2025 South Florida Real Estate Outlook

Page 1


2025 MARKET OUTLOOK

MIAMI-DADE I BROWARD I PALM BEACH
DOWNTOWN MIAMI

DOWNTOWN FORT LAUDERDALE

HOW

DID SOUTH FLORIDA BECOME THE PLACE TO BE?

The Effect of Interest Rates on Buying Power

The Tax Factor

Internal Migrations

Averages

THE STATES WINNING AND LOSING THE POPULATION GAME.

2 STATES LOST POPULATION BETWEEN JULY 1, 2023 AND JULY 1, 2024.

FLORIDA’S POPULATION GREW DURING THE SAME

PERIOD BY 463,347 “NET” NEW PERMANENT RESIDENTS (1,280 PER DAY).

U.S. "NET" PERSON GAINS (LOSSES)

Note: The estimates are developed from a base that integrates the 2020 Census, Vintage 2020 estimates, and (for the U.S. only) 2020 Demographic Analysis estimates. For population estimates methodology statements, see https://www.census.gov/programs-sur

veys/popest/technical-documentation/methodology.html. See Geographic Terms and Definitions at https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/guidance-geographies/terms-and-definitions.html for a list of the states that are included in each region. All geographic boundaries for the 2024 population estimates series are as of July 1, 2024.

Internal Migrations

4-Year Period

THE STATES WINNING AND LOSING THE POPULATION GAME.

7 STATES LOST POPULATION BETWEEN JULY 1, 2020 AND JULY 1, 2024.

FLORIDA’S POPULATION GREW DURING THE 4-YEAR PERIOD BY 1,780,180 “NET” NEW PERMANENT RESIDENTS (1,219 PER DAY).

U.S.

"NET" PERSON GAINS (LOSSES) OVER THE 4-YEAR PERIOD BETWEEN JULY1, 2020 AND JULY 1, 2024

Note: The estimates are developed from a base that integrates the 2020 Census, Vintage 2020 estimates, and (for the U.S. only) 2020 Demographic Analysis estimates. For population estimates methodology statements, see https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/technical-documentation/methodology.html. See Geographic Terms and Definitions at https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/guidance-geographies/terms-and-definitions.html for a list of the states that are included in each region. All geographic boundaries for the 2024 population estimates series are as of July 1, 2024.

Who is moving to South Florida?

MIGRATION TO FLORIDA IN 2024 BASED ON DRIVER LICENSE EXCHANGES

Driver License exchanges from residents who moved to Florida between January 1 and December 31, 2024 and other countries or US territories.

Number of Driver License Exchanges in 2024

Top origins of Out-of-State Driver License Exchanges in 2024 in Miami-Dade County
Top origins of Out-of-State Driver License Exchanges in 2024 in Broward County
Top origins of Out-of-State Driver License Exchanges in 2024 in Palm Beach County

The Exchange Rate

DECEMBER 2023 VS. DECEMBER 2024

Source: Oanda.com. Data accessedDEC 31, 2024.

Unlock Your Profit Potential

The Median Sold Price of A Single-Family Home within Miami-Dade County Has Increased 353% Over the Past 14 Years –from $150,000 to $680,000.

Single-Family Homes

Miami-Dade County, Florida

15-Year Overview

The months of supply of available inventory of single-family homes across Miami-Dade County began increasing in the spring of 2022, when interest rates began rising from the 3%-range to the 7%-range.

Highest median price prior to

Unlock Your Profit Potential

The Median Sold Price of A Condominium within Miami-Dade County Has Increased 373% Over the Past 14 Years –from $92,000 to $435,000, but prices adjusted up & down during 2024.

Condominiums

Including Condos, Co-ops, Villas and Townhomes

Miami-Dade County, Florida 15-Year Overview

The months of supply of available inventory of condominiums across Miami-Dade County began increasing in the spring of 2022, when interest rates began rising from the 3%-range to the 7%-range.

Highest median price prior to falling prices during recession March 2007 - $265,000

A 15 YEAR LOOKBACK AT NUMBER OF SALES (2010

- 2024)

A 15 YEAR LOOKBACK AT NUMBER OF SALES (2010 - 2024)

I-395 Miami Bridge Project

Completion: Late 2027

The Overall Market

The Overall Market (All Prices) | Single Family Homes

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

BROWARD COUNTY

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

PALM BEACH COUNTY

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

The Overall Market (All Prices) | Condominiums

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

BEACH

COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS BROWARD COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

The Under $1 Million Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES BROWARD COUNTY

BEACH COUNTY

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

The Under $1 Million Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

BROWARD COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

PALM BEACH COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

The Over $1 Million Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES BROWARD COUNTY

PALM BEACH COUNTY

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

661 SALES VS.

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

The Over $1 Million Market

PALM

BEACH

COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS BROWARD COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

Market Data By Price Segment

MIAMI-DADE I BROWARD I PALM BEACH

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

The Under $500,000 Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

BROWARD COUNTY SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

PALM BEACH COUNTY

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

The Under $500,000 Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

PALM BEACH COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS BROWARD COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY

BROWARD COUNTY

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

PALM BEACH COUNTY

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

The $500,000 - $999,000 Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

CONDOMINIUMS BROWARD COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

BEACH COUNTY

The $1 Million - $1.999 Million Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY

BROWARD COUNTY

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES PALM BEACH COUNTY

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

414

The $1 Million - $1.999 Million Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

BEACH COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS BROWARD COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

The $2 Million - $2.999 Million Market

COUNTY

HOMES

BEACH COUNTY

The $2 Million - $2.999 Million Market

COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

CONDOMINIUMS

CONDOMINIUMS

The $3 Million - $4.999 Million Market

COUNTY

HOMES

BEACH COUNTY

HOMES

The $3 Million - $4.999 Million Market

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

BEACH

COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS BROWARD COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

201

The $5 Million - $9.999 Million Market

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES BROWARD COUNTY

PALM BEACH COUNTY

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

365

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

CONDOMINIUMS

90

PALM BEACH COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

The $10 Million and Higher Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES BROWARD COUNTY

PALM BEACH COUNTY

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

239

The $10 Million and Higher Market

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

PALM BEACH COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS BROWARD COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

37

38

The Rental Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

10% NO. OF HOMES FOR RENT IN THE MLS

1,778 ON DEC 31, 2024 VS. 1,624 ON DEC 31, 2023

BROWARD COUNTY

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

9% 3.8 MONTHS VS. 3.5 MONTHS

Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

CLOSED SINGLE-FAMILY RENTALS IN THE MLS

1,437 RENTALS VS. 1,407 RENTALS

Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023 TOTAL RENTALS

9% NO. OF HOMES FOR RENT IN THE MLS 1,687 ON DEC 31, 2024 VS. 1,542 ON DEC 31, 2023

10% CLOSED SINGLE-FAMILY RENTALS IN THE MLS

1,208 RENTALS VS. 1,335 RENTALS

Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023 TOTAL RENTALS

The Rental Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

8%

BROWARD COUNTY CONDOMINIUMS

7,735 ON DEC 31, 2024 VS. 7,158 ON DEC 31, 2023 INVENTORY

TOTAL RENTALS

6%

NO. OF CONDOS FOR RENT IN THE MLS

CLOSED CONDO RENTALS IN THE MLS

6,310 RENTALS VS. 6,689 RENTALS

Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

19% 3.8 MONTHS VS. 3.2 MONTHS

Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

2%

VS. $2,850

23%

NO. OF CONDOS FOR RENT IN THE MLS

7,765 ON DEC 31, 2024 VS. 6,325 ON DEC 31, 2023 INVENTORY

TOTAL RENTALS

6%

CLOSED CONDOS RENTALS IN THE MLS

5,747 RENTALS VS. 6,108 RENTALS

Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

Market Data By City

AVENTURA

The Aventura Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

BAL HARBOUR

The Bal Harbour Market

BOCA RATON

The Boca Raton Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

8

The Brickell Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023 (Zip Codes 33129, 33130, 33131)

COCONUT GROVE

The Coconut Grove Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023 (Zip Code 33133)

3.1

The Cooper City Market

CORAL GABLES

The Coral Gables Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

CUTLER BAY

The Cutler Bay Market

DAVIE

2.9

The Davie Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

The Doral Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

FORT LAUDERDALE

The Fort Lauderdale Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

GOLDEN BEACH

NO. OF HOMES FOR SALE IN THE MLS

0 ON DEC 31, 2024 VS. 0 ON DEC 31, 2023

The Golden Beach Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

0 MONTHS VS. 0 MONTHS

Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

OF HOMES FOR SALE IN THE MLS 28 ON DEC 31, 2024 VS. 29 ON DEC 31, 2023

MONTHS

The Hallandale Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

HOLLYWOOD

The Hollywood Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

The Homestead Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

KEY BISCAYNE

0

The Key Biscayne Market COMPARING Q4

2024 VS. Q4 2023

CITY OF MIAMI

The City of Miami Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

BEACH

MIAMI

The Miami Beach Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

MIAMI LAKES

4.9

The Miami Lakes Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

MIAMI SHORES

The Miami Shores Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

PALMETTO BAY

The Palmetto Bay Market COMPARING

Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

The Pinecrest Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

SOUTH MIAMI

The South Miami Market

SOUTHWEST RANCHES

The Southwest Ranches Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

SUNNY ISLES BEACH

0

The Sunny Isles Beach Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

0

The Surfside Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

The Wellington Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

4.2

The Weston Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

WEST PALM BEACH

The West Palm Beach Market

COMPARING Q4 2024 VS. Q4 2023

GROWING INVENTORY IN 2025

JANUARY 2025 MEDIAN PRICE VS.

MONTHS OF INVENTORY

GROWING INVENTORY IN 2025 REPORT CONDOMINIUMS

JANUARY 2025

MEDIAN PRICE VS. MONTHS OF INVENTORY

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