Duterte undecided on fate of Covid ECQ A
FTER a five-hour meeting with former health secretaries, his top economic advisers and Congress leaders on Monday, President Duterte remains undecided on his next course of action on the enhanced community quarantine (ECQ) in Luzon. While he received an almost unanimous recommendation from medical experts to “modify” its coverage when it lapses on April 30, Duterte is weighing all ramifications of a premature lifting or a needlessly sweeping extension. Senators, meanwhile, weighed in on the increasing call for a more calibrated approach in order to balance the valid call to allow the economy to recover while avoiding a more damaging, deadly resurgence of the Covid-19 infections,
PRESIDENTIAL Spokesman Harry Roque gets a swab test during the ceremonial signing of the memorandum of agreement between the Philippine Red Cross (PRC) and the Metro Manila LGUs on Covid-19 emergency operations at the PRC Molecular Laboratory in Mandaluyong City. Standing behind Roque is PRC Chairman and Senator Richard J. Gordon. BERNARD TESTA
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which reached a total of 6,599 cases in the country, with 437 deaths and 654 recoveries as of Tuesday (April 21) afternoon. Duterte deferred announcing if he will lift, extend, or relax the over monthlong ECQ until getting additional information from the members of the InterAgency Task Force for the Management of Emerging Infectious Diseases (IATF). “The President made no decision [after the meeting]. The President said his decision may come today or it may come on April 30,” Presidential spokesperson Harry Roque told reporters on Tuesday. Roque said Duterte was particularly concerned with the possible fatalities as well as a second wave of Covid-19 cases if he opts to relax or totally lift the ECQ. He said the President was interested in how the actions will benefit certain sectors of society. Roque said all of the medical experts
and former health secretaries at the meeting did not recommend a total lockdown or maintaining the Luzon-wide ECQ. Instead, they were pushing for the lifting of the community quarantine in areas where there were minimal numbers of Covid-19 cases—a similar position pushed by some members of the government economic team as well as business leaders.
Balanced interests
UNIVERSITY of the Philippines Resilience Institute (UPRI) Executive Director Mahar Lagmay, one of the participants, said while ideally, the ECQ should continue to ensure Covid-19 cases are contained, they understand the need to “reboot” businesses after being suspended for over a month because of the ECQ. “We need to balance health with the economy. We don’t want the people to starve.... So what we are looking for is the
gradual relaxation of the ECQ,” Lagmay said. A crucial factor in making a decision would be to ensure the current healthcare system can cope with the expected increase of Covid-19 cases, which would be almost unavoidable. Roque said the government is still in the process of improving nationwide testing capacities for Covid samples and preparing quarantine facilities for the anticipated increase in Covid cases in the aftermath of the ECQ. The chief implementer of the government’s national policy on Covid-19 Carlito Galvez struck an optimistic note about meeting the goal of having 2 million people tested for the virus, given the huge support from the Philippine Red Cross, which opened on Tuesday its “stateof-the-art molecular testing laboratory” in Mandaluyong City.
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HOUSEHOLD SAVINGS SEEN DRAINED WITH 2ND ECQ EXTENSION
CHICKEN vendors at Trabajo Market in Sampaloc, Manila, sell their dressed chicken at lower prices due to lack of customers as the City Government of Manila announced a 48-hour lockdown after a vendor was infected by the Covid-19. ROY DOMINGO
By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad
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A WOMAN does her cooking beside her shanty along the tracks of the Philippine National Railways in Sampaloc, Manila. Sampaloc will be under a “hard lockdown” from 8 pm of April 23 (Thursday) until 8 pm of April 25 (Saturday). NONIE REYES
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By Jovee Marie N. Dela Cruz
HE economic growth assumptions of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) for this year could settle at a low end of -1 percent to zero growth amid the Covid-19 crisis, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Benjamin Diokno said on Tuesday.
During the technical working group meeting of the House Defeat Covid-19 Sub-Committee on Economic Stimulus Package, Diokno, however, said this forecast is still
subject to change as these growth outlooks per quarter are still being computed. “The Neda [National Economic and Development Authority] is
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 50.8800
still computing it by quarter. But I think, it’s tentatively close to Neda’s negative 1 to zero. The worst case is negative 1 percent and the best case is zero,” Diokno said. Diokno’s outlook is a deep dive from the 6.5-percent to 7.5-percent economic growth target of the government for 2020. In 2019 the country recorded 6-percent gross domestic product growth. The BSP forecast follows Fitch Solutions’s 4.0 percent, ING Bank Manila’s 3.5 percent, World Bank’s 3 percent, Moody’s Investors Services’ 2.5 percent, Asian Development Bank’s 2 percent, Nomura’s 1.6 percent, ANZ Research’s 1.2 percent, International Monetary Fund’s 0.6 per-
cent, Rizal Commercial Banking Corp.’s -1 to 1 percent, and S&P Global Ratings’ -0.2 percent. Diokno has said the Covid-19 continues to worsen overseas, thus sharply reducing prospects for global economic growth for the rest of the year. However, Neda Undersecretary Rosemarie G. Edillon earlier told the BusinessMirror that GDP could still post growth just below the country’s historical average of 5 percent to 6 percent in the first quarter. The full impact of the Covid-19 was felt toward March as President Duterte placed Metro Manila on community quarantine, subsequently
ITH some government officials batting for a second extension of the enhanced community quarantine (ECQ), analysts are worried that household savings of the vulnerable sector may be exhausted already as the Philippine economy hit pause due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic. President Duterte, according to his spokesperson Harry Roque, is set to decide this week if the enhanced community quarantine (ECQ) implemented in Luzon will be extended. The lockdown took effect midnight of March 17 and was initially set to conclude by April 14, but the government ordered a two-week extension, as mass testing—crucial to assessing the risks from unleashing anew out to the streets and the mass transportation systems millions of workers— was just about to begin. A lawmaker has been pushing for another two-week extension after April 30 amid mounting cases, while others were for selective or modified quarantine in areas with low or no transmission. “If the ECQ continues, household savings may start to be depleted as people who have lost their jobs start to use them up,” UnionBank Chief Economist Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion told the BusinessMirror. ING Bank Manila Economist Nicholas Antonio Mapa said a significant portion of the population only relies on daily wages and tips, noting this sector can have a hard time coping with financial challenges amid the lockdown. See “ECQ,” A2
See “Growth,” A2
n JAPAN 0.4728 n UK 63.3100 n HK 6.5650 n CHINA 7.1930 n SINGAPORE 35.8108 n AUSTRALIA 32.2070 n EU 55.3015 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.5644
Source: BSP (April 21, 2020)