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Florida CRE Retail Roundup - Team

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from every angle

SRS shines in Florida

The

Florida CRE Retail Roundup Issue

Retail Industrial Capital Markets

A UGUST 2026


Florida A S T A T E B U I L T F O R G R O WT H Supported by favorable demographic trends and a diverse economic base, Florida continues to strengthen its competitive position. More than one million new residents have made Florida their home since 2022, fueling residential and mixed-use development that is expanding consumer reach across every region. Combined with one of the nation’s highest-ranked economies and a business-friendly environment, these advantages continue to attract long-term investment.

Vacancy Rate

Market Asking Rent Growth

SF of Inventory

SF Under Construction

12-Month Net Absorption SF

Jacksonville MSA

5.0%

7.7%

102,794,317

898,741

218,166

Miami-Ft. Lauderdale MSA

3.5%

0.7%

333,356,099

2,424,836

896,204

Orlando MSA

4.1%

3.6%

238,329,281

821,438

1,419,371

Tampa MSA

3.8%

6.1%

262,783,720

2,578,727

993,296

Naples-Ft. Myers-Punta Gorda

3.5%

1.8%

84,944,460

658,830

783,079

Market

Source: CoStar

Total Employment

Job Growth (5-yr)

Population

Population Growth (5-yr)

Median HHI

Median HHI Growth (5-yr)

803,500

10.9%

1,805,726

1.5%

$88,523

3.4%

Miami-Ft. Lauderdale MSA

2,997,300

14.1%

6,379,024

0.5%

$85,523

3.8%

Orlando MSA

2,010,700

18.3%

4,424,046

1.4%

$84,098

3.4%

Tampa MSA

2,212,100

13.6%

5,297,601

1.3%

$82,754

3.8%

558,800

14.5%

1,526,456

1.6%

$90,821

3.2%

Market Jacksonville MSA

Naples-Ft. Myers-Punta Gorda CSA

2

Sources: Esri, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics


#1

State for attracting and developing talent for the 3rd consecutive year Lightcast Talent Attraction Scorecard

#1

State for new business formation since 2019 U.S. Census Bureau

$1.9T

Value of Florida’s economy U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

3rd

Largest workforce in the U.S. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Strong State Incentive Programs & Policies

• No sales tax on commercial leases • Community Redevelopment Areas (CRA) fund

redevelopment improvements • Tax Increment Financing (TIF) reinvests tax growth into infrastructure • Florida Job Growth Grant Fund (JGGF) supports business growth

and infrastructure • Strategic Intermodal System (SIS) improves freight and commercial access • Opportunity Zones encourage investment through federal tax incentives • Brownfield Redevelopment Program supports site redevelopment • Expedited permitting accelerates development approvals • Moving Florida Forward invests $4 billion in transportation infrastructure • No state personal income tax attracts businesses and residents 3


Regional Highlights FIVE R EG I ON A L M A R K E T S

$133.3B

Tourism economic impact FL.Gov

143.3M Visitors in 2025 FL.Gov

#5

Best state business tax climate Tax Foundation 2026

South Florida

attracts investment

With more than 6.4 million residents, the Tri-County Area is Florida’s largest metropolitan region and serves as the state’s gateway for international business, tourism, finance, and global trade. The market continues to attract corporate investment, skilled talent, and international migration, supporting one of the nation’s deepest consumer bases. Looking ahead, Miami Freedom Park and Miramar Cove will deliver nearly 1.0 million square feet of lifestyle retail integrated with residential, hospitality, entertainment, and office uses, reinforcing South Florida’s development toward experiential, mixed-use retail destinations.

Miami Fort Lauderdale West Palm Beach

2.4M

4

#3

333M+

SF of retail under

among large U.S. metros

SF of retail inventory,

construction

for talent attraction

largest in Florida


Driven by in-migration, economic diversification, and continued investment, Florida’s five major regions offer a compelling combination of scale, stability, and long-term opportunity. Strong market fundamentals continue to support investment across established trade areas and growth corridors.

Southwest Florida

in high demand

Southwest Florida remains one of Florida’s most desirable growth markets, driven by sustained in-migration, and new residential development. National recognition in Lightcast’s 2025 Talent Attraction Scorecard highlights the region’s continued ability to attract both residents and employers, while strong job growth continues to expand the consumer base. These trends position Southwest Florida for continued retail investment to serve its growing population, particularly across groceryanchored centers, lifestyle retail, and neighborhood shopping centers.

Fort Myers Naples Punta Gorda

#10

#5

14.5%

large metro for talent

mid-size metro for talent

five-year job growth, driven by

attraction (Naples)

attraction (Punta Gorda)

continued economic diversification

5


Single family growth expected to increase 45% compared to the next closest residential market

2.6M SF new retail under construction, the largest retail development pipeline in Florida

Three top 10 metros for talent attraction: Sarasota #7, Tampa #8, Lakeland #9

Tampa Sarasota Lakeland

Orlando a retail powerhouse Central East Florida is translating strong population and employment gains into retail success. The region leads Florida in both retail absorption and planned single-family residential development, providing a solid foundation for continued expansion. Lake Nona West’s opening demonstrates the market’s ability to quickly absorb new retail space, while ongoing residential development across Orlando, Daytona Beach, and Melbourne continues to expand the region’s consumer base. Together, these trends are creating a pipeline of future demand that supports continued retail development across both established and emerging trade areas.

High rent growth 7.7% asking rent growth, the highest among Florida’s major markets

Residential growth St. Johns County continues to lead residential growth, anchored by Durbin’s expanding mixed-use corrdior

$7B pipeline Expanding residential density and new retail development in Downtown Jacksonville 6


Tampa fuels retail growth No region in Florida is experiencing more development activity than Central West Florida. The market leads the state in both single-family residential and retail development, creating a steady pipeline of future consumers and retail demand. Pasco County remains at the center of that expansion, with projects including Two Rivers, Double Branch, and The Collections at Mitchell Ranch adding thousands of residential units and expanding the region’s commercial footprint. Combined with continued investment across healthcare, life sciences, financial services, logistics, and technology, these sectors are broadening the region’s employment base while reinforcing long-term retail demand.

High retail absorption 1.4M SF of retail absorption, the highest among Florida’s major markets

Strong job growth 18.3% five-year job growth, the strongest among Florida’s major markets

Orlando Daytona Melbourne

Planned residential pipeline Florida’s largest planned residential pipeline, supporting long-term retail demand

Jacksonville on the rise Residential expansion continues to reshape Northeast Florida, with growth extending from St. Johns County into Jacksonville’s urban core. The Durbin corridor remains one of the region’s most active districts, as master-planned communities bring new housing, retail, healthcare, and lifestyle amenities to one of Florida’s fastest-growing counties. At the same time, Downtown Jacksonville’s $7B development pipeline, including the Four Seasons and Jacksonville Jaguars Stadium of the Future, is creating new residential density, public investment, and additional opportunities for neighborhood and destination retail.

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Tenant Services WE KNOW R E T A I L We specialize in new locations, surplus disposition, lease renewal, lease administration, portfolio optimization, real estate outsourcing, analytics & consulting, and technology solutions.

“Central Florida’s growing demand for retail is fueled by rapid population growth and a strong regional economy that reaches far beyond theme parks and tourist driven resorts.” Jason Kaiser

Retail | Orlando

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We work with brands in Florida like...

Partial tenant representation list

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Owner Services TAIL OR ED S E R V IC E S F O R O WNE RS We specialize in leasing, property acquisition, property sales, surplus disposition, and analytics & consulting. Highlighted Properties on the Market

See all available properties at SRSRE.COM/Properties

Double Branch

Winter Garden Village

SEC I-75 & SR 52 | San Antonio, FL Double Branch is more than a shopping center—it’s an experience. Designed as a vibrant, walkable town center, it seamlessly integrates national retailers, local purveyors, dining, entertainment, and outdoor spaces.

3251 Daniels Road | Winter Garden, FL Premier 1.15 million-square-foot open-air lifestyle center shadow-anchored by Target and Lowe’s, serving Orlando’s most affluent communities with a best-in-class mix of national retailers, restaurants, and services.

The Point at Durbin

Shoppes at Wekiva Ranch

9B & East Peyton Parkway | St. Johns, FL 32259 The super regional master planned development encompassing 1,600 acres in northwest St. Johns County, one of the fastest growing counties in the country. 10

Kelly Park Road | Apopka, FL 32712 A mixed-use destination in Apopka with on-site parking and exceptional accessibility via the completed Wekiva Parkway.


Berkeley at Durbin

Gaitway Plaza

9B & Peyton Pkwy | St. Johns, FL 32260 This is a brand new center being developed on 9B, anchored by Whole Foods.

2701 SW College Road | Ocala, FL 34474 Well-positioned neighborhood retail center at the signalized intersection of College Road (SR 200) and SW 27th Avenue, offering exceptional visibility and exposure along Ocala’s primary east-west commercial corridor.

Deerwood Village 9834-9978 Baymeadows Road | Jacksonville, FL 32256 This center is serving the exclusive residential community of Deerwood Country Club situated on 900 acres with homes in the $1-2M range.

Argyle Village 6001 Argyle Forest Blvd | Jacksonville, FL 32244 Dominant shopping center strategically positioned within the regionally traded submarket of Orange Park, FL.

Island Walk Fleming Island 1984-1999 East West Pkwy | Fleming Island, FL 32003 Located on E West Parkway at the signalized intersection of the highly traveled corridor CR 220, this property is anchored by Kohls, Sephora, and Michaels.

The Collection at Mitchell Ranch Coming Soon | Trinity, FL 34655 An upcoming mixed-use development designed to become Trinity’s definitive lifestyle shopping destination.

Loxahatchee Groves Retail Land Available NEQ Southern Blvd & Binks Forest Dr | Loxahatchee Groves, FL 33470 The project is fully entitled for up to 600,000 SF of retail in one of the nation’s fastest-growing residential markets.

Moccasin Wallow Rd & Gateway Blvd Moccasin Wallow Rd & Gateway Blvd | Palmetto, FL 34221 Prime 1.24-acre opportunity on Moccasin Wallow Road adjacent to I-75, surrounded by explosive residential growth.

Retail Land Parcel in Coral Springs 8191 Wiles Rd | Coral Springs, FL 33067 Prime commercial land parcel in affluent Coral Springs/ Parkland trade area, adjacent from Publix-anchored center.

Tequesta Village Square 241-289 US Hwy 1 | Tequesta, FL 33469 Retail space with prime highway frontage, ample parking and high visibility signage opportunity in the heart of Tequesta’s main retail corridor.

Colonial Promenade 4600 E Colonial Drive | Orlando, FL 32803 Premier Orlando Fashion Square area retail center positioned on highly trafficked E Colonial Drive, and strategically located at the entrance to Baldwin Park and the Orlando Executive Airport, capturing affluent residential and commuter traffic.

Heathrow Marketplace 100-120 International Parkway | Heathrow, FL 32746 Heathrow Marketplace is a premier retail opportunity within a re-imagined mixed-use destination and located at prime signalized corner of International Pkwy & Lake Mary Blvd.

MAA Breakwater Waterfront Restaurant Pad 5440 Tyson Avenue | Tampa, FL 33611 This premier waterfront development opportunity in South Tampa offers a rare chance to establish a flagship restaurant destination overlooking Tampa Bay.

Our owner services clients include... Partial client list

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Capital Markets INCOM E- P RO D U C I N G I N V E STME NTS We specialize in national net lease investments, multi-tenant investments, sale leaseback, 1031 exchange, debt & equity, franchise M&A, and advisory.

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Highlighted Properties on the Market

See all available properties at SRSRE.COM/Properties

CVS

Chick-fil-A

San Antonio, FL Price: $12,441,000 Cap Rate: 5.75%

Tampa, FL Price: $9,176,000 Cap Rate: 4.25%

The Yard at Waterset

Wawa

Apollo Beach, FL Price: $8,937,000 Cap Rate: 6.10%

Sanford, FL Price: $5,106,000 Cap Rate: 4.75%


Recently Closed Sprouts Venice, FL Price: $14,800,000

Heritage Station Bradenton, FL Price: $10,975,000

“While we transact investment properties on a national basis, Florida properties continue to demand the lowest cap rates in the country, exemplifying the high demand for capital placement within the Sunshine State.” Patrick Nutt

Capital Markets | Tampa

EōS Fitness Fern Park, FL Price: $11,189,000

Top Florida Market Share

CVS Yulee, FL Price: $10,300,000

64% 7-Eleven Melbourne, FL Price: $9,774,743

60%

Dutch Bros

53%

Fort Myers, FL Price: $3,224,000 Cap Rate: 5.25% 13


SRS Florida RO OT S I N F L O R IDA F O R N E ARLY 4 0 Y E ARS With offices in Orlando, Fort Lauderdale, Tampa, Miami, and Jacksonville, we provide best-in-class commercial real estate services across Florida. Veteran Leadership John Artope Executive Vice President & Managing Principal 407.902.2621 | john.artope@srsre.com RETAIL

John Fahey Senior Vice President & Managing Principal 813.551.0895 | john.fahey@srsre.com RETAIL

Patrick Nutt

Tyler McRae Senior Vice President & Managing Principal 813.424.2502 | tyler.mcrae@srsre.com RETAIL

Senior Managing Principal & Co-Head of National Net Lease 954.302.7365 | patrick.nutt@srsre.com CAPITAL MARKETS

William Wamble

Wayne Schuchts

Executive Vice President & Principal 813.371.1079 | william.wamble@srsre.com CAPITAL MARKETS

Senior Vice President & Managing Principal 786.687.1395 | wayne.schuchts@srsre.com INDUSTRIAL

Office Locations

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We’re always looking for top talent in Florida.

Orlando

Fort Lauderdale

SRSRE.COM/Orlando 200 S Orange Avenue, Suite 1300 Orlando, FL 32801 407.455.5030

SRSRE.COM/Fort-Lauderdale 200 SW 1st Avenue, Suite 970 Fort Lauderdale, FL 33301 954.703.3600

Tampa

Jacksonville

Miami

SRSRE.COM/Tampa 1501 W. Cleveland Street, Suite 300 Tampa, FL 33606 813.371.0980

SRSRE.COM/Jacksonville 1301 Riverplace Boulevard, Suite 800 Jacksonville, FL 32207 904.758.8875

SRSRE.COM/Miami 19505 Biscayne Boulevard, Suite 2350 Aventura, FL 33180 843.735.2803

Reach out to any member of our leadership team for more information on joining SRS.


Brokerage Team Jason Kaiser

SVP & Principal

jason.kaiser@srsre.com

407.455.5029

Retail

Orlando

Stephanie McCullough

SVP & Principal

stephanie.mccullough@srsre.com 904.595.6128

Retail

Jacksonville

Robby Holihan

SVP & Principal

robert.holihan@srsre.com

407.563.6125

Retail

Tampa

Daniel Earles

Senior Vice President

daniel.earles@srsre.com

813.424.2500

Retail

Tampa

Chris Stewart

Senior Vice President

chris.stewart@srsre.com

813.540.5346

Retail

Tampa

Michael Weiss

Senior Vice President

michael.weiss@srsre.com

954.703.3647

Retail

Fort Lauderdale

Willow Ferrelli

Senior Vice President

willow.ferrelli@srsre.com

407.453.1858

Retail

Tampa

Sandi Bargfrede

Senior Vice President

sandi.bargfrede@srsre.com

407.491.8149

Retail

Orlando

Brandon Woulfe

Vice President

brandon.woulfe@srsre.com

954.703.3604

Retail

Fort Lauderdale

Mara Frumkin

First Vice President

mara.frumkin@srsre.com

407.563.6121

Retail

Orlando

Grant Burt

Senior Associate

grant.burt@srsre.com

813.379.3445

Retail

Tampa

Jennifer Dunn

Senior Associate

jenn.dunn@srsre.com

407.204.9722

Retail

Orlando

Kelsey Williams

Senior Associate

kelsey.williams@srsre.com

404.441.9506

Retail

Tampa

Serenity Lorenz

Senior Associate

serenity.lorenz@srsre.com

904.887.3302

Retail

Orlando

Caroline Connelly

Associate

caroline.connelly@srsre.com

813.379.3449

Retail

Tampa

KC Herbert

Associate

kc.herbert@srsre.com

407.757.1629

Retail

Orlando

Annie Lee O'Steen

Associate

annie.osteen@srsre.com

904.758.8913

Retail

Jacksonville

Jacob Rasnick

Associate

jacob.rasnick@srsre.com

813.379.3444

Retail

Tampa

Jarrett Slear

Vice President

jarrett.slear@srsre.com

813.683.5115

Capital Markets

Tampa

Jaime Salazar

Senior Associate

jaime.salazar@srsre.com

954.703.3602

Capital Markets

Fort Lauderdale

Ben Keefe

Senior Associate

ben.keefe@srsre.com

813.440.2791

Capital Markets

Tampa

Connor Barton

Associate

connor.barton@srsre.com

954.400.2748

Capital Markets

Fort Lauderdale

Hayden Bruno

Associate

hayden.bruno@srsre.com

813.540.6521

Capital Markets

Tampa

Ian Mahoney

Associate

ian.mahoney@srsre.com

813.586.1914

Capital Markets

Tampa

Andrew Lehrer

Vice President

andrew.lehrer@srsre.com

786.687.2194

Industrial

Miami

Jarrett Hillman

Associate

jarrett.hillman@srsre.com

786.607.2041

Industrial

Miami

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