BusinessMirror January 01, 2025

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A broader look at today’s business www.businessmirror.com.ph

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Wednesday, January 1, 2025 Vol. 20 No. 81

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 18 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

UNFINISHED BUSINESS ADDS TO RISKS FOR 2025 By Reine Juvierre S. Alberto @reine_alberto

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HE Marcos Jr. administration has claimed that 2024 is the “banner year” for its economic achievements despite domestic and global challenges. “2024 is a year of triumph for the Filipino people. In the face of unprecedented challenges, we have emerged stronger,” Finance Secretary Ralph G. Recto said. Apart from climate change impacts and inflation-related risks domestically as well as global geopolitical and trade tensions, some “unfinished business” add up to the threats that hound progress. One strateg y in place, the Medium-Term Fiscal Program (MTFP), seeks to achieve growthenhancing fiscal consolidation and reduce the country’s budget deficit and debt.

Potential financial crisis amid fiscal strains

IN the view of Ateneo de Manila University Economist Leonardo A. Lanzona, fiscal consolidation is one of the government’s unfinished

businesses. “The task of fiscal consolidation has become even more daunting, and this ‘unfinished business’ can push the country to the brink of a financial crisis,” Lanzona told the BusinessMirror. S i n c e t h e D e p a r t m e nt o f Fina nce (DOF) is f ir m on not imposing new t a xes, L a n zona sa id t he on ly way to ac h ieve f isca l consol id at ion is to att rac t more i nvest ment s a nd increase econom ic g row t h. Based on the MTFP, the government aims to gradually reduce the fiscal deficit from 5.6 percent of GDP in 2024 to 3.7 percent in 2028. However, Lanzona observed that investments have not been forthcoming and the growth has slowed down. See “Unfinished,” A2

SEWING THE SEEDS OF CHANGE As 2025 unfolds, garment shop employees in Taytay, Rizal, continue their daily grind, navigating challenges in the garment industry amid broader issues facing the Philippine labor sector. While the Department of Labor and Employment made strides in improving employment through initiatives like wage increases and employment programs, issues like low wages, job insecurity, and insufficient protections persist. Despite some positive outcomes for marginalized workers, deeper systemic challenges such as wage disparities and the need for sustainable labor reforms remain, prompting labor groups to push for more comprehensive solutions in 2025 to truly uplift Filipino workers. See Related Story, A4 Economy. NONOY LACZA

REVISITING ‘24 TRADE BARRIERS, CHALLENGES, BREAKTHROUGHS By Andrea E. San Juan @andreasanjuan

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HROUGHOUT the 12-month per iod, the flow of goods and services within and outside the borders of the Philippines were shaken up by the specter of recession, attacks in the Red Sea, sourcing rules, logistics woes, tec hnolog ica l adva ncement, the rising tension between the United States and China, sustainability rules and the possibility of shipments to the US being slapped with tariffs.

#1 Attacks in Red Sea put pressure on shipping costs

ONLY a week into 2024, Philippine traders already had to grapple with soaring shipping

costs due to the wave of attacks on ships sailing through the Red Sea—through which around 30 percent of all container shipping traffic passes. Association of International Shipping Lines Inc. (AISL) President Patrick Ronas told the BusinessMirror in Januar y 2024: “ Those who import from Europe and Africa will be affected. It will now take longer as the journey will now be longer. In terms of transit times, it is expected to add 2 to 3 weeks as vessels will be going around the cape of good

PIER PRESSURE Towering cranes and stacked cargo containers at NorthPort, Manila, capture the lifeline of Philippine trade. As the country faces economic challenges—from fluctuating fuel prices to shifting trade regulations—these symbols underscore its efforts toward resilience and growth. Amid supply chain disruptions and evolving global dynamics, the Philippines is focused on sustainable recovery, economic competitiveness, and adapting to a changing landscape, aiming to secure its future in the global market. BERNARD TESTA

hope. It will be a roundabout route. Delays are inevitable at this stage.” Rona s sa id d isr upt ion in t he sit u at ion in t he Red Sea w o u l d c au s e d e l a y s i n a r r iva l and therefore wou ld r e q u i r e a r e a s s e s s m e nt o f t he ava i l abi l it y of good s a nd raw mater i a ls com ing f rom t he cou nt r ies a f fected. (See: https://businessmirror.com. ph /2024/01/08/red-sea-attacks-on-vessels-hiking-shipping-cost-experts/) See “Trade,” A2

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 58.0140 n JAPAN 0.3672 n UK 72.6799 n HK 7.4684 n CHINA 7.9498 n SINGAPORE 42.6919 n AUSTRALIA 36.0847 n EU 60.4738 n KOREA 0.0396 n SAUDI ARABIA 15.4539 Source:

BSP (27 December 2024)


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