UAE Report - 7 June 2012

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sky has no limit

Art Attack

a new gateway

UAE consolidates its position as the aviation hub of the region

New initiatives to make the UAE a cultural powerhouse

Khalifa Port to revolutionise maritime industry

united arab emirates WORLD BUSINESS TIMES SPECIAL REPORt WITH THE DAILY TELEGRAPH

www.world-businesstimes.com

June 7 2012

Emirates on the road to recovery

F

ew predicted the severity of the beating the world economy would take leading up to late 2008, in an event whose descriptions have ranged from the ‘Great Recession’ to the more reassuring ‘Downturn’. The UAE has faced many challenges in the years since, in particular the dizzying climb and spectacular fall of Dubai and the external debts owed by its government entities. But the International Monetary Fund (IMF) says that due to its early efforts in spreading its economy away from reliance on hydrocarbons, as well as increased oil output, the UAE’s recovery is on track. “The economic recovery looks set to continue,” an IMF delegation to the country said. “Real GDP growth reached an estimated 4.9 per cent in 2011, supported by increases in oil production. Non-hydrocarbon growth also strengthened, to around 2.7 per cent, backed by strong trade, tourism and manufacturing, and despite continued oversupply in the real estate sector. “Real non-oil GDP growth is projected to

further strengthen to 3.5 per cent in 2012. With limited potential for further increases in oil production in the near term, overall GDP growth is expected to moderate to 2.3 per cent. Inflation is likely to remain subdued at around 1.5 per cent this year.” Although the fund was cautious about the outlook owing to the current geopolitical risks and global financial conditions, and specifically cited the difficulty in rolling over the external debts of the government-related entities, it was a remarkable prediction.

“Tourism, transportation and logistics have been the major drivers of recovery”

After all, the story of Dubai is still fresh in people’s mind. But the emirate managed to get up, dust itself off and start all over again. The IMF said the UAE’s development as a major services hub lessened its dependency on oil exports, and that non-oil sectors had led the way in speeding up recovery. Post-2009, the government has accelerated the pace of its diversification programme. Abu Dhabi in particular is spending billions of dollars on key projects. The Urban Planning Council has launched Abu Dhabi Vision 2030. Its objective is to present a coherent picture for the future of the emirate as an environmentally, socially and economically sustainable community. This year will see the opening of the first phase of Khalifa Port, one of the most advanced maritime facilities in the region. Next door, work is proceeding on Khalifa Industrial Zone Abu Dhabi, or Kizad. Spanning 417 square kilometres, Kizad is set to become one of the biggest industrial zones in the world. The emirate is also set to become a leading cultural destination. Just 500 metres off the

UAE has made progress in a variety of areas but challenges still remain

Local banks gain ground The UAE banking industry has overcome an increase in both provisions for soured loans and operating expenses to record a 24 per cent rise in profits last year, a report from The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) says. Dr Reinhold Leichtfuss, the senior partner and managing director of BCG’s Dubai office, said the performance by UAE banks and those of the wider region came as international banks were experiencing lower revenue and profit index levels, creating business opportunities for local institutions. Revenue rose 6 per cent for banks in the UAE last year, while loan-loss provisions (LLPs) increased 4 per cent and operating expenses by 12 per cent. Based on 2011 annual results as reported by the banks in the first quarter of this year, the study was part of BCG’s annual banking performance indices measuring the development of banking revenues (operating income) and profits for leading Middle East banks. Overall, the banking industry in the Middle East experienced a revenue growth of 7 per cent in 2011 after revenues had stagnated the year before. Profits also increased significantly in 2011 and reached the highest level since the all-time high of 2007. LLPs fell by 2 per cent, although a number of banks that were previously not affected and had relatively low LLPs needed to make more provisions. strong regional economies Leichtfuss said: “The performance of Middle East banks in 2011 testifies to the strength of the GCC economies and bank-

coast of Abu Dhabi city, the 27-square-kilometre Saadiyat Island is being transformed into a leisure, residential, business and cultural hub, housing premier cultural assets including Zayed National Museum, the Guggenheim Abu Dhabi and the Louvre Abu Dhabi. Meanwhile, Dubai continues to remain a major trade and tourism destination. Its proximity to emerging markets such as China and India, and its role as a hub linking economies of the Far East, Europe, Africa and North America, has allowed it to bounce back rapidly. The emirate’s aviation industry generates $22 billion annually and the Dubai government recently said it would invest $7.8 billion to make Dubai International one of the biggest airports in the world. Its Strategic Plan 2020 is designed to boost airport capacity from 60 million to 90 million passengers per year by 2018. All of this suggests dynamic growth for the UAE – and in today’s uncertain economic climate, that’s saying a lot. – Reporting by Patrick Turner

Rising share Dubai is globally regarded as the region’s financial centre, but lenders from oil-rich Abu Dhabi are catching up quickly. “Total bank deposits in the UAE rose by 1.5 per cent month-on-month and 1.9 per cent year-onyear in December 2011 to 1.07 trillion dirhams ($288.6 billion). Bank lending in the same period surged 3.8 per cent year-on-year,” a recent Dubai International Financial Center Authority report said. But the time seems to be over when Dubaibased banks grabbed the lion’s share of the UAE banking sector’s volume. “Abu Dhabi banks’ assets are getting closer to accounting for half of the UAE banking system, up from about 34 per cent at the start of 2008,” Dr Giyas Gokkent, Chief Economist and Head of Research at National Bank of Abu Dhabi, said.

Investment attraction

ing systems. Furthermore, this performance is set against the backdrop of lower revenue and profit index levels among international banks. This widening gap means that despite some continuing challenges, the leading banks in the GCC can leverage this partial withdrawal of international banks to gain market shares and expand footprints.” While banks in Saudi Arabia, UAE, Ku-

wait and Bahrain had healthy revenue growth rates between 4 per cent and 8 per cent in 2011, the banking systems in Oman and Qatar grew revenues by 11 per cent and 22 per cent, respectively. In addition, banks in all countries, except in Kuwait and Oman, achieved double digit aggregate profit growth rates. – Reporting by Ronald Kaiser

The Urban Planning Council in Abu Dhabi has selected Al Maryah Island (formerly Sowwah Island) to be the capital’s new central business district. A mixed-use development, Al Maryah will be a major catalyst in the city’s drive to achieve the Urban Structure Framework Plan objective of environmental, economic and social sustainability by 2030. The district will have a working population of 75,000 and will be home to 30,000 residents. It will feature parks and open spaces, art galleries, community centres, high street and high-fashion retail names, designer boutiques and an array of street cafés and restaurants. Sowwah Square, the island’s signature business district, is already complete, and a host of high-profile tenants are moving in. The anchor tenant, the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange, is expected to be up and trading by the end of the year.


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