The Luxury Report | Q1 + March 2025 Real Estate Market | Montecito/Hope Ranch/Santa Barbara

Page 1


MARCH+Q1 20 25

Hello Everyone -

Let’s jump into our latest Luxury Report highlighting Q1 and March 2025 trends for the South Santa Barbara County residential real estate market.

While we can’t ignore the explosive headlines and volatility that continues to unfold in our financial markets, the impact on our local real estate market remains limited. Over the first quarter 2025, well positioned properties attracted attention and we enjoyed a 14% increase in total transactions at 311 sales during Q1. We saw that buyers are ready to act when homes are in desirable areas and priced strategically. Along with the uptick in number of sales, the median sold price for SFHs remained strong during Q1 at $2,795,000 and 40% (101 sales) of transactions were all cash. We can help you get your home ready and price your home competitively the first time to attract enthusiastic buyers so you benefit from the best and highest price possible. Pricing your home correctly matters and listing too high often brings the seller a disappointing lower sold price.

OFF MARKET | Notably, 18% (56 sales) of homes traded privately off market, showing it matters who you partner with in your home search. We have been successful in putting many deals together privately by networking extensively with other top agents and being “in the know” when a homeowner prefers a quieter sale. In addition, our Compass Private Exclusive program allows us to share off market properties with our clients directly and we are always delighted to share them with you. Contact us for a link to our current inventory which changes daily.

INSIGHT | At one point or another, you’ve probably heard someone say, “Yesterday was the best time to buy a home, but the next best time is today.”

LUXURY MARKET | During Q1, we saw a 66% surge in the number of transactions over Q1 2024 in our Luxury Market with 68 homes trading in Montecito—26 in January, 20 in February and 22 in March. There were 16 properties that traded over $10M with the high sale of $30,000,000 at 956 Mariposa Lane. We point this out because these high dollar Luxury Sales elevate the median sales price for the entire area. Regardless of the increasing median sales price, we encourage our buyers not to get discouraged. There are still good values out there and we can help you sort through the increased inventory to find “investment grade” properties, in desirable areas that will continue to be a good decision regardless which way the market trends. In this highly competitive market—experience matters. We offer extensive market knowledge, world-class marketing and concierge level professional service with complete confidentiality to our clients. Our proven track record of success includes skills necessary to put complicated deals together and negotiate the price and terms that will get your home sold for a premium price and your offer accepted on your replacement property—even amongst multiple offers. Looking for professional + creative results-oriented representation—reach out for a confidential conversation and strategic marketing plan. Let’s Talk!

2025 Los Angeles Magazine

REAL ESTATE ALL STARS

“We are delighted and honored to be recognized as one of the TOP AGENTS in the Montecito area on Los Angeles Magazine’s 2025 All Stars list. It would be our pleasure to include you and your family as one of our valued clients and hopefully new friends ! Please reach out for a confidential conversation about your real estate goals

- Randy Haden and Molly Haden

With tens of thousands of real estate agents working in Los Angeles and surrounding communities, choosing the right one can be a daunting task. Buying a home shouldn’t be as stressful as driving a car without brakes, which is why we commissioned Professional Research Services to contact residential real estate companies—big and small—in the region and collect the names of its top performing agents within a 12-month period.

Now a home purchase of this significance no longer needs to be a gamble. Peace of mind is the least we can offer. Making your house a home is up to you!

LINK to magazine

Some Agents Know The Market

Good Agents Understand The Market

-

southSANTA BARBARA COUNTY

Q1 REPORT 2025 | In Review

Single Family Homes + Condominiums

+14% change over Q1/YTD 2024

311

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

TOTAL 2025 SALES

+17% change over 2024

225

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

+25% increase over 2024

$4,196,362

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

+27% increase over 2024

$2,795,000

CONDOMINIUM HOMES

TOTAL 2025 SALES

+6% change over 2024

86

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

+40% change over 2024

$1,474,947

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

+32% change over 2024

$1,197,500

-

southSANTA BARBARA COUNTY

MARCH 2025 | In Review

Single Family Homes + Condominiums +11% change over 2024

111

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

TOTAL SALES

+3% change over 2024

79

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

+52% increase over 2024

$4,340,670

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

+35% increase over 2024

$2,827,000

TOTAL AVERAGE DAY ON MARKET

53 SOLD TO ORIGINAL LIST PRICE

CONDOMINIUM HOMES

TOTAL SALES +39% change over 2024

32

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

+9% change over 2024

$1,333,587

MEDIAN SALES PRICE +14% change over 2024

$1,187,500

TOTAL AVERAGE DAY ON MARKET

41 SOLD TO ORIGINAL LIST PRICE

$3,443,816

$2,008,839

SANTA BARBARA COUNTY

2 Year Month over Month Comparison

$3,473,763

$2,075,000

SANTA BARBARA COUNTY

- south -

SANTA BARBARA COUNTY

- homes | estates | puds (excludes condos) -

LISTINGS + SOLD ANALYSIS YTD Totals | 2018-2025

INSIGHT | Is Inventory And Sales Moving Toward a More Normalized Market - Or Could This Just be a Moment in Time?

LUXURY MARKET Q1 2025 + OUTLOOK

The demand for ultra-luxury estate homes in our beautiful coastal community remains robust, as affluent buyers from around the globe are drawn to Montecito and Santa Barbara.

SECONDARY + VACATION HOMES | Our market has seen a continued rise in demand for properties as a secondary or vacation home as more buyers prioritize lifestyle-driven purchases. Montecito and Hope Ranch have experienced heightened interest with people seeking serene retreats offering exceptional climate, outdoor amenities, privacy and year-round recreation. We offer the perfect balance between luxury living and natural beauty, making it attractive to second-home buyers and those seeking a peaceful escape.

LUXURY MARKET SALES VOLUME | 68 properties traded in Montecito through Q1 2025—up 66% from the 41 properties that traded during the same time in 2024. (26 in January, 20 in February and 22 in March).

LUXURY MARKET SOLD PRICE | A total of 16 properties have traded over $10M so far in 2025, with 11 of these sales in Montecito, Of these, 8 traded for $20M or more. This is a remarkable increase over the 6 properties that traded over $10M during the same time period 2024—over double making it a 167% increase. The high 2025 sale of $30,000,000 was at 956 Mariposa Lane in Montecito.

LUXURY MARKET OFF-MARKET ACTIVITY | Off-market deals are thriving as evidenced by 19% of the 68 homes in Montecito trading off market during Q1. We have been successful in putting many deals together privately by networking extensively with other top agents and being “in the know” when a homeowner prefers a quieter sale. In addition, our Compass Private Exclusive program allows us to list your home privately and share off market properties with our clients directly. And we are always delighted to share them with you. Contact us for a link to our current inventory.

- 2025 Sales ListULTRA LUXURY

The Demand Luxury our Beautiful Community as Affluent Around to Montecito Barbara Climate, Privacy, Community.

Demand for UltraLuxury Estate Homes in Beautiful Coastal Community Remains Robust, Affluent Buyers from Around the Globe are Drawn Montecito and Santa Barbara for our Exceptional Climate, Outdoor Activities, Privacy, Safety and Vibrant Community.

AVAILABLE PROPERTIES

- LISTED WITHIN THE IN PAST 30 DAYS -

Check out our carefully curated Compass Collection which includes properties we consider to be exceptional, excellent investments and/or good values - call/text/email for details or a private showing at 805.880.6530.

These properties are available at time of publication, but the market is still moving fast due to historically low inventory. Stay ahead of the market by getting in touch for a list of the most up to inventory—including Compass Private Exclusives (off market) and Coming Soon homes that are not available below or on public search sites.

MONTECITO

Q1 REPORT 2025 | In Review

Single Family Homes + Condominiums

+66% change over Q1 2024 (41 total sales 2024)

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

TOTAL 2025 SALES 46% change over 2024

57

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

+0% increase over 2024

$7,817,537

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

+9% increase over 2024

$5,905,268

TOTAL AVERAGE DAY ON MARKET

68 CONDOMINIUM HOMES

TOTAL 2025 SALES 450% change over 2024

11

AVERAGE SALES PRICE -4% change over 2024

$2,969,762

MEDIAN SALES PRICE -19% change over 2024

$2,500,000

80 SOLD TO ORIGINAL LIST PRICE 93%

MARCH 2025 | In Review

Single Family Homes + Condominiums (combined sales)

22

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

-6% change over 2024

$6,148,568

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

+8% change over 2024

$5,550,000

TOTAL AVERAGE DAY ON MARKET

HIGHEST SALES PRICE

1603 Posilipo Lane Montecito CA 93108

$22,000,000

LOWEST SALES PRICE

1220 Coast Village Road, Unit 201 Montecito CA 93108

$1,375,000 Condominium Home

76 SOLD TO ORIGINAL LIST PRICE 95%

MONTECITO Q1 2025 | 67 TRANSACTIONS

ADDRESS LIST PRICE SOLD PRICE% LIST DOM JANUARY / 26 TRANSACTIONS

956 Mariposa Lane

788 San Ysidro Lane

1174 Glenview Road

175 Tiburon Bay Lane

1260 East Mountain Dr

$35,000,000 $30,000,000 86% 105

$23,500,000 $23,500,000 97% 1

$21,000,000 $21,000,000 100 1

$22,500,000 $20,000,000 89% 1

$19,950,000 $17,000,000 85% 191

321 Ennisbrook Drive $14,850,000 $14,850,000 100% 1

630 Stonehouse Lane $11,250,000 $11,250,000 100% 121

581 Freehaven Drive $11,950,000 $9,987,500 84% 110

750 Picacho Lane $12,000,000 $8,250,000 69% 307

1556 San Leandro Ln

1586 San Leandro Ln

$7,800,000

$8,250,000 106% 14

$8,950,000 $8,125,000 91% 170

1473 Bonnymede Drive $8,695,000 $7,080,000 81% 224

1319 Plaza Pacifica $6,600,000

84 Seaview Drive

180 Olive Mill Road

$6,450,000 98% 21

$6,250,000 $5,900,000 94% 39

$4,875,000 $4,672,700 96% 71

2775 East Valley Road $4,750,000 $4,477,900 94% 125

387 Ortega Ridge Rd $5,795,000 $4,264,500 74% 87

735 Oak Grove Drive $4,220,000 $4,220,000 100% 1

150 Coronada Circle $4,250,000 $3,995,000 94% 165

588 Paso Robles Drive $3,785,000 $3,350,000 89% 169

115 Coronada Circle $3,195,000 $3,000,000 94% 20

171 Hermosillo Road

64 Olive Mill Road

1002 Fairway Road

$3,200,000 $2,900,000 91% 9

$2,628,000 $2,538,880 97% 327

$2,500,000 $2,500,000 100% 1

1362 Plaza Pacifica $2,195,000 $1,850,000 84% 204

1308 Plaza De Sonadores $2,195,000 $1,725,000 79% 279

FEBRUARY / 20 TRANSACTIONS

308 Ennisbrook Drive $22,800,000 $22,800,000 100% 1

848 Rockingbridge Rd $9,900,000 $9,900,000 100% 1

207 Eucalyptus Hill Dr $9,700,000 $8,287,500 85% 191

840 Riven Rock Road $6,995,000 $7,000,000 100% 191

746 Ashley Road $6,500,000 $6,500,000 100% 1

1968 Inverness Lane $6,350,000 $6,400,000 101% 5

145 Olive Mill Lane $6,495,000 $5,905,268 91% 159

135 Pomar Lane $5,795,000 $5,850,000 101% 5

1106 Dulzura Drive

$5,850,000 $5,600,000 96% 112

1530 Miramar Lane $5,495,000 $5,325,000 97% 1

231 Middle Road $5,650,000 $5,275,000 93% 63

505 El Bosque Road $4,500,000 $4,400,000 98% 7

23 Seaview Drive $3,450,000 $3,550,000 103% 23

49 Cedar Lane $2,995,000 $3,250,000 109% 4

804 Ayala Lane $3,495,000 $3,150,000 90% 43

173 Cedar Lane $3,195,000 $3,095,000 97% 27

1378 Sycamore Cyn Rd $1,895,000 $2,203,000 116% 11 1220 Coast Vllg Rd 212 $1,850,000 $1,825,000 99% 103

Cedar Lane $1,795,000 $1,786,215 100% 1 1863 Barker Pass Road $1,599,000 $1,760,000 110% 5

ADDRESS LIST PRICE SOLD PRICE% LIST DOM MARCH / 22 TRANSACTIONS

1603 Posilipo Lane $22,000,000 $22,000,000 100% 1 910 Buena Vista Drive $14,750,000 $12,750,000 86% 280

Crocker Sperry Dr $10,500,000 $10,500,000 100% 1 210 San Ysidro Road $8,280,000 $8,280,000 100% 1 712 Ashley Road $8,150,000 $7,400,000

- homes | estates | puds | condosQ1 REPORT 2025 | TOTAL SALES Distributed by Price Range

sales

Q1 2025 TOTAL SALES

68 Total Transactions Dollars In Millions

YTD SALES ALL CASH 38 of the 68 Total Sales

19% YTD SALES OFF MARKET 13 of the 68 Total Sales

$7,033,338

$5,462,000

345 SIERRA VISTA ROAD | MONTECITO

HOPE RANCH

Q1+MARCH 2025 | In Review Residential Real Estate Update

HOPE RANCH

Q1 REPORT 2025 | In Review

Single Family Homes (no condos in Hope Ranch)

+166% change over Q1 2024 (3 total sales 2024)

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

TOTAL 2025 SALES

-15% change over 2024

8

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

+23% increase over 2024

$7,563,750

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

+2% increase over 2024

$6,775,000

TOTAL AVERAGE DAY ON MARKET

8 CONDOMINIUM HOMES

No Condos in Hope Ranch N/A

AVERAGE SALES PRICE N/A

MEDIAN SALES PRICE N/A

SOLD TO ORIGINAL LIST PRICE 93%

HOPE RANCH

MARCH 2025 | In Review

Single Family Homes (no condos in Hope Ranch)

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

+46% change from 2024

$9,695,000

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

+25% change from 2024

$8,287,500

TOTAL AVERAGE DAY ON MARKET

4

HIGHEST SALES PRICE

4187 Cresta Avenue

Hope Ranch CA 93110

$18,405,000

LOWEST SALES PRICE

926 Canon Road

Hope Ranch CA 93110

$3,800,000

172 SOLD TO ORIGINAL LIST PRICE 95%

HOPE RANCH Q1 2025 | 8 TRANSACTIONS

HOPE RANCH

- homes | estates | pudsQ1 REPORT 2025 | TOTAL SALES

Distributed by Price Range

Q1 2025 TOTAL SALES

8 Total Transactions Dollars In Millions 8 sales

$7,563,750 $6,775,000

SANTA BARBARA

BARBARA

SANTA BARBARA

Q1 REPORT 2025 | In Review

Single Family Homes + Condominiums

+3% change over Q1 2024 (125 total sales 2024)

129

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

TOTAL 2025 SALES

+21% change over 2024

93

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

+25% increase over 2024

$2,983,176

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

+26% increase over 2024

$2,655,000

CONDOMINIUM HOMES

TOTAL 2025 SALES -13% change over 2024

36

AVERAGE SALES PRICE +28% change over 2024

$1,444,758

MEDIAN SALES PRICE +23% change over 2024

$1,244,500

SANTA BARBARA

MARCH 2025 | IN REVIEW

Single Family Homes + Condominiums (combined sales)

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

+31% change over 2024

$2,818,635

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

+16% change over 2024

$2,083,000

HIGHEST SALES PRICE

845 Sea Ranch Drive Santa Barbara CA 93109

$23,000,000

LOWEST SALES PRICE

2727 Miradero Drive 309 Santa Barbara CA 93101

$765,000 Condominium Home

Q1 REPORT 2025 | In Review

Single Family Homes + Condominiums

+500% change over Q1 2024 (1 total sales 2024)

6

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

TOTAL 2025 SALES

+33% change over 2024

4

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

-30% increase over 2024

$2,587,750

MEDIAN SALES PRICE -25% increase over 2024

$2,792,000

CONDOMINIUM HOMES

TOTAL 2025 SALES -75% change over 2024

2

AVERAGE SALES PRICE n/a increase over 2024

$1,871,000

MEDIAN SALES PRICE n/a increase over 2024

$1,871,000

MARCH 2025 | IN REVIEW

Single Family Homes + Condominiums (combined sales)

3

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

n/a change over 2024

$2,537,000

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

n/a change over 2024

$2,559,000

HIGHEST SALES PRICE

2322 Whitney Avenue Summerland CA 93067

$3,135,000

LOWEST SALES PRICE 255 Lambert Road Summerland CA 93067

$1,917,000

CARPINTERIA

Q1 REPORT 2025 | In Review

Single Family Homes + Condominiums

+26% change over Q1 2024 (23 total sales 2024)

29

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

TOTAL 2025 SALES -18% change over 2024

12

AVERAGE SALES PRICE +133% increase over 2024

$3,928,334

MEDIAN SALES PRICE +54% increase over 2024

$1,990,000

CONDOMINIUM HOMES

TOTAL 2025 SALES +22% change over 2024

17

AVERAGE SALES PRICE +30% change over 2024

$1,045,515

MEDIAN SALES PRICE +1% change over 2024

$808,000

CARPINTERIA

MARCH 2025 | IN REVIEW

Single Family Homes + Condominiums (combined sales)

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

+55% change over 2024

$2,231,667

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

+12% change over 2024

$1,465,000

HIGHEST SALES PRICE

1840 Cravens Lane

Carpinteria CA 93013

$10,500,000

LOWEST SALES PRICE

5956 Via Real Unit 3 Carpinteria CA 93013

$679,000 Condominium Home

GOLETA

GOLETA

Q1 REPORT 2025 | In Review

Single Family Homes + Condominiums -12% change over Q1 2024 (290 total sales)

71

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

TOTAL 2025 SALES

+31% change over 2024

51

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

+15% increase over 2024

$2,022,460

MEDIAN SALES PRICE -4% increase over 2024

$1,525,000

CONDOMINIUM HOMES

TOTAL 2025 SALES +21% change over 2024

20

AVERAGE SALES PRICE +5% change over 2024

$1,032,550

MEDIAN SALES PRICE +9% change over 2024

$980,000

MARCH 2025 | IN REVIEW

Single Family Homes + Condominiums (combined sales)

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

+26% change over 2024

$2,048,480

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

-10% change over 2024

$1,365,000

HIGHEST SALES PRICE

13600 Calle Real Goleta CA 93117

$18,000,888

LOWEST SALES PRICE

280 Moreton Bay Lane, #4 Goleta CA 93117

$605,000 Condominium Home

CONCIERGE Real Estate Service

EXPERT PERSPECTIVE

Now more than ever you need an expert advisor on your side who can provide comprehensive analysis and exclusive insights into today’s fast-paced housing market. We see every luxury property available and know the market. Our commitment to staying educated on what’s happening with economic news, the real estate market, local sales and listings is essential to your success when buying or selling properties.

CONCIERGE SERVICE

We strive to deliver a high level of personalized service—personally! We provide our clients with cutting-edge strategies that produce ideal results. Our exceptional service is driven by efficient communication, understanding your needs and having expansive industry resources— combined with expert knowledge of the extensive contracts and required forms to protect your best interests. The process comes together as a result of our years of successful negotiating which leads to a winning deal. We listen carefully, anticipate your needs, execute the deal and handle all the details. The hard work starts when a contract is in place so you will be happy you chose representation experienced in closing the deal smoothly.

COMMUNITY INVESTMENT

Sell a Home | Build a Home initiative. We are deeply connected and committed to the communities in which we live and work. Haden Homes Luxury Property Group has made a pledge to help individuals with housing needs by partnering with Habitat for Humanity. For every home that our clients buy or sell, Haden Homes makes a donation to Santa Barbara’s Habitat for Humanity.

DISCRETION

Privacy is the Ultimate Commodity And the Decision to Sell Your Home Is a Personal One.

FLEXIBILITY

Decide When to Share Details About Your Home - Including PriceMore Expansively On Your Own Timing.

QUALITY

Exclusive Exposure To Compass Agents, Including Premium Placements On Agent Facing Platform.

VALUE

Get the Best Offer by Testing The Market Privately to Gather Key Insights Without Your Listing Getting Stale or Overexposed.

COMPASS PRIVATE EXCLUSIVE LISTINGS

Ask Us About Our Exciting Private Exclusive Listings | Contact Us Live For details!

A Compass Private Exclusive listing is an off-market home that can be shared by a Compass agent directly with their colleagues and their buyers. Property details are not disseminated widely and won’t appear on public home search websites.

Listing your home as a private exclusive allows you to control what information is shared about you and your home while still getting exposure to top agents at Compass.

THE TALK IS 2025 DESIGN TRENDS/COMPASS + MORE

- click link for full article -

Selling a Dream Home Can Be a Nightmare | Too Much Personality Can Kill a Sale

Real Estate Experts Say the Market Will Change DRASTICALLY This Year And It Might Actually Be For Your Benefit

We Created This Kitchen Renovation Budget Tool to Save You from Costly Mistakes | Experts Reveal Exactly How Much You Should Plan to Spend—And Where to Splurge

The 9 Biggest and Best Kitchen Trends Now, According to Interior Design Pros

Understanding Warm Colors and Cool Colors Color Examples and How to Use Color Palettes at Home

Compass CEO Tops List of Real Estate’s Most Powerful Leaders

DATA SOURCES | LISTING DISCLOSURE

All information provided is deemed reliable but has not been verified. We do not guarantee it and recommend buyers make their own inquiries. Data source Fidelity National Title of Santa Barbara, CORT and Santa Barbara MLS. INdata Real Estate Market Reporting through March 2025.

Properties featured are courtesy of the Santa Barbara MLS and are available for sale at time of publication. They may be listed by brokers and/or agents other than Compass or Haden Homes Luxury Property Group. Contact us for details or to set up a private showing at 805.880.6530.

CHICAGO TITLE FIDELITY NATIONAL TITLE

SANTA BARBARA MLS

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