Growth, shipping woes seen to widen trade gap
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HE countr y’s e x pected positive economic performance this year and other concerns such as the shipping crisis will likely widen the country’s trade deficit further, according to local economists. The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported on Thursday that the country’s exports and imports grew 14.5 percent and 31.1 percent, respectively. (See story here: https://businessmirror. com.ph/2022/01/27/exportsimports-post-growth-in-2021psa/) The same report showed that the Philippines recorded a trade deficit of $43.34 billion in 2021. This is the highest since 2018 when the deficit reached $43.53 billion.
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“I expect the deficit to widen this year as the country gears up for accelerated growth,” University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) Senior Economist Cid L. Terosa told the BusinessMirror on Thursday. The shipping crisis as well as rising oil prices were among the major factors that affected global trade last year. Terosa and Ateneo Center for Research and Development (ACERD) Associate Director Ser Percival K. Peña-Reyes said there were already factors that influenced the ballooning of the trade deficit last year. Based on the PSA data, the Balance of trade in goods (BoT-G), which is the difference between the value of exports and imports,
“I expect the deficit to widen this year as the country gears up for accelerated growth.” –UA&P Senior Economist Cid L. Terosa
showed the country had a deficit. In December 2021, this deficit reached $5.21 billion, the highest since the country recorded a trade deficit of $5.74 billion in
December 2019. Ateneo de Manila University John Gokongwei School of Management Dean Luis F. Dumlao said the trade deficit, based on his calculations, has reached around 10 percent of the country’s GDP. “From [a] trade deficit equivalent to 10 percent of GDP in 2021, I expect [a] trade deficit equivalent to 11.5 percent of GDP in 2022,” Dumlao told the BusinessMirror.
Products
In terms of both exports and imports, electronic products, specifically semiconductors, remain as the country’s top products. See “Growth,” A2
BusinessMirror Abroader broaderlook lookat attoday’s today’sbusiness business A broader look at today’s business A
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Sunday, December 2021Vol. Vol.1717No. No.58 58 Friday,December January 28, 2022 112 Sunday, 5,5,2021
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To sustain growth, govt pins hopes on 2 priority bills
By Cai U. Ordinario
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@caiordinario
HE uncertainty brought by possible new variants of Covid-19 and inflation pose the greatest risks for the Philippines this year, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) and local economists.
By Samuel P. Medenilla
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‘DIGITAL DIASPORA’
@sam_medenilla
ALACAÑANG is banking on the passage of t he a d m i n i s t r at ion’s two pieces of priority economic legislation to sustain the country’s economic growth this year. This, after state statisticians reported on Thursday the gross domestic product (GDP) in 2021 grew by 5.6 percent “despite the business disruptions caused by the novel coronav irus disease [Covid-19] pandemic and natural calamities like Typhoon Odette [international name: Rai]” during the last quarter of that year. Acting presidential spokesman Karlo B. Nograles attributed the improvement to the policies of the government’s economic team as well as the high public trust rating of President Duterte.
On Thursday, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) disclosed that the economy grew 5.6 percent last year and posted a 7.7-percent growth in the fourth quarter of 2021. (See stor y here: IN celebration of the Chinese Lunar New Year, which falls on February 1 this year, lion dancers perform a traditional dance believed to bring in good luck and fortune, at the open area of SM North Edsa Skydome htt ps:// businessmir ror.com. ph/2022/01/27/economy-postsin Quezon City on Thursday, January 27, 2022. NONOY LACZA 7-7-in-last-quarter-of-2021-psa/) Economic policies While Socioeconomic Planning He said the administration aims Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua to keep the momentum of the ecobelieve that the positive growth nomic growth with the passage of of the economy is sustainable, the amendments to the Public Sernew Covid-19 variants and rising vice Act, “which would open key inf lation are among the biggest sectors to foreign investments, threats to GDP this year. By Ma. Stella F. Arnaldo Last year, the IATF had acturacay and other [tourism destinapecially if you’re vaccinated and subject to safeguards.” “Our main risk this year is @akosistellaBM ally approved the reopening of tions],” she said. boostered,” she said in a radio Another crucial bill the Palace any unknown variant of the viSpecial to the BusinessMirror the country to vaccinated travThe DOT chief expressed hope interview on Wednesday. wants to pass is the Livestock Derus. Other than that, there are elers from Green List countries that her proposal for reopening She added the country’s tourvelopment and Competitiveness no surprises. Other risks that we HE Philippines is ready to with visa-free status, which was to international travelers would ism workers are also prepared to Bill, which is expected to boost are aware of and [are] addressing accept foreign tourists. supposed to have taken effect on be approved by the Inter-Agency accept foreign tourists as many the “competitiveness of the liveare inflation—oil and food,” Chua showsof ofproducts, products, withhosts hosts and ByManuel ManuelT.T.Cayon Cayon T h at ’s a c c o r d i n g t o consumers become morediscerndiscernshows and By consumers become more December 1, 2021, in time for the Task Force on the Management of them are now getting their stock, poultry andwith dairy sectors.” told reporters on Viber. guests providing more details and ingand andconnected, connected, weare areseeing seeing guests providing more details and ing we Tourism Secretar y Bernadette Christmas holidays. However, the of Emerging Infectious Diseases booster shots, a program of the Nograles said they are also eyeChua said efforts to address the giving testimonies, Zalora said. incredible innovations happening giving testimonies, Zalora said. incredible innovations happening Romulo Puyat, who said she was emergence of the Covid Omicron (I ATF) for implementation by Department of Tourism (DOT) ing the implementation of the Inimpact of inflation are being done would also help brands ininthe theretail retailsector sector that completely ItItwould help brands inin that completely proposing the reopening of the variant forced the IATF to tighten March or April. T he proposal National in partnership with the novation Actalso of 2019 to help perk on two fronts—the transportanovate on flexible sales promoreimagine the shopping experinovate on flexible sales promoreimagine the shopping expericountr y’s borders to vaccinattravel restrictions, allowing only covers vaccinated tourists from Task Force against Covid-19. “In up the economy, by improving the tion side and the food side. This tions,such suchasas givingdiscounts, discounts, ence,”Gunjan Gunjan Soni, chiefexecutive executive tions, ence,” Soni, ed international travelers once balikbayan tourists to visit their visa-free Green List countries like Metro Manila, 55 chief percent of the productivity ofgiving micro, small and stems from the recent increase and offering easier and attracofficer of the Zalora Group, told an and offering easier and attracofficer of the Zalora Group, told an more. “Yes, we’re ready to open medium enterprises. families in the Philippines. Japan and Indonesia, and thus no tourism workers are now boostin oil prices. tivepayment paymentoptions optionssuch suchasasthe the onlineand presentation itsstarting Trender tive online presentation ofofits Trender [to foreign tourists] because we longer have to undergo quarantine ered, we are already buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) opReport 2021. buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) opReport 2021. know Omicron is very mild, esSee “Covid,” A2 See “Reopen,” A2 upon arrival. See “Sustain,” A2 to boost tourism workers in Botion,which, which,ititsaid, said,emerged emergedasas Shedescribed describedthe the“shoppers “shoppersofof tion, She themost mostpopular popularoption optionamong among tomorrow”asas“digital “digitaland anddiverse diverse the tomorrow” Asian shoppers. across Southeast Asia.” Asian shoppers. across Southeast Asia.” n US 51.2400 n japan 0.4470 n UK 68.9947 n HK 6.5805 n CHINA 8.1068 n singapore 38.0260 n australia 36.4521 n EU 57.5989 n SAUDI arabia 13.6596 Source: BSP (January 27, 2022) Indonesia, for for example, example, “It’s a a digital digital diaspora,” diaspora,” she she InIn Indonesia, “It’s Google saw saw a a “10x “10x increase increase inin said,citing citingGoogle Googletrend trendmonitormonitorGoogle said, searchesfor fore-wallet e-walletservices servicesand and ingthat thatshows shows40 40million millionnew newInInsearches ing 15xrise riseininBNPL BNPLservices servicesininthe the ternetusers userscame cameonline onlineinin2021, 2021, 15x ternet lastfive fiveyears. years.Other Otherappealing appealing “bringingthe theinternet internetpenetration penetration last “bringing payment options options like like monthly monthly SoutheastAsia Asiatoto75 75percent.” percent.” payment ininSoutheast installments,toto00percent percentinterinter“Infact, fact,eight eightout outofof10 10InterInterinstallments, “In estfees feeson oncredit creditcards, cards,provide provide netusers usersininthe theregion regionare aredigidigiest net access toto quality quality products products and and talconsumers. consumers.Recognizing Recognizingthis this talsavviness savvinessand andtaste tastefor forluxury luxury Internetand andelectronic electroniccommunicommuniaccess tal tal Internet serviceswhile whilealso alsoimproving improvingfi-fiFor one, one, the the Southeast Southeast Asia Asia shiftininadoption, adoption,brands brandsquickly quickly andsustainability. sustainability. cationgadgets gadgetsbybytheir theirside. side.Google Google services For and shift cation nancialinclusion. inclusion. 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Reopen PHL to vaxxed intl travelers–DOT Online shopping platform notes behavioral shift Online shopping platform notes behavioral shift amongconsumers, consumers,brand brandmakers makersamid amidCovid Covid among