PHL peso falls back to ₧59 per dollar level By Reine Juvierre S. Alberto
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HE Philippine peso fell back to the P59 per US dollar level on Monday, pressured by a stronger greenback and weak domestic demand, with the US military action in Venezuela weighing only at the margin. Data from the Bankers Association of the Philippines (BAP) showed the peso closed at P59.13 against the US dollar, down by 29 centavos from the previous close of P58.84. This is the lowest level in three weeks since it reached its historic low of P59.22 on December 9. The local currency traded from a
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low of P58.85 to a high of P59.13, after opening at P58.88. This comes after a combination of global and domestic factors, according to economists. While the recent US military action in Venezuela has had some impact, its effect on the peso is “only at the margin,” said John Paolo R. Rivera, senior research fellow at the state-run think tank Philippine Institute for Development Studies. US President Donald Trump has ordered an attack on Venezuela that led to the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. “Any escalation can briefly affect PHP/USD forex through oil prices and global risk sentiment,
since higher oil prices worsen PH’s import bill and tend to pressure the PHP,” Rivera said. However, Venezuela’s current role in global oil supply is limited, Rivera noted. “So unless the situation leads to a sustained oil price spike or broader geopolitical riskoff, the impact on the PHP should be short-lived and secondary to bigger drivers like USD strength, interest-rate differentials and capital flows.” Similarly, Michael L. Ricafort, chief economist at Rizal Commercial Banking Corporation, noted a “wait-and-see” in markets amid potential geopolitical risks, even though Venezuela’s oil impact is limited.
Rivera said safe-haven flows into the US dollar and expectations that US interest rates will stay higher for longer put pressure on emerging-market currencies, such as the peso. Domestically, slower economic growth, weak investor confidence, muted foreign inflows and soft public spending limit support for the peso, Rivera added. “With the US invasion of Venezuela, expect oil prices to spike— and that means higher fuel, transport and food costs for Filipinos,” Jonathan L. Ravelas, senior adviser at Reyes Tacandong & Co., said. Inflation could increase by half to one percentage point, while the See “Peso,” A8
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Tuesday, January 6, 2026 Vol. 21 No. 86
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THEY REEL AS ONE Even under steady rain, fisherfolk in Barangay Sabang, San Jose, Camarines Sur, continue their daily catch along the shores of Lagonoy Gulf, which opens to the Pacific Ocean. Using the traditional sinsoro method of net fishing, they haul in barrera and other fish through collective net-pulling, a practice rooted in cooperation and shared livelihood. The day’s catch is divided among all who take part, reflecting the community-based nature of fishing in this coastal town in the Bicol region. BERNARD TESTA
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By Samuel P. Medenilla @sam_medenilla
MID protests from some groups on the growing unprogrammed appropriations (UA) by Congress, President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. has trimmed it down by at least P92 billion, making the P6.793-trillion General Appropriations Act (GAA) leaner or “pork-free,” but still responsive to the needs of his administration. Government economic managers, however, assured the people that the changes will not hamper the implementation of public services and help the country reach its economic growth targets. During the signing of Republic
Act (RA) No. 12314 or the General Appropriations Act (GAA) of 2026 in Malacañang on Monday, Marcos announced he had vetoed seven items in the UA provisions of the said piece of legislation. See “Budget,” A2
AMID SURPLUS, GLOBAL NICKEL PRICES NOT SEEN RISING MUCH By Ada Pelonia
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ICKEL prices are forecast to remain range-bound at around $15,500 per metric ton (MT) in 2026 amid a sustained global supply glut, an international research firm said. BMI, a unit of Fitch Solutions, has lowered its projection for the price of the base metal this year from its previous outlook of $16,000 per MT, as the market tips into a surplus driven by the top global nickel producer, Indonesia. “We forecast Indonesian re-
fined nickel production to grow by 9.8 percent in 2026, following a 9 percent rise in 2025. This will widen the surplus, limiting scope for any sustained price rebound,” BMI said in its latest report. “LME nickel stocks climbed to a new multi‑year high of 243.6kt on December 16, 2025, up about 50 percent year‑to‑date, reflecting the persistent market imbalance and reinforcing expectations of muted price performance into 2026,” it added. Aside from Indonesia, the Philippines is regarded as one See “Nickel,” A2
Global, local headwinds spur growth downgrade By Reine Juvierre S. Alberto
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HE Marcos Jr. administration has scaled down its medium-term growth targets due to lingering global uncertainties in trade and investment, along with residual domestic headwinds, tempering prospects. In a press briefing at Malacañan Palace, Department of Economy, Planning and Development (DepDev) Secretary Arsenio M. Balisacan said the country’s economic managers had revised the growth targets downward during their meeting in December.
The Cabinet-level Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC) trimmed the economic growth target to 5 to 6 percent this year and 5.5 to 6.5 percent for next year from the previous 6 to 7 percent goal. For 2028, the DBCC still targets the economy to expand by 6 to 7 percent. “It is still that uncertainty faced globally that is impacting on us as well. We are an open economy to begin with,” Balisacan said. “Globally, the pessimism in the trade and investment regime of many countries was not as bad as See “Growth,” A9
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 58.8740 n JAPAN 0.3757 n UK 79.3033 n HK 7.5569 n CHINA 8.4252 n SINGAPORE 45.7914 n AUSTRALIA 39.3337 n EU 69.0415 n KOREA 0.0408 n SAUDI ARABIA 15.6985 Source: BSP (January 5, 2026)