Climate One 2015

2015

A NOTE FROM GREG The year 2015 was a dramatic one for both our climate and Climate One. Anxiety about the searing drought in the American West and record hot temperatures around the world was tempered by optimism from the Paris climate talks. Many of the speakers from the 32 events we hosted last year said their work would be advanced if a global deal was cut in Paris.

As the Paris climate summit approached, the Rockefeller Brothers Fund invited me to moderate a high-profile program on one of the main stages at the conference. So just a few weeks after the Paris terror attacks, I took our small team to Paris and sat down with governors and mayors from Brazil, Canada, Mexico, Nigeria, Peru, and our own Gov. Jerry Brown. These sub-national leaders, among others, are doing great work growing their economies while reducing pollution. Amidst the frenzy of activity and high security, we were able to produce a special Climate One radio show and podcast on cities, sustainable food, innovation, and more. We all left Paris with hope that the surprisingly ambitious and interim goals established in Paris will be realized.

Climate One programs now reach over a million people a year through our live audience at events, our monthly TV show, our expanding radio show, and our ever-increasing number of podcast listeners. Last year our radio program was picked up in two of the largest markets, giving us airtime on Washington DC’s WAMU-FM and KERAFM in Dallas.

As our audience gets bigger, we continue to attract some of the most influential figures to our stage at The Commonwealth Club. Last year’s highlights included Hank Paulson, T. Boone Pickens, Lisa Jackson, Dr. Sylvia Earle, Julián Castro, Dr. Jane Lubchenco, and Dr. Rajendra Pachauri to name just a few. On top of all this great news, we also launched a brand new website!

We are proud of our success, and we strive to further our reach and our depth in the climate conversation. We hope you continue to stay engaged with Climate One as we change the conversation on energy, economy, and the environment.

Respectfully yours,

Greg Dalton

CLIMATE ONE BY THE NUMBERS

2,642 2,163 108,637 115,000+

TWITTER FOLLOWERS

FACEBOOK LIKES

YOUTUBE VIEWS

ITUNES PODCAST DOWNLOADS

32 3,904 92 6,350+

PROGRAMS ATTENDEES RADIO STATIONS EMAIL RECIPIENTS

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The reason [renewable energy] doesn’t make as much money is because the dirty stuff doesn’t have the full cost associated with it.

There are a lot of externalized costs that go behind fossil fuels.

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LOU ALLSTADT Former Executive Vice President, Mobil Oil

Shell, I believe, was one of the first to come out and say, ‘First of all, we recognize climate change. The next thing is we accept the fact the majority cause is man-made, a large part of it going to fossil fuels. There has to be a solution.’

ANGUS GILLESPIE Vice President for CO2, Shell Oil Company

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There’s still going to be a lot of cars using gasoline and diesel fuel out there on the roads – at least until the end of 2050 – and we want to make sure that those vehicles are using the cleanest possible fuel. So we need the oil companies to use the tremendous technical, engineering, and in-house research capacity that they have to help come up with [something] cleaner.

MARY NICHOLS Chair, California Air Resources Board 4 | climateone.org

Oil Ahead

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Changes in lifestyles and behavior are going to be important in addition to all the technologies and policy options.

RAJENDRA K. PACHAURI

Lisa Jackson and Rajendra Pachauri

Chair, IPCC

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[Apple wants] to talk about the solutions. They’re doable and they’re economically achievable.

LISA JACKSON Vice President, Environmental Initiatives, Apple

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Cities can adopt policies that have the effect of making them more resilient while lowering their emissions and ... preparing for climate change more strongly.

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JULIÁN CASTRO Secretary, US Department of Housing and Urban Development

Julián Castro

AUDIENCE SHOTS

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Our oceans are acidifying because there’s too much CO2 in our oceans, but our soils are actually starving for carbon.

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If we want to build sustainable food systems, we have to buy the kind of food that we think is actually creating regenerative landscapes and soils.

DIANA DONLON

NICOLETTE HAHN NIMAN

Director, Cool Foods Program, Center for Food Safety

Author, Defending Beef

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We’ve known for a long time that agriculture in general has the potential to emit a lot of greenhouse gases. What we don’t hear about all the time is the fact that agriculture also has a chance to be part of the solution.

WHENDEE SILVER Professor of Environmental Science, UC Berkeley

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Down and Dirty

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I thought it was interesting ... that what either film directors or, in some cases, novelists were doing was almost using [climate change and energy] as the background and then staging their story on top of that, and that in some ways was more interesting than a book about climate change.

JASON MARK Former Editor, Earth Island Journal

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Science is not just facts, nor is science settled in stone, nor is it some godlike power to comprehend the world. It’s just science. It’s an attempt to understand things by reproducibility and by all the other parts of the scientific method. When you’re sick and when you’re scared for your life, you run to a scientist.

KIM STANLEY ROBINSON Author, 2312

Cli-Fi 2015

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The next barrel of oil you figure out how to pull out of ground is more difficult and more costly than the last one.

JASON BORDOFF Founding Director, Center on Global Energy Policy, Columbia University

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The key to me for policy makers and consumers is keeping our eyes on policies that do reduce that vulnerability to volatility.

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KATE GORDON Director of Energy and Climate Program, Next Generation

The reduction in oil price generally is a marvelous boon. I think it adds something like $40 billion to our GDP.

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WILLIAM K. REILLY Senior Advisor, TPG

Cheap Gasoline

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California certainly has risks. We have the rising sea levels and a tremendous amount of infrastructure along the coast in California and in the Bay Area. You can look at the maps and see our major airports at risk, as well as our ports.

LOUISE BEDSWORTH Deputy Director, California Governor’s Office of Planning and Research

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California has a really good story that shows the success you can have cleaning up the environment. We have a strong economy.

HUNTER CUTTING Director of Strategic Communications, Climate Nexus

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It’s societal, it’s economic, and it’s ecological resilience. You’ve got to be looking at all three. You’ve got to be weaving all three, or the notion is meaningless.

KATHRYN SULLIVAN Administrator, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Weather Whiplash

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Clean Cloud

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We absolutely have to change policy. We really need to have stronger leadership from companies who believe in climate change, who believe in the need for more renewable energy.

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I think a greater level of transparency in knowing the carbon footprint is important. Knowing how big the number is and, in the case of science, knowing that we need to get to at least 80% reduction in CO2 by 2050 is really valuable information.

GARY COOK

CHRISTINA PAGE

Senior IT Policy Analyst, Greenpeace International

Global Director, Energy & Sustainability Strategy, Yahoo!

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Yes, maybe you’re investing a little more in a couple of features in the building and construction [of green buildings]. But if you look at the operating cost, it’s much, much lower over time.

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There are two broad ways to be cleaner. One is be more efficient, so use less energy. The other is to make the energy you do use greener. And being more efficient in many cases saves you money.

LORI DUVALL

BILL WEIHL

Director, Sustainable Operations, eBay

Sustainability Guru, Facebook

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[Putting a price on] carbon is probably the way that you’re really going to change things – by creating a market environment where people can actually react to the incentives that they’re seeing.

KURT BILLICK Chief Investment Officer, Bocage Capital

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Fossil fuels are going to become more expensive, at the same time as we’re seeing renewables – things like wind and solar – becoming cheaper. We call this ‘climate swerve,’ and we know which side we want to be on.

ANTHONY HOBLEY CEO, Carbon Tracker Initiative

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We need people in boardrooms who get [climate change], who can think long term, and who can understand complex challenges.

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ANNE SIMPSON Director of Global Governance, CalPERS

Carbon Bubble

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I cannot see anything that makes me uncomfortable about the Keystone Pipeline.

T. Boone Pickens

T. BOONE PICKENS Chairman and CEO, BP Capital

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Some of the most effective things we can do are the least sexy. ... But it has tremendous paybacks in comfort, energy reduction, and so forth. So there are a lot of good reasons to do it.

ANN EDMINSTER Author, Energy Free: Homes for a Small Planet

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Principal, David Baker Architects

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SVEN THESEN

The goal is really to make the buildings use as little energy as possible.

DANIEL SIMONS

We wanted a reasonable home that was extremely comfortable, extremely functional, and still had an extremely small carbon footprint.

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Owner, Net Zero Home

Net Zero: Homes & Waste

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We’ve got to stop using [plastic bags] for 30 seconds and throwing it away, or five minutes in a bottle that would last up to 5,000 years.

KEVIN DREW Zero Waste Coordinator, SF Department of the Environment

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We’re really trying to help everyone understand that we can create a zero waste world [with the Trash on Your Back campaign]. 4.4 pounds of trash [is the] average per person, per day. Well, we were able to knock that down to 0.8 pounds per day.

DIANA DEHM Founder, Trash on Your Back

Net Zero: Homes & Waste

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Music is this grand communicator that a lot of people don’t really take advantage of. I think it’s been a crucial point that’s missing in environmental communication.

LAUREN HENNESSY Sustainability Outreach Manager, Stanford University

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An all-of-the-above [energy] strategy is like an alcoholic who smokes three packs a day, saying, ‘I’m going to drink some vegetable smoothies, but I’m not going to quit smoking or drinking.’

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RICHARD MARTIN Author, Coal Wars: The Future of Energy and the Fate of the Planet

Coal may have served us well over the last hundred years, but it is past time to move on as fast as we possibly can.

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BRUCE NILLES Senior Director, Beyond Coal Campaign, Sierra Club

If you price carbon, you will certainly reduce greenhouse gas emissions. If you prevent coal exports, you’ll do nothing to stop greenhouse gas emissions globally.

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FRANK WOLAK Director, Program on Energy and Sustainable Development, Stanford University

Why are we burning more natural gas here? It’s because gas is cheaper.

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BRIAN YU Director and Senior Analyst, Citi Research

Coal Wars

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Climate change is a very difficult issue to deal with. It’s the biggest economic risk we face.

Hank Paulson: Dealing With China

HANK PAULSON Former US Secretary of the Treasury

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We’re all tinkering with the atmosphere with our greenhouse gas emissions.

KEN CALDEIRA Climate Scientist, Carnegie Institution for Science, Department of Global Ecology at Stanford University

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One of the reasons why geoengineering is a controversial topic is because it’s talking about trying to influence climate at this very broad scale akin to perhaps playing God.

ALBERT LIN Professor of Law, UC Davis

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We know now that we’re changing the climate. And so the idea of thinking about this may bring us to a place where we actually do a better job of that intention, of managing this planet.

JANE LONG Co-chair, Task Force on Geoengineering, Bipartisan Policy Center

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Marine cloud brightening was invented by John Latham. … He was walking with his son in Wales; out came part of the cloud and his son said, ‘Wow – this is like a mirror!’

ARMAND NEUKERMANS Physicist and Inventor

Hacking the Climate

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It’s not like you are going to change the world by recycling. But it’s about taking responsibility in your conversation, in your connection to other people, in talking, in thinking, and in understanding connections among issues.

GEORGE LAKOFF Professor of Linguistics, UC Berkeley

Climate Cognition

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The fact that people who do get it, who do see what’s happening and believe it, are not mobilizing to a greater extent, I think that is by far the more serious problem.

KARI NORGAARD Associate Professor, Sociology and Environmental Studies, University of Oregon

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We don’t do this because of the year 2100. We don’t do this because of arctic ice. We do it because this is a moral issue.

PER ESPEN STOKNES Author, What We Think About When We Try Not to Think About Global Warming

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Everybody needs to be part of the solution. Everybody.

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GINA MCCARTHY Administrator, US Environmental Protection Agency

US EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy

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I think the most important person to contact on these issues is the person you see in the mirror.

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SYLVIA EARLE National Geographic Explorer in Residence

Sylvia Earle

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The problem is no longer in the future. The problem is in the present and furthermore, the solutions are in the present.

CHRISTIANA FIGUERES Executive Secretary, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

The Road to Paris

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The evidence is all around us that it’s no longer a theory, it’s no longer a matter of models – it’s upon us. And it seems to me now it ought to be much easier to create the consensus that gives us serious policy.

WILLIAM K. REILLY Senior Advisor, TPG

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We want [ride-hail app cars] to be regulated for the safety of the public. We want them to make sure those drivers are professionals and that they know their way around.

CHAKIB AYADI Executive Board Member, San Francisco Taxi Workers Alliance

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Head of Public Policy & Business Development, Getaround

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OSWALDO ARCE

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JOE FITZGERALD RODRIGUEZ

If the enemy is unnecessary personal vehicle ownership then certainly the abundance of choice is not a bad thing.

PADDEN MURPHY

I believe that it is up to passengers themselves to have better judgment on when they’re going to use the ride-hail app as opposed to a bike or walking.

Lyft Driver

People who are using the ride-hail apps would have taken the bus, they would have walked, would have biked, taken a taxi…so they’re not taking cars off the road.

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Staff Reporter, San Francisco Examiner

How We Roll

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Ten years ago, for every one bicycle out there, there were three cars. It’s exactly the opposite now.

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TOM NOLAN Chairman of the Board, San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency

When transportation is that ‘per-use’ thing, I think people are smart. People are going to use the right option for the right trip.

JEFF HOBSON Acting Executive Director, TransForm

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An untold success story of this drought is that it’s not having as bad an economic impact as you might think.

ELLEN HANAK Senior Fellow and Center Director, Public Policy Institute of California

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The fact is that when water is scarce, it still costs urban utilities the same amount to put it into customers’ homes.

So prices inevitably will need to increase.

MARGUERITE YOUNG Director, Ward 3, East Bay Municipal Utility District Board

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I don’t know anybody that’s had to cut back watering their lawn that had to refinance their home. I know a lot of farmers that are refinancing their farms.

PAUL WENGER

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Food security is as important as climate change and population growth.

FELICIA MARCUS Chair, State Water Resources Control Board

President, California Farm Bureau Federation

Almonds and Lawns

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This is one of the great moral challenges of our time. ... It’s the people who are the poorest – who did the least to cause this problem – who are the most vulnerable.

MARK CLIFFORD Author, The Greening of Asia

Greening Asia

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The difference is now China has money. China has resources. So when the pressure comes and more people realize, they will find a solution.

STELLA LI Senior Vice President, BYD Company Ltd.

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The problem confronting China is staggering.

Staggering. They had several decades of really reckless development, which did some destruction, which is not going to be so easy to repair.

ORVILLE SCHELL Arthur Ross Director, Center on US-China Relations, Asia Society in New York

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It’s important to think about our entire water footprint in the same way that we started thinking about our carbon footprint.

ANNA MICHALAK Faculty Member, Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution for Science

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I’m actually much more interested in the choices we make in our homes – how we actually use water – and having some sense of where the water comes from.

MARTHA DAVIS Executive Manager for Policy Development, Inland Empire Utilities Agency

Reinventing Water

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It’s really no different than any of us going out with a credit card and spending freely when we don’t have the money to support our purchases.

ABRAHM LUSTGARTEN Reporter, ProPublica

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Historically, we’ve used the exact same water for almost all the use cases. We treat water to drinking water quality standards, and then use it for things like watering our lawns.

TAMIN PECHET CEO, Banyan Water and Chairman, Imagine H2O

Reinventing Water

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We have to realize the most vulnerable people in the time of drought are the people with the least water security.

DAVID SEDLAK Professor of Mineral Engineering and Co-director of Berkeley Water Center, UC Berkeley

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Pope Francis: Game Changer?

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Every one of our behaviors affects our neighbors who we’re called to love, whether it’s the coffee we drink or the clothes we wear or the energy we use.

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REV. SALLY BINGHAM Founder and President, Regeneration Project

The Pope is calling us to simply be profound persons of integrity and to close the largest gap ever measured by human beings: the fourteen inches between the heart and the brain.

PAUL FITZGERALD President, University of San Francisco

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[The Pope] is talking about an adaptive problem that requires a complete shift in the cultural paradigm and a revolution in how we think and act in our daily lives.

SAM LICCARDO Mayor, San Jose

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The other vision is you treat it the way we treat Antarctica. You try to internationalize it and treat it as a global common in a special unique global heritage.

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ALEX LEVINSON Executive Director, Pacific Environment

There really is an international spirit of cooperation and understanding of how to mitigate climate change in the Arctic ... and I think that is a bright spot.

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WILLIAM COLLINS Director, Climate and Ecosystem Science Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

The Arctic Council is a good example of how the coastal states are working together to ensure that what we do in the Arctic ... is within certain very well-designed rules.

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SERGEY PETROV Consul General of the Russian Federation in San Francisco

We have a tendency to think about it as just a frozen desolate place that is completely inaccessible, but there are four million people living north of the Arctic Circle.

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HILDE JANNE SKORPEN Consul General for Norway in San Francisco

Arctic Melting and Rising

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It’s not how much renewables we add, it’s how much fossil [energy] we turn off. That’s the goal. It’s that evolution of thinking that ultimately matters.

GEOF SYPHERS CEO, Sonoma Clean Power

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It’s been really exciting to see the big impacts that we can make in climate change … when customers start getting power from us that’s twice as renewable as they were getting before.

DAWN WEISZ CEO, Marin Clean Energy

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I think what customers really want to know is, does their choice end up being meaningful? Are there actually less carbon emissions because they made the choice [to switch providers]?

MATTHEW FREEDMAN Staff Attorney, The Utility Reform Network

Competition for Power

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ON CLIMATE ONE

What speakers and audience members are saying about Climate One

“When it comes to sustainability, we’ve got to find creative ways to communicate with people and connect at a more unifying human level to affect change. It’s great to have an outlet like Climate One that supports this ethos.”

– Lauren Hennessy “Nowhere can a person get a more diverse view of the climate problem than listening to Greg Dalton interview experts on the Climate One program. From oil executives to religious leaders and investors, the scope of ideas and opinions are vast. Then you can make up your own mind feeling fully informed on the issue.”

– Sally Bingham “US political discourse on climate science is characterized by a lot of noise, but precious little signal. Climate One cuts through all the noise and does an amazing job of isolating the real signals in our understanding of climate change science, impacts, and solutions.”

– Dr. Ben Santer

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“Now more than ever, it is critical that we keep the conversation going on climate change, its drivers and possible solutions. Climate One provides an unparalleled forum for in-depth discussion and debate on these important issues.”

– Whendee Silver “I appreciate the programs and the added information each time I attend. Thank you, Greg Dalton, for starting this organization.”

– Audience Member “I attended with a young friend, age 25. I learned so much and was very interested to see the people on stage.”

– Audience Member “I’m so happy The Club is focusing on this very important topic. Just wish more of the USA (and world) would listen to the broadcasts and PAY ATTENTION and DO SOMETHING POSITIVE to mitigate the disastrous impact of climate change!”

– Audience Member

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We’re talking about cleaner, greener energy at a competitive price … but more importantly, local jobs, local build out and making sure that those jobs are San Franciscan jobs.

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LONDON BREED President, Board of Supervisors, San Francisco

We’re confident that we’ll be able to bring renewable power to San Francisco – real renewable power to San Francisco, at a price that meets or beats PG&E.

BARBARA HALE Assistant General Manager, San Francisco Public Utility Commission’s Power Enterprise

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I think the answer to fracking and fossil fuel in general is to transition to clean fuels and renewable energy. And that means electric vehicles. And our guys would love to install those charging stations for you.

HUNTER STERN Business Representative, Brotherhood of Electrical Workers

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California’s goal should be 100% renewable energy. I really believe it should be 100% renewable energy that’s built in California and managed in California. It’s the best way to help our environment.

Competition for Power

PHIL TING California State Assemblymember (D-19) climateone.org | 37

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The natural world has a voice, and I wanted to give that voice to as many people as possible and make it possible for them to hear what beauty is out there.

BERNIE KRAUSE Soundscape Artist; Author, Voices of the Wild

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Mostly our mission is to educate, to let the Generation X’ers know the world might be something different in the near future if we don’t take action.

TANYA PETERSON Director, San Francisco Zoo

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If you understand wilderness to mean places that are undominated by civilization, places that are still self-willed, then, yeah, I’m happy to report that there’s a lot of wilderness still out there.

JASON MARK Former Editor, Earth Island Journal 38 | climateone.org

Voices of the Wild

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Climate is another compounded issue that’s facing communities.

How do you address this issue when you have other concerns about your health, access to healthcare, immigration issues, et cetera?

NILE MALLOY Former Director, Communities for a Better Environment

Resilient Cities

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Having an emergency kit is actually just as important as knowing my neighbors across the street. Those social bonds, those connections in our community, are really what get us through.

PATRICK OTELLINI Chief Resilience Officer, San Francisco

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There’s many different climate-related events that we all have to prepare for. There’s extreme heat, wildfires, sea level rise, storms and flooding, drought. We have a lot [of work] cut out for us.

LAURA TAM Sustainable Development Policy Director, SPUR

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TWEETS

A sampling from around the twittersphere

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Thinking that you’re solving the problem by replacing oil with gas is just digging yourself a bigger hole.

We actually have to reduce them both and move to renewables as quickly as we can.

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What is the cost of the next barrel of oil?

Should the companies be investing their money there?

Those are some of the questions that shareholders are asking companies.

LOU ALLSTADT Former Executive Vice President, Mobil Oil

Drilling in the Arctic & Amazon

DANIELLE FUGERE President and Chief Counsel, As You Sow

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You can move from good practices to best practices. And best practices, in my view, is ethical commitment. It is the ethical commitment of the oil industry to do their best.

RENÉ ORTIZ Former Ecuador Oil Minister; Former OPEC Secretary General

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We’re heading towards an unlivable planet if we don’t make drastic changes now. We don’t have a choice but to transition away from fossil fuels in the next fifteen years.

LEILA SALAZARLOPEZ Executive Director, Amazon Watch

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We see us partnering with customers going forward. So our opportunities are in investing in technologies that enable the grid to accommodate all of the new technologies.

Charging Ahead: PG&E CEO Tony Earley

ANTHONY EARLEY, JR. Chairman, CEO, and President, PG&E Corporation

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If we have a freeway packed with electric cars, we have not solved the energy problem. Obviously, the energy is being produced somewhere else.

ALEXANDRE BAYEN Director, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley

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To stay with the status quo, to think that we’re going to be able to sell cars like we normally do, that’s just a death sentence.

It’s all got to change.

SHAD BALCH Environment and Energy Communications Manager, General Motors

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We want more options for the consumer at all price points. We’re not picking winners in this. We want all of the options and the consumers will decide.

HECTOR DE LA TORRE Member, California Air Resources Board

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Ultimately, it’s market forces that are going to drive this technology forward in the long-term and make electric vehicles the preeminent technology. And that is going to happen.

DIARMUID O’CONNELL Vice President of Business Development, Tesla Motors

Power Drive

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It looks like we might be entering this phase where we’re decoupling the global economic system from the dependency on fossil fuels and the emissions that come with that.

TIM FLANNERY Scientist, Explorer, Author, Atmosphere of Hope

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Educate yourself. If we have an informed, scientifically savvy electorate, we’ll be in a much better position to make wise choices on what to do about all of this.

BEN SANTER Climate Scientist, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

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I see amazing efforts in cooperation and collaboration that we’ve never seen before amongst unlikely allies – environmentalists and big corporations – working together to figure out how you create that transition.

REBECCA SHAW Associate Vice President and Lead Scientist, Environmental Defense Fund

Atmosphere of Hope

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CLIMATE ONE IN PARIS

Climate One joins national leaders from around the world for the 2015 United Nations Climate Change Conference hosted this year in Paris, France.

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Greg and the Climate One team were invited by the Rockefeller Brothers Fund to host a dialogue at COP 21 in Paris among nine sub-national leaders who are cleaning and growing their economies. Greg spoke with mayors and governors from Nigeria, Mexico, Peru, Canada, Brazil, and California Governor Jerry Brown. The event took place in the Climate Action Arena, a space dedicated to ambitious climate action. The team also found time to explore other venues – running into acclaimed Bay Area chef, Traci Des Jardin – and to interview several food and energy entrepreneurs. A special radio program about the trip, “Climate One in Paris”, was broadcast around the United States and on NPR in Berlin. A podcast of the show is available on our website.

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The utilities ten years ago said they couldn’t get to 20% [renewables]. Now that we’re probably a year away from 30% to 33%, those same utilities support a 50% goal by 2030.

KEN ALEX Director, Governor Jerry Brown’s Office of Planning and Research

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When people come together, use good science, craft good policy and good economic incentives, good things can happen.

JANE LUBCHENCO University Distinguished Professor and Advisor in Marine Studies, Oregon State University

Dr. Chris Field: The Stephen Schneider Award

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We’re all vulnerable. There’s nobody who is not influenced by high temperatures or heat waves. And even if you’re in a place that doesn’t experience a climate extreme, we live in an environment now that is so interconnected by trade, migration, and supply chains that there really isn’t anybody who is safe.

CHRIS FIELD Director, Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution for Science

From left to right: Greg Dalton, Dr. Jane Lubchenco (2014 Stephen Schneider Award winner), Dr. Chris Field (2015 Stephen Schneider Award winner), and jurors Dr. Ben Santer and Dr. Larry Goulder.

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In principle, there’s no reason why we can’t make long range climate projections. In practice, there are complicating factors that make it possible to have a crystal ball into the future but the crystal ball is partly cloudy, not clear.

STEPHEN SCHNEIDER Professor of Environmental Biology and Global Change, Stanford University

1945-2010

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Producer Jane Ann Chien and the Climate One Video and Audio Team Adam Anderson, Jeremy Lassalle, Patrick Riggs, Bryan Massa, and William Blum.

SPECIAL THANKS TO OUR SUPPORTERS AND PARTNERS Foundation and Corporate Sponsors: S.D. Bechtel Jr. Foundation Ayrshire Foundation General Motors The San Francisco Foundation The Wallace Alexander Gerbode Foundation The Pisces Foundation The Seed Fund Climate One Stewards: Al Davis Arthur Rock Bill Reilly Jeff Horowitz John Hofmeister Larry Birenbaum Marc Stuart Mike Haas Nora Machado & Tom Burns Peter & Terry Boyer Susie Tompkins Buell Toni Rembe Tony Stayner

The Commonwealth Club of California CEO: Dr. Gloria Duffy Climate One Founder and Host: Greg Dalton Producer and Book Editor: Jane Ann Chien Assistant Producer: Alyssa Kjar Climate One Radio: Anny Celsi, California Weekly Podcast Editor Claire Schoen, C1 Revue & National Magazine Program Radio Editor Steve Martin, Radio Marketing Consultant Climate One Advisors: Rev. Sally Bingham Lawrence H. Goulder Dan Hesse John Hofmeister A.G. Kawamura William K. Reilly Forrest Sawyer

With Help From: Ellen Cohan, Talia Schmitt Photo Credits: Ed Ritger, Rikki Ward, Ellen Cohan, Alyssa Kjar, Sonya Abrams Media Partners: KDRT-FM Davis, CA KGUA-FM Gualala, CA KIDE-FM Hoopa, CA KKRN-FM Montgomery Creek, CA KRCB-FM & TV Rohnert Park,CA KSPB-FM Pebble Beach, CA KUSP-FM Santa Cruz, CA KWMR-FM Point Reyes Station, CA KCMJ-FM Colorado Springs, CO KERA-FM Dallas, TX KJZZ-FM Phoneix, AZ KNOW-FM Minneapolis, MN KNPR-FM Las Vegas, NV KOPB-FM Portland, OR KPIP-LP Fayette, MO KSFC-FM Spokane, WA KUT-FM Austin, TX WAMU-FM Washington, DC WBUR-FM Boston, MA WCVE-FM Richmond, VA WMEA-FM Portland, ME WMFE-FM Orlando, FL

* Climate One speaker quotes were edited slightly for clarity.

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