Q4 | 2023

Newcastle and Hunter region
Commercial and Industrial OPPORTUNITIES
Welcome to the Q4 edition of the Commercial Collection, highlighting the latest range of commercial and industrial property opportunities available with Commercial Collective.
We have recently partnered with Stamford Capital, Australia’s leading commercial brokerage, to further provide our clients with the full range of services required for a successful commercial property transaction. We are pleased to share their financial insights about today’s commercial property environment.
The commercial property market has now caught up to the continuous cash rate increases over the past 14 months and the full impact of the uplift on the market is now being seen. Highly geared Commercial Real Estate (CRE) loans have been left exposed and some borrowers have been at risk of breaching lenders’ Interest Coverage Ratio (ICR) requirements. ICR has become the new hurdle in accessing debt.
Despite uncertainty remaining in market, the more recent five cash rate holds have returned some borrower confidence as borrowing costs have stabilised. Lenders’ benchmark rates have come down 0.50% from their peak, assisting with ICR compliance.
Even as we await the next RBA announcement, tipped to raise on Cup Day, experts agree that we are close to the peak cash rate, assisting to lift borrower and lender confidence.
In today’s market, non-banks are stepping up where banks have been unable to, offering higher leverage and less conditionality, with the percentage of transactions with non-bank lenders growing from just under 50% in FY20 to just under 80% last financial year.
Newcastle is viewed positively in the lending market, considered to be one of the stronger regional centres in Australia, due to its population growth, ties to industry and proximity to Sydney. Several large-scale projects ($100m plus) undertaken by Sydney based developers have been successfully delivered, helping to lift the profile of the region in the eyes of lenders, developers, and investors.
Industrial assets continue to be popular and have the broadest market appeal with lenders. Office is the only asset class struggling for traction with lenders as the work from home trend continues. However, this is less prevalent in the Newcastle market when compared to the larger capital cities.
Our experienced sales and leasing team are on hand to discuss any questions you have about the commercial and industrial market, and the opportunities available to you. With Stamford Capital’s experienced team partnering with us, we can put you in contact with an experienced brokerage that can assist you further in your research into current opportunities.


Dane Crawford Partner | CEO