Mackerras US Pendulum Electing Donald Trump 2016
REPUBLICAN STATES
STATES ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTE MAJORITY
530 527 520 516 513 505 496 490 479 475 469 466 460 452
19.9 19.3 18.4 16.0 15.7 14.4 14.3 13.7 13.6 12.4 11.2 11.2 10.2 10.2
441 431 425 422
Missouri Mississippi Alaska South Carolina
5.6 5.1
406 368
Maine District Iowa
4.8 4.3
350
%
20
North Dakota Oklahoma Idaho South Dakota Kentucky Alabama Arkansas Tennessee Nebraska Utah Montana Kansas Louisiana Indiana
9.9 9.1 8.4 7.5
413 412
%
Wyoming West Virginia
45.7
3
Hawaii California Vermont Massachusetts Maryland New York
17.5 16.2 15.2 14.7 14.1 11.8
7 62 65 76 86 115
Illinois Washington Rhode Island New Jersey Connecticut Oregon
9.1 8.8 8.4 7.3 7.2 6.2
135 147 151 165 172 179
Delaware
6.0
182
New Mexico
4.7
187
20
10
10
6
6
5
5
4
4
3
3 Needed to Win
Georgia
270
2 1
ina
arol th C Nor
1.9
a
zon Ari
1.9 9
31
k
as br
str
i aD
2.9
200
Colorado
2.7
209
1 Ma
ine
Ne
Ne
va d
1.6 21
a
1.3
nia Michigan
sylv a Pen n
0.4
248
268
51.11%
8 22
0.2
ida Wis con sin
Flo r
0.5
0.9
0.7
ta
eso
8
232
278
nn
21
0.2
30 7
Mi
shire
o m
Rep
p Ham
De
W in
2
1.3
New
8
cr at ic
Virginia
2
ict
30
48.89%
District of Columbia
Texas Ohio
2.7
334
20 1 232
SWING TO REPUBLICANS
25.8 22.2
STATES DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTE
SWING TO DEMOCRATS
538 535
DEMOCRATIC STATES
30 306 74
ubli ca l W in
Result of US Presidential Election, November 8, 2016, The percentage swings have been taken from the table overleaf.
KEY
Swing required
4.8 to take state 406
Cumulative electral college vote