PSIR SWFL Market Trends by Submarket Year End 2023

Collier and Lee County, FL Market Trends COLLIER AND LEE COUNTY FLORIDA MARKET DATA SOURCED FROM LOCAL MARKET MLS STATISTICS. EFFECTIVE DATE YEAR END 2023

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Collier County

Collier County

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Collier County Rolling sales and Median price trends.

Here are some charts that show the changes in real estate prices over time, starting from January 2020 when the Covid pandemic began. The top chart shows the median price using a 3 month rolling average, while the bottom chart displays the month-over-month price changes. On the far right of the green line, you can see the overall change from January 2020 to the effective date of this report with the blue bar indicating the total change to date.

The pricing in Collier County has risen by 68% since January of 2020 and the current trend suggests that the market has not yet experienced any decline from its peak.

Collier County

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Naples

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Naples

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Marco Island

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Marco Island

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Collier County

Collier County

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Collier County

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Lee County

Lee County

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Lee County Rolling sales and Median price trends.

Here are some charts that show the changes in real estate prices over time, starting from January 2020 when the Covid pandemic began. The top chart shows the median price using a 3 month rolling average, while the bottom chart displays the month-over-month price changes. On the far right of the green line, you can see the overall change from January 2020 through the effective date, with the blue bar indicating the change up to the present time.

Since January 2020, pricing in Lee County has risen by 52%.

Lee County

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Bonita Springs

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Bonita Springs

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Estero

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Estero

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Cape Coral

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Cape Coral

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Sanibel Captiva

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Sanibel Captiva

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Fort Myers

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Fort Myers

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Fort Myers Beach

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Fort Myers Beach

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Lee County

Lee County

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Lee County

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Key Takeaways

Southwest Florida

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As of Year End of 2023, the average monthly supply of units in Lee County remained at 5.32. The current 3-month moving median price trend for the YE 2023 change is .8%, compared to Year End 2022 of 12%. Median Pricing increased 1% YE 2023 compared to 23.4% YE 2022, and Average Price increased .6% YE 2023 compared to 20.4% YE 2022.

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As of Year End of 2023, the average monthly supply of units in Collier County remained at 5.23. The current 3-month moving median price trend for the YE 2023 change is 4.4%, compared to Year End 2022's 18%. Median Pricing increased 6% YE 2023 compared to 27.4% YE 2022, and Average Price increased 4.1% YE 2023 compared to 25% YE 2022.

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Based on the Rolling sales and Median Price Trends chart, we can see the month-over-month changes in median prices and whether they are increasing or decreasing from the peak. Over the past 12 months, the rate of monthly price appreciation has slowed. The waterfall chart measures the variance up or down from the peak median price. Cumulatively, Collier County has experienced an impressive 67% increase in median Pricing since January 2020, and the most recent period reflects a 3% discount from the peak, with Lee County seeing a cumulative median price increase of 52% over the same period. Over the past two months, median Pricing has been discounted by 5%.

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Micro Market Results for Lee and Collier counties show similar trends to the counties overall. The inventory supply has increased to 12,629 from 12.265 units in December, a 3 percent month-over-month increase. The active inventory has increased by 84% YoY, while the 12-month rolling sales have decreased by 12.6%. The months' supply as of January 1 for Lee and Collier's counties combined is 5.29 months, indicating a continued undersupply of product, generally favoring the seller. The market activity is stagnant, with the sales pace slowing and inventory beginning to accelerate.

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Based on the Micro Market Results for Lee and Collier counties, the 12-month rolling median price has slightly increased to $456,000. The 3-month moving median price remains the same at YE 2023 at $444,000. The 12-month rolling average price has risen to $723,000 in YE 2023 from $703,000 in YE 2022, while the 3-month moving average has a high increase to $681,000. Over the past year, the YoY change in the 12-month rolling median and the rolling average price has contracted to 2.2% and 2.9%, respectively. The limited sales activity and increasing inventory are slowly moving the market favorability to the buyer.

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Michael Timmerman, CRE •

Member of the Counselors of Real Estate (CRE)

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40 Years Experience as a Real Estate Economist and Consultant •

Market and Feasibility Studies

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Economic Impact Studies

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New Community Product and Amenity Planning

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Consumer Preference and Engagement Analysis

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Private Club Amenity analysis

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Real Estate Investment Advisory

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25 Years experience using GIS and Data Analytics tools to provide clients with a clear picture of market trends.

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Real Estate and Community Planning education from the Appraisal Institute and Urban Land Institute.

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Frequent Speaker and Lecturer on Economic and Real Estate Trends Analysis.

Contact Information Mike.Timmerman@PremierSIR.com www.ResortProperties.com C. 239.269.0769

Contact Information

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