The Brazilian Candidate Triangle
It is widely accepted in management theory that managers must consider some restrictions when making decisions. One of the most usual constraints is the project management triangle, used since 1950.
The rationale is based on three pillars:
1. The quality of work is constrained budget, deadlines, and scope (feat
2. The project manager can trade b constraints.
3. Changes in one constraint neces others to compensate, or quality w
Characteristics of this year’s
presidential election candidates:
capability
by the
agenda and its liberal commitment.
electors can trade between constraints
choosing
one constraint means changing
I am not advocating constraints between the concepts themselves. Still, to pick from the majority of the candidates, you have to trade between these constraints.
So the relevant question is: What will be crucial for Brazil after Bolsonaro? The answer depends on who you ask: The business and economic crowd will emphasize the economic agenda, while political fauna will emphasize the candidate’s political capabilities.
That difference lies diagnosing the Gordian knot of today’s Brazil: economy or politics? The two go hand to hand and can feed into each other for good or bad; however, different groups see that the order matters in today’s Brazil.
Suppose the USA is a good proxy for Bolsonaro’s legacy. In that case, I tend to side with the political fauna: The latest US polls suggest that around 1/3 of Americans lack faith in the US democratic system. They are unsure that their votes will be counted in the future, do not think Biden was fairly elected, and believe violence against the government is justified. That is primarily due to Trump’s legacy, Bolsonaro’s model and inspiration.
As a result, Brazil will have to deal with the Brazilian Candidate Triangle.
