Investment Market Dynamics Q1 2025

Page 1


Investment

MarketDynamics

Keytrends

1 2

Globalinvestmentcontinuestoexpand

Globalrealestateinvestmentcontinuestogrow, drivenbyanincrease inlarge-scaletransactions byinstitutionalinvestorsamidliquiddebtmarket. Intermsofsectors,investmentinmultifamily housingcontinuestogrow,andinvestmentin officesisalsoexpandingduetostabilizing occupier demand.

3

Investmentopportunitiesincrease.

Thenumberofinvestorssellingpropertiesis increasingduetochangesintheinvestment environmentwithrisingprices andinterestrates. InJapan,whereinterestratesremainlow comparedtoEuropeandtheUnitedStates, investmentdemandfromvariousinvestors, includingdomesticlifeinsurance companiesand Asianinvestors,remainsstrong,andthereal estateinvestmentmarketcontinuestothrive.

Japan’sinvestment volumeexceedsJPY twotrillioninonequarter.

Withanincrease insalesoflargepropertiesamid continuedstronginvestordemand,investment volumeinonequarterexceeded JPYtwotrillion forthefirsttime.InvestmentinTokyoCBD,where largeofficeandretailtransactionswereseen, accountedforahigh61%oftotaldomestic investmentvolume.Tokyorankedfirstinthe globalcityinvestmentranking.

4

Outlook

Despitegrowingeconomicuncertaintycentered in theUnitedStates,nomajorchangeshavebeen observed intherealestateinvestmentmarket, andtheimpactontheJapaneserealestate market isexpected tobeminor.Duetoincreased investmentopportunitiesandrobustdemand, realestateinvestmentvolumein2025isexpected toexceed thatof2024,reachingnearlyJPYsix trillion.

Historicalglobalinvestmentvolume

investmentvolume

• Globalrealestateinvestment volume increased 34% y-o-ytoUSD185billionin1Q25.

• TransactionsintheAmericaswere up37%y-o-y; in EMEA(Europe, theMiddleEastandAfrica),theywere up41%y-o-y; andinAsia-Pacific,theywere up20%yo-y. Severalfactorscoalesced todrivecontinued growthinactivity,including liquiddebtmarkets, increased institutionalbidding activity,agradual uptickintransactionsofscale,andariseincrossborder transactions.

• InAsia-Pacific,Japan, SouthKorea, Australiaand Singapore performed well,whileChinasawa33%yo-ydecrease intransactionactivity.Unlikeother marketsacrosstheglobe, theofficesectorwasa majorcontributor toy-o-ygrowth inAsiaPacific, notablyinJapanandSouthKorea

Source:JLL

• In1Q25,domestic realestateinvestment volume was up28%q-o-q and23%y-o-y toJPY2,095.2billion (USD13.7billion,up20%y-o-y).

• Investment volume inasinglequarterexceeded JPY twotrillionforthefirsttimesinceJLLbegantracking in2007.Thiswaspartlyduetotransactionsofsome largeofficesincludingTokyo Garden Terrace Kioicho andlargeretailfacilitiessuchasTokyuPlazaGinza.

Source:JLL

Globalcityrankingbyinvestment volume

Globalcityranking

• In1Q25,byglobalcityinvestment ranking,Tokyo rankedfirstwithatotalinvestment volume ofUSD 11.0billion.Tokyo remains infirstplace,asitdidin thesameperiod lastyear.

• Osakaranked39thplacewithaninvestment volume ofUSD0.9billionin1Q25,asignificantdrop fromthe previous year,when itremained withinthetop20 throughouttheyear.

Source:JLL

Historicalinboundinvestmentvolume

Inboundinvestments

• Inbound investment, whichisthepurchasevolume of realestatebyoverseasinvestors, wasJPY633.1billion in1Q25,up3.7timesfrom JPY177.3billioninthe sameperiod lastyear.Duetolarge-scaletransactions, including Tokyo Garden Terrace Kioicho andTokyu PlazaGinza,investment volumeinthefirstquarter wasthehighestsinceJLLbegan trackingin2007.

• Theshareofinbound investment in1Q25was32%, thefirsttimea1Qfigurehasexceeded 30%since 2020. Source:JLL

Historicalinvestment volumesharebySector

Sectoranalysis

• Theshareofofficeinvestment in1Q25was58%with aninvestment volume ofJPY1,210billion,upfrom 51%inthesameperiod oftheprevious year.Thisis thefirsttimethatinvestment volumesinasingle quarterhaveexceeded JPYone trillionsince1Q15.

• Theshareofretailinvestment was16%,with investment volumesexceeding JPY300billionforthe firsttimesince1Q15.

• Logisticsfacilityandhoteltransactionsfellsharply, accounting for6%and11%ofthetotaldomestic investment volume, respectively.

• Theshareofmultifamilyhousingremained thesame asin1Q24at9%.

Source:JLL

Historicalinvestment volumesharebylocation

Locationanalysis

• Tokyo CBD,whichsawmultiplelargeofficeandretail transactionsin1Q25,accounted for61%ofthetotal domestic investment volume, exceeding 60%forthe firsttimesince1Q18.Thisisthefirsttimesince4Q07 thatinvestment volume intheTokyo CBDinasingle quarterhasexceeded JPYone trillion.

• TheshareofGreaterTokyo (excluding Tokyo), comprising Chiba,SaitamaandKanagawa prefectures, whichwasaffected byadecrease in transactionsoflogisticsfacilities,was8%,down from 9%inthesameperiod lastyear.

• TheshareofGreaterOsakawas6%,down significantlyfromthepreviousyearwhenitrecorded itshighestshare.

TokyoCBD(5-ku)

Tokyo(Excluding5-ku)

GreaterTokyo(ExcludingTokyo)

GreaterOsaka GreaterNagoya GreaterFukuoka

Other

Source:JLL

Note:TokyoCBC(5-kus)referstoChiyoda-ku,Chuo-ku,Minato-ku,Shinjuku-kuandShibuya-ku;GreaterTokyoreferstoTokyo,Chiba,SaitamaandKanagawa;GreaterNagoyareferstoAichi, GifuandMie;GreaterOsakareferstoOsaka,Hyogo,KyotoandNara; GreaterFukuokareferstoFukuoka,Saga,Nagasaki,Kumamoto,Oita,Miyazaki,KagoshimaandOkinawa.

JonesLangLaSalleK.K.

Tokyo Headquarters

KioiTower,

Tokyo Garden Terrace Kioicho

1-3Kioi-cho Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 102-0094

+81343611800

Kansai

Nippon Life

Yodoyabashi Building

3-5-29KitahamaChuo-ku, Osaka541-0041

+81676628400

Fukuoka

FukuokaDaimyoGardenCity

2-6-50Daimyo, Chuo-ku,Fukuoka-shi

Fukuoka810-0041

+81922336801

Nagoya

JPTowerNagoya

1-1-1Meieki, Nakamura-ku,Nagoya-shi

Aichi450-6321

+81528563357

Formoreinformation,pleasecontact

Takeshi Akagi

Japan

takeshi.akagi@jll.com

COPYRIGHT ©JONESLANGLASALLEIP,INC.2025

ManabuTaniguchi

Japan

manabu.taniguchi@jll.com

TomomiKemmochi Senior Manager Research

Japan

tomomi.kemmochi@jll.com

KojiNaito

ResearchDirector

CapitalMarkets

Japan

koji.naito@jll.com

Thisreporthasbeenpreparedsolelyforinformationpurposesanddoesnotnecessarilypurporttobeacompleteanalysisofthetopicsdiscussed,whichareinherentlyunpredictable. It has been based on sources we believe to be reliable, but we have not independently verified those sources and we do not guarantee that the information in the report is accurate or complete. Any views expressed in the report reflect our judgment at this date and are subject to change without notice. Statements that are forward-looking involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause future realities to be materially different from those implied by such forward-looking statements Advice we give to clients in particularsituationsmaydifferfromtheviewsexpressed inthisreport. Noinvestment orotherbusinessdecisions shouldbemade basedsolelyontheviewsexpressed inthisreport.

Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.