RJA March-April 2013 Country Focus

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Rubber Journal Asia Country Focus

Indian rubber sector: looking into the future with a 2020 vision Emerging market India has worked out its

population. Thus, it has a sufficient domestic consumer base for its locally made rubber products. Overall, India has become a favourable bailiwick for manufacturing a wide array of rubber products, which currently number AIRIA President Niraj Thakker around 35,000 different says the country’s inverted types. duty structure is creating an Resilient to a volatile uncompetitive market environment natural rubber (NR) market, the fourth largest producer and second largest consumer of NR in the world has posted an increase in production and consumption of NR for this year at 970,000 tonnes from last year’s 920,000 tonnes, according to the India Rubber Board. To date, the Indian rubber industry has a large concentration of plantations in the southern state of Kerala. Both the Government and the Indian Rubber Board are implementing measures to expand the production to the North East, including Tripura. Meanwhile, the Singapore-based International Rubber Study Group (IRSG) forecasts that India will be basking in huge demand for NR until 2020, fuelled by a rising demand from the tyre sector. Also by the same year, rubber consumption by the domestic tyre industry will be estimated at 1.4 million tonnes of NR and 0.6 million tonnes of synthetic rubber (SR). Market research firm JD Power Asia Pacific indicates that by 2020, India will become the third largest market in the world after China and the US for light vehicles, including passenger cars and light commercial vehicles (LCVs). However, rubber production may not be able to keep up with the demand, and by 2020, the supplydemand gap would have widened by over 1 million tonnes, said IRSG. To ease the projected shortage, importing the polymer will be inevitable, but the current high import levy on raw rubber and low customs duty on finished rubber goods may cause a regress in the industry. Currently, import duty on raw rubber ranges between 20-70%, whilst imported finished goods from neighbouring countries are only imposed a 10% duty. According to the All India Rubber Industries Association (AIRIA), the inverted duty structure is creating an uncompetitive market environment, especially for Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), of which 5,000 are in the rubber segment.

economic strategies and these will come full circle by 2020 – the year when all segments of economic metrics, from the GDP to CAGR and exports value, are expected to pull up and outpace developed markets, says Angelica Buan in this report that takes a look at the effect the economy will have on the rubber sector.

B

y 2020, India would have become the second largest global player in the rubber sector, after China. It is also being positioned to rank amongst the top three global automotive markets, likely to outpace Japan. Currently, the South Asian country is serving an increasing demand for rubber for its more than 1 billion-tyres/year market segment, as well as its non-tyre segment. The targets seem doable, since after all, India has got more than what it takes: Rapid urbanisation, which is expected to increase by 35% by 2025; more than half of the population in the workforce; ample number of skilled manpower and certified professionals like engineers; and an estimated 720 million consumer base in the rural areas. The country has R&D capabilities and testing centres, not to mention access to materials such as carbon blacks, zinc oxide, chemicals and raw rubber. Its economy, one of the fastest growing at 7.6%, based on 2011-2012 estimates, is youth driven and the market is reinforced by the growing 1.2 billion middle class

India is serving an increasing rubber demand for its more than 1 billiontyres/year segment

7 MARCH / APRIL 2013

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