Ebb and Flow: Volume 1. Water, Migration, and Development

Page 35

CHAPTER ONE

TRANSITIONS AND TRANSFORMATIONS “An ideal society should be mobile, should be full of channels for conveying a change taking place in one part to other parts.” – Bhimrao Ramji Ambedkar, chief drafter of India’s Constitution

INTRODUCTION Understanding the fundamental role of movement in the process of economic development has long intrigued scholars, philosophers, and policy makers. Six centuries ago, and some 400 years before Adam Smith wrote the classic treatise An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations, the Arab scholar Ibn Khaldun proposed a theory of cyclical development whereby the parallel movements of population, urbanization, and public finance determined the rise and fall of civilizations (Weiss 1995). He was clearly onto something. Without the movement of goods, people, and ideas, economies can wane and stagnate. Movement can fuel growth and propel the dispersion and agglomeration of interlinked activities. It can even out standards of living across regions and help absorb economic shocks. Not surprisingly, all development experiences and growth episodes in history have involved a reallocation of factors of production, such as labor and capital, across space and sectors within countries (World Bank 2018). It is for this reason that the simple observation that rich countries are industrial and poor countries are agricultural has prompted many development thinkers since Ibn Khaldun to conclude that countries develop when they shift factors of production, especially labor, from an unproductive

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Policy Options at the Destination

11min
pages 144-148

Policy Options at the Origin

8min
pages 136-139

Figure 5.1 Policy Approaches at the Source and Destination Figure 5.2 Share of Regions in North Africa and G5 Sahel Countries That Experienced Different Types of

1min
page 135

The Policy Challenge

2min
page 134

Key Highlights

1min
page 133

Years of Water Deficits, 1992–2013

1min
page 114

Quantifying the Cost of Day Zero–Like Events

4min
pages 112-113

Key Highlights

1min
page 105

The Importance of Water for Growth

2min
page 109

References

3min
pages 103-104

Note

2min
page 102

Implications for Development Policy

2min
page 101

Productivity, Growth, and Welfare

4min
pages 97-98

References

13min
pages 83-88

Map B3.3.1 The Subregions of Brazil, Indonesia, and Mexico Explored Using Census Data Map 4.1 Location of Cities Experiencing Deep Three-Plus

1min
page 96

Key Highlights

1min
page 89

Notes

2min
page 82

Water as a Conduit for Development

4min
pages 80-81

Box 2.4 Water Shocks and Declining Wetlands

2min
page 77

Green Infrastructure

8min
pages 73-76

Box 2.2 Choosing Not to Migrate Box 2.3 Measuring the Buffering Effect of Gray and

2min
page 71

Migration?

1min
page 72

Should I Stay or Should I Go? Estimating the Impacts of Water Shocks on Migration Decisions Does Buffering Rural Income from Rainfall Shocks Influence

2min
page 65

Introduction

2min
page 64

Key Highlights

1min
page 63

Spotlight: Inequality, Social Cohesion, and the COVID-19 Public Health Crisis at the Nexus of Water and Migration

16min
pages 55-62

References

10min
pages 50-54

Box 1.6 Social Cleavages Run Deep

2min
page 49

Box 1.3 COVID-19 (Coronovirus) Fallout

4min
pages 41-42

Box 1.4 Exploring Water Scarcity through Water Shocks

2min
page 43

Climate Change and the Increasing Variability of Rainfall Learning about Water’s Role in Global Migration from

1min
page 40

References

1min
pages 33-34

Going with the Flow: The Policy Challenge

11min
pages 25-32

Box 1.2 Is Water a Locational Fundamental?

2min
page 38

The Cost of Day Zero Events: What Are the Development Implications for Shocks in the City?

3min
pages 23-24

Focus of the Report

6min
pages 16-18

Box 1.1 Water and the Urbanizing Force of Development

1min
page 37

Focus of the Report

1min
page 36

Introduction

1min
page 35
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