The Fast Track to New Skills

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Landscape of Short-Cycle Programs in Latin America and the Caribbean

graduates. In other words, the qualitative patterns shown in table 1.1 do not result from the inclusion of teaching among SCPs. 10. Most of the qualitative patterns in table 1.1 remain when the sample is restricted to ages 17–30. 11. Mexico, Panama, and Honduras have very low SCP shares (below 3 percent), as shown in figure 1.5. 12. Source: National Center of Education Statistics, https://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe​ /­indicator_ctr.asp. 13. Bachelor’s programs absorb 91 of higher education enrollment in LAC (figure 1.4), but only 65 percent in the United States (National Center of Education Statistics, https://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/indicator_cha.asp#:~:text=2000%20through%20 2029.-,See%20Digest%20of%20Education%20Statistics%202019%2C%20table%20 303.70.,enrolled%20in%202%2Dyear%20institutions. 14. For comparison, in the United States, the unemployment rates of bachelor’s graduates, SCP (associate degree) graduates, bachelor’s or SCP dropouts, and high school ­graduates are 2.2, 2.7, 3.3, and 3.7 percent, respectively. Source: https://www.bls.gov​ /emp/tables​/unemployment-earnings-education.htm. 15. For comparison, in the United States, the wage premiums for bachelor’s graduates, SCP (associate degree) graduates, and bachelor’s or SCP dropouts are 67, 19, and 12 ­percent, respectively. Source: https://www.bls.gov/emp/tables/unemployment-­ earnings​ -­education.htm. 16. The exact share of students in the region who drop out of bachelor’s programs, 48.6 percent, equals the product of the bachelor’s enrollment share (approximately 0.90, per figure 1.4) and the bachelor’s dropout rate (100-46 = 54 percent.) 17. For comparison, in the United States, this ratio is 1.56. Source: staff calculations based on grant aid and tax benefits per student at public two- and four-year institutions, from https://research.collegeboard.org/pdf/trends-college-pricing-2019-full-report.pdf. 18. The only private HEIs in the survey countries with public funding are Ecuador’s ­institutiones cofinanciadas. 19. The percentage of female students enrolled in SCPs is lower in the survey countries than the average for LAC. 20. Source for ProUni information: http://dadosabertos.mec.gov.br/fies . Also see http:// dadosabertos.mec.gov.br/prouni. 21. This estimate is the product of the percentage of ICETEX loans given to SCP students (2.3 percent in 2018), the percentage of higher education students covered by an ICETEX loan (8.7 percent in 2018), and the inverse of the SCP share outside SENA (16 percent in 2018). Sources: https://snies.mineducacion.gov.co/1778​ /­ articles-391288_recurso_1.pdf and https://portal.icetex.gov.co/Portal/Home/el​ -­icetex/plan-estrategico/resultado-por-indicadores. 22. This estimate is the product of the percentage of FIES loans given to SCP students (1.7 percent in 2018), the percentage of higher education students covered by a FIES loan (9.8 percent in 2018), and the inverse of the percentage of the SCP share (13 percent in 2018). Source: http://dadosabertos.mec.gov.br.

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