578.2

4996.9 1840.8 3156.1

5594.8 1960.2 3634.6

6118.4 2072.3 4046.1

6468.0 2177.6 4290.5

6701.7 2313.3 4388.4

6890.5 2429.3 4461.2

6967.3 2473.2 4494.1

6962.3 2514.1 4448.2

7013.0 2594.0 4419.0

7010.8 2640.2 4370.6

Florida & Metro Forecast / Fall 2021


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