Residential Market Report - July 2025 (Sandringham + Mt Roskill)

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Mount Roskill Market Statistics.

Total Sales

June 2025

37

June 2024

June 2025

$999,000

June 2024

Total Sales Value Median Sales Price Median Days On Market

$1,068,000

There was a 76% increase in the total number of sales year on year.

June 2025

$40,031,786

June 2024

21 $23,323,000

There was a 71% increase in the total sales value year on year.

Source: REINZ

There was a -6% decrease in the total median sale price year on year.

June 2025

56

June 2024

34

There was a 64% increase in the total median DOM year on year.

Mount Roskill Recent Sales.

AUC ION COLLECTION

3.0

Take advantage of a prime opportunity to get ahead of the anticipated spring listing rush & maximize your property’s exposure to eager buyers. Don’t miss out!

WHEN: August 27 th & 28 th 2025

Ray White CRG Auction Report - July 2025

As we enter the second half of 2025, it’s a timely opportunity to reflect on what has been a strong and encouraging start to the year for Ray White City Realty Group.

In the first six months of 2025, Ray White CRG conducted a total of 220 auctions, comprising 130 apartments and 90 residential properties, achieving a combined clearance rate of 53.18%.

Across our Ray White CRG network, 2,072 properties were opened for inspection, with 3,472 open homes conducted.

Of these, 23.21% were auction campaigns . Buyer engagement remains strong, with 3,961 individual buyers recorded through our open homes—of which auction properties accounted for 44.83% of total attendees

Our data shows an average of 1.14 buyers per open home, and an average of 1.91 buyers per property.

Looking ahead, we anticipate a busy and energised second half of the year. With interest rates showing signs of easing, both investors and first-home buyers are reentering the market, positioning us for an exciting and competitive spring season.

To help vendors get ahead of the anticipated spring listing rush, we are proud to present Ray White CRG Auction Collection 3.0—a multi-office auction event taking place over two days:

Wednesday, 27 August 2025 – Ray White Sandringham will host their Auction Collection event from their in-room auction facility.

Thursday, 28 August 2025 – Ray White Auckland Central and Ray White Wynyard Quarter will hold a joint Auction Event at 12:30pm at the Ray White Auckland Central Auction Rooms. Later that afternoon, Ray White Mt Roskill will host their auction event from their Mt Roskill office at 4:00pm.

No matter where in Auckland you’re located, Ray White CRG has you covered. If you’re considering selling or simply want to learn more about our premium Auction Collection 3.0 marketing packages, please speak with one of our experienced team members or contact me directly.

Wishing you a successful July—I look forward to sharing the results of our August Auction Events in next month’s report.

Warm regards,

Director of Sales & Auctions

Tony Alexander: What the OCR hold means for homeowners and house prices

The Reserve Bank has put the brakes on its run of rate cuts.

ANALYSIS: As had been widely anticipated, the Reserve Bank has just left its Official Cash Rate unchanged at the 3.25% rate they took it to at the previous meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee late in May. They didn’t provide any updated forecasts at this review but noted that if things pan out as they expect then there is scope for interest rates to go lower as they outlined back then.

What they have pencilled in is a cut in the cash rate to 3% before the end of the year with a small chance of a cut to 2.75%. Why not cut now when it is clear to many people that the economy is not strong?

RBNZ Holds Official Cash Rate At 3.25%

Partly it is because in the next six months the annual rate of inflation is widely forecast to rise from the current 2.5% to 3% if not a tad higher. This will reflect things like higher power prices and food prices in particular. We will get the inflation number for the year to June on July 21.

The problem here is that despite the economy having spare capacity (as in the unemployment rate being 5.1%), there have recently been increases in some key gauges of what inflation might do down the track.

The ANZ’s Business Opinion Survey showed a year ago that a net 35% of businesses planned raising their selling

The graph shows the OCR since its introduction in 1999.

Chart: OneRoof.co.nzSource: Reserve Bank of New Zealand

prices in the coming year. Now that proportion is 49% driven probably substantially by a net 79% expecting their costs to rise through to mid-2026 and margins currently being exceptionally tight.

We have also seen a slight lift in household inflation expectations and the risk I’ve been highlighting for some time is that once consumers start spending a bit more over 2026 businesses will take advantage of that to raise prices and recover lost margins.

Throw in uncertainty related to the global environment for inflation and growth, where our export prices might be headed, how easing fiscal policies offshore may affect things, and how long wages growth in New Zealand remains restrained and get a very clouded picture.

The things I focus on substantially are high business pricing plans for a year from now, loosening fiscal policy in the United States and upward pressure on global medium to long-term interest rates, plus the lesson our Reserve Bank recently learnt from easing policy too much during and after the pandemic.

For borrowers the situation looks like one in which tossing a coin between fixing, one, two, or three years for the remainder of the year may be the optimal tactic. Actually, one is incentivised in this environment to

fix for two or maybe three time periods in order to spread risks out and buy time to adjust one’s budget should shocks up or down come along.

For the housing market there was nothing in today’s cash rate review from the Reserve Bank to justify any change in view for where the market is headed. Buyers remain cautious with minimal feelings of FOMO. Listings are at a 10-year high, issuance of consents for more dwellings to be built are unusually strong, some older investors are selling because of higher costs, and levels of job security remain low.

We are in a very solid buyer’s market, and we can see from various measures that first-home buyers recognise this and are taking advantage of the situation to make a purchase. Frankly, much as some people may bemoan the lack of rising house prices currently and the associated lack of extra household spending from perceptions of higher paper wealth, this is a very good development.

The back of exceptionally poor housing affordability in New Zealand may finally have been broken. But a return to the pre-1990s scenario of prices averaging just three times average income is not on the cards – not with construction costs having skyrocketed in the past three decades.

- Tony Alexander is an independent economics commentator. Additional commentary from him can be found at www.tonyalexander.nz

@raywhiteaucklandcentral

@raywhitewynyardquarter

@raywhitesandringham

@raywhite.mtroskill

DON’TThe TV Show..

Check out the latest production on tvnz featuring our very own Luke Crockford and Cameron Brain.

Celebrating our Real Estate Of Origin success!

Our CRG offices all took part in this year’s Real Estate of Origin competition. “Real Estate of Origin,” is a thrilling network-wide appraisal drive and call-a-thon that unfolds three times a year. We’re proud of all the hard work, collaboration, and dedication made by our teams.

Team Building & Project Site Visit

Our team had the pleasure of visiting the Risland Meadowbank development — an inspiring afternoon of learning, connection, and collaboration.

From exploring the layout and design to diving deep into key features and insights shared by the developer team, the tour was packed with valuable knowledge that empowers us to serve our clients with even greater confidence.

Auction Action....

Plenty of buyer’s turning up, this time at Ray White Mt Roskill.

Our CRG Auction Manager Cameron Brain.

Pictured:

Sharing the Spirit of Matariki Through Art

In celebration of Matariki, Tracey Potter from Ray White Sandringham embraced the season of reflection and community by launching a special colouring-in competition for local schools.

Working alongside Rosebank School and Owairaka District School, Tracey invited students to take part in the initiative, the response was heartening, with more than 250 colourful entries received by the closing date.

CRG Training Series...

This brand new seriers was all about Vendor Communication & Reporting — and what a session it was!

We heard from three of our high performers: Hugh Free – Ray White Sandringham, Gabriella Galateanu – Ray White Wynyard Quarter and Dominic Worthington – Ray White Auckland Central

Big thanks to our panel for kicking off the CRG Training Series with real insight and value.

Ray White Group: Housing Recovery Pivots to Premium.

The housing market is emerging from its 2022 trough with renewed momentum.

Total transactions climbed 20 per cent from the 2022 low of 56,133 to 67,202 in 2024, signaling a return of buyer confidence and market activity after a challenging period.

The most striking aspect of the recovery is how the market has reorganized around premium pricing. The $500K-$1M price range has become the market’s backbone, demonstrating exceptional resilience throughout recent volatility. This segment now commands more than half of all transactions, with 37,259 sales in 2024 representing 55 per cent of total market activity. What was once considered midrange pricing has become the new center of gravity for the entire market.

Meanwhile, the luxury segment above $1M has found its rhythm after the dramatic

Distribution of house sales by price segment

volatility of 2020-2022, when high-end sales surged to 40 per cent of the market before contracting. This segment has now settled into a sustainable 30-32 per cent share, with 21,620 transactions in 2024, suggesting affluent buyers have adjusted to current conditions and are participating at predictable levels.

The recovery’s most concerning aspect is the continued weakness in affordable housing. The sub-$500K segment, which represented more than 50 per cent of transactions in 2015, now accounts for just 12 per cent of the market. While this segment showed a modest increase from 6,191 transactions in 2022 to 8,323 in 2024, this represents stabilization at a dramatically reduced scale rather than meaningful recovery.

The unit market tells a similar story of

Count of house transactions by price range for the last 10 years,

constrained recovery. Unit sales declined 37 per cent from 15,303 in 2015 to 9,654 in 2022, then partially rebounded 16% to 11,207 in 2024. However, this recovery leaves unit volume 27 per cent below 2015 levels, and the unit market continues to mirror the broader pattern of strength in higher price segments while affordable options remain scarce.

As the unit market finds its footing, the same dynamic emerges: the $500K-$1M segment dominates, while sub-$500K options have become increasingly rare. This parallel pattern across both houses

and units reinforces that the post-2022 recovery is occurring primarily in higher price tiers, fundamentally altering housing accessibility and market structure rather than restoring broad-based affordability.

Methodology: The analysis draws from the REINZ (Real Estate Institute of New Zealand) dataset, focusing specifically on residential house and unit transactions across New Zealand from 2015-2025. To ensure data quality, transactions under $10,000 were excluded to remove outliers and non-market sales.

Atom Go Tian serves as a Senior Data Analyst in Ray White’s Economics team. His job is simple but vital: he turns complex property data into clear narratives for Australia and New Zealand’s residential markets.
Source: Ray White
Distribution of unit sales by price segment
Count of unit transactions by price range for the last 10 years,

027 742 5227 jamie.maclennan@loanmarket.co.nz Jamie Maclennan

OCR on Hold

Since August 2024, the OCR has been slashed by a total of 225 basis points – from a peak of 5.50% to its current 3.25% level. While the cuts to date have provided much-needed relief to the economy, particularly for borrowers, the RBNZ is now pausing to assess how these lower rates are flowing through to households and businesses.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has decided to keep the Official Cash Rate (OCR) on hold at 3.25%, as widely expected. This follows the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to pause further rate cuts, highlighting a regional wait-and-see approach to monetary policy.

Many of you who fixed your mortgage in the high 6% or 7% range have either recently rolled off or are due to do so soon. This delayed impact on households is a key reason why the Reserve Bank is holding steady for now.

It’s important to remember that

the RBNZ has a singular focus: maintaining inflation within its 1–3% target band. Broader economic or employment concerns are secondary to this mandate. The Bank noted that while annual inflation may lift toward the upper end of the band by mid2025, it is still forecast to ease back to around 2% by early 2026 due to weakening domestic inflation and spare capacity in the economy.

Despite calls from some economists for further cuts to support the slowing economy, the central bank is staying cautious. Most analysts now expect the next rate cut to come on August 20, barring any major surprises in economic data between now and then.

Financial markets took the decision in their stride. The New Zealand dollar nudged up slightly by 10 pips to around US60.1c, while interest rate markets were largely unchanged.

For now, the Reserve Bank is in watchand-wait mode – and so are we.

Should I fix long or short term now?

A lot depends on your circumstances, if you want certainty, we wouldn’t expect to see rates drop much further in the near term.

However if you have strong servicing capability you could either stick with short term rates or split the difference and do some short term some longer term.

Why choose us?

City Realty Group is the group with the ‘family factor’ - we’re family owned and we treat people like family. We’re all about open doors and open minds. We encourage a unifying atmosphere where opportunities are created, individuals are recognized and everyone grows - from our team to vendors, investors and tenants.

Our experienced and established team service the market Auckland wide -from Residential, Luxury Apartments, waterfront properties and rentals. With a dedicated property management team and marine brokerage teams. City Realty Group has a strategic partnership with Loan Market to provide clients with the best mortgage advice and rates through brokers.

+64 (9) 281 4707 www.rwsandringham.co.nz

+64 (9) 308 5551 www.rwmtroskill.co.nz

Leaders in the Auckland Residential market.
Ray White Sandringham
Ray White Mount Roskill

Meet the team.

SALES TEAM - SANDRINGHAM OFFICE

Daniel Horrobin
Pauline Bridgman
Henson
Amy Tsai
Diane Goer
Emily Hu
Ivan Koulin
Hugh Free
Daniel Chen
Lauren Indrisie
Alastair Hubbard
Robert Green
Ash Anandani
Jay Nair
Susan Woods -Markwick
Rosa Solano
Tracey Potter
Yuhei Umezaki
Claire Firmin
Lakhbir Singh

SALES TEAM - MOUNT ROSKILL OFFICE

OUR LOANMARKET MORTGAGE ADVISORS

WE CAN NEGOTIATE A LOWER RATE. WORK WITH A QUALIFIED AND COMPETENT MORTGAGE ADVISER

LoanMarket Mortgage Adviser

Mortgage Adviser

Damon Pooley Ethan Li
Jon Clark
Lisa Hui
Mark Li
Nana Li
May Ma
Eva Yin
Benjamin Liu
Pantea Wilson
Sara Wang
Tony Liu
Grant Harvey
Ross Harvey
Maggie Liu
Anna Dong
LoanMarket
Jo Price
Davy Chen
Evie Gao
Jamie Maclennan
Ibrahim Khazi
Minnie Zhu
Nilesh Kumar

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