PHL SEEN TO SUFFER GLUT IN CHICKEN MEAT By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas
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HE Philippines is projected to suffer a glut in chicken meat this year as total supply is projected to reach at least 1.424 million metric tons, a figure that is 136,000 metric tons over the 1.288 MMT estimated total demand. Citing government data presented by the Department of Agriculture (DA) Agribusiness and Marketing Assistance Service (Amas), United Broiler Raisers Association (Ubra) President Elias Jose Inciong said the total supply volume already includes imported stocks. In the first quarter alone, the country would have a poultry supply surplus of
A WOMAN tends to her chicken meat stall in a wet market in Manila in this 2018 file photo. NONOY LACZA
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16,657 MT while there’s a projected glut of 59,281 MT in the second quarter. The country would have 16,974 MT excess supply in the third quarter and by fourth quarter, when demand is usually high due to Christmas, a glut of 42,939 MT is forecast. Inciong attributed the increase in supply primarily to the aggressive expansion of local production driven by anticipated hike in demand for broiler due to higher purchasing power by Filipinos. However, this aggressive expansion by existing and new small and medium-size broiler players seems to be a “blinded” investment as industry stakeholders do not have a clear picture of the sector’s market situation in the absence of a proper data
system, Inciong pointed out. “People are making investment decisions based on wrong data. They still think there’s space or opportunity in this sector—and this is true not only [with] producers but even for importers,” he told the BusinessMirror. “The number of meat traders has increased from 80 traders to over 300 traders today.” The lack of a sound data system, which Inciong has been pointing out for years, have encouraged new players to invest in the poultry sector due to enticing retail prices in the market, he added. The higher output could also be attributed to the better performance of breeders which started in the second half of 2018, Inciong added.
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A broader look at today’s business n Monday, April 29, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 201
Experts: 2019 inflation lower than expected
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By Bianca Cuaresma
@BcuaresmaBM
RIVATE economists agree that inflation will be lower than earlier expected for this year—with the possibility of hitting the 2-percent territory somewhere in the third quarter of 2019. In the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’s (BSP) recent survey on private economists’ inflation views, local analysts projected an average inflation rate of 3.3 percent for this year. This is lower than the 4.1 percent average forecast seen in their
December 2018 survey. According to the Central Bank’s report, the economists’ expectation of lower inflation emanated from the projected downward price pressures that are expected to dominate the inflation path for the year up
until 2020. “Possible downside risks to inflation include the implementation of the rice tariffication law, which is expected to improve domestic rice supply and stabilize prices, and lower global crude oil prices,” the BSP
3.3%
The average inflation rate projected for 2019 by private economists surveyed recently by the BSP—lower than the 4.1 percent average forecast seen in the December 2018 survey report on the private economists’ views read. “On the other hand, the key upside risks to inflation are seen to emanate from adverse weather conditions such as El Niño, volatile global oil prices and foreign exchange market, possible policy rate cut by the BSP, higher domestic demand due to the upcoming midterm elections and school enrollment, and higher electricity rates,” it added. See “Inflation,” A2
By VG Cabuag @villygc
ROPERTY developer Ayala Land Inc. is putting up a 200-hectare facility in Central Luzon, which it will convert into an industrial park allotted for Chinese mainland companies. “We’re going to start with 100 to 200 hectares, and then hopefully expand it,” Ayala Land President Bernard Vincent O. Dy said at the sidelines of the Ayala Corp.’s stockholders’ meeting. “There’s quite a bit of companies coming from China that are looking for manufacturing sites outside of China,” he said. He did not specify where the
By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario
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ITH short-term risks to growth weighing on the prospects of most countries, the Asian economy is expected to take center stage at the 52nd Asian Development Bank (ADB) Annual Meeting this week in Nadi, Fiji. In a recent briefing, ADB President Takehiko Nakao told reporters that developing Asia is facing a number of uncertainties and opportunities. For this reason, the Asian economy will be tackled at the meeting, with discussions to focus on how to ensure that the region can sustain its economic growth and poverty reduction efforts. “We are expecting a large annual meeting and the theme of this year is what I discussed [which is] of course the Asian economy. And although Asia has been growing [steadily], there are [a number of] uncertainties and opportunities,” Nakao said.
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 52.2460
The ADB president cited as short-term risks to the region the US-China trade tensions, Brexit and the rebalancing of China’s growth which is cutting growth prospects of the region. Other risks, Nakao said, include geopolitics, especially this year when many Asian countries are having local and national elections. The Philippines will have elections on May 13 where 243 individuals and groups are vying for national (senatorial) positions and for local positions in various districts and provinces nationwide. Apart from the Philippines, other countries having elections this year include India, Indonesia, Bangladesh, and, recently, Thailand. Geopolitical concerns will be crucial in addressing regional problems, in ADB’s view. In terms of opportunities, Nakao said the discussions will include technology, particularly the Fourth Industrial Revolution which is expected to create new jobs. See “ADB,” A2
PHL govt called out on unlicensed software By Elijah Felice E. Rosales @alyasjah
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The production space to be taken up by Guangdong’s largest tile company, which will locate in Ayala’s Alviera Industrial Park in Porac, Pampanga
See “Ayala Land,” A2
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1.7 hectares
said industrial park will be located as talks for the land acquisition are already in an advanced stage. ALI already closed a deal with what Dy said was a large tile manufacturer in China to locate in its Alviera Industrial Park in Porac in Pampanga.
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Ayala Land setting up industrial park for mainland China firms
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See “Chicken meat,” A2
TALE OF A LAND Kalanguya tribesmen perform a Canao during their 4th Hulpon (Sharing) Festival in Malico, Nueva Vizcaya, at the weekend. Once fierce headhunters who roamed the forests of the Caraballo Mountains, the indigenous people of Barangay Malico, at the border of Nueva Vizcaya and Pangasinan, are looking to transform their land into an ecotourism destination. BERNARD TESTA
HE United States government has called out its Philippine counterpart for making use of unlicensed software that exposes its operations to higher risks of security vulnerabilities. In the 2019 Special 301 Report of the Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR), the Philippines was among the several countries with no rules in place ensuring the licensed use of software in the government. Unlicensed use of software, the report argued, puts at risk data and information held by authorities and presents a bad case for intellectual property (IP) rights protection. See “Software,” A2
n JAPAN 0.4681 n UK 67.4026 n HK 6.6612 n CHINA 7.7461 n SINGAPORE 38.3400 n AUSTRALIA 36.6401 n EU 58.1707 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.9330
Source: BSP (26 April 2019 )