02262019 BUSINESS

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business@tribunemedia.net

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 26, 2019

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Port revamp ‘must run parallel’ to Bay St revival By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE revival of Nassau’s cruise port and downtown “must run in parallel”, the Chamber of Commerce’s chief executive urged yesterday, and reverse the slide in passenger experience. Jeffrey Beckles, pictured, told Tribune Business that Global Ports Holding’s planned $250m transformation of Prince George Wharf “cannot be treated as a separate project and run miles apart” from the wider effort to resurrect Bay Street and the wider downtown economy. Emphasising that the two initiatives had to be integrated, and treated akin to “hand in glove”, given that both will feed off each other, Mr Beckles said there was little use in offering a fantastic cruise port experience that was not matched by the rest of the destination. He added that the government’s selection of Global Ports Holding as the preferred bidder, and rejection of the offer that was backed by the cruise lines, would not result in any “fall-out” in terms of reduced calls on Nassau. Pointing to Nassau’s importance to the cruise industry, despite the rapid expansion of its Bahamian private island network, Mr Beckles said the Bahamian capital had been good to the sector and will continue to produce profits/returns for many years to come. The chamber chief added that the Nassau cruise port’s upgrade was especially critical given the increase in cruise passenger visitors to The Bahamas, as the rise in volume was not being matched by the quality of their experiences - which have been “trending downwards”. “The government has obviously made a decision that reflects a more substantive and robust plan for the redevelopment of the port,” Mr Beckles told Tribune Business of Global Ports Holding’s selection.

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Super Value chief in resort exit ‘gem’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

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UPER Value’s owner says his Bimini Sands property will be transformed into “a little gem” matching nearby Cat Cay through the deal that will secure his resort industry exit. Rupert Roberts, confirming that a sale has been agreed subject to government approval, told Tribune Business that it was time for “somebody else to complete the vision I had” for a property that currently features 216 condo units and around 60 marina slips. While declining to identify the buyer, or speak on its behalf about its plans, Mr Roberts said he wanted to focus on “selling meat and potatoes” via his Super Value supermarket chain and other food retail ventures. Pointing out that he is “not getting any younger”, he pledged that Bimini Sands’ existing 166 homeowners will be “thrilled” by the impending sale and buyer’s plans to upgrade the South Bimini-based resort.

RUPERT ROBERTS “We’ve signed an agreement for sale subject to government approval,” Mr Roberts told this newspaper, “and I think it’s going to be something outstanding for Bimini, for employment and the tourist industry in Bimini. “It’s something I’ve worked for 20-25 years, and built 216 condo units and dug the marina.... I would like to see somebody else complete the

MOODY’S is urging further “restraint” in public spending while predicting that the government will miss the 1.8 percent deficit target set by the Fiscal Responsibility Act for 2018-2019. The credit rating agency, in an update that accompanied its upgrading of The Bahamas’ outlook from “negative” to “stable”, warned that the government’s $237m deficit objective was still “attainable” but would likely require further spending curbs between now and end-June to hit target. Moody’s also gave more conservative economic growth projections for The Bahamas than the International Monetary Fund (IMF), forecasting that gross domestic product (GDP) will expand by 1.9

creditworthiness over the next six months to two years. Moody’s had last week indicated that passage of the Fiscal Responsibility Act, combined with the introduction of quarterly fiscal reports and a reduced deficit for 2017-2018 compared to the prior year’s $661m, had restored some of The Bahamas’ policymaking credibility and prompted the improved “outlook”. However, the “credit opinion” obtained by Tribune Business indicates it now wants to see The Bahamas deliver by translating all this into results featuring a much-reduced annual fiscal deficit. It pointed to 2017-2018’s “slippage”, when the full-year deficit

Tribune Business Reporter

nmckenzie@tribunemedia.net

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• Forecasts 2-2.5% for 2018-2019 • Goal ‘attainable’ but curb spending • And lower GDP projections than IMF percent in 2019 following two percent growth last year. The IMF had projected 2.1 percent and 2.3 percent, respectively. And, while acknowledging the tourism-related foreign direct investment (FDI) projects in the pipeline, Moody’s also warned that “the anticipated slowdown” in US economic growth will “weigh” on The Bahamas’ own economic prospects and outlook. The rating agency’s socalled “credit opinion” thus dims some of the glow that the government was basking in last week following its decision to upgrade The Bahamas’ outlook to “stable” - an indication that it does not currently expect to further downgrade this nation’s sovereign

By NATARIO MCKENZIE

came in at $410m - a sum $105m higher than the figure given five months earlier by KP Turnquest, the deputy prime minister. “We think the fiscal deficit target of 1.8 percent of GDP in fiscal year 20182019 is attainable as a large share of revenue is collected in the third quarter of the fiscal year,” Moody’s said. “However, this would still require spending restraint in the second half of fiscal year 2018-2019 and efforts to avoid the accountingled slippage seen in fiscal year 2017-2018. “Because the government has not built a track record under the new fiscal rules, we have incorporated conservative projections in

have more than I can do. We’ve grown to 13 supermarkets in Nassau, and five in Abaco, and I have other investments in businesses, including the [Commonwealth] bank. “These people are very creative, very well financed,” he said of the potential purchaser, “and I think it’s the right fit. I’m not getting any younger. Let a young group take that. I think the home owners are going to be thrilled. The marina I think could sell itself. There are 60-some slips that could be increased to 160. I just don’t have the time to develop it. I don’t visit Bimini enough for pleasure.” Asked how quickly he expected the government approvals to materialise, Mr Roberts added: “Government say they’re approving these things on a

Moody’s predicts 1.8% deficit objective missed By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

Downtown retail hails port winner as ‘what we need’ BAY Street merchants yesterday said Global Ports Holding’s $250m plan to redevelop Nassau’s cruise port is “exactly what downtown has needed for many years”. Tara Morley, the Bahamas Federation of Retailers (BFR) co-chair, told Tribune Business: “We’re really excited. It seems like they [Global Ports] are extremely keen on getting feedback from the local community in terms of best steps for the redevelopment of downtown. They were far and away the most ambitious of the revitalisation project bidders. It’s exactly what downtown has been needing for many years now. “Retailers are quite keen on seeing some movement with respect to getting downtown to a level it once was, and hopefully even better than before. This is also going to create a lot of opportunities for the current landlords and business owners who may now want to regroup and reinvest in the downtown area. “It is also starting to attract other developers from outside the country into looking at downtown as a viable investment going forward. We will continue to collaborate with them [Global Port] closely, and we’re open to feedback from downtown retailers.” Sarah Hug, proprietor of Shore Boutique, told Tribune Business that Global Ports Holding’s plans could attract her to re-open in downtown Nassau. “I’m very excited. I’m excited for everyone down there. I might review looking at a business down there. What they’re proposing is exactly what downtown needs,” she said. Ms Hug added that she had been forced to move her business out of downtown two-and-a-half years ago, and focus on her Cable Beach store, due to a lack of “quality tourists” and spending by cruise passengers. “The quality of tourists really deteriorated, there was a lack of parking and so we lost a lot of local business and, frankly, downtown is not exactly an attractive place,” she added. Global Ports Holding, the UK-listed, Turkish-headquartered operator of 16 cruise ports spread throughout the Mediterranean, Asia-Pacific and Atlantic regions, was unveiled as

• Rupert Roberts confirms Bimini Sands deal • Buyer can make it ‘as famous as Cat Cay’ • Homeowners told: ‘Puts us back on map’ vision I had for it, and turn it into another gem in the Caribbean. It’s literally 40 nautical miles from Miami. It’s the beginning of yachting to Paradise; the gateway to The Bahamas. Bimini is the first island they hit. “With government’s cooperation it’s going to be a little gem there on Bimini, and Bimini Sands will become very famous like Cat Cay.” That is the highend, luxury private island community nearby that is home to multiple wealthy residents. Asked why he had decided to exit now, the Super Value chief said the passing of his Bimini Sands business partner, the late Frank Cooney, three to four years ago was among the factors. “He was a working partner, not a financing partners, and I sell potatoes and onions,” Mr Roberts added. “I’m busy selling potatoes and onions, and

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Bahamas First targets 15% returns to offset ‘volatility’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net BAHAMAS First’s top executive yesterday said it is targeting a 15 percent return on equity (ROE) in nonhurricane years to ensure it smooths out “volatility” and remains attractive to investors. Patrick Ward, the property and casualty insurer’s president and chief executive, told Tribune Business it had seen nothing to disturb recent projections that 2018 profits would come in at around $10m. Confirming that Bahamas First was “absolutely” focused on a 15 percent ROE target, Mr Ward explained that such returns were necessary to ensure the company remained an attractive investment option compared to alternatives. “We’re in the risk business. We’ve got to have that

• Eyeing $10m bottom line for 2018 • ‘Not passing on in full’ VAT costs • Hike to 12% now ‘fully embedded’ premium return to justify the capital,” he said. “The volatility around insurance company investments suggests we have to have ROE in that range when compared to alternative investment avenues shareholders may have.” Bahamas First, in a recent letter to shareholders, said 2018’s ROE was around 13 percent based on internal financials suggesting it had generated around $10m in total comprehensive income for the 12 months to end-December. “The unaudited result for 2018 points to a comprehensive income in the range of $10m for the group,” the letter said. “At this level of income, the ROE would

be approximately 13 percent for 2018, in isolation, and close to 15 percent for the average of the most recent three-year period. “Having regard to the fact that two of the three years within this average calculation involved material natural catastrophe claims, we are confident that our current business model can consistently achieve the ROE targets set by the board.” Mr Ward yesterday said Bahamas First had seen nothing to alter its profit forecasts, although its financials are currently being reviewed by external auditors prior to their annual sign-off and publication. “Nothing has happened so far to change that,” he

added of the expected $10m bottom line. “We’re in the middle of finishing the audit, but at this point there is nothing I can say that would change or alter that expectation. “We had no hurricane losses or incidents last year in either Cayman or The Bahamas. From that perspective, we didn’t have any extra claims activity that will have any impact on the results. In any year when you don’t have significant hurricane losses you should be running good technical results.” The last major payout experienced by Bahamas First, and indeed all other local property and casualty underwriters, was for losses associated with Hurricane Matthew in October 2016. Some also experienced elevated claims in 2017 as a result of having exposures

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