11232018 BUSINESS

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business@tribunemedia.net

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 23, 2018

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Govt invests $3.5m in Lucayan facelift

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Poor processes slash GDP growth by 1% pt annually By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

MICHAEL SCOTT

By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

T

HE Government is investing $3.5m in pre-sale upgrades at the Grand Lucayan, the resort’s chairman revealed yesterday, with a preferred buyer unlikely to be selected before Easter 2019. Michael Scott, chairman of Lucayan Renewal Holdings, the Governmentowned special purpose vehicle (SPV) that controls the hotel, told Tribune Business that “limited improvements” were being made to “maximise” the property’s earning potential

* Upgrades focus on ‘revenue generating’ areas * Buyer progress unlikely until March/April 2019 * Union deal on severance eyed for ‘next week’

GRAND Lucayan for the peak winter tourism season that began with this week’s Thanksgiving holiday.

The upgrades are focused on the Grand Lucayan’s sole open property, Lighthouse Pointe, and other

$105m deficit overshoot rationale ‘not full picture’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net A TOP accountant yesterday argued that the Government’s explanation for the $105m deficit overshoot was “not the complete picture”, and raised fears there may be more bad news ahead. Gowon Bowe, pictured, the Bahamas Institute of Chartered Accountants (BICA) president, told Tribune Business that many observers would likely be sceptical that the Ministry of Finance was unaware of other government agencies’ spending trends when its gave its projected deficit

•BICA CHIEF ASKS IF BUDGETS EXCEEDED •OUTTURN SPARKS ‘MORE BAD NEWS’ FEAR

outcome for the 2017-2018 fiscal year in May. KP Turnquest, the deputy

Where’s the ‘modern governance’ pledged in return for VAT hike? By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE Bahamas is not getting the “modern governance” promised in return for the VAT hike, a leading reformer blasted yesterday, with people “sick and tired” of financing a bloated public sector. Robert Myers, the Organisation for Responsible Governance’s (ORG) principal, told Tribune Business that not only had the promised governance improvements failed to materialise but the Government was also missing its fiscal deficit and debt targets. He described the 20172018 deficit’s $105m overshoot, compared to year-end projections by the deputy prime minister, as “too big a swing” for comfort, arguing that the Government will be “perpetually struggling” with a problem “dangerous for running a country” unless it implements proper public sector controls and accounting standards. While praising KP Turnquest and Marlon Johnson, the Ministry of Finance’s financial secretary, for their efforts to “get the fiscal house in order”, Mr Myers said the Bahamian people were continually having to pay for waste, inefficiency

ROBERT MYERS and under-performance in the public sector through ever-increasing fees and taxes. He directly attacked the Government’s newlypublished Fiscal Strategy Report, which justified the 12 percent VAT rate increase and other tax rises on the basis that the Government was not earning sufficient income to meet the country’s needs, on the basis that Bahamians had yet to reap the benefits from losing more of their income in tax dollars. “It talks about increasing taxes to finance modern governance,” Mr Myers told Tribune Business of the report, “but we’re not getting it. “Even more upsetting in that statement is not only are we not getting modern governance; we’re missing our targets. “It is the largesse and

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prime minister, in unveiling the 2018-2019 budget had forecast that the prior year deficit would come in at $310m. However, the Government’s first-ever fiscal strategy report, tabled in the House of Assembly on Wednesday, revealed that the actual deficit was $414.9m - almost $105m, or 33.8 percent, higher than projected. Marlon Johnson, the Ministry of Finance’s financial secretary, blamed a late spending “ramp up” by government departments and agencies trying to ensure bills were not “carried over” into the 2018-2019

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“revenue generating” areas, although the still-closed Breaker’s Cay complex will be painted and subject to “cosmetic repairs”. Mr Scott, meanwhile, confirmed that “two dozen written expressions of interest” have been received from potential Grand Lucayan purchasers as the buyer search moves into high gear. Colliers, the Canadianheadquartered real estate firm that handled the Baha

up by its SOEs, although it is hoping to cut this sum to $463.2m - a 31.6 percent reduction - by 2019 largely as a result of Bahamas Power & Light’s (BPL) planned rate reduction bond (RRB) refinancing that will remove some $203m from its books. “State-owned enterprises (SOEs) represent a fiscal risk in terms of the potential call on the budget when financial difficulties arise and an explicit guarantee is provided to the SOEs in their borrowing activities,” the fiscal strategy report said. “Contingent liabilities are projected at an estimated $474.5m at end-2018 and, based on existing debt levels and repayment schedules,

POOR governance and business processes have slashed Bahamian economic growth by an average one percent of GDP every year this century, the Government has admitted. The first-ever fiscal strategy report, tabled in the House of Assembly on Wednesday, blamed low to negative total factor productivity (TFP) for The Bahamas’ anemic economic growth since the turn of the century. TFP, which measures technological innovation in both the private and public sectors, and how efficiently inputs to the production process are used, was said to have “almost doubled” its negative impact on real GDP growth to two percentage points in the early 2000s. This, the report added, undermined foreign direct investment (FDI) and other capital injections into the Bahamian economy, along with the “modestly rising” contribution of labour since the turn of the century. Acknowledging that real economic growth was “of critical importance” to employment levels and living standards, the fiscal strategy report defined TFP as all factors other than capital and labour that impact GDP. “Based on studies completed on the subject, TFP has played a central role in the under-performance of the economy since, at least, the early 1980s,” it said. “In the 1990s, for instance, capital and labour together contributed an average of three percentage points to real economic growth, but total factor productivity reduced the actual growth rate by one full point.

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Mar sales process, is performing the same role for Freeport’s last mega resort property, but the Lucayan Renewal Holdings chairman said a preferred bidder is unlikely to be selected before March/April next year. He added that he hoped to reach “a final agreement” over the terms and value of staff severance packages next week with the two unions representing the Grand Lucayan staff, with responses to the resort’s latest offer expected today. “We’re doing some limited improvements focusing on the income-generating

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‘Road map’ to end ‘severe’ risk of SOEs By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

THE Government will hire consultants to develop a “road map” for making all state-owned enterprises (SOEs) self-sufficient and eliminate the “severe” fiscal risk they pose. The first-ever fiscal strategy report, tabled in the House of Assembly on Wednesday, labelled the risk of “substantial losses” among SOEs - and the need for taxpayer bail-outs and support - as one of the greatest threats to the Government’s fiscal targets and consolidation strategy. The Government has currently guaranteed some $677.4m in liabilities racked

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