three-time rotary club of manila journalism awardee 2006, 2010, 2012
U.N. Media Award 2008
BusinessMirror
www.businessmirror.com.ph
A broader look at today’s business
n Sunday, April 5, 2015 Vol. 10 No. 178
P25.00 nationwide | 5 sections 24 pages | 7 days a week
PHL likely to hit 7% growth target this year–Maybank T By Bianca Cuaresma
HE Philippine economy can still reach the bottom end of the government’s ambitious growth target for the year, if it will be diligent enough in disbursing funds programmed for spending this year. In an interview, Maybank Kim Eng economist Luz L. Lorenzo said that the international banking giant’s outlook for the country remains at 7 percent for this year. Lorenzo told the BusinessMirror at the sidelines of Maybank’s annual Invest Asean (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) conference in Singapore that the expected strength of the local economy will likely come from the robust government spending this year—contrasting to the sluggish spending seen in the previous year. At present, Maybank’s fore-
week ahead
ECONOMIC DATA PREVIEW Foreign currency
n Previous week: The country’s local currency slightly appreciated in its three-day shortened trading week due to the observance of the Holy Week in the Philippines. The peso opened the trading week with a 4-centavo depreciation on Monday to close at 44.8 to a dollar, from the 44.76 to a dollar value on Friday. This appreciated to 44.7 to a dollar on Tuesday and further to 44.58 to a dollar on Wednesday. The total traded volume is half of the previous week, from $3.177 billion down to $1.577 billion. The average value of the peso in the three-day trading week is at 44.69 to a dollar, from the 44.76 to a dollar average value in the previous week.
cast is one of the highest growth forecasts for the Philippines this year—higher than the recently upgraded forecast of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on the country’s growth prospect, at 6.7 percent. The government currently targets the Philippine growth to hit at around 7 percent to 8 percent this year. Lorenzo further said that, aside from the pickup in government spending, the country will also See “Growth,” A2
economists: prices unchanged in march
T
HE increase in consumer prices in March this year is likely to be broadly unchanged from the growth rate seen in February, economists said. Security Bank economist Patrick M. Ella said that the country’s inflation rate in March will most likely be at about 2.57 percent, slightly higher than February’s 2.47 percent. “This reflects weaker energy and food prices over the month, as well as weaker peso impact,” Ella said. Also, Maybank Kim Eng economist Luz L. Lorenzo said inflation will likely fall at 2.5 percent, as food and fuel prices will still be subdued during the month. Likewise, Bank of the Philippine Islands economist Nicholas Antonio T. Mapa said they are looking at 2.5-percent inflation for March this year. “Inflation pressure remains generally benign, with only marginal increases in food prices. The disinflation pressure from the drop in crude oil is dissipating, and this may continue until
base effects are washed away by midyear,” Mapa said. Mapa added that inflation is expected to remain within target for the remaining part of the year, given current conditions and trends. “This is hoping that we do not experience any shock to our supply chain, like we did last year [lack of timely importation and Manila port congestion],” he added. All forecasts are within the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Amando M. Tetangco Jr.’s outlook for the month— which was earlier announced to fall within 2.1 percent to 2.9 percent in March. The actual inflation for the month will be announced by the Philippine Statistics Authority on Tuesday. The country’s inflation rate average for the first two months of the year is at 2.45 percent— significantly lower than the average in the same two-month period last year, at 4.15 percent, due largely to the steep decline of oil prices and select food items during the period. Bianca Cuaresma
PESO exchange rates n US 44.7250
See “Outlook,” A2
‘Massive flood’ of Iranian oil seen after nuclear pact By Sean Cockerham McClatchy
W
RESURRECTED CHRIST Germain Pilon’s Jesus Christ, part of the Resurrection group. Marble, before 1572, Louvre, France. Christians celebrate today the resurrection of Jesus Christ from the dead. In Christian theology, the resurrection of Jesus is a foundation of the Christian faith. As Paul the Apostle stated: “If Christ was not raised, then all our preaching is useless, and your trust in God is useless.” PIXABAY.COM/ alexandria
A S H I N G T O N —T h e framework agreement over Iran’s nuclear program could lead to a deluge of Iranian oil on the global market, with the potential to drive oil prices down further than they’ve already plummeted. But it won’t happen soon. Even if the deal outlined on Thursday doesn’t fall apart before the details are worked out, it’s likely to be at least a year before international sanctions against Iran are lifted to allow its oil to be shipped, according to energy experts (See related stories on C1). “I am not very optimistic that we’ll see this massive flood of Iranian oil on the market anytime soon,” said Phil Flynn, senior Continued on A2
n japan 0.3726 n UK 66.3182 n HK 5.7687 n CHINA 7.2142 n singapore 32.6055 n australia 34.1256 n EU 48.0570 n SAUDI arabia 11.9238 Source: BSP (1 April 2015)