Envisioning Brantford – Municipal Comprehensive Review – Part 1: Employment Strategy, Intensification Strategy, Housing Strategy and Land Needs
2
GROWTH FORECASTS AND POLICY UNDERSTANDING
2.1
POPULATION AND EMPLOYMENT GROWTH FORECASTS
The most recent Statistics Canada 2016 Census population (people) figure for the City of Brantford was 97,510. The Census Net Under-coverage for the Province of Ontario in 2011 was 3.0%. Taking this Under-coverage into account, the 2016 population was actually 100,525. In addition, the 2016 Census population for Brantford did not include the Boundary Adjustment Lands. The population of the Boundary Adjustment Lands including Tutela Heights and lands north of the City was determined by Statistics Canada to be 1,150 in 2016, plus the Census Net Under-coverage equals 1,185. As a result, the total 2016 population in the current municipal boundary of the City of Brantford was 101,710 as shown below, • 2016 Brantford Census Population: o Census Net Under-coverage: • 2016 Boundary Adjustment Lands Census Population: o Census Net Under-coverage: •
Total 2016 Population:
97,510 people 3,015 people 1,150 people 35 people 101,710 people
The most recent Statistics Canada 2016 Census employment (jobs) figure for the City of Brantford was 44,375 jobs. Within the Boundary Adjustment Lands, Statistics Canada found 455 jobs in Usual Place of Work employment and Home-Based Employment, with additional employment in No Fixed Place of Work employment. Adding the Boundary Adjustment Lands employment results in a total 2016 employment in the current municipal boundary of the City of Brantford of 44,890. • 2016 Brantford Employment: • 2016 Boundary Adjustment Lands Employment: o additional No Fixed Place of Work: • Total 2016 Employment
44,375 jobs 455 jobs 60 jobs 44,890 jobs
According to the Growth Plan, by the year 2041, the City of Brantford is forecast to accommodate: • 163,000 people; and • 79,000 jobs. This forecast represents growth of approximately 61,290 people and 34,110 jobs between 2016 and 2041. These additional people and jobs will be accommodated within the existing Settlement Area of the City of Brantford, as well as within the Boundary Adjustment Lands. As 9
