UsedCarNews.com
April 1, 2019
Dealers Grow More Confident with Spring
Rush - Dated Material
Dealers are feeling better after a decent but diferent tax season, and the start of the spring. U.S. auto dealer sentiment rebounded in the latest Cox Automotive Dealer Sentiment Index. The Index rose to 48 from 44 in the last reading. “We’ve seen a turnaround in dealer sentiment and the outlook for the future this quarter compared to the fourth quarter,” said Cox Automotive Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke. “However, gone is the euphoria we saw this time last year as views of new- and used-vehicle sales are lower.” The overall current market index remained in negative territory. Market conditions remained in the top spot as the most cited negative factor with 45 percent of dealers citing market conditions as holding back their business. Competition moved into second place, pushing credit availability for consumers into third place. Expenses moved up into the fourth place as limited inventory slid down to ifth place. The biggest changes cited from the fourth to irst quarters were the decline in limited inventory, the increase in consumer conidence, and also increases in both regulations and 2018 tax law changes. The outlook for the coming months improved, especially among independent dealers. Some of that might be the result of concerns about a weak tax season proving somewhat overblown. Smoke said that despite early worries about smaller refunds, a survey of consumers found most are receiving either as much or more than they expected. Smoke said data he reviewed from Tax Max shows many used-car buyers fall into the category of those receiving larger refunds than they expected. But as expected, those receiving
less tend to have higher incomes and are eligible for fewer deductions. This might partially explain the decline in certiied pre-owned sales to start the year.
CPO sales in February fell to 211,520 units from 212,116 in February 2018, according to Cox Automotive. This follows an even bigger slide in January, with sales falling to
199,640 from 203,024. Despite this slow start, Cox Automotive analysts still predict about 2.75 million CPO units this year, which would be another record year.
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