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Saturday, 16 May, 2020 I 22 Ramzan-ul-Mubarak, 1441 I Rs 15.00 I Vol X No 318 I 12 Pages I Lahore Edition
‘We have to live With Covid-19 this year’: imran defends deCision to reoPen eConomy g
ASKS MEDICAl COMMuNITy TO uNDERSTAND CHAllENGES GOvT IS FACING DuE TO POvERTy IN COuNTRy
file Photo
ISLAMABAD staff report
P
RIME Minister Imran Khan on Friday defended the government’s decision to ease the lockdown — imposed to curb the spread of the coronavirus in Pakistan —, saying “We have to live with the virus this year”. Addressing a press briefing in the federal capital, PM Imran said that he would like to especially address the medical community, because is he aware of how alarmed they were at the announcement of an ease in curbs, given the pressure it would create on medical facilities. “I assure you my government has full realisation of what sort of pressures you must face, [given your profession and especially] with regard to your families and children,” he said, adding that it is important for the medical community to understand how a country tackles a problem of this magnitude, the choices it has to make, and the repercussions the decisions have on the whole society. “If someone had told me with certainty that we need to keep the country locked down for three months and then we will defeat the virus. We could have
done it. We would have dedicated all our resources to fighting it and would have tried to ensure food supplies to homes with out volunteers. “But all the medical experts in the world are saying there are no signs of a vaccine this year […] so this means the virus isn’t going anywhere,” said the premier. He said the rationale behind a lockdown was to prevent the spread of the virus as it is highly contagious. “But will the virus end with a lockdown?” The premier then spoke of countries where a second surge of the virus is being witnessed, such as China, South Korea, Singapore, and Germany. “We have to live with this virus. This year we have to make do with the virus.” ‘SAVING PEOPLE FROM HUNGER’: Continuing to address the medical community, he asked whether they really think the lockdown can stay enforced for another two months. Comparing Pakistan’s economy with that of developed countries, Imran once more spoke of how while the others had announced hundreds of billions of dollars worth of stimulus packages, Pakistan had only managed to allot $8 billion. He said those countries do not have the kind of
Coronavirus in
Pakistan
38,437
RECOVERED:
DEATHS:
SINDH:
PUNJAB:
10,155 14,916
822
13,914
KP:
BALOCHISTAN:
AJK/GB:
ISLAMABAD:
5,678 105/501
2,457 866
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KP and Punjab to resume public transport, Sindh refuses STORY ON PAGE 03
Govt says wearing masks mandatory in public spaces STORY ON PAGE 03
SBP slashes interest rate to 8pc as Covid-19 fallout hits economy g
SBP SAyS vIRuS HAS CREATED ‘uNIquE’ CHAllENGES FOR MONETARy POlICy DuE TO ITS NON-ECONOMIC ORIGIN KARACHI meIrYum alI
The State Bank of Pakistan, in a meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) on Friday, slashed the country’s policy rate by 100 basis points from 9pc to 8pc. The MPC said this action was made light of the SBP’s inflation outlook, which has improved given the recent cut in domestic fuel prices. This is the fourth time in three months that the SBP has slashed the policy rate. In the space between March 17 and May 15, the SBP has now cut the policy rate by a whopping 525 basis points, from the relatively high 13.25pc to 8pc. More specifically, it cut the policy rate by 75 basis points to 12.5pc on March 17, by a further 150 basis points to 11pc on March 24, and by 200 basis points to 9pc on April 16. Central banks around the world have slashed interest rates, though perhaps none as aggressively as Pakistan’s SBP. According to a recent report by Bloomberg, Pakistan has cut its interest rates the most this year, out of a survey of nine countries, including the uS, Peru, South
Provinces likely to oppose NFC Award over extra shares for Centre ISLAMABAD
Ghulam abbas
CONFIRMED CASES:
poverty that Pakistan does. Providing statistics based on a labour force survey carried out in 2017 and 2018, he said that there are 25 million people who are daily wage workers such as labourers. “There are 25 million workers who depend on their daily wage or weekly wage […] to feed their families they make use of this income. “These are the people who were forced into their homes during their lockdown. They had no other means [to earn a livelihood].” The premier said that consequently, now 150 million people have become affected by the lockdown. He said that Pakistan, despite the grave situation, had managed to do what many countries had not. Citing the example of the Ehsaas emergency cash programme whereby Rs12,000 had been distributed to families whose source of income had been taken away due to the lockdown, he said: “We gave out Rs12,000 through Ehsaas. How long can we do this? And how long will Rs12,000 last them?” The premier said the situation was such that necessitated taking such measures, that the government is fully aware of the pressure on the medical community and knows full well that cases will continue to rise.
The provinces are likely to object to the deduction of their respective shares in the recently notified 10th National Finance Commission (NFC) after the Centre sought more money under the heads of defence and disaster management. Aside from the terms of references (TORs), the Sindh government has even questioned the constitution of the commission. Officials believe that the other provinces will also follow in Sindh’s footsteps. “When it comes to shares of revenue under NFC, even the provincial governments of ruling party PTI will not compromise on their respective shares,” said the official adding that “we have experienced in the past governments… the provincial representatives have objected to more shares to center.” “Though the federal government in consultation with some ‘important institutions’, has added some new ToRs to discuss and pressurise the provincial governments to give more shares to the Center through the NFC without going for a change in the 18th Amendment, the move is likely to backfire.
According to the sources, apart from International Monetary Fund (IMF), the armed forces and various other quarters, also wanted to rebalance the transfer of a larger chunk of the divisible pool resources to the provinces under 7th NFC Award. However for a constitutional obligation and objection from provinces, the division of revenue continued the same in the past 10 years despite failure of two NFC awards (8th and 9th NFC). In addition to defence expenditures, the federal government also demanded shares under the head of the assessment of total public debt and allocation of resources for its repayment, losses incurring to state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and development of Azad Kashmir and Gilgit-Baltistan. A Ministry of Finance official that the government would take provinces on board and that it was premature to comment on shares that center may get after the new NFC Award. However, Dr Kaiser Bengali, who had represented provinces in the NFC, said the Centre has planned to deduct up to 15 per cent from the provinces’ shares. After the 18th Amendment, the Federal Divisible Pool (FDP) was being distributed under the ratio
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of 57.5 percent to 42.5 per cent among the provinces and the federal government, respectively. The Centre claims that under the existing revenue distribution mechanism, the federal government is barely left with funds to pay for its two non-discretionary expenses –debt servicing and defence. It has to approach lenders to finance even its administrative and development expenditures. The NFC Award is a constitutional obligation, which is clearly mentioned in Article 160 of the 1973 Constitution. The constitution has made it mandatory for the government to compose the NFC Award at an interval extending not more than five years for the distribution of finances between the Centre and the provinces. According to Article 160 of the Constitution, after every five years, the president will constitute the NFC for a period of five years. The 9th NFC was constituted on April 24, 2015 and reconstituted a couple of times in 2016, 2018 and 2019 owing to change in governments and replacement of non-statutory members, but it failed to conclude a new award as no meaningful and structured dialogue could be sustained.
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Africa, Turkey and ukraine. In explaining its rationale for cutting the policy rate, the SBP noted that the coronavirus pandemic had created ‘unique’ challenges for a monetary policy due to its non-economic origin. “While easier monetary policy can neither affect the rate of infection transmission nor prevent the near-term fall in economic activity due to lockdowns, it can provide liquidity support to households and businesses to help them through the ensuing temporary phase of economic disruption,” the SBP clarified. The SBP also maintained that the rapid policy rate cuts had helped maintain credit flows and bolstered cash flow of borrowers, thereby limiting contraction in the economy. INFLATION EXPECTATIONS: According to the SBP, inflation could fall closer to the lower end of the previously announced ranges of 11-12 percent this fiscal year and 7-9 percent next fiscal year. In January 2020, the inflation rate had hit a record 14.56pc, according to data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).
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more inside
Retail sector sees sharp recovery as lockdown eases STORY ON PAGE 02
Govt plans to boost health, social sectors in upcoming budget STORY ON PAGE 03
Healthcare system will survive Covid-19 onslaught, govt tells NA
STORY ON BACK PAGE