Epaper – May 15 LHR 2020

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CMYK

Friday, 15 May, 2020 I 21 Ramzan-ul-Mubarak, 1441 I Rs 15.00 I Vol X No 317 I 12 Pages I Lahore Edition

Pakistan’s defiCit and Poverty rate to soar due to Coronavirus g

Poverty headcount likely to rise from 24.3pc to a base case of 29pc, and a worstcase scenario of 33.5pc

g

At least 3m people will lose their jobs – 1m in industrial sector and 2m in services

ISLAMABAD AGENCIES

P

AKISTAN’S fiscal deficit will be significantly worse than projected this fiscal year, with the fallout from the novel coronavirus pandemic pushing millions into unemployment and poverty, according to government estimates reviewed by Reuters. Pakistan began a phased lifting of its countrywide lockdown last week despite a rising rate of cases – a move pushed primarily by fears of an economic meltdown. The country has reported 35,788 Covid-19 cases and 770 deaths. Due to “a shortfall in revenues; re-prioritising of expenditures and increase in public spending,” the post-pandemic fiscal deficit could reach as high as 9.4pc against an earlier projection of 7.4pc, one of the finance ministry documents seen by Reuters said. Two government officials told Reuters on condition of anonymity that in recent meetings on the financial situation there were fears the deficit could even hit double digits. That is higher than the previous upper estimate of 9pc predicted by Pakistan’s finance chief Abdul Hafeez Shaikh in a May 9 interview with Reuters. The impact on workers and poorer people is also stark, with estimates that the poverty headcount will rise from 24.3pc to a base case of 29pc, and a worst-case scenario of 33.5pc, the documents said. At least three million people will lose their jobs - one million in the industrial sector and two million in services. The documents noted that Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, an autonomous research organisation set up by the government, has projected job losses could reach 18 million.

Tax collection dropped sharply by 16.4pc in April, the internal estimates showed. They also stated that exports are likely to fall by $2.8 billion to $3.8 billion, with a negative impact on remittances from the Middle East, USA and Europe, which are likely to remain around $2021bn against $21.8bn in 2019. However, a slump in imports will cut Pakistan’s current account deficit to $4.5 billion in the fiscal year, from $13.8 billion in 2019. The estimates say the economy will contract 1.5pc for financial year 2020 against a rise of 3.29pc in 2019. Pakistan has already rolled out a 1.24 trillion Pakistani rupee ($7.71 billion) stimulus to support the economy and cash handouts to the poor. Moody’s on Thursday placed Pakistan’s local and foreign currency longterm issuer B3 ratings under review for downgrade, citing a potential default on private sector debt. EXTERNAL HELP: Officials say Pakistan is

Coronavirus in

Pakistan

36,717

RECOVERED:

DEATHS:

SINDH:

PUNJAB:

9,695 14,099 KP:

5,423 AJK/GB:

91/482

788

13,561 BALOCHISTAN:

2,239

ISLAMABAD:

822

CONTINUED ON PAGE 03

Hafeez Shaikh expects 2pc GDP growth in next fiscal year STORY ON PAGE 09

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Sindh CM writes to PM Imran, says inclusion of finance adviser in commission is unconstitutional KARACHI STAFF REPORT

The Sindh government on Thursday rejected the recently-constituted 10th National Finance Commission (NFC), terming its formation unconstitutional. In a letter addressed to Prime Minister Imran Khan, Sindh Chief Minister Murad Ali Shah expressed his government’s reservations over the formation of the 10th NFC, aimed at announcing a new award for sharing of federal divisible resources between the Centre and provinces. The Sindh chief minister stated that the appointment of certain members of the commission was in contravention of the constitution, adding that the prime minister’s adviser on finance and revenue could not head the commission. “Only the finance minister is authorised to lead the commission,” he stated. Shah added that though it is the prerogative of the president to constitute the NFC, he has to appoint the provincial representatives after consulting the respective governors and chief ministers. He also said that since the Centre would bear the expenses of the Kashmir and GilgitBaltistan areas, it should increase the financial share of these areas. The NFC Award was notified on May 13. As there was a constitutional issue in presiding over the NFC meeting by the adviser on finance in the absence of the finance minister, the president, through a notification, allowed Hafeez Shaikh to preside over the commission’s functions. As per the composition of the NFC, the finance minister would be the chairman while the provincial finance ministers will be members of the commission. Other members (experts) include PM’s finance adviser, Tariq Bajwa from the Punjab govern-

Govt and Opp remain at odds over Covid-19 measures g

CONFIRMED CASES:

confident of getting at least $5.4 billion in external financial help, including $1.386 billion already received from the IMF as rapid financing to mitigate the corona losses, and a debt rescheduling of $1.8 billion from G20 countries. That is aside from money expected from the IMF’s three-year $6 billion support programme the country entered last year, according to two officials familiar with the situation.

Sindh govt rejects ‘unconstitutional’ NFC

PM Imran misses Senate session yet again as Opp continues criticism of govt’s anti-coronavirus measures

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ISLAMABAD STAFF REPORT

The government and opposition continued with their blame game on Thursday as the Senate continued the debate on the Covid-19 outbreak in the country. Prime Minister Imran Khan, who skipped the earlier sessions of both the Houses, was absent from Thursday’s session as well. Addressing the House, Federal Minister for Information and Broadcasting Shibli Faraz said the government has always taken all provinces on board while taking decisions. Responding to former prime minister Shahid Khaqan Abbasi’s criticism of the government, Faraz asked the opposition to appraise the government regarding their “parallel strategy”. “Does the opposition have their own strategy?” the minister asked. “Do they want a curfew to be imposed? Why did they not participate in the session when they called it?” Faraz told the opposition to answer the questions rather than claiming to be a “political victim”. The information minister also said the federal government had provided every province with personal protective equipment (PPE) to tackle the

Senate passes unanimous resolution condemning ‘baseless propaganda’ against China over Covid-19 outbreak

virus and added that the federal government wants to facilitate daily wagers affected by the pandemic on a top priority. “Prime Minister Imran Khan had announced a relief package for the daily wagers despite the country having limited resources,” he said. Regretting the absence of Prime Minister Imran Khan from the session, Pakistan Muslim LeagueNawaz (PML-N) Senator Mushahid Ullah Khan said that it was “very unfortunate” that the premier “did not fulfill his responsibilities” during the health crisis. The PML-N, which is critical of Prime Minister Imran’s Covid-19 approach, has time and again accused the government of rejecting opposition’s help in dealing with the crisis. Senator Mushahid recalled that his party’s president Shehbaz Sharif and Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) Chairman Bilawal Bhutto-Zardari had offered the government help in dealing with the crisis. “Ask Shehbaz, ask Bilawal, ask Sirajul Haq. They are ready to help,” he said, adding: “Even [JUI-F chief] Fazlur Rehman said that 40,000 volunteers from his party were ready to help with coronavirus relief efforts […] but the government rejected the offer.”

CMYK

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ment, Dr Asad Sayeed from Sindh government, Musharraf Rasool Cyan from KP government and Javed Jabbar from Balochistan government. Under the existing NFC arrangements, the Federal Divisible Pool (FDP) is distributed under the ratio of 57.5 per cent to 42.5 per cent among the provinces and the federal government, respectively. The NFC Award is a constitutional obligation, which is clearly mentioned in Article 160 of the 1973 Constitution. The constitution has made it mandatory for the government to compose the NFC Award at an interval extending not more than five years for the distribution of finances between the Centre and the provinces. According to Article 160 of the Constitution, after every five years, the president will constitute the NFC for a period of five years. It is worth mentioning here that soon after becoming the finance minister, Asad Umar had directed the finance secretary to initiate the new NFC Award. Later, President Dr Arif Alvi had reconstituted the 9th NFC in January 2019, and the thenfinance minister Umar had started negotiations with the provinces. However, after his resignation as the finance minister, the process of the consultation had come to a halt as the newly-appointed adviser on finance could not chair the NFC meetings due to legal reasons.Moreover, the new NFC Award also asked the province to pay for defence and other expenditures. They included the assessment and allocation of resources to meet expenditures made on security and natural disasters and calamities. As the provinces objected to additional share for the heads of security and national disaster institutions in the past, it is likely that they will object to this as well.

fiqah-e-hanfia lahore sehr: 3:33 aM iftar: 6:55 PM

karachi sehr: 4:23 aM iftar: 7:10 PM

islaMabad sehr: 3:30 aM iftar: 7:03 PM fiqah-e-jafaria

lahore sehr: 3:22 aM iftar: 7:04 PM

islaMabad sehr: 3:21 aM iftar: 7:12 PM

karachi sehr: 4:13 aM iftar: 7:20 PM

more inside

Tareen urges govt to increase revenue to fix NFC hiccups STORY ON PAGE 03

Moody’s says Pakistan’s B3 rating under review for downgrade STORY ON PAGE 09

PM, world leaders demand free Covid19 vaccine for all STORY ON BACK PAGE

Covid to shrink world economy by 3.2pc STORY ON BACK PAGE


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