





































































y0 y0 t y0 y0 r
y0 r y0 r








ETP ETP =1, 6 10 t I a ETP t I i I = 12 1 i i = t 5 1,514 a a = A B + C D
A =675 × 10 9I 3 B =771 × 10 7I 2 C =1792I D = 0, 4924 ETP ETP ETP P F = ETP P Ia Ia =100 12 1 F 12 1 ETP Tmax Tmin Si,Tmax ≤ 70C,HF =24 Si,Tmin ≥ 70C,HF =0 HF =24 7 Tmin Tmax Tmin Si,Tmax ≤ 300C,HC =0 HC =24 Tmax 30 Tmax Tmin












µS/cm








S = kEc k c


E = f (x,y,t)
r y0 t dy dt = r
y = y0 + rt
y = y0 + rt y re dy dt = rey
y
E = F (t)
y
0
e
rm dy dt = rm (1 y) y =1
y0)exp( rmt) ln 1 1 y =ln 1 1 y0 + rmt y =0,5 50% rl dy dt = rly (1 y) y = 1 1+ (1 y0 ) y0 exp( rlt) ln y 1 y =ln y0 1 y0 + rlt
= y
exp(r
t) ln(y)=ln(y0)+ ret
(1
rg
dy
y = 1 e ∼ 37%
dt = rg y ( ln y)
y =exp {[ln(y0)]exp( rg t)}
ln[ ln(y)]= ln[ ln(y0)]+ rg t
(yi,ti)
r y0
yi = y0 + rti
y0 r
y0 =exp(y0)
y0
y0 =1 1 exp(y0 )
y0 = exp(y0 )
1+exp(y0 )
y0 =exp[ exp( y0)]
RMSE = d2 i
n 1
y =1
n di

E = f (x,y,t) E = f (x,y)
A =1 A =2 A =3
d =0 RMSE
RMSE di n RMSE = d2 i n 1 s = (di md)2 n 1 (md A.s,md + A.s) A
m
= s
r = rx = ry
ncol =(xmax xmin)/r
nfil =(ymax ymin)/r
Z0 = n i=1 (Wi ∗ Zi) n i=1 Wi Wi = 1 dp i0 di0
(x,y)
f (x,y)= c1x + c2y + c3
c1 c2 c3
fi = c1xi + c2yi + c3 i =1, 2, 3
γ γ(h)= 1 2n n 1 (Zti Zt+hi)2 C0 a C0 + C1
h
1 2n
=1
Zti Zti+hi
Y
+hi
γ (
)=
n i
(
)(
ti Yti
)
Z0 = n i=1 WiZi
n 1
n 1
nn 1
∗
1
2 Wn µ =
1
C] ∗ −→ W = −→ d μ
n n i=1
ti Zt Zt+hi Zt+h
C11 C12 ..C1
C21 C22 ..C2
Cn1 Cn2 ..C
11110
W
W
C10 C20 Cn0
[
C (h)= 1
Z

C (h)= C0 + C1 h =0
C (h)= C1e( 3h a ) h> 0
C0 + C1
C0
n n 1
Zti Zt+hi)2
γ(h)= 1 2
(
a



ν ν ν ν λ λ ν Φ
Φ Φ Φ Φ Φ Φ Φ Φ Φ Φ Φ Φ Φ Φ ρ α τ ρ α τ

λ λ λ λ λ


λ
−→ l (l1,l2,...,ln)
P (Wj /x)= p (x/Wj ) P (Wj ) p (x) P (Wj /x) Wj p (x/Wj ) Wj
(x)
p
Tij Ti. Tj. T .. pij = Tij T pi. = Ti. T p.j = T.j T qij = p.i.p.j κ κ = n 1 pii n 1 qii 1 n 1 qii
NDVI = IRp R IRp +R GRVI = V R V +R VARI = V R V +R A


λ
