F E E D
focus
Table 1. Regional industrial compound feed (CPF) production, 2014 Region
High estimate [million metric tons]
Low estimate [million metric tons]
Europe & Russia
233.0
225.6
North America
206.4
193.0
Asia Pacific
350.0
Middle East & Africa
59.0
Latin America TOTAL
Table 2. Breakdown of industrialised animal feed consumption Animal species
High estimate [million mton]
Low estimate [million mton]
Total animal feed consumption (industrial + on-farm) [million mton]
Industrial CPF share of total consumption [%]
326.4
Poultry
439
426
500
85-90
54.7
Swine
256
248
354
70-75
146.8
145.0
Ruminants
196
194
283
65-70
995
945
Aqua
43
41
41
95-100
Pet
22
-
22
95-100
Source: Watt media (2014), FAO (2015), BIOMIN
Equine
11
-
-
-
Total
967
909
1200
-
Source: Watt media (2014), FAO (2015), BIOMIN
Figure 5. Estimated growth in broiler meat production (%) Source: USDA, 2015; Index Mundi, 2015
Figure 7. Swine production annual growth rate (%) Source: Index Mundi estimates, 2015, based on USDA data, 2015
Figure 6. Distribution of swine production by country (%) Source: USDA, 2015; Index Mundi, 2015
Belarus, South Korea, US, Canada and Brazil (8.89 percent; 4.69 percent, 4.29 percent, 1.77 percent; 1.51 percent respectively). The estimated growth in EU, Russia and Mexico is slightly above 0.5 percent. In China a more than six percent reduction is expected (Figure 7).
Figure 8. Estimated growth in dairy cow stock (%) Source: USDA, 2015; Index Mundi, 2015
Ruminants
Ruminants make up the third largest segment of the total global feed industry, consuming more than 280 million tons. Since intensification within the ruminant sector is highly variable the calculation is based on animal numbers and production stage (dairy, heifer, beef cattle), and on production intensification (extensive, semi-intensive, and intensive production). India, Brazil, China, USA and EU, the five biggest players in the dairy industry, account for 80 percent of total dairy livestock. India has more than 20 percent of the total dairy livestock. The biggest growth (1-2 percent) concerning dairy livestock is expected in China, India, Mexico, US and Brazil. In the EU the expected growth is around 0.5 percent. Russian market estimated to narrow by 3 percent (Figure 8). In case of beef production the biggest growth is expected from Belarus, India and from Central and South America contrary to
Figure 9. Estimated growth in beef production (%) Source: USDA, 2015; Index Mundi, 2015
China and Russia where markets are projected to narrow. North America and EU market estimated to grow only slightly in the following years (Figure 9). With human population growth and meat and dairy consumption all rising, livestock and compound feed production follow in turn. On a global level, meat and dairy production appears set to increase further in the coming years, though geographical differences mean that some markets will experience stronger growth than others.
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