Businessmirror november 08, 2015

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n Sunday, November 8, 2015 Vol. 11 No. 31

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Dominant telco braces for Telstra’s entry

T

By Lorenz S. Marasigan

HE entry of a new network player in the Philippine telecommunications market will be marked by fanfare and novelty, with many consumers eager to try the product of the company that promises to cure the ills of Internet speed in the country. week ahead

ECONOMIC DATA PREVIEW Local currency

n Previous week: The peso moved nearer the 47 territory in the previous week, as sentiment continued to shift slightly toward the dollar. The local currency started the week at 46.845 to a dollar on Monday, to hit 46.815 to a dollar on Tuesday. The peso hit its strongest on Wednesday at 46.76 to a dollar to revert back to a weakness of 46.935 to a dollar on Thursday. The peso ended the week at 46.935 to a dollar on Friday. The average trade of the peso during the week was at 46.858 to a dollar—weaker than the previous week’s 46.748. The total traded volume was at $2.88 billion. n Week ahead: With lack of leads in the local scene, the market will likely seek data from the Untied States for direction. Crucial upcoming data will likely come from the US’s jobs numbers and nonfarm-payroll number.

Given this, Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. (PLDT) Chairman Manuel V. Pangilinan expects that Telstra Corp. Ltd.’s launch in the country will have an immediate impact on his company’s profits, as the new player is expected to acquire a portion of the two incumbent telcos’ subscriber base. Although the top brass of See “Telstra,” A2

PANGILINAN: “We need to protect our market share for prepaid and postpaid. We’ll feel it immediately, but it depends on what their tactics are.”

Private-bank economists see no BSP rate change

By Bianca Cuaresma

D

ESPITE the very low inflation being experienced by the country, international privatebank economists see unchanged monetary-policy levers from the

Bangko Sentral in an upcoming meeting on Thursday—echoing the hints earlier expressed by the central bank governor. Ample liquidity and the expectation that the inflation will likely go up going into 2016 are mainly the reasons the central bank will opt to keep all the See “Rate Change,” A2

BSP monetary-policy stance

November 12, Thursday n Previous monetary-policy stance: In its sixth monetary meeting for the year, the Monetary Board reaffirmed that the current monetary setting remains appropriate for the present economic conditions in the country—keeping the repurchase rate (RP), or overnight lending rate, at

See “Outlook,” A2

Employment Surge Flashes Go for Fed Rate Liftoff This Year

In this October 6 file photo, job applicants fill out and turn in forms during a job fair at Dolphin Mall in Miami. AP/Wilfredo Lee

F

ORGET about nuance. The October jobs report left little doubt the US labor market is back with a vengeance, after a two-month lull.

The 271,000 gain in payrolls was the biggest this year and exceeded all estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists, a Labor Department report showed on Friday. The jobless rate fell to a seven-year low of 5 percent, and average hourly earnings over the past 12 months climbed by the most since 2009. Treasuries tumbled and the dollar strengthened, as the report allayed concerns of a hiring slowdown after weaker payrolls advances cooled in August and September. Such improvement will probably mean a green light for Federal Reserve (the Fed) officials, who last month held out the possibility of a December rate increase. “It’s a solid labor market,” said Michael Feroli, chief US economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York and a former economist at the Fed. “The report is pretty good across the board. December is now a very high likelihood for the Fed to hike rates.” Investors have raised to about 70 percent the probability of a rate increase by policy-makers’ December meeting, according to pricing in the federal funds futures market. That compares to 56 percent on Thursday, and assumes the effective funds rate averages 0.375 percent after liftoff. The report also showed diminishing labormarket slack. The number of Americans working part-time because of a weak economy fell to 5.7 million in October, the lowest since June 2008.

Survey results SMILE DAY Francis Canuto (from second from left), Megaworld Foundation president; Kevin L.

BusinessMirror media partner

Tan, Megaworld first vice president and head of commercial division; Lourdes Gutierrez-Alfonso, Megaworld COO; Edith Villanueva, Operation Smile chairman; and Wayne Zinn, Operation Smile global COO, with the kids at the country’s first-ever celebration of Smile Day Philippines at Eastwood Mall Open Park in Libis, Quezon City. Megaworld Foundation and Operation Smile will provide free reconstructive surgery for Filipino children with cleft lip and palate. Stephanie Tumampos

PESO exchange rates n US 46.9060

THE median forecast called for a 185,000 advance in payrolls. Estimates of 75 economists in the Bloomberg survey ranged from gains of 75,000 to 250,000. Revisions to prior reports added a total of 12,000 jobs to the August and September readings. Still, employment only averaged 145,000 those months.

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which tracks the US currency against 10 major peers, rose 1.1 percent at 11:50 a.m. in New York. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury climbed 10 basis points, or 0.1 percentage point, to 2.33 percent. The unemployment rate, which is derived from a separate Labor Department survey of households, is the lowest since April 2008. Employment in October was led by the biggest gain in retail payrolls since November, the strongest hiring in construction in eight months and a pickup at temporary-help agencies. There was no change at the nation’s manufacturers. Average hourly earnings rose by 0.4 percent from the prior month. Worker pay increased 2.5 percent over the 12 months ended in October, the most in more than six years, following a 2.3-percent gain the prior month. They had been stuck around near 2 percent on average since the current expansion began in mid-2009. The underemployment rate—which includes part-time workers who’d prefer a full-time position and people who want to work, but have given up looking—fell to 9.8 percent, the lowest since May 2008. In addition to growth in payrolls and wages, “we’re also seeing a number of other important bellwethers of progress,” Labor Secretary Tom Perez said in a telephone interview. “We’re continuing to have the wind at our backs.” The participation rate, which shows the share of working-age people in the labor force, held at 62.4 percent. Fed officials said last month that they would consider a rate increase at their next gathering, and Fed Chairman Janet Yellen this week echoed See “Employment,” A2

n japan 0.3854 n UK 71.3346 n HK 6.0517 n CHINA 7.3907 n singapore 33.3613 n australia 33.5378 n EU 51.0478 n SAUDI arabia 12.5080 Source: BSP (6 November 2015)


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