ClimaParks - Climate change and management of protected areas | 33
variation, with indexes rising above 300. Slightly lower is the seasonal dependence in Bled (longer above-average season: May to October) and Kranjska Gora (winter season) (cf. Bradaškja, 2012, p. 10). Considering that the tourist season is at its highest in summer months when activities in nature, including visits to points of interest, are most popular, we can conclude that the seasonal character of tourist arrivals in the JA area will also be observed within the TNP area. On account of negative implications of seasonality on the natural and social environment, these figures should be considered in the planning of management practices. However, it is much more difficult to obtain detailed and accurate visitation data for TNP than for the JA area, since the data are relatively scarce and incomparable or fail to reflect the actual situation. The following chapters analyse visit to the attraction areas and information centres in the TNP, and overnight stays at the mountain huts and lodges in the park area.
the protected area. As shown in Table 2, visitation to TNP’s Information centres has been fluctuating from year to year, posting an overall negative trend at Dom Trenta and Pocar Homestead, and growing at Triglavska roža in Bled. Nevertheless, these data are not a good indicator of park visitation trends as they only cover the visitors who either see the exhibitions or attend organized events. A considerable part of the first visitor segment is taken up by school groups rather than individual tourists and regular park visitors, whereas local people take up a considerable portion of the second. The decline in the visitor numbers at Dom Trenta and Pocar Homestead is largely attributable to a lower number of school groups (and natural disasters, in the case of Trenta), while the
Visit to TNP information centres and attraction areas In Triglav National Park, visitation is recorded in the park’s three Information Centres. Dom Trenta as TNP’s most visited information centre is located in the village Trenta, in the heart of the protected area. Triglavska roža, open since 2006, is situated outside the protected area, in Bled, at the premises of the TNP Authority. A small-scale information point called Pocar Homestead can be found in a hamlet within
Figure 2. Tourist arrivals figures by municipality, 2000–2009. Source: Bradaškja (2012).
Table 2. Number of visitors at TNP Information Centres
Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Dom Trenta 19,209 22,440 17,210 20,425 21,421 19,440 18,443 17,085 16,029 17,396 14,941 15,063 15,775 12,244 12,625
Triglavska roža — — — — — — — — — — 178 7,907 9,866 10,166 10,960
Pocar Homestead — — — — 800 816 — — — — 2,000 1,956 1,308 1,311 784
All trend estimates also rejected the zero-assumption (H0 : β = 0) as being of low significance, which proves that regression coefficients were not equal to zero and that the number of arrivals at select locations rose in the studied period. 3 The ratio-to-moving-average method is intended for the following time series model: Y = Tlm pm εlm , where Tlm is the total effect of the trend and the cycle, in the period l and in the period m; pm is the periodic coefficient for the period m; εlm refers to irregular variation within the period m and within the period l; m = 1, 2, 3 … M (m = duration of the period, M = number of such cycles); l = 1, 2, 3 … L (l = period, L = number of periods). 2