CIT rate cut may be faster–DOF By Bernadette D. Nicolas
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HOW A PANDEMIC THREW A MONKEY WRENCH ON PHL FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN AND THE WAY FORWARD
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HE Department of Finance (DOF) said on Wednesday it is now open to slashing the corporate income tax (CIT) rate at a much faster pace compared with what it was originally pushing for under the Corporate Income Tax and Incentives Rationalization Act (Citira). The BusinessMirror learned from a reliable government source that the DOF is now looking to reduce the 30-percent current CIT rate—which has been the highest in Southeast Asia—to 25 percent on the first year of implementation due to the Covid-19 impact. This comes as the government looks for ways to raise more funds and cushion the economic impact of the pandemic on businesses as well as the vulnerable sectors of the society.
In a press conference following the turnover of the P228.45-million cash donation of the Philippine National Police on Wednesday, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III for the first time categorically expressed openness to quickening the pace of reduction in the CIT rate. “We are willing to look at it and most likely cut [the CIT rate] further more quickly than originally planned,” Dominguez said. Pressed for more details on the likelihood of a quicker pace of reduction in CIT rate, Finance Assistant Secretary and spokesperson Tony Lambino referred the question to the lawmakers. “[We] will follow the lead of our legislative champions on the announcement. It should happen soon,” Lambino said in a message to the BusinessMirror. “We will let our legislative champions announce the revised proposal.” Former Finance Undersecretary and
now Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick Chua told the BusinessMirror he will “have to leave it to DOF to compute the rate we can afford while being responsive to the businesses affected.” Prior to Covid-19’s outbreak, industry groups have said they wanted the CIT rate to be reduced to 25 percent on the first year of implementation to somewhat allow the Philippines to compete with the average of 22.5 percent in Asia and 23 percent globally; and that a 1-percent reduction be implemented yearly thereafter until it reaches 20 percent. However, Dominguez said then that a faster CIT rate reduction would only swell the country’s budget deficit, which could lead to a credit downgrade. Should the faster pace of a CIT rate reduction push through, this would be a huge step for DOF, coming from its initial
See “CIT,” A2
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Thursday, May 7, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 210
P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 16 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK
‘ABS-CBN CLOSURE TO DENT INVESTOR CONFIDENCE IN PHL’ By Elijah Felice Rosales & Cai U. Ordinario
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WORKERS install booths to be used for coronavirus testing at the Palacio de Maynila, a bayside events place on Roxas Boulevard in Manila converted into a “mega swabbing facility.” ROY DOMINGO
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By Cai U. Ordinario
HE pandemic slashed export earnings to nearly a decade low, but the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) said manufacturers can bounce back if they are attuned to changes in consumer spending and redesign their product lines accordingly. On Wednesday, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) said exports contracted 24.9 percent in March, the lowest since September 2011 when exports contracted 27.3 percent. Exports declined to $4.53 billion in March 2020 from $6.03 billion in March 2019. Total exports contracted 5.16 percent to $15.72 billion in the first three months of the year. Exports earnings in the first quarter of 2019 was pegged at $16.58 billion. “Merchandise trade may recover in 2021, but this will depend on how fast we can contain the spread of Covid-19 and mitigate its economic impact through government policies to support
affected industries and workers,” Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua said. The Neda said total external trade performance contracted 25.7 percent to $11.44 billion from the $15.4 billion recorded in the same month in the previous year. The country’s total external trade growth was the lowest since July 2009 when it contracted 28.9 percent. The country was suffering from the Global Financial Crisis in 2009. PSA data also showed imports contracted 26.2 percent in March, the lowest since August 2009 when imports declined 28.3 percent. Total imported goods in March 2020 declined
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 50.5440
to $6.91 billion from $9.37 billion in March 2019. “To improve the country’s trade performance, export manufacturers are encouraged to use digital technology and innovative approaches to continue operation and secure new markets. Firms will have to put in place alternative business processes that will become the new standards for engaging with clients, buyers and suppliers,” Chua said.
Risks mean it’ll be worse
HOWEVER, former University of the Philippines School of Economics Dean Ramon L. Clarete told the BusinessMirror that the “bottom” of the decline in trade is not yet in sight. Clarete said that for one, the Chinese firms that recently opened were not yet 100 percent recovered and were still not back to their “old normal.” In fact, Clarete said, less than 10 percent of the Chinese economy is currently operating. China is one of the Philippines’s top trading partners. “My own take is it will still grow worse. The pandemic isn’t over yet,” Clarete told the BusinessMirror on Wednesday. For his part, former Tariff Commissioner George M. Manzano said that, as the lockdown
in Metro Manila was imposed in the second half of March and extended to the second week of May, such would likely lead to a similar trade decline in the second quarter. Manzano said Metro Manila or the National Capital Region (NCR) accounts for 35 percent of the country’s GDP. Having the region on lockdown will likely affect trade numbers negatively. He said the minimum healthcare requirement of physical distancing would slow trade even if exporters will “rush to replenish inputs from imports.” But what is more dangerous is a second wave. Manzano said a second wave in the spread of the coronavirus 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic in the country will see “second quarter trade plunge.” “One would expect a resurgence of trade after the lifting of the lockdown, though. If there is a second lockdown arising from a second wave of infection then second-quarter trade will plunge,” Manzano said.
HE closure of a major media company in the Philippines may discourage potential investors from bringing their business to the country, jeopardizing a quick economic recovery after the pandemic, experts and business groups said on Wednesday, after regulators forced ABS-CBN to stop airing its radio and television programs. On Tuesday afternoon, the National Telecommunications Commission (NTC) issued a cease-and-desist order against ABS-CBN, citing the expiration of its broadcasting franchise on May 4. Local economists like Calixto V. Chikiamco told the BusinessMirror that the closure of ABS-CBN is “the wrong signal” from the government at this time when the country is grappling with a health crisis. “Together with Panelo’s hints about the declaration of martial law, the closure of ABS-CBN reinforces the threats to press freedom and will surely frighten investors, further dimming the prospects of an economy already reeling from the lockdown,” Chikiamco said on Wednesday. Chikiamco said one indication would be the uptake of ABS-CBN stocks. But, on Wednesday, a trading halt on ABS-CBN Holdings Corp. was imposed. Prior to the NTC order, ABS-CBN shares closed at P17.50 apiece. This was a steady improvement from the average of P15 per share early this year. “It sends the wrong signal at a time when the country is preoccupied with fighting the epidemic,” Chikiamco said. “[It’s] not just a matter of pulling out investments, but [investors] not investing here.”
Brutal timing
PHILIPPINE Institute for Development Studies (PIDS) senior research fellow Jose Ramon G. Albert also lamented the “untimeliness” of the NTC order. Albert said from a social perspective, there are 11,000 people who are now jobless. This will complicate the problems of the government, which is hard put helping millions of workers impacted by the Covid-19 pandemic. The government has been providing for basic food needs of families now under lockdown in various areas, including Metro Manila. Continued on A2
Government efforts
GIVEN these risks, Chua said, the export industry needs to be more responsive to the changes in consumer spending and redesign their product lines accordingly. See “Exports,” A2
CARITAS Manila volunteers help distribute food packs for residents of Barangay Addition Hills in Mandaluyong City, in preparation for a weeklong lockdown. Caritas Manila, one of the largest church-based nonprofit organizations in the country, is calling for cash donations to provide Caritas Ligtas Covid-19 kits and Caritas Manna bags to 6,000 poor communities and families in Metro Manila. NONOY LACZA
n JAPAN 0.4744 n UK 62.9020 n HK 6.5190 n CHINA 7.1563 n SINGAPORE 35.7050 n AUSTRALIA 32.4897 n EU 54.8150 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.4641
Source: BSP (May 6, 2020)