01142022 BUSINESS

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business@tribunemedia.net

FRIDAY, JANUARY 14, 2022

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Pre-COVID output ‘not good enough’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

• Governor: GDP must expand to absorb new workers • But reaffirms 8% growth forecast remains for 2022 • Warns Federal Reserve ‘tightening’ could impact

THE Central Bank’s governor yesterday warned that returning to pre-COVID economic output “is not enough” as he reaffirmed forecasts that GDP will expand by 8 percent in 2022. John Rolle, addressing the Bahamas Business Outlook conference, said the continued expansion of the workforce - with several thousand school leavers having swelled its ranks further in the two years since the pandemic began - made it imperative that this nation not merely settle for returning to 2019 gross domestic product (GDP) levels.

Predicting that The Bahamas will catch up to preCOVID output in 2023, he warned that the economy still faces potential headwinds that could throw it off this year’s growth estimates. Besides the case surge sparked by the Omicron variant, the governor said policy tightening

by the Federal Reserve and other foreign central banks to combat inflation could impact tourism demand. But, while the Federal Reserve has indicated it could raise US interest rates three times in 2022, starting as early as March, Mr Rolle suggested “pent-up demand” among

JOHN ROLLE American travellers was strong enough in the shortterm to offset any negative Bahamian tourism industry impact from a rise in borrowing and debt servicing costs

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‘Entire economy shuts when ATMs go down’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net ELEUTHERA Chamber of Commerce’s president yesterday urged the Government to stiffen “the backbone” of Bahamian-owned banks, adding: “When the ATMs go down the entire economy shuts.”

Thomas Sands, addressing the Bahamas Business Outlook conference, urged the Davis administration to “incentivise” the locally-owned institutions to establish physical branches wherever needed across the Family Islands given the vital role they play in facilitating commerce for already hardpressed economies. Eleuthera presently has bank locations in Rock Sound

via Bank of The Bahamas; CIBC FirstCaribbean in Governor’s Harbour; Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) in Harbour Island; and Commonwealth Bank in Spanish Wells. Noting that some Eleutherans have to travel miles to conduct their financial services business, Mr Sands said: “With these locations, when

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THOMAS SANDS

Abaco eyes Economic Council after tiring of Nassau’s ‘diktats’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net ABACO’S private sector is seeking to create an Economic Development Council for the island, it was revealed yesterday, after becoming tired of being “dictated” to by Nassau. Ken Hutton, the Abaco Chamber of Commerce’s president, told the Bahamas Business Outlook conference that no one knew better than the island’s businesses and residents how to market it as an investment opportunity to outside capital and businesses. While the proposed Council would have “input”

KEN HUTTON from the Government, and take the form of a publicprivate sector partnership, he emphasised that it would be driven by locals as “we cannot rely on Nassau to market our island because they don’t know what it is”.

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Exchange controls to be ‘less of hindrance’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE Central Bank’s governor yesterday pledged to make exchange control restrictions “less and less of a hindrance” to Bahamian investors and companies seeking capital. John Rolle told the Bahamas Business Outlook conference that the regulator planned to employ the relaxed “framework” implemented in 2017 “a lot more as we move ahead” to enable Bahamian entrepreneurs to access overseas investment in foreign exchange-earning sectors.

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Suggesting that there are further plans to “streamline exchange controls”, although he provided no details, the governor added: “We are going to focus a lot more on making sure, in so far as the investment regime is concerned, exchange control is less and less of a hindrance to investment activity....... “This economy depends on foreign exchange activity, and what we’re doing with foreign exchange is ensuring more stable access and, over time, the Government liberalises more areas where Bahamians have a

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Omicron ‘pushes back’ pre-COVID for tourism • Variant creates ‘rough couple of months’ for industry • Cancellations ‘going down’, online searches off 50% • Out Island hotels targeting 86% of ‘19 room revenue By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net TOURISM’S hoped-for return to 2019 business volumes this year has been “pushed back” several months by Omicron with Internet searches for The Bahamas now “half” of pre-COVID levels. Fred Lounsberry, the Nassau/Paradise ROBERT SANDS Island Promotion Board’s president, told yesterday’s Bahamas Business Outlook conference that the industry was working feverishly to regain pre-Christmas “momentum” that had been disrupted by the new COVID variant and market confusion over the Government’s constantly changing entry/testing protocols. Revealing that he had been told visitor cancellations “have gone down”, and bookings are improving, he nevertheless voiced optimism that the tourism industry would finish “close” to 2019 numbers for the 2022 full-year despite having to endure “a rough couple of months” due to the ongoing pandemic. Others were more optimistic. Robert Sands, the Bahamas Hotel and Tourism Association’s (BHTA) president, that he was “bullish on 2022” and predicted that it was “going to

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